Monday 12-23-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Paul Leiner

NFL, CBB & NBA Picks 12/23

100* Packers +5
100* Canisius +6.5
100* Hawks +1

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481GREEN BAY -482 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 2 seasons.

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Monday, December 23

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GREEN BAY (11 - 3) at MINNESOTA (10 - 4) - 12/23/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 71-45 ATS (+21.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL

Week 16

Trend Report


Monday, December 23

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-12-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 25 games on the road
Green Bay is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

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NFL

Week 16

Monday's Game
Packers (11-3) @ Vikings (10-4)— Packers clinch NFC North with win here; they’re also going for first round bye in playoffs. Green Bay won its last three games; they’re 9-15-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Pack allowed 26+ points in its three losses; they’re 11-0 when allowing less than 26. Minnesota won four of its last five games; under Zimmer, they’re 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY. Five of their last six games stayed under. Green Bay (-3) beat the Vikings 21-16 in Week 2 at Lambeau, despite not scoring in second half; it was their first win in last six series games (1-4-1). Vikings ran ball for 198 yards, but turned ball over four times (-2). Packers lost their last three visits to the Twin Cities, by 7-13-3 points.

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Monday, December 23

Green Bay @ Minnesota

Game 481-482
December 23, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
132.967
Minnesota
140.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4 1/2); Over

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Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)

Green Bay will look to remain solo first in the NFC North in the final Monday night game of the season. In Week 15, the Packers (11-3 SU, 9-5 ATS) beat Chicago 21-13 giving 4 points at frigid Lambeau Field, where the current No. 2 seed hopes to spend some time in January.

However, Minnesota can tie its division rival with a victory in this prime-time contest. The Vikings (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) went off as 1-point road favorites against the Los Angeles Chargers and coasted to a 39-10 victory Sunday.

“The Packers really struggled on offense in their win over the Bears. They’ll need to be much better to beat Minnesota here,” Murray said. “The winner will likely take the division, and the loser will have to go on the road for three rounds in the postseason to get to the Super Bowl.”

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NFL Betting Stats heading into Wk 16:

Road Teams: 124-94-6 ATS
Home Teams: 94-124-6 ATS

Favorites: 100-118-6 ATS
Underdogs: 118-100-6 ATS
Home Faves: 56-80-5 ATS
Home Dogs: 38-44-1 ATS

Road Faves: 44-38-1 ATS
Road Dogs: 80-56-5 ATS

O/U: 110-114

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NFL's Top ATS Teams:

1. Bills 9-4-1 ATS
t2. Steelers 9-5 ATS
t2. Chiefs 9-5 ATS
t2. Saints 9-5 ATS
t2. Rams 9-5 ATS
t2. Packers5-1 ATS
t7. Niners 8-5-1 ATS


NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

32. Bears 4-10 ATS
31. Chargers 4-8-2 ATS
t30. Jets 5-9 ATS
t30. Bengals 5-9 ATS
t30. Eagles 5-9 ATS
t30. Lions 5-9 ATS
t26. Bucs 5-8-1 ATS
t26. Browns 5-8-1 ATS

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Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Monday, Dec. 23

GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Series “under” 4-1 last five. Vikes 7-3 vs. spread last ten at US Bank, and have won and covered last 3 as host vs. Pack.
Tech Edge: Vikings and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

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219MARSHALL -220 UCF
UCF is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing <=14 pts. over the last 2 seasons.

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, December 20

Monday, December 23

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MARSHALL (8 - 4) vs. UCF (9 - 3) - 12/23/2019, 2:30:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a bowl game since 1992.
MARSHALL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAF

Bowl Season

Trend Report

Monday, December 23

Central Florida @ Marshall
Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
Central Florida is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Marshall
Marshall is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Marshall's last 15 games

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NCAAF

Bowl Season

Dec 23- Gasparilla Bowl, Tampa
Marshall won its last seven bowl games; they won here 38-20 LY, beating the home team (South Florida). Thundering Herd also won this game in ’15. Favorites won this bowl the last four years (3-1 ATS). Average total in this bowl last four years: 37.0. Marshall won six of its last seven games overall after a 2-3 start; they’re 9-3 ATS in last dozen games as an underdog. 2-1 TY. Central Florida is 9-3, with losses by total of 7 points; they won five of last six games, are 4-5 ATS as a double digit favorite TY. UCF allowed 35-27-34 points in their three losses. Knights lost three of last four bowl games, with average total of 66.4 in last five bowls. Three of their last four games went under total.