Saturday 12-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #46
    Huddle Up Sports

    Free Play: Purdue -20 NBA
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #47
      Arthur Ralph

      Free Play SAT: CBB Minnesota - 12
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #48
        Vegas Steam Line

        Your free winner for Saturday: NC-WILMINGTON (CBB) +12 over Delaware
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #49
          High Stakes Syndicate

          Free Selection for Early Saturday: Eastern Washington Eagles - 3
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #50
            Kenny Towers

            Your Free Pick for Saturday: San Antonio -4
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #51
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

              Sunland Park - Race 5
              1st Half $1 Daily Double/$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta /.10 Superfecta
              Claiming $6,250 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 74 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 2:06P
              FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DIVE BAR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highes t average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LEADING PROSPECT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. QUIEN ES: Today is a sprint and this is t he horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
              6
              DIVE BAR
              7/2
              4/1
              7
              LEADING PROSPECT
              3/1
              9/2
              2
              QUIEN ES
              7/2
              9/2

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              2
              QUIEN ES
              2
              7/2
              Front-runner
              74
              70
              67.4
              67.6
              60.1
              6
              DIVE BAR
              6
              7/2
              Front-runner
              78
              73
              65.6
              69.4
              64.4
              5
              MY BULL
              5
              10/1
              Front-runner
              0
              0
              49.2
              47.8
              35.8
              7
              LEADING PROSPECT
              7
              3/1
              Stalker
              70
              74
              65.4
              68.4
              62.9
              1
              RISK IT ALL
              1
              4/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              77
              70
              41.0
              51.6
              41.1
              3
              MR. SILVER EXPRESS
              3
              5/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              73
              73
              55.0
              63.0
              56.5
              4
              STORM THE BEACH
              4
              8/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              75
              65
              24.8
              50.6
              41.6
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #52
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero



                Camarero - Race 3
                Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4
                Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 64 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 3:35P
                FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 13 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ANY CHANNEL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ANY CHANNEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PRECIOSA BORICUA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                3
                ANY CHANNEL
                2/1
                5/2
                4
                PRECIOSA BORICUA
                5/1
                4/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                4
                PRECIOSA BORICUA
                4
                5/1
                Front-runner
                63
                55
                55.0
                50.4
                43.4
                3
                ANY CHANNEL
                3
                2/1
                Alternator/Front-runner
                66
                65
                61.6
                54.2
                49.7
                2
                FARANDULERA
                2
                6/1
                Stalker
                59
                42
                41.4
                42.2
                35.2
                5
                CIELO SANTO
                5
                7/2
                Trailer
                53
                51
                25.2
                52.0
                45.0
                6
                CARIBENA
                6
                3/1
                Trailer
                55
                45
                13.8
                54.0
                46.0
                1
                ENTENDIDA
                1
                5/2
                Alternator/Trailer
                63
                58
                46.2
                46.2
                39.2
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #53
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 11 - Stakes - 16.0f on the Turf. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 109

                  H. ALLEN JERKENS S. - THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15. $1,000 TO ENTER. $100,000 GUARANTEED. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS: 122 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 3 AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) 5/2
                  # 7 CAROM 7/2
                  # 9 HEZA KITTEN 15/1
                  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) seems to be the bet in here. His 98 average has this colt with among the best speed figures for this event. Has respectable front-end speed and will most likely fare well versus this group of horses in this race. Should be given a chance - I like the figures from the last race. CAROM - Ortiz has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 22 percent rate. HEZA KITTEN - Garnered a quite good speed rating last time out.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #54
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 8 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $70000 Class Rating: 98

                    B-CONNECTED S. - FOR LOUISIANA BRED THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A SWEEP STAKE. NO NOMINATION OR START FEE, $700 TO ENTER. SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION OF $1,400 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRIES WHICH WILL INCLUDE ALL FEES. WITH $70,000 GUARANTEED TO BE DIVIDED PER THE PURSE STRUCTURE FOR STAKE RACES IN THE CONDITION BOOK. WEIGHT: THREE YEARS OLD 122 LBS. OLDER

