Saturday 12-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -6½ -110 at betonline

On Saturday Cotton Bowl comp play is on Penn.St The Lions are 17-1 Ats off a win and no cover. They are the better team here and the winning team has covered 16 straight in the Cotton Bowl. American Athletic teams like Memphis are 1-11 at as a dog of 7 or less and interim coaches have failed to cover 13 of 16 in Bowl action as a dog off a win. Penn ST fits a system that plays on favorites with a record that is than their opponent. Play on Penn. ST. For the Free pick. Play on Penn.ST.

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Mike Williams

Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Memphis +7½ -110 at Bovada

1* on Memphis +7½ -110

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Hunter Price

Dec 28 '19, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Penn State
Play on: Memphis +7½ -110 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Memphis +7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Dec 28 '19, 1:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Wisconsin vs Tennessee
Play on: UNDER 124 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Wisconsin vs Tennessee under 124 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Dec 28 '19, 3:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Detroit vs Oakland
Play on: Detroit +8½ -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Detroit +8½ -109
Neither the Detroit Mercy Titans (2-10) or the Oakland Golden Grizzlies (5-8) own a winning record. Tonight, they’ll face off against one another.
Detroit Mercy just ended an eight-game losing streak with a big win over SIU-Edwardsville. Two of the Titans’ losses on that streak came by eight points or fewer. Detroit has scored 71 points or more in three of their last four games.
On average, the Titans are scoring 66.8 points while allowing 79.9 points per game.
Antoine Davis has led Detroit in scoring in all but two games this season, and is coming off a 35-point performance. This year, Davis is averaging 25.3 points per game.
Oakland enters tonight’s contest as losers of four straight and of six of their last seven games. Additionally, three of the Golden Grizzlies’ wins have come by 10 points or fewer. Most recently, Oakland fell to Fairfield by two points in overtime.
On average, the Golden Grizzlies are scoring 62.5 points while allowing 64.8 points per game.
Only two Oakland players are averaging double-digit points. Despite shooting just 25.9% from three, Xavier Hill-Mais leads the way with 15.6 points and 7.6 rebounds per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Dec 28 '19, 4:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma vs LSU
Play on: OVER 75 -110

FREE PLAY on Oklahoma/LSU over 75 -110

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Brandon Lee

Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Grizzlies +9 -105 at Bovada

10* FREE NBA PICK (Grizzlies +9)
I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies as a 9-point road dog against the Nuggets. I just think we are getting too good a price to pass up with a Memphis team that has really been playing well over the last few weeks. Grizzlies are a respectable 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
Denver on the other hand had their 7-game winning streak snapped with an ugly 112-100 loss at home to the Pelicans on Christmas Day. Even in the winning streak the Nuggets weren't dominating teams. Denver is a mere 4-8-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
Nuggets have failed to cover in each of their last 5 games when listed as the favorite and are 0-4 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Memphis on the other hand has covered 4 straight as a road dog and are 7-2 in their last 9 off a SU win by more than 10 (won 110-97 at OKC on Thursday). Give me the Grizzlies +9!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 28 '19, 7:05 PM in 9h
NHL | Canadiens vs Lightning
Play on: Lightning -175 at jazz

1* Free Sharp Play on Lightning -175

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Jack Jones

Dec 28 '19, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -4½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The San Antonio Spurs want revenge from one of their worst losses of the season. They lost 98-132 at Detroit earlier this month and now they host the Pistons. Look for them to get the win and cover at home tonight.
The Spurs are playing well right now as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They played both the Rockets and Mavs down to the wire on the road, beat the Grizzlies by 30 on the road, and also topped the Nets by 13 at home.
The Pistons are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Injuries are starting to pile up on the Pistons. They will be without two of their best players tonight in F Markieff Morris and G Luke Kennard.
The Pistons are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. Detroit is 15-34-3 ATS in its last 52 games as an underdog. San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Spurs Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

I know there is a question lingering - like with many bowls that have big-name teams - and that is will the prominent team show up? Does it want to be there?

Will the Irish come to play?

They've slumbered through the week - they went out Monday night, were sluggish on Tuesday, barely grazed sharpness on Wednesday... it's not been the type of week coach Brian Kelly would have expected.

But these are still the Irish, and they still represent a legacy of football and will show up with pride.

And even at 80 percent - both mentally and physically - the Irish are better than Iowa State and talented quarterback Brock Purdy.

