Sunday 12-29-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NFL Week 17 betting cheat sheet: Impact injuries, weather, Pros vs Joes and more
Patrick Everson

Kirk Cousins is likely to sit out Sunday against Chicago, with Minnesota locked into the NFC's No. 6 playoff seed. That news on Friday sent the line from Vikings -1 straight to Bears -2 at The SuperBook.

NFL Week 17 player absences are as much about keeping key performers safe ahead of the playoffs as they are about actual legitimate injuries. Covers checks in on everything from injury updates to weather to Pros vs. Joes clashes and more, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Injury Impact

MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Minnesota is locked into the No. 6 seed, and reports Friday indicated the Vikes plan to rest QB Kirk Cousins and several other starters at home against Chicago. Running back Dalvin Cook (shoulder) is definitely out. “This game has gone all the way to Bears -3,” Osterman said Friday of a line that was Vikings -7.5 on Monday morning.

The line was taken off the board during Minnesota’s Monday night loss to Green Bay, which gave the Vikes nothing to play for in Week 17, so it reopened at Minnesota -1 Tuesday. When the news broke Friday morning, the number went straight to Bears -2.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES: Tight end Zach Ertz (ribs/back) is out Sunday at the New York Giants, in a game Philly needs in order to assure itself of the NFC East title and a playoff berth. Wideout Nelson Agholor (knee) will sit out for the fourth time in the last five games. However, those absences didn’t sway oddsmakers. “No move for the Eagles’ guys.” Philadelphia is a 4-point chalk.

HOUSTON TEXANS: Quarterback DeShaun Watson (back) is questionable at home against Tennessee, but that’s another one of those situations chalked up more to keeping him in as good a shape as possible for wild-card weekend. Star wideout DeAndre Hopkins (illness) is also questionable. “Watson is probably worth 3 points to the spread, and Hopkins is worth a half-point. The line will go up a little bit more if they are both ruled out.”

The SuperBook opened the Titans -4.5, presciently expecting Watson to sit out, and bettors quickly pushed Tennessee to -6.5. The line then tumbled to Titans -3.5 Tuesday, then made its way back to -5.5 on Friday’s injury news.

BALTIMORE RAVENS: In another protective measure, QB and MVP favorite Lamar Jackson won’t play, so Robert Griffin III gets the start at home against Pittsburgh. Other starters are likely to rest, too, and running back Mark Ingram (calf) is out, as well. But The SuperBook saw this possibility early in the week and moved from Ravens -2.5 to Steelers -2 by Monday afternoon.

ARIZONA CARDINALS: Rookie QB Kyler Murray (hamstring) will be a game-time decision for the road trip to face the Los Angeles Rams. “The difference between Murray and the backup (Brett Hundley) is significant, probably 3 points. It’s hard to know for sure how much it’s worth in this game, because the Rams probably won’t be playing their starters.”

Indeed, the defending NFC champs have already been eliminated from playoff contention. This game has been off the board all week at The SuperBook, though the lookahead line – before L.A.’s playoff hopes ended in Week 16 – was at Rams -7.

OAKLAND RAIDERS: Running back Josh Jacobs (shoulder), who has 1,150 rushing yards and averages 4.8 yards per carry, is doubtful at Denver. Osterman pegged Jacobs’ value at a half-point. The Raiders are 3.5-point underdogs.

CLEVELAND BROWNS: Wideout Odell Beckham Jr. (illness) is questionable for the Browns’ game at Cincinnati, but Osterman said there was no move off that news. Cleveland is laying 3 points.


Weather Watch

CLEVELAND AT CINCINNATI: There’s a 90 percent chance of rain in Cincinnati on Sunday. “The total has gone down 3 points in that game.” That move came early, as the total has stuck at 43 since Monday.

NEW YORK JETS AT BUFFALO: This contest also stands a 90 percent chance of seeing rainfall, knocking the total down a point to 36.5.

NEW ORLEANS AT CAROLINA: It’s a 50/50 prospect that Charlotte, N.C., will see precipitation during Sunday’s game. After opening at 48, the total was at 45 by Friday morning.

PITTSBURGH AT BALTIMORE: There’s a 70 percent chance of rain in Baltimore, but as noted above, that’s not the key reason for a 4-point drop in the total, from 41 to 37. “A lot of that has to do with the expectation that the Ravens will sit most of their starters for some or all of the game.”

