Service Plays Wednesday 12/11/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    Service Plays Wednesday 12/11/19

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #2
    NICK BORRMAN SOCCER PLAYS

    Game: Lokomotiv Moscow at Atletico Madrid
    Date/Time: Dec 11 2019 3:00 PM EST
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: Atletico Madrid -1.75 (-110)

    View Analysis

    UEFA Champions League
    (224257) Lokomotiv Moscow at (224258) Atletico Madrid
    Matchday six of the group stage is all about finding the situations as some teams have very important matches while others are completely meaningless and that's what we have here. Atletico Madrid need a win to secure their spot in the knockout rounds. They lead Bayer Leverkusen by a point for the 2nd spot in the group and Leverkusen has a good chance at a win at home versus Juventus who have nothing to play for having already locked up the top spot in the group.
    Lokomotiv have nothing to play for in this match as they will finish bottom of the group regardless of what happens in this game and can't even play for a Europa League spot by finishing 3rd. On top of that, the Russian Premier League played their last matches for the next three months this weekend as they take an extended midseason hiatus due to the harsh winter climate in Russia. You can bet they have already mailed it in and are in break mode. Undoubtedly, this will be an opportunity for the 2nd team and less experienced players to get a run at some game time.
    Setting the situation aside, Atletico should still cover just by the numbers. They won the reverse fixture on the road 2-0 outshooting Lokomotiv 19 to 11 with 8 on goal to 3. Last year, these teams met in the knockout rounds of the Europa League with Madrid advancing 8-1 on aggregate winning 3-0 at home and 5-1 away. There is no result but a Madrid win here and I think they win it big, 3-0 or 4-0 and for that reason I'm also on the Over 2.5 in this game.

    TAKE ATLETICO MADRID -1.75
    Line Parameter: 5% to -2.0, but prefer -1.75 up to -130 to at least get a half-win on a two goal win
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    Comment

    • citybeat
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 407

      #3
      Now, as promised, here is the Champ NBA System bet for Thursday December 5th:
      NY Knicks {B} bet - Unofficial betting series because the Knicks have the worst road record. Buy 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds to bring the current +4.5 spread to +7.5. If the {B} bet loses, then the {C} bet for the Knicks will take place on the 13th.

      LA Lakers {A} bet - Unofficial betting series because the Lakers have the best road record. You can either buy 3 points on the spread at no worse than -170 odds, or take them on the money line. Official recordkeeping is based on the ML for this bet.

      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #4
        Larry Hartstein

        SENIOR ANALYST

        A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the past four years, he's gone 235-194 on NFL picks, including 61-47 last season. Larry also crushes the NBA playoffs, having gone 56-41 ATS the past two seasons.

        Dec NBA 9-10

        UTAH -1
        UTAH @ MINNESOTA | 12/11 | 8:00 PM EST
        9:31 AM
        The T-Wolves' bad defense should be the tonic for the struggling Jazz, who have lost six of eight. Minnesota has given up an average of 128.4 points during its five-game skid. Each team already has won on the other's court this season. Look for Bojan Bogdanovic to bounce back from a poor shooting night in OKC as the Jazz win.

        22-13-1 IN LAST 36 NBA ATS PICKS | +777
        10-4 IN LAST 14 MIN ATS PICKS | +559

        5-2 IN LAST 7 UTA ATS PICKS | +280
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #5
          Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner
          NICK BORRMAN SOCCER PLAYS

          Game: Lokomotiv Moscow at Atletico Madrid
          Date/Time: Dec 11 2019 3:00 PM EST
          Betting Line Provider: Heritage
          Play Rating: 5%
          Play: Atletico Madrid -1.75 (-110)

          View Analysis

          UEFA Champions League
          (224257) Lokomotiv Moscow at (224258) Atletico Madrid
          Matchday six of the group stage is all about finding the situations as some teams have very important matches while others are completely meaningless and that's what we have here. Atletico Madrid need a win to secure their spot in the knockout rounds. They lead Bayer Leverkusen by a point for the 2nd spot in the group and Leverkusen has a good chance at a win at home versus Juventus who have nothing to play for having already locked up the top spot in the group.
          Lokomotiv have nothing to play for in this match as they will finish bottom of the group regardless of what happens in this game and can't even play for a Europa League spot by finishing 3rd. On top of that, the Russian Premier League played their last matches for the next three months this weekend as they take an extended midseason hiatus due to the harsh winter climate in Russia. You can bet they have already mailed it in and are in break mode. Undoubtedly, this will be an opportunity for the 2nd team and less experienced players to get a run at some game time.
          Setting the situation aside, Atletico should still cover just by the numbers. They won the reverse fixture on the road 2-0 outshooting Lokomotiv 19 to 11 with 8 on goal to 3. Last year, these teams met in the knockout rounds of the Europa League with Madrid advancing 8-1 on aggregate winning 3-0 at home and 5-1 away. There is no result but a Madrid win here and I think they win it big, 3-0 or 4-0 and for that reason I'm also on the Over 2.5 in this game.