The biggest reminder, to the team, has been every reporter in attendance asking the players: "Do you even care about this game?"

It's incensed and fired up the Irish, who are allowing just 163.7 passing yards per game, and will have to apply pressure to Purdy, who averages 37.1 passing attempts per game. It's a perfect showdown, as Notre Dame's biggest strength this season matches up well with Iowa State's.

Notre Dame's top-down defense ensures coverage stay in front, so the Irish secondary stays in sound position to stop the pass. And that is trouble for Purdy, who isn't a big-play guy as much as he is a dink-and-dunk quarterback. He likes the quick dumps, and with the Irish playing tight, it wouldn't surprise me to see Notre Dame's linebackers pick one or two.

The Cyclones are no defensive juggernaut, as they've forced a mere 13 turnovers this season, and rank 99th in third down stops at 42.6 percent. They're going to struggle to stop the run, and that's where the Irish will end up winning this game. Key short-yardage first downs, and downfield runs against shoddy tacklers.

Don't buy into Notre Dame not coming to play. The Irish win this one and cover.

And be aware, as I always insist with football favorites in this range, we're buying the half point. So if this game is in between -3 and -4.5 points, I want you purchasing the half point down.

5* NOTRE DAME

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen DeAngelo

For Saturday’s freebie in college football bowl action, we’ll grab the points with Memphis against Penn State in the Cotton Bowl.



It’s not every day that a team that went 12-1 and is riding a seven-game winning streak is a touchdown underdog in a bowl game. But that’s the situation Memphis finds itself here in its first game since head coach Mike Norvell bolted for the Florida State job. The fact Norvell won’t be on the Memphis sidelines is one reason the oddsmakers aren’t giving the Tigers much of a shot today. Two other reasons: 1) Memphis, which won the American Athletic Conference title, didn’t face the same caliber of competition as Penn State, and 2) The Tigers’ explosive offense hasn’t run up against a defense as good as Penn State.



All are very valid points. But here are the counterarguments: Norvell left Memphis on good terms, so it’s not like the players felt jilted. At the same time, those players would love nothing more than to take down a marque program like Penn State and show their former coach what he left behind. And while there’s no denying that Penn State has the stronger strength of schedule, having played Michigan, Minnesota and Ohio State, there’s also no denying that the Nittany Lions lost two of those three games (Minnesota and Ohio State). And they barely held on to beat Michigan (at home).



As for Penn State’s defense, it’s legit. But other than Ohio State, the Nittany Lions didn’t face an opponent as explosive as Memphis, which averaged 40.5 points and 480 yards per game (scoring 42 points or more eight times). Meanwhile, even though Penn State’s defense is superior (especially against the run), it’s not like the Tigers’ stop unit is inept. They allowed just 20 points per game; gave up more than 30 points just three times; and they were stout against the pass, yielding 201 passing yards per game (6.6 yards per pass). By comparison, Penn State surrenders 232 passing yards per game (7 yards per pass).


Throw in the fact Penn State failed to cash in each of its last three games as a favorite (and four of its last five), and I’ll gladly side with a very live, very motivated and very disrespected underdog.

3* MEMPHIS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

The focus today will obviously on the college football bowl games, especially the pair of National Semifinals, but don't forget that the annual Bluegrass State battle jumps ball today at 3:45 at Rupp Arena as #4 Louisville will take on #19 Kentucky.

Chris Mack's team will make the short trek across I-64 to take on Coach Cal's team and my money will be on the Redbirds to get the better of the Wildcats.

Both teams have been off since before Christmas, as the 'Ville has responded with a pair of blowout wins and covers since losing their lone game of the year on the 10th of December to Texas Tech.

UK comes into this game off back-to-back setbacks to both Utah and Ohio State as the Wildcats are just 7-4 on the season. They also happen to be on a 2-7 pointspread slide over their last 9 games.

The Cardinals come in having covered in 5 of their last 6 games and are in prime position to end their series skid to the Wildcats in today's meeting. This is just coach Chris Mack's second meeting as the Cards head coach against Kentucky and last year his team was soundly beaten, 71-58, as Big Blue has now won the last pair and 8 of the last 10 series meetings. Kentucky has also covered in the last pair and 7 of the past 8 meetings.