OAKLAND AT DENVER: No precipitation is expected, but it’ll be chilly, with temperatures in the mid-30s and winds of 10-15 mph. That led to a half-point decline in the total, to 41.


Reverse Line Moves

CHICAGO AT MINNESOTA: “We took some early Vikings money, but now it’s been announced that Cousins and a lot of the Minnesota starters aren’t playing, so the line has moved a lot in the Bears’ favor.” Minnesota opened -7.5, reopened -1 after Monday’s home loss to Green Bay, then the line jumped the fence Friday to Bears -3 on the Vikings news.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 17
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Patriots are 10-0 ATS (11.35 ppg) since Dec 30, 2018 facing a team allowing at least 23 points per game.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Dolphins are 0-10 ATS (-15.20 ppg) since Nov 11, 2013 on the road coming off a home game where they allowed at least 400 total yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:
-- The Bengals are 8-0 ATS (9.69 ppg) since Oct 20, 2013 coming off a road game where Andy Dalton threw at least touchdowns.

NFL CHOICE TRENDS:
-- The Browns are 0-12 OU (-7.54 ppg) since Nov 06, 2016 coming off a home game where they allowed at least 24 points.

-- The Rams are 0-11 OU (-10.95 ppg) since Sep 20, 2015 off a game as a dog where they allowed more points than expected.

TOP NFL PLAYER OU TREND:
-- The Raiders are 0-9-2 OU (-8.64 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a dog of more than three points when Derek Carr threw for at least 250 yards last game.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:
-- The Cowboys are 11-0 OU (10.18 ppg) since Oct 01, 2017 off a game as a favorite where they allowed at least 22 first downs.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
-- The Chiefs are 0-12 OU (-10.25 ppg) since Oct 11, 2015 at home facing a team below .500 on the season.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:
PLAY ON: Home teams in matchups of teams that have played already in the past 15 days are 36-22-3 ATS. Active on Houston.

NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Falcons are 0-12 ATS (-7.62 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which they committed two-plus turnovers and did not win by 14-plus points.

NFL BIBLE O/U ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Jets are 15-0 OU (+11.10 ppg) as a road dog off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 32 passes per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SNF - 49ers at Seahawks
Matt Blunt

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The final Sunday Night Football game of the year isn't going to be a night game locally until the 2nd half, but we can only hope that both teams involved bring it from the start, as the stakes are pretty high as they are. A division crown and a bye week in the playoffs is what awaits the winner, while a road game against the NFC East division is what the loser gets.

With San Francisco and Seattle a bit banged up, that extra week of rest may make all the difference, but as long as the 'loser' can get by the Wild Card playoff round, a win in that type of scenario for a team that was a win away from being a top seeded team is plenty to build off of. That's neither here nor there for these teams yet though, as the rest is the bigger reward right now.

So can San Francisco split the season series?

Total Talk

A total of 47 has seen but a steady trickle to the 'under' since opening, and with the sense that the stakes involved will make it a defacto playoff game, going low makes a lot of sense here. The first meeting sailed 'over' this identical number in the three-point overtime (27-24) win for the Seahawks, so even flipping the result would lend itself to going low. However, the defense the 49ers have played in recent weeks would lead you to believe otherwise.

Three straight overs and giving up an average of 35.3 points per game has really dulled the shine on what this 49ers defense had shown on multiple occasions earlier in the year. But the schedule toughened up and more film started to get put out on the Niners, and teams have made the necessary adjustments. The two other NFC West teams that have faced the Niners twice increased their point total in the second meeting, and both of those were SF home games. Getting that defense keyed up for a playoff run has got to be a secondary goal for the 49ers this week, I'm just not sure you can trust it.

It's not like there aren't cases to be made for the 'over' here as well, as it's not like Seattle's defense is lighting the world on fire these days. The Seahawks have held only two of their 15 foes to fewer then 20 points on the scoreboard and both of those came on the road. In other words, every visiting team to Seattle this year has scored 20 or more points in their trip to the Pacific Northwest. So much for that dominant home field advantage for the Seahawks right.