          TAKE ATLETICO MADRID -1.75
          Line Parameter: 5% to -2.0, but prefer -1.75 up to -130 to at least get a half-win on a two goal win
          Game: Lokomotiv Moscow at Atletico Madrid
          Date/Time: Dec 11 2019 3:00 PM EST
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 4%
          Play: Total OVER 2.5 (-120)

          View Analysis

          UEFA Champions League

          (224257) Lokomotiv Moscow at (224258) Atletico Madrid

          See write-up for Atletico Madrid

          TAKE OVER 2.5 GOALS

          Line Parameter: 4% to 2.75, but pay up to -130 to get 2.5


          Game: Crvena Zvezda at Olympiakos
          Date/Time: Dec 11 2019 3:00 PM EST
          Betting Line Provider: Heritage
          Play Rating: 4%
          Play: Olympiakos -1.0 (-115)

          View Analysis

          UEFA Champions League

          (224249) Crvena Zvezda at (224250) Olympiakos

          The 3rd seed and a Europa League qualification are on the line here and I like Olympiakos at home. They were winning the reverse fixture 1-0 at halftime before a 2nd half red card did them in as they subsequently conceded three goals after going down a man. Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) is having a good domestic campaign but are far outmatched on the European circuit. In matches against Tottenham and Bayern, Red Star lost 0-4 at home to Tottenham and 0-5 away, while losing 0-6 at home against Bayern and 0-3 away, meaning the only goals they have scored this competition came against a 10-man Olympiakos side.

          Olympiakos meanwhile drew 2-2 at home against Tottenham while losing 2-4 away and lost 2-3 at home to Bayern as well as 0-2 away. Much more respectable results than Red Star. The level of talent here is much deeper on the Greece side and while Belgrade can be a tough place to play and Red Star's only real advantage, the same cannot be said for them on the road.

          TAKE OLYMPIAKOS -1

          Line Parameter: 4% at -1.0 or better up to -125, 2% at -1.25


          Game: Real Madrid at Club Brugge
          Date/Time: Dec 11 2019 3:00 PM EST
          Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
          Play Rating: 3%
          Play: Real Madrid (+125)

          View Analysis

          UEFA Champions League

          (224241) Real Madrid at (224242) Club Brugge

          Madrid have nothing to play for here but even their rotated side will be good enough to win this match. Young star Luka Jovic will likely start this match and get some much needed minutes while Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo, Mendy, Nacho, Casemiro, Isco and Modric are all likely to get big minutes in this match. Eden Hazard is out until next year with injury, Benzema is likely to be on the bench, Ramos was left off the squad and Bale is unlikely to feature coming in off injury as they prepare for two tough La Liga matches over the next week. Still that secondary team is plenty good to control this game. Brugge will be missing Diatta and Mata due to red cards they picked up against Galatasaray.

          These teams played to a surprising 2-2 draw in Madrid in the reverse fixture in a game that the hosts dominated throughout but conceded two unlikely goals and had to settle. i don't think that will be the case here in a game they will certainly control and likely win at a very good price.

          TAKE REAL MADRID TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
          Line Parameter: 3% to +105, 2% to -115
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #6
            From Northcoast group of handicappers:

            ------------------------------------
            3 Rivers Sports

            NCAA BK
            3* #645 Arkansas State +9.5

            ------------------------------------
            Billy Coleman

            NBA
            3* #511/512 Utah/Minnesota under 223
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #7
              mti

              5-Star Thunder at Kings UNDER 210.5
              4.5-Star Magic at Lakers UNDER 213
              4-Star Pelicans at Bucks OVER 234
              4-Star Grizzlies at Suns OVER 232
              4-Star Knicks at Warriors UNDER 209.5
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #8
                ELITE SPORTS PICKS

                Cal State Fullerton+2.5
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #9
                  INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

                  4* Arkansas State+8.5 NCAABB

                  3* Boise State+3 NCAABB

                  3* Atlanta+5 NBA
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #10
                    NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

                    4* California+1.5 NCAAB

                    3* Lakers-6.5 NBA

                    3* Warriors-4.5 NBA
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #11
                      Primetime Sports Picks For 12/11/19

                      4 Unit --> California +1.5 over Fresno St. (NCAAB)

                      3 Unit --> Illinois +1 over Michigan (NCAAB)

                      3 Unit --> Minnesota +1.5 over Utah (NBA)
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #12
                        Greg Shaker | CBB Total - Wednesday, Dec 11 2019 8:00PM
                        641 Boise St. / 642 Tulsa OVER 131.5 Westgatetriple-dime bet

                        Good to 136.5.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #13
                          Robert Ferringo cbb

                          Yest: +3.2
                          YTD: +17.4
                          ---
                          1-Unit Play. Take #8286 Arizona State (-19) over Prairie View (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 11)
                          As we are getting deeper into this points in the season, it has to get harder and harder for these overmatched teams to hang with top tier competition. This should be a 25+ point game. Prairie View has one guy taller than 6-6 on the roster and they shouldn't be able to hang with ASU on the boards. Arizona State has better, more explosive guards as well. They did not play well against Louisiana. And with some bigger games coming up on the horizon I think that Bobby Hurley will give them the whip here and ensure that the Sun Devils are firing on all cylinders.

                          1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #8286 Arizona State (-14) over Prairie View (10 p.m.) AND Take #646 Missouri State (-4) over Arkansas State (8 p.m.)
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #14
                            Doc CBB Wednesday

                            5 Unit Play. Take #635 Wisconsin (+105 Money Line) over Rutgers (7p.m., Wednesday, December 11 BTN)
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #15
                              Jason Sharpe ncaab12-11


                              4 Unit-Michigan +1.5
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