That changes today as this is a Louisville team that can go very deep into the month of March. The Redbirds rank # 3 in the nation in field goal defense, as they are holding opponents to 35% from the floor. They also boast a very balanced scoring attack led by junior Jordan Nwora who brings in an over 21 points per game scoring average. Center Steven Enoch posts over 11 points per game, while Dwayne Sutton and Ryan McMahon are both very close to 10 points per contest.

Trust the depth and talent of the Cardinals to end their series skid at 2 as they come up with the big road win in Lexington.

Play Louisville.

4* LOUISVILLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

My free winner for Saturday is on the Pacific Tigers against the Cal Irvine Anteaters, as this is far too many points to give one of the nation's top rebounding teams.

It's the final game of the calendar year for the Tigers, and coach Damon Stoudamire will have his troops aiming for another big road victory.

Pacific, which leads the all-time series with UC Irvine, 42-39, is 12-3 this season and roll into Bren Events Center riding a seven-game win streak.

Senior Jahlil Tripp recorded his third double-double of the season with 21 points and 13 rebounds in the Tigers' 11-point victory over Idaho State last Saturday, while Amari McCray nearly matched his career high in points, with 15.

Catching a touchdown-plus is a gift, as Pacific is atop the West Coast Conference and ranks fourth nationally in rebounding margin (11.2). The Tigers also lead the conference in scoring defense, holding opponents to a meager 59.8 points per game.

The Tigers have out-rebounded their opponents in 11-of-12 contests this season and are 10-0 when leading at halftime.

Irvine is in after dropping its last two games, losing to UTEP (67-61) and Illinois-Chicago (76-67). And now it faces the 19th-best scoring defense in the nation.

Take the road pup here.

5* PACIFIC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) CFB – Ohio St under 63
2. Gameday Network CFB – Iowa St over 53.5
3. VegasSI.com CFB – Memphis over 59.5
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Celtics -6.5
5. Sports Action 365 NBA – Bucks -11.5
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Pacers -1
7. Lou Panelli CFB – LSU over 75.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CFB – Memphis +7.5
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Kings -2
10. William E. Stockton NBA – Nuggets -9
11. Vincent Pioli CFB – Iowa St +4
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – BYU -14
13. SCORE CBB – Hofstra -2.5
14. East Coast Line Movers CFB – Memphis +7.5
15. Tony Campone CBB – UCLA -14.5
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Minnesota -14
17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Pistons +5
18. VIP Action NBA – Lakers -4.5
19. South Beach Sports CFB – Memphis over 59.5
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CFB – LSU over 75.5
21. NY Players Club NBA – Hawaks +9.5
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Wizards +3
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – 76ers +1.5
24. Michigan Sports NBA – Jazz +8.5
25. National Consensus Report CFB – Iowa St +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Dec 28 '19, 4:00 PM in 35m
NCAA-B | Eastern Washington vs Weber State
Play on: Eastern Washington -2 -114 at pinnacle

Don't miss ASAwins 10* TOP PLAY on the LSU / Oklahoma CFB Playoff match up on Saturday!
ASAwins CBB FREE PLAY ON Eastern Washington -2 over Weber State, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET
EWU has one of the most potent scoring teams in the country. In fact, they currently lead the nation in scoring at 89 PPG. They shoot nearly 47% from the field (60th nationally) and they are a solid 3 point shooting team as well. They will be facing a defense today in Weber State that ranks 330th at defending inside the arc, 339th at defending outside the arc, and 345th in eFG% defense. We expect Eastern to have a big day offensively which will be a problem for Weber State as they are 0-6 SU this year when allowing more than 69 points. The Wildcats, on the other hand, do not shoot the ball well ranking 287th making just 40% of their shots on the year. If they get to the FT line, they make just 62% which is good for 325th nationally. EWU has defended well this year allowing opponents just 41.8% from the field and only 30% from deep. While the Eagles are just 1-5 SU on the road this year, they’ve played a very tough schedule away from home including the likes of Gonzaga, Boston College, and Washington. The game they did win on the road was vs a decent Seattle team who rates very similar to this Weber State team. Weber is 3-1 at home but their 3 wins have come vs non-Division 1 teams (Bethesda, Westcliff, and West Coast Baptist). The only Division 1 team they faced at home this year was San Diego and the Wildcats lost that game by 15 points. These two Big Sky teams split their games last year with each team winning on the road. Weber has been held under 70 points in 7 of their 11 games this year and we don’t see how they can keep up in this game. Our projections have EWU getting to 80 points here which should be enough to cover this small number.