All of this is to say in a long-winded fashion that the total has got to be a pass all the way around. Tough to disagree with either case to be made for a play on the total, although it would be going low for me if forced to choose. There is always the possibility that this game does turn into a one-sided 34-7 game, and from there with their fates sealed, it's as vanilla as it gets with hand-off after hand-off. That would be the tipping point for me in looking low. But there really isn't a need to get too cute with this game.

Side Spiel

San Francisco has been the better team from a statistical profile all year long, and do deserve to be the chalk for this game. It's a number that's danced around -3 with juice and -3.5, and it probably will be until kickoff. Make sure you grab whatever number is more beneficial to the side you are on, but for me, I can only lay it with the road favorite.

What San Francisco has done all year has been hard to ignore, as they've never been soundly beaten. They've got two defeats by a single field goal on their resume, along with a seven-point fluke loss to Atlanta where the Falcons scored 14 points in the final five seconds. Youth and concerns regarding that have popped up as minor concerns here and there for the 49ers, but you play that type of consistent football and eventually you'll get rewarded. A division title and a favorable path to the Super Bowl is that reward for the 49ers this week, and they will get the job done.

Seattle is still the one-man show in just being the Russell Wilson show, but that's not always enough in games like this. The Seahawks have been hit with more injuries and absences since the first meeting, and those defensive points allowed numbers at home are staggering, with the Bengals being on that list. To have a +12 point differential for the year and be sitting at 11-4 straight up is quite the feat, and one that's really got nowhere to go but down.

The Seahawks have looked like a Wildcard team for most of the year, and with a 2-6 against the spread run going at home, and a 3-9-1 ATS run at home against a foe with a winning road record, the end result is the deserved result for the 2019 Seattle Seahawks.

Final Thoughts

The 49ers are a popular side in this game for sure, but it's easy to see why and hard to want to confidently step in front of that. Oddly enough, Seattle's played much of their better football away from home, so embracing a Wildcard road trip next week – they've already won in Philadelphia this year – wouldn't be that hard of a sell. That still has no bearing on how this NFC West title game plays out, but that's probably what we will still end up with.

Unless Wilson plays out of his head for this entire game, and Seattle's defense wins the turnover battle, San Fran should be able to lean on this team until they crack early in the 2nd half. San Fran's youth may be considered a knock for some, but they've experienced a lot of stressful ways to win and lose games this year, and those are quite the learning experiences.

Going out on the road and winning a division crown is a great next step in that evolution of a young team, as San Francisco adds another ATS victory to their 5-2 ATS run on the road.

Best Bet: San Francisco -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Total Talk - Week 17
Joe Williams

We have reached the final weekend of the National Football League regular season. We'll break down the injuries, resting players and other important news and notes to try and help you win as best we can. The final regular season week usually has a handful of strange lines.

2019 Total Results - Game & Halves
Over/Under Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Week 16 6-10 7-8-1 6-10
Over/Under Game 1st Half 2nd Half
Year-to-Date 116-123-1 115-123-2 107-128-5

Divisional Game Results Week 16
Buffalo at New England Over (39) New England 24, Buffalo 17
N.Y. Giants at Washington Over (42.5) N.Y. Giants 41, Washington 35 (OT)
Baltimore at Cleveland Under (49) Baltimore 31, Cleveland 15
Oakland at L.A. Chargers Under (45) Oakland 24, L.A. Chargers 17
Dallas at Philadelphia Under (46.5) Philadelphia 17, Dallas 9
Arizona at Seattle Under (51) Arizona 27, Seattle 13
Green Bay at Minnesota Under (47) Green Bay 23, Minnesota 10

Line Moves and Public Leans

Listed below are the largest line moves for Week 17 based off our VI Odds as of Saturday morning.

Chicago at Minnesota: 41 ½ to 36
Tennessee at Houston: 48 ½ to 44
Pittsburgh at Baltimore: 41 to 37
Arizona at L.A. Rams: 49 to 45
New Orleans at Carolina: 48 to 45
Cleveland at Cincinnati: 46 to 43

Listed below are the five largest leans for Week 17 per the betting trend percentages on the VI Matchup index as of Saturday morning.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore: Under 96%
Arizona at L.A. Rams: Under 94%
Oakland at Denver: Under 91%
L.A. Chargers at Kansas City: Under 90%
New Orleans at Carolina: Under 82%
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo: Under 81%
Tennessee at Houston: Under 75%
Cleveland at Cincinnati: Under 72%

There is also a heavy lean on for the 'under' (63 percent) in the Miami at New England matchup, and heavy lean on the 'over' both the Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants and Atlanta at Tampa Bay (61 percent) contests. As many of you know, the last week of the regular season is often the most difficult to handicap and while we’ve had plenty of great games to follow, Week 17 is borderline unwatchable at times.

