Service Plays Saturday 12/28/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #16
    Doc Sports football

    4-clemson-2

    2-ndame-3
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #17
      Scott Spreitzer

      8-Unit Play: Take 237 Iowa State +3.5 over Notre Dame (12 p.m., Sat. Dec. 28)

      Camping World Bowl

      I'm taking the points with Iowa State in a game I believe they'll win outright. The Cyclones lost 5 games this season and 4 of the losses came by a grand total of 11 points. They actually played the tougher schedule in this matchup and play a base defense that Irish QB Ian Book and the Notre Dame offense haven't faced. I'm not the first to point this out -- but ISU plays a lot of rush 3, drop 8, and I expect a little confusion from the Irish offense. Making matters tougher on the Dame offense is the fact they fired their OC a few weeks ago. HC Brian Kelly has been a bankroll burner in the bowls, losing all 4 ATS when favored, while covering 3 of 11 overall. ISU QB Brock Purdy is a dual-threat and gives the Irish defense a lot to worry about. And finally, let's not forget the Cyclones came a missed 2-point conversion from upsetting playoff-bound Oklahoma. I'm taking the points with Iowa State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

      2-Unit Play: Take 241 Oklahoma +13.5 over LSU (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 28)

      Peach Bowl

      I'm taking the points with Oklahoma on Saturday. LSU opened a 9.5-point favorite and the line shot up in no time. The value is certainly on the side of the Sooners as is dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts. The Sooner signal caller should give the LSU defense plenty of problems and we've seen the Tigers struggle against dual-threat QBs this season and Hurts is the best they'll have faced. There are some missing parts in this one with a couple OU star defenders sidelined by suspension, while LSU RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire is listed as questionable (hamstring). But the Sooners are all about value in this one and even if they fall behind the backdoor cover could come into play with Hurts firing the ball throughout. I'm grabbing the points with undervalued Oklahoma on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

      2-Unit Play: Take 244 Ohio St. +2 over Clemson (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 28)

      Fiesta Bowl

      I'm taking the points with Ohio State on Saturday night. The Buckeyes have been money as an underdog, covering 15 of their last 17, while winning 7 of those games outright. They've played the tougher schedule yet own the better scoring margin. Yes, Dabo Swiney has been terrific as a postseason HC and QB Trevor Lawrence has been terrific over the second half of the season. But Clemson hasn't come close to facing anyone of Ohio State's caliber and the backfield of Fields and Dobbins is going to be a tough out -- too tough for Clemson in our betting opinion. Ohio State is being undervalued as far as we're concerned and I'm taking the points with the Buckeyes. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #18
        Larry Ness GOY
        Ohio St
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #19
          Tom Stryker

          19-4 ATS & 11-2 ATS NCAA HOME COOKIN’ HUGE BOWL WAGER

          Iowa State
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369677

            #20
            Power Sports' *10* Bowl Game of the Year:

            Ohio State
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369677

              #21
              Mike Tierney
              TOP DOG
              YESTERDAY 4:24 PM
              PENN ST. -7
              MEMPHIS VS PENN ST. | 12/28 | 12:00 PM EST
              COTTON BOWL -- Maybe It’s a plus for Memphis that coach Mike Norvell did not stick around after taking the Florida State job, given that he went 0-3 in bowls. But he puts successor Ryan Silverfield in a tough spot against more talented Penn State. The favorites allow just 14.1 points per game, seventh fewest in the nation, which should partly negate the Tigers’ potent offense. James Franklin stands at 5-3 ATS in bowls as coach of Penn State and Vanderbilt. Take the Nittany Lions.

              10-8 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +115
              3-0 IN LAST 3 PSU ATS PICKS | +300

              3-1 IN LAST 4 MEMP ATS PICKS | +189


              Tom Fornelli
              #TRUSTTHEPROCESS
              THU 12/26
              UNDER 60.5
              MEMPHIS VS PENN ST. | 12/28 | 12:00 PM EST
              COTTON BOWL -- The Over has gone 8-5 in Memphis games this season and is 25-14-1 in the last three seasons. So, obviously I'm an idiot, because I'm all over the Under here. Memphis isn't used to facing defenses and front sevens like the one it will see in Penn State. Plus, Mike Norvell is gone to Florida State. Then there's a Penn State team that has been inefficient on offense nearly all season long, and lost its offensive coordinator to Old Dominion.