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 9 BENDING SAINT 5/2
                    # 7 DOUBLE BARREL MAN 7/2
                    # 3 STAR FITZSTALL 6/1
                    I give my vote to BENDING SAINT here. Has to be carefully examined versus this group displaying competitive figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 104 under similar conditions. Thornton has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 25 percent rate. Thornton will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out early for this event. DOUBLE BARREL MAN - Ought to be carefully examined in this contest if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last contest. He should definitely be given a chance given the decent speed figures. STAR FITZSTALL - He has a formidable distance/surface win record - 1 out of 4. Should be carefully examined based on the very good Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last outing.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #55
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 5:13pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 75

                      Rating:

                      #6 PRORIKA (ML=3/1)
                      #8 KOWBOYS GAL (ML=6/1)


                      PRORIKA - The Dec 12th clash at Golden Gate Fields was at a class level of (82). Dropping down the class ladder drastically, so she should be in a good position to win. This horse has increased her Equibase speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is extremely important. KOWBOYS GAL - Mare is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a nice effort today. This one could be a potential overlay today at morning odds of 6/1. Finished fifth in last race at Golden Gate Fields but was close at the finish line.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JOYOUS (ML=5/2), #7 BLUEBERRY PRINCESS (ML=4/1), #2 DONVERAS CAT (ML=9/2),

                      JOYOUS - This less than sharp equine has no victories at Golden Gate Fields. Run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race at Golden Gate Fields at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event. BLUEBERRY PRINCESS - In any contest of 5 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been sharp in sprint races lately. Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced equines list.

                      GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - PRORIKA - Having the best speed fig last race of 75 at Golden Gate Fields on Dec 12th. This filly has an excellent chance to win here.




                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #6 PRORIKA to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,8]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Skip
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                      SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                      None
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #56
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:12pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 87

                        Rating:

                        #9 GOLD ENDEAVOR (ML=7/2)
                        #10 HAIL TO THE CHIEF (ML=3/1)
                        #1 SUBLIMINALCRIMINAL (ML=4/1)


                        GOLD ENDEAVOR - A big drop in Equibase class figure points from his November 23rd race at Churchill Downs. Based on that element, I will give this animal the advantage. This animal is in the top spot in earnings per start (EPS). He looks solid in today's contest. HAIL TO THE CHIEF - This jock and trainer have a fabulous winning pct when they are put together. A big drop down in class rating points from his Nov 23rd race at Churchill Downs. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. SUBLIMINALCRIMINAL - Good win percentage this jock and trainer duet have been putting together. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track last time out. With the benefit of a fast track, has a good shot today. I like the fact that this colt's last speed rating, 80, is tops in this field. McPeek moves this colt to the dirt today. Look for a pretty big improvement from the most recent race on the grass.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TRADIN UP (ML=6/1), #7 HAVE A PLAN (ML=8/1), #13 DRAKESBORO WILDCAT (ML=8/1),

                        TRADIN UP - This horse hasn't been near the winner at the wire of late. Pace makes the race and the shortage of speed means this rallier will have to rally without any help. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed fig than in the last race to vie in this dirt route. HAVE A PLAN - I'm foreseeing a less than stellar try out of him today. DRAKESBORO WILDCAT - Lackluster winning percent (4) with first timers for this sire, Get Stormy.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #9 GOLD ENDEAVOR on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [9,10]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        None
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #57
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct



                          12/28/19, AQU, Race 2, 12.58 ET
                          6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000.
                          Claiming Price $16,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $12,500 or less not considered in allowances) (1. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
                          Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          100.0000 5 Getoffmyback 7/2 Alvarado J Sciacca Gary JSF
                          098.5691 7 Data Driven 4/5 Correa J Rodriguez Rudy R. E
                          097.4016 4 Liam Lets Go 12-1 Carmouche K Cannizzo David A. C
                          097.3202 3 Brimstone 12-1 Diaz. Jr. H R Toscano. Jr. John T. L
                          097.0839 1 Mad Munnys 9/2 Franco M Rodriguez Rudy R.
                          095.6157 8 Big Thicket 12-1 Cancel E Persaud Randi
                          095.5557 6 Bootlegger (FR) 15-1 Carroll D Brown Bruce R.
                          089.9860 2 Professor Snape 30-1 Camacho. Jr. S Tournas Peter W
                          After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.
                          5 24.40 10.40 1.19 46.15 30 65 Third Race After 45 Days Off
                          4 4.60 21.00 1.01 36.40 83 228 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
                          3 4.60 21.00 1.01 36.40 83 228 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
                          1 4.60 21.00 1.01 36.40 83 228 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
                          8 29.20 21.00 1.17 40.48 34 84 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
                          6 4.60 21.00 1.01 36.40 83 228 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
                          2 4.60 21.00 1.01 36.40 83 228 Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
                          Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.91, Win% 36.24