Handicapping Week 17

All 16 games are divisional matchups on Sunday. As many of you know, the last week of the regular season is often the most difficult to handicap and while we’ve had plenty of great games to follow, Week 17 is borderline unwatchable at times.

Week 17 Total Results (2011-2018)

Year Over/Under
2018 7-9
2017 8-8
2016 9-7
2015 5-11
2014 6-10
2013 6-10
2012 8-8
2011 9-7

If you were to lean one way or another on your total wagers this week, the 'under' is probably the better option.

We saw the 'under' go 9-7 last season and that's been the common theme in the finale with the low side going 70-58 (55%) overall the last eight seasons in Week 17.

Week 16 Total Results

Matchups Over/Under Year to Date
Divisional 1-3 32-41
NFC vs. NFC 4-0 26-22
AFC vs. AFC 2-2 22-21-1
AFC vs. NFC 3-1 30-28

Week 17 Action

Cleveland at Cincinnati: This is a rather meaningless game, as the Bengals have locked up the No. 1 overall pick, but no one is expected to be rested. They'll play this one like regular. One thing to watch, Browns WR Odell Beckham Jr. last (illness) is questionable to play, so that's an injury to keep an eye on. These teams just met on Dec. 8 in Cleveland, and the Browns came away with a 27-19 win and 'over' result. The over has cashed in three straight for the Bengals, while going 3-3 in Cleveland's past six road outings.

Chicago at Minnesota: The Vikings are not expected to play their starters in Week 17, while Vikings RB Dalvin Cook (shoulder) is ruled out, and RB Alexander Mattison (ankle) is listed as questionable. MLB Eric Kendricks (quadriceps) will also sit, after he created mayhem with two fumble recoveries last week. The status for the Vikings' starters is why the line is listed in the mid-30's, and could potentially fall further.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: The line is rather high for this game, but there are a few things to watch. Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston (right thumb, knee) is considered questionable, while WR Chris Godwin (hamstring) has been ruled out. Falcons WR Julio Jones (knee, shoulder) was limited in practice, and a question mark as well. If Jones and Winston are out, the line is likely to plummet.

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo: The Biulls are locked into the No. 5 seed in the AFC playoff picture, so watch their players. Head coach Sean McDermott didn't give bettors much information, only telling local beat writer Joe Buscaglia that they will "play a majority of the guys", while not getting into specifics. You can expect the Bills to treat this similar to a preseason game, as QB Josh Allen might play a couple of offensive series, perhaps the first quarter or into the second quarter. McDermott did confirm QB Matt Barkley would see time. For the Jets, both QBs Robby Anderson (calf) and Demaryius Thomas (hamstring) are each question marks.

L.A. Chargers at Kansas City: The Chargers are likely to be at full strength in this one, while the Chiefs haven't revealed whether or not anyone will be resting. While yes, technically the Chiefs can get to the two-seed and a first-round bye with a win and a loss by the Patriots to the Dolphins, don't bet on that. If the Chiefs are scoreboard watching, and things get out of hand in Foxboro, the Chiefs could potentially rest guys in the second half, so beware.

Tennessee at Houston: The Titans are still jostling for a playoff spot, so you can expect they'll be playing hard. They'll be without CB Adoree' Jackson (foot) and WR Adam Humphries (ankle) for the matchup. This will be a game to watch closely. If the Chiefs end up beating the Chiefs in the 1:00 p.m. window, you can expect several stars for the Texans to be held out. They would be locked into the No. 4 seed in Kansas City wins. QB DeShaun Watson (back) is listed as questionable, while WR Will Fuller (groin) is out. WRs DeAndre Hopkins (illness) and Kenny Stills (knee) are each questionable, while OT Laremy Tunsil (ankle) and CB Bradley Roby (hamstring) are also question marks. Expect a flood of stars resting if K.C. wins.

