Monday 12-23-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Dec 23 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NHL | Panthers vs Lightning
Play on: Lightning -180 at sportsbook

Free Pick on Lightning

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Bobby Conn

Dec 23 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Islanders
Play on: Blue Jackets +155 at sportsbook

1* Free Play on Blue Jackets +155
The Islanders (23-8-3, 49 points) are one spot from the top of the Metropolitan while the Blue Jackets (16-14-6, 38 points) are one spot from the bottom. Tonight, they’ll face off in New York.
Columbus is one of the hotter teams in hockey as they enter tonight’s game on a four-game winning streak. The Blue Jackets lost a pair of games before that winning streak, but even those defeats came in overtime. Most recently, Columbus beat New Jersey by a score of 5-1.
On average, the Blue Jackets are scoring 2.64 goals per game (25th) while allowing 2.86 goals per game (13th).
Joonas Korpisalo is allowing 2.56 goals per game with a .910 save percentage this season. Korpisalo has allowed two goals or fewer in five of his last seven games.
New York has lost two of their last three games, and they needed overtime and a shootout in their last two victories. After allowing eight goals in a loss to Nashville, the Islanders fell to Anaheim by shootout in a 6-5 contest. The first time the Islanders met the Blue Jackets, New York needed overtime to win.
On average, the Islanders are scoring 2.94 goals per game (19th) while allowing 2.56 goals per game (4th).
Thomas Greiss is allowing 2.39 goals per game and owns a .924 save percentage.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Dec 23 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Bulls vs Magic
Play on: Magic -4 -115 at BMaker

Magic -4.5
Monday night we get an Eastern conference matchup between the Chicago Bulls 12-19 (17-14 ATS) and the Orlando Magic 12-17 (11-16-2 ATS). The Magic appear to be headed in the wrong direction of late losers of 6 of their last 7. On the other side of this one the Bulls look to push their win streak to a three-game streak after outlasting Washington in OT last game out.
Out injured on Monday are Otto Porter Jr. for the Bulls, and Al-Farouq Aminu for the Magic. The last time these two teams played Markkannen's free throws was what got the Bulls a win, I'm predicting it to go the other way, as the Magic won't miss 15+ free throws in this one.
Last game out the Magic struggled shooting, but they did fare quite well vs. the Blazers in the turnover battle, and rebounding. I'm not sure the Bulls will have an answer for Vucevic and his 10RPG or Gordon in this one, and when you throw in Fournier (19PPG, 3.2APG, 42% from 3, and a nice 47% FG%. The Magic just match up nicely vs. Chicago.
Some trends to note. Orlando are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern conference. The Bulls are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 Monday games, and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
This could end up being the type of game where we're not sure who will take command until half-way thru the 4th quarter. So buckle up. I'm on the Magic -4. The home crowd (the ones that show up)...will help the Magic play with a little more energy this evening.
Play on the Magic -4.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Monday 5* FREE NBA ATS Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Dec 23 '19, 7:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Wizards vs Knicks
Play on: UNDER 230½ -105

Free Total Annihilator On Wizards vs Knicks under 230½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Dec 23 '19, 7:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Jazz vs Heat
Play on: Heat -4 -108 at pinnacle

10* FREE NBA PICK (Heat -4)
I'll take my chances here with Miami covering the 4-point spread at home against the Jazz. I just feel this is too good a price to pass up with the Heat. Miami is 12-1 SU and 10-2 ATS on their home floor this season.
Utah does come in having won 5 straight, but are just 1-2-2 ATS in this stretch and the 5 wins have come against the likes of the Timberwolves, Warriors, Magic, Hawks and Hornets. Jazz are also going to be without starting point guard Mike Conley and could have a hard time getting up for this game with it being the final game of a 3-game road trip. Real easy for them to just kind of go through the motions.
Utah has a losing road record on the season and are just 1-5 ATS last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Heat are 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a favorite and 7-2 ATS last 9 at home against a team with a losing road record. Give me Miami -4!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 23 '19, 8:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Spurs vs Grizzlies
Play on: Spurs -1 -106 at pinnacle

1* Free Sharp Play on Spurs -1 -106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler

Dec 23 '19, 8:15 PM in 9h
NFL | Packers vs Vikings
Play on: Vikings -4 -109 at pinnacle

NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Without a doubt, both the best trend and best System of the week by strict metrics. Also a very simple and straightforward trend which, when combined with excellent results, is nothing but $$$
This one is active on the Buccs, Bears, Chargers, Bengals, Jets, Titans and Vikings this week

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Dec 23 '19, 10:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | San Francisco vs Fresno State
Play on: San Francisco +1 -110 at YouWager

The NCAAB Comp Play is on San Francisco at 10:30 eastern. The Dons are a solid 9-3 on the year and have a huge RPI Scale edge at 83 compared to 275 for Fresno. They have played a tougher schedule and have covered 7 of 10 vs .400 Or less teams winning all of their games vs teams ranked 125 or worse. The Bulldogs have no bite failing to cover 4 of 5 vs winning teams and 3 of 4 on Mondays. All of their wins are vs teams ranked 200 or worse. The road team has covered 5 of 7 in this series. Play on San Francisco. For the NCAAB Free play. Take San Francisco. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 23 '19, 10:05 PM in 11h
NBA | Rockets vs Kings
Play on: Kings +6 -115 at Bovada