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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #58
                            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



                            12/28/19, SA, Race 8, 2.51 PT
                            1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.00 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
                            Frankel Stakes
                            $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta /$2 Rolling Double - 0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 8-9-10) - $0.50 Late Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11) / $0.10 Superfecta - $1 Super High 5
                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            100.0000 2 Excellent Sunset (IRE)(b-) 7/2 Rosario J Baltas Richard TEW
                            098.9650 6 Harmless 6-1 Cedillo A Hess. Jr. Robert B. FL
                            097.9487 7 Mirth 5/2 Smith M E D'Amato Philip
                            096.8507 4 Streak of Luck 5-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Chew Matthew S
                            095.6003 5 Curlin's Journey 6-1 Fuentes R Keen Dallas E.
                            095.4146 3 Don't Blame Judy 5-1 Espinoza V Kruljac J. Eric
                            095.3847 1 Tiny Tina 6-1 Prat F D'Amato Philip JC
                            094.4478 8 Ms Peintour 20-1 Blanc B Koriner Brian J.
                            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                            Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.
                            2 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            6 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            7 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            4 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            5 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            3 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            1 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            8 91.80 44.00 1.23 33.33 67 201 Last Race (Sprint or Route) Same As Today
                            Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.75, Win% 25.86
                            If Race Is Off Turf

                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            100.0000 2 Excellent Sunset (IRE)(b-) 7/2 Rosario J Baltas Richard TW
                            099.9838 7 Mirth 5/2 Smith M E D'Amato Philip SE
                            098.0997 6 Harmless 6-1 Cedillo A Hess. Jr. Robert B. L
                            097.3798 4 Streak of Luck 5-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Chew Matthew
                            096.9080 3 Don't Blame Judy 5-1 Espinoza V Kruljac J. Eric
                            096.5654 1 Tiny Tina 6-1 Prat F D'Amato Philip JC
                            096.2933 5 Curlin's Journey 6-1 Fuentes R Keen Dallas E. F
                            095.2022 8 Ms Peintour 20-1 Blanc B Koriner Brian J.
                            After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                            Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.
                            2 65.40 19.00 1.14 34.85 84 241 Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
                            4 65.40 19.00 1.14 34.85 84 241 Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
                            3 65.40 19.00 1.14 34.85 84 241 Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
                            1 23.40 18.00 1.03 35.13 124 353 No 5f Workout Since Last Race
                            5 65.40 19.00 1.14 34.85 84 241 Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
                            8 4.00 15.60 1.01 34.97 57 163 Last Race Was Different Jockey
                            Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.85, Win% 36.45
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #59
                              Kenny Walker

                              Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
                              NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
                              Play on: Memphis +7½ -110 at Bovada

                              Free Pick on Memphis
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #60
                                Frank Sawyer

                                Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
                                NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
                                Play on: Penn State -7 +100 at Mirage

                                Take the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points versus the Memphis Tigers in the Cotton Bowl. Penn State (10-2) has won two of their last three games with their 27-6 win over Rutgers on November 30th as a 38.5-point favorite. The Nittany Lions have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Penn State is also 20-9-2 ATS in their last 31 games against teams with a winning record. Memphis (12-1) has won seven straight games after winning the American Athletic Conference Championship Game with their 29-24 win over Cincinnati as a 9-point favorite on December 7th. But the Tigers have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 11 games in December (including their last four bowl games). And Memphis has failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games as an underdog. Lay the points with Penn State (then check back for our 25* CFB Playoff Semifinals Game of the Year and our 25* CFB Playoff Total of the Year for tonight!). Best of luck — Frank.
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