Saturday 12-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Nuggets -9 -109 at GTBets

Take the Denver Nuggets minus the points versus the Memphis Grizzlies. Denver (21-9) saw their seven-game winning streak snapped on Christmas Day with their 112-100 loss at home to New Orleans as a 9-point favorite. The Nuggets have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a double-digit loss at home. And while that game finished below the 216 point total, Denver has then covered the point spread in 25 of their last 39 games at home after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Memphis (12-20) comes off a 110-97 upset win in Oklahoma City on Thursday as a 6-point underdog. The Grizzlies have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a point spread win. Memphis has also failed to cover the point spread in 21 of their last 31 trips to Denver to face the Nuggets. Lay the points with Denver. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Grizzlies +9 -105 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Memphis Grizzlies +9
The Memphis Grizzlies have quietly gone 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are playing well right now with upsets in five of those six wins. And I think the Nuggets won’t be beating them by double-digits tonight. Denver is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games overall and has won just one of its last seven games by double-digits. The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as road underdogs. The Nuggets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites. Give me the Grizzlies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Dec 28 '19, 5:05 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Northern Colorado vs Portland State
Play on: Portland State +1½ -110 at Mirage

1 Dimer on Portland State +1½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Dec 28 '19, 8:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -4½ -104 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The San Antonio Spurs want revenge from one of their worst losses of the season. They lost 98-132 at Detroit earlier this month and now they host the Pistons. Look for them to get the win and cover at home tonight.
The Spurs are playing well right now as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. They played both the Rockets and Mavs down to the wire on the road, beat the Grizzlies by 30 on the road, and also topped the Nets by 13 at home.
The Pistons are just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Injuries are starting to pile up on the Pistons. They will be without two of their best players tonight in F Markieff Morris and G Luke Kennard.
The Pistons are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. Detroit is 15-34-3 ATS in its last 52 games as an underdog. San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. The Spurs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Spurs Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 28 '19, 10:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Pacific vs Cal-Irvine
Play on: Pacific +7 -110 at jazz

1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Pacific Tigers +7
Pacific is definitely worth a look here as a big road dog against the Anteaters. The Tigers come into this game at 12-3 and are riding a 7-game win streak. They are 3-1 on the road and the last time they were away from home they overcame a 9-point 2nd half deficit in a 74-66 upset win at UNLV.
Pacific only has one loss all season by more than 6 points and that was a mere 10-point loss to South Dakota. As for UC-Irvine, they are just 7-7 overall and 4-6 over their last 10. Last time out they were upset at Illinois-Chicago, losing 67-76 as a 4.5-point favorite. It was the third time this season they have lost outright when laying points.
One of the strengths of the Anteaters is their size and talent at the post position, but Pacific can really match up well with them, as they got size and athleticism across all five positions. Last year the Tigers beat Irvine 84-75 as a 3.5-point dog and are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Pacific!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Dec 28 '19, 10:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Lakers vs Blazers
Play on: UNDER 223½ -109

Under 223.5
It's the Lakers 24-7 (16-15 ATS) vs. Trailblazers 14-18 (13-17-2 ATS) on Saturday night. This matchup tips off at 10pm ET from the Moda Center in Portland.
The Lakers come into this one losers of 4 straight, and now they get a Portland team that have beaten them 17 out of the last 20 meetings. In case you live under a rock LeBron James is injured. He has a groin contusion and is questionable to play Saturday. He aggravated the injury when he collided with Patrick Beverly in the first quarter of the Lakers' Christmas Day loss.
The reason for the high over/under on this game? Easy. Last time these two teams met was a track meet, with the Lakers coming out on top 136-113.
I liked the UNDER in this game before I read LeBron is questionable, if he misses this game (possible) then I'll really like it, and wish it was one of my premium plays. Throw in NO LeBron James and you've erased the track meet scenario This will be a half-court game with a lot of running the shot clock down.
With him and Davis (Always with the knee issues) in the game but injured I expect a slower paced tempo as well. Time will tell. At the end of the day for this total to go over you need Rajon Rondo and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to really light it up when AD, Kuzma and LeBron are off the floor...that leaves me unimpressed.
Some trends to consider. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Blazers last 9. Under is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games as a road favorite, and 4-1 in Lakers last 5 road games. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Portland's last 16 games played in December, and UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games played on a Saturday.
Play the UNDER 223.5.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
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