1* NBA - Free Pick on Sacramento Kings +6
This is a great spot and price to back the Kings as a decently priced home dog against the Rockets. Houston comes in off a 139-125 win at Phoenix on Saturday. While they did manage to cover as a 9-point favorite, the Rockets are still just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Houston has also struggled to cover off a big win, as they are just 1-4 ATS last 5 when coming off a win by more than 10 points. Rockets could also have a hard time not looking ahead to their game on Christmas Day. Kings have dropped 3 straight, but all 3 of those came on the road.
Sacramento will be highly motivated here to get back on track with a win over the Rockets and are 9-3 ATS last 12 off a SU loss. Kings are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when listed as an underdog and 9-1 ATS last 10 vs a team with a winning record. They are also 22-8 ATS last 30 when coming in having lost 3 of 4 and 14-4 ATS last 18 off 2 or more consecutive road losses.
On top of all that, road underdogs off 2 or more consecutive road losses in the month of December are a dominant 74-39 (66%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Sacramento.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Starter Allowance $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 2:36P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2018 - 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (MULTIPLE WINNERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR MORE IN 2018 - 2019 PREFERRED)(OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OPEONGO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OPEONGO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TIGER LISA: Horse ranks in t he top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SOUTHERNPERFECTION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within th e last 30 days.
3	OPEONGO	5/1	4/1
6	TIGER LISA	7/2	5/1
7	SOUTHERNPERFECTION	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	OPEONGO	3	5/1	Front-runner	87	77	101.0	78.2	73.2
4	YURUBI	4	10/1	Front-runner	74	73	95.2	65.6	49.1
6	TIGER LISA	6	7/2	Front-runner	83	82	91.2	73.6	68.6
7	SOUTHERNPERFECTION	7	4/1	Front-runner	88	67	76.0	73.1	61.6
5	HALO'S PARADISE	5	20/1	Front-runner	75	64	72.4	70.8	53.3
9	SECRETARIATS HONOR	9	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	81	80	65.2	68.2	52.7
10	DREAM FEVER	10	9/2	Stalker	84	86	68.6	75.8	69.3
8	NICE RIDE	8	15/1	Trailer	78	77	74.4	68.2	56.2
1	SHYLA	1	12/1	Trailer	82	76	49.4	75.0	65.5
2	MYOSITIS MYSTIQUE	2	6/1	Trailer	84	74	47.0	75.8	66.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 7	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 7-8)
Claiming $3,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 3:44P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * DOMENICO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SAMURAI JACK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackM aster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PAPA JOE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface.
4	DOMENICO	4/1	4/1
8	SAMURAI JACK	8/5	6/1
6	PAPA JOE	9/2	8/1
1	MAGIC BRO	6/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MAGIC BRO	1	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	73	68	82.6	68.2	58.2
8	SAMURAI JACK	8	8/5	Alternator/Stalker	80	76	72.5	68.6	63.1
4	DOMENICO	4	4/1	Trailer	84	75	73.3	78.2	75.2
6	PAPA JOE	6	9/2	Trailer	75	69	64.6	71.8	65.8
2	NOVA SCOTIA	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	59	81.6	64.2	56.2
5	WED O'S CHAMP	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	66	67.8	51.4	36.9
7	SINK THE BISMARCK	7	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	76	57	58.0	61.0	50.5
3	IRON BELL	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	57	46.8	60.1	46.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,500. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 UNLEASH THE TIGER 5/2
# 2 PURELY POLITICAL 3/1
# 9 BEVOLUTION 9/2

My selection in this race is UNLEASH THE TIGER. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Metz have shown solid results recently. A solid 88 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Hard to pass on this gelding with Stevens in the irons. PURELY POLITICAL - Ranked high in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this bunch. I can't pass on this gelding given one of the most favorable jockey and handler combos on the grounds.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 3:34pm - Starter Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#15 INDYGO BREEZE (ML=8/1)
#5 REFUSEING (ML=10/1)


INDYGO BREEZE - Gelding is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big race today. This horse didn't run well in the slop in his last race around the track at Parx Racing. You should disregard that showing. REFUSEING - I like when a horse has dropped in class at least five-points like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Farro must've found the right level. Look for this gelding to show better in this field. Last event at Parx Racing finishing fourth on a sloppy track is no sign of his true talent.

Vulnerable Contenders: #16 VISIONARY RULER (ML=5/2), #11 SCHERZO (ML=3/1), #12 CANDID DESIRE (ML=7/2),

VISIONARY RULER - Usually I need a sprinter to have some success lately in sprint contests in order to play him. I usually try to beat these types of probable favorites off the extended vacation. SCHERZO - No speed in this group to help set-up his late rally. CANDID DESIRE - Hard to wager on any mount to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the risk.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #15 INDYGO BREEZE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,15]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,600 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#7 GO TO WIN (ML=2/1)


GO TO WIN - Gonzalez should have him moving strong on the turn. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least 5 class-rating points like this one did last out. I believe he'll be competitive at this class level. Widely used angle - 3rd or 4th start after a layoff generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a nice one here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 FEE WAIVER (ML=8/5), #4 FINISHED (ML=4/1), #6 ALEX THE DUDE (ML=8/1),

FEE WAIVER - This gelding hasn't had any recent accomplishments in sprint contests. Tough to wager on him in this affair. FINISHED - Don't feel this horse will make an impact in today's race. That last speed figure was common when compared with today's class rating. ALEX THE DUDE - The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a vulnerable competitor.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #7 GO TO WIN on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 82

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 23. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 12 WAITIN ON ONE 12/1
# 1 CHASING MY HALO 10/1
# 9 THE GREAT SAMURAI 5/2

WAITIN ON ONE has a competitive shot to take this race and could score at a price in here. He has earned very good figs under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group. Is hard not to look at based on speed figs which have been strong - 78 avg - of late. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last contest. CHASING MY HALO - Should be given consideration for this event if only for the quite good speed figure posted in the last contest. The average class rating of 72 makes this one difficult to beat. THE GREAT SAMURAI - Has performed solidly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 79 avg Equibase Speed Fig. This gelding has posted some nice finishing positions in his last few efforts.