Indianapolis at Jacksonville: Colts RB Jordan Wilkins (ankle) has starred lately, but he has been ruled out for this one. The Jaguars also have a slew of key players listed on the injury report, including QB Gardner Minshew II (shoulder), CB A.J. Bouye (wrist), RB Leonard Fournette (neck) and WR DeDe Westbrook (neck, shoulder) all listed as questionable.

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants: The Eagles cannot afford to take their foot off the gas, so they'll be playing to win and lock up the NFC East Division title. The Eagles have hit the 'under' in five of the past seven games, including their 23-17 win over the Giants Dec. 9 in Philly. The 'over' has connected in six of the past eight meetings in this series, including 7-0 in the past seven battles at MetLife Stadium. TE Zach Ertz (ribs) is out for the finale, so that hurts.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore: The Ravens will rest their starters, as they have the No. 1 overall seed sewn up. QB Robert Griffin III is expected to start, although third-string QB Trace McSorley might also see some time. For the Steelers, they'll be down RB James Conner (thigh), and C Maurkice Pouncey (knee) will also be inactive. This one is likely to be a defensive slog, which is par for the course in Baltimore, whomever ends up playing. The under is 5-0 in the past five meetings in Balto.

Arizona at L.A. Rams: The Cards and Rams are each eliminated from the playoff picture, but most players should play as usual. However, QB Kyler Murray (hamstirng) is considered a game-time decision, and with nothing to play for it's unlikely he is pressed into duty. Look for QB Brett Hundley to get the start under center. The under has connected in four of the past five meetings in this series, and 4-1 in the past five battles in SoCal, too.

Oakland at Denver: The Raiders are expected to be without RB Josh Jacobs (shoulder), as the rookie is dealing with shoulder issue and skin infection. Technically, the Raiders still have a shot at a postseason spot, so WR Tyrell Williams (foot) is available, so that's good news. The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Denver, and 6-0 in the previous six meetings in this series overall.

Heavy Expectations

There are four games listed with a spread of double-digit points or more for Week 17, with the home team listed as favorites in two of them. The totals range from 49.5 to 51 and cashing a total could come down to whether or not the favorite lays off the gas in the second-half.

New Orleans at Carolina (1:00 p.m. ET): The good news for potential 'over' bettors is that the Panthers plan to get the ball into the hands of RB Christian McCaffrey as much as possible, as he needs 67 receiving yards to be just the third player in NFL history to post 1,000 rushing and receiving yards in the same season. The bad news is that WR DJ Moore (concussion) is out. For the Saints, they're still fighting for a first-round bye, and QB Drew Brees (thumb) and WR Michael Thomas (hand) are ready to roll. The under is 12-4 in the past 16 meetings in Carolina, but the over is 5-1 in the previous six in the series.

Miami at New England (1:00 p.m. ET): The Patriots are still fighting for a first-round bye, and they cannot afford to take their foot off the gas, either. That's all well and good, but their offense has struggled to find consistency for most of the season. The 'over' has connected in five of the past six games overall, while going 5-2 in the past seven inside the division. The under is 9-3 in New England's past 12 inside the division, while going 18-8 in their past 26 as a favorite.

Green Bay at Detroit (1:00 p.m. ET): The Packers have a lot to play for, as they could still work their way up to the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC if things break a certain way. Don't expect the visitors to rest anyone in this game. RB Jamaal Williams (shoulder) is doubtful for the game, but that's the only concern. The under has cashed in eight straight inside the division for the Pack. The under is 6-2 in Detroit's past eight inside the division, too.

Washington at Dallas (4:25 p.m. ET): The Cowboys are expected to have QB Dak Prescott (shoulder) under center, and they'll be fighting for the NFC East Division title if the Eagles lose against the Giants in New York. Both games are at 4:25, so there is no chance the Cowboys are scoreboard watching and resting anyone. They'll keep going hard to the end, as best they can, at least. The over has connected in seven of the past eight meetings in this series, including 4-0 in the past four in Big D.

Under the Lights

San Francisco at Seattle (8:20 p.m. ET - Sun.): The NFC West division title is on the line when the Niners and Seahawks meet on Sunday Night Football in the standalone primetime game of the weekend. It's going to be a war. The over has cashed in four straight for the 49ers inside the NFC West, while going 7-2 in their past nine overall. The over is 7-3 in Seattle's past 10 inside the division, while going 7-2 in the past nine against winning teams. The over is 6-2 in the past eight meetings, too, including the Monday Night battle at Levi's Stadium on Nov. 11, a 27-24 win by Seattle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 29


Oklahoma City @ Toronto

Game 501-502
December 29, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
117.653
Toronto
124.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4
210
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4); Under

Charlotte @ Memphis

Game 505-506
December 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
113.035
Memphis
113.332
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
Even
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 3 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+3 1/2); Over

Houston @ New Orleans

Game 503-504
December 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
125.044
New Orleans
116.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4); Under

Sacramento @ Denver

Game 507-508
December 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.081
Denver
120.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 10
207
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+10); Over

Dallas @ LA Lakers

Game 509-510
December 29, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
126.579
LA Lakers
120.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 6
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Stakes • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 90 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 2:40P
LAST CHANCE DERBY - PURSE $22,250. THREE YEAR OLD. WEIGHT: 121 LBS. $250 TO ENTER. NON-WINNERS OF $15,000 TWICE AT ONE MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 4 LBS. SUCH A RACE 2 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OIL MONEY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OIL MONEY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within t he last seven days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
6	OIL MONEY	8/5	9/5

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	OIL MONEY	6	8/5	Front-runner	98	98	92.9	86.3	84.3
3	CENTRAL PARK	3	9/2	Front-runner	82	85	69.2	54.3	45.3
1	IMBETTINONBRUTUS	1	12/1	Front-runner	68	76	67.3	78.7	64.2
7	CELTIC WARRIOR	7	6/1	Stalker	86	85	83.4	83.4	70.9
2	OUT FOR JUSTICE	2	15/1	Stalker	85	83	53.3	65.3	51.8
9	COURAGEOUS	9	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	94	89	47.1	79.3	65.3
4	SCRAPPY DEVILLE	4	15/1	Trailer	82	81	67.6	80.4	71.4
5	ROCKNROLL ROCKET	5	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	87	85	64.8	80.8	76.3
8	TODO ES TORO	8	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	79	49.8	67.6	58.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 1	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Place Pick All Starts Here/ $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Early Double / $1 Pick Four
Maiden Claiming $3,500 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 36 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 5:40P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SAGRADA FAMILIA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SAGRADA FAMILIA: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. LADY MAXI: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LALA FLEUR: Horse is dropping in to a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
1	SAGRADA FAMILIA	9/5	3/1
5	LADY MAXI	2/1	9/2
2	LALA FLEUR	6/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SAGRADA FAMILIA	1	9/5	Front-runner	42	29	55.8	19.2	12.7
4	SOPRESCIOUS	4	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	49.2	28.1	23.1
5	LADY MAXI	5	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	51	31	46.0	27.2	22.7
6	LADY LECLAIR	6	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	13.9	25.0	15.0
2	LALA FLEUR	2	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	51	23	16.5	23.2	16.2
3	APPRECIATIVE	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	4.9	13.6	5.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 5.5f on the Turf. Purse: $59000 Class Rating: 103

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 RESTLESS RAMBLER 3/1
# 2 LIL MILO 4/1
# 7 CASTLE 3/1

RESTLESS RAMBLER seems to be the wager in here. Ran a strong last race. Always seems to be right there on the wire. LIL MILO - Is a very solid contender based on figures put up lately under today's conditions. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Baze should have this gelding in excellent position to win the outing. CASTLE - Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 99 speed fig which is one of the best in this group of animals. Profitable rider and trainer team, with a +1 return on investment.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

12/29/19, TAM, Race 3, 1.44 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 CLAIMING. Purse $16,700.
Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 3-4-5) / Super High 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Flan	9/2	Ferrer J C	Sienkewicz William M.	TSFW
097.1628	7	Feisty Chi Chi	7/2	Gallardo A A	Boyce Michele	JE
095.4228	5	Winning Quality	9/2	Suarez A	Boyce Michele
095.0837	1	Miss Helen	4-1	Camacho S	Schultz Harold F.
093.3182	3	Swindle	12-1	Quinonez A	Klopp Randy L.
093.0470	6	Sweet Daddio	3-1	Hernandez H	O'Connell Kathleen	L
092.5243	2	Lolanita	8-1	Mena R	Carvajal. Jr. Luis	C

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to TAM.

4	23.40	19.40	1.08	33.33	51	153	Best Workouts
7	42.20	28.00	1.16	40.46	53	131	Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today
5	42.20	28.00	1.16	40.46	53	131	Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today
1	40.00	18.40	1.13	41.06	62	151	Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today
3	22.00	28.00	1.05	33.48	74	221	Race Distance Sprint
6	42.20	28.00	1.16	40.46	53	131	Last Race Purse Not Lower Than Today
2	71.60	81.60	1.22	30.67	50	163	Last Race Is Not Same Surface As Today

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.73, Win% 31.11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Aqueduct - Race #3 - Post: 1:26pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#2 JUSTINTIMEFORWINE (ML=6/1)
#1 COLD HARD CASH (ML=8/5)


JUSTINTIMEFORWINE - This colt likes to sit just off the pace and the way things shape up here, he should get a gorgeous trip. State bred races are generally easier than 'open' company, and this colt's move into the 'state bred' class today should make him tough in here. Has a good opportunity in this race to break maiden switching to the dirt in this race. COLD HARD CASH - A repeat of that most recent effort on November 7th where he registered a figure of 89 looks high enough to score in this event. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 FOREVER WICKED (ML=9/2), #4 EMPIRE EXPRESS (ML=5/1), #7 ZIPALONG (ML=8/1),

FOREVER WICKED - Last speed figure of 83 may not be true since it was on a track listed as good. EMPIRE EXPRESS - Hard to support this horse getting on the main track for the first time. When scrutinizing today's class figure, he will have to garner a better fig than last time out to compete in this dirt route. ZIPALONG - I usually bet against a grass horse trying the main track for the first time. This entrant ran a substandard speed figure last time out. He shouldn't run much better and will likely suffer defeat in today's race running that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #2 JUSTINTIMEFORWINE to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $23600 Class Rating: 76

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, THREE AND FOUR YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; FOUR YEAR OLDS, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 JESS NOW 8/1
# 9 MS FERRARI DIABLO 4/1
# 5 EYEZA BEAUTY 12/1

JESS NOW is my selection especially at such a decent 8/1. Leos has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent clip. MS FERRARI DIABLO - His earnings per start in short races alone makes you take a look at him. Should go off at a nice number and has some positive things going for him. EYEZA BEAUTY - Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 71 speed rating which is one of the most competitive in this group. Earned a very strong speed rating last time out.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 2:51pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#3 CANDY ASSET (ML=6/1)
#8 A TRUE GENTLEMAN (ML=9/2)


CANDY ASSET - Faced tougher last time around the track at Laurel. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders in this race. Gelding got a healthy speed rating last time he tried this trip. That number would be good enough to win today. Closed a ton of ground in that last race at 6 furlongs. Wouldn't be astonished to see him win today. Schoenthal gets a break on this animal carrying 5 pounds less than last out. Certainly could make the difference right here. A TRUE GENTLEMAN - A campaigner coming back this soon after a sharp effort is a good signal.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PRIME TIME MAN (ML=2/1), #4 FORTY ACRES (ML=6/1),

PRIME TIME MAN - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 CANDY ASSET to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

12/29/19, GP, Race 8, 3.30 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Claiming Price $12,500 (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 8-9-10-11)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Mysterio	8-1	Martinez G A	Aboughaida Nagib	TFC
099.4761	1	Frank Alone	5/2	Rendon J	Spatz Ronald B.
099.1207	2	Millionaire Runner(b+)	4-1	Quiroz L	Navarro Marcial
098.0009	7	Starship Aramis	3-1	Berrios H I	Sanchez Amador Merei	S
097.9549	6	Amen Alley	6-1	Zayas E J	Casse Mark E.	JL
096.0125	5	Colin a Winner	8-1	Torres C A	Antonucci Jena M.	W
095.9503	3	Zippy	6-1	Montalvo C	Ochoa Ernesto	E

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

4	21.20	11.60	1.23	47.83	22	46	*Last Race Was OddsOn Favorite(not ent) And Greater Than 5 Horses Today
1	11.20	11.60	1.08	41.67	30	72	Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
2	11.20	11.60	1.08	41.67	30	72	Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today
6	11.20	11.60	1.08	41.67	30	72	Last Race (Sprint or Route) Not Same As Today

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 1.17, Win% 40.98
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.