              45-36-3 IN LAST 84 CFB PICKS | +793
              3-0 IN LAST 3 PSU O/U PICKS | +300


              Emory Hunt

              Dec CFB ATS 10-10 BOWLS ATS 8-8

              THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
              TUE 12/24
              MEMPHIS +7
              MEMPHIS VS PENN ST. | 12/28 | 12:00 PM EST
              COTTON BOWL -- Will Penn State be able to stop the rushing attack of Memphis, which can beat you with both explosiveness and depth. It'll be up to the Nittany Lions edge and alley defenders to make plays consistently. I don't expect Penn State to sleepwalk into this matchup, as Memphis will treat it like a playoff game. I like this contest to be a tight one.

              106-66-1 IN LAST 173 CFB ATS PICKS | +3408
              7-4 IN LAST 11 PSU ATS PICKS | +268

              5-3-1 IN LAST 9 MEMP ATS PICKS | +174
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369677

                #22
                Mike Tierney
                TOP DOG
                YESTERDAY 4:20 PM
                NOTRE DAME -3.5
                NOTRE DAME VS IOWA ST. | 12/28 | 12:00 PM EST
                CAMPING WORLD BOWL -- Coach Brian Kelly’s bowl record (3-8 ATS) at Notre Dame and a sense that Iowa State is more motivated have depressed this line. Yet the Fighting Irish rank 13th in scoring offense and 14th in scoring defense, a combination that points to clear superiority over the Cyclones. The Domers enter with momentum, having covered in four straight, while Iowa State flatlined late in its season. Most of Kelly’s ATS defeats came against ranked opponents; Iowa State cannot be found in the Top 25. Take Notre Dame.

                10-8 IN LAST 18 CFB PICKS | +115
                3-0 IN LAST 3 ND ATS PICKS | +300

                2-1 IN LAST 3 IOWAST ATS PICKS | +95


                Emory Hunt
                THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
                TUE 12/24
                NOTRE DAME -3.5
                NOTRE DAME VS IOWA ST. | 12/28 | 12:00 PM EST
                CAMPING WORLD BOWL -- Notre Dame is riding a five-game winning streak and getting great play from its defense. QB Ian Book is playing well and the Fighting Irish look like a solid all around. I like how the Cyclones play defensively, and they'll be able to keep this one close, which is why the spread is low. However, I don't trust their offense to move the ball with consistency against Notre Dame, which explains why I'm going with the Irish.

                106-66-1 IN LAST 173 CFB ATS PICKS | +3408
                2-1 IN LAST 3 ND ATS PICKS | +86


                Barrett Sallee
                CFB GURU
                MON 12/23
                NOTRE DAME -3.5
                NOTRE DAME VS IOWA ST. | 12/28 | 12:00 PM EST
                CAMPING WORLD BOWL -- It's been hard to figure out which Cyclones team will show up on a week-to-week basis, but the Fighting Irish defense has been consistently sound all season. It hasn't given up more than 400 yards since Oct. 26, and its quarterback, Ian Book, didn't throw an interception over the final three games of the season. Trust Book to help the Irish pull away late.

                50-27-2 IN LAST 79 CFB PICKS | +2018
                2-1 IN LAST 3 IOWAST ATS PICKS | +86

                4-3 IN LAST 7 ND ATS PICKS | +67
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369677

                  #23
                  Micah Roberts
                  FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
                  YESTERDAY 11:15 PM
                  OKLAHOMA +13.5
                  OKLAHOMA VS LSU | 12/28 | 4:00 PM EST
                  If you look at Oklahoma and LSU statistically, the Sooners and Tigers are almost identical on both sides of the ball. But after LSU beat Alabama and blew out Georgia in the SEC title game, coupled with the Sooners going 1-5 ATS in their last six, we’ve got a rating shuffle that produces such a large number here. But I like the Sooners to make this a tight game with a good chance of winning. Joe Burrow has the traditional Heisman burden, while Jalen Hurts has been in this spot before. Oklahoma to win outright is a strong possibility, but I took the points.

                  6-4 IN LAST 10 CFB PICKS | +175
                  3-1 IN LAST 4 LSU ATS PICKS | +190


                  Stephen Oh
                  DATA SCIENTIST
                  YESTERDAY 11:12 PM
                  LSU -13.5
                  OKLAHOMA VS LSU | 12/28 | 4:00 PM EST
                  LSU's improvement on defense has been greatly overlooked. The Tigers have allowed 17 points total over their past two games, and that defense will help this game get out of hand. My simulation projects LSU to win 52-32, so you're getting solid value with the Tigers at -13.5. Take LSU.

                  3-0 IN LAST 3 OKLA ATS PICKS | +300


                  Mike Tierney
                  TOP DOG
                  YESTERDAY 4:27 PM
                  UNDER 76
                  OKLAHOMA VS LSU | 12/28 | 4:00 PM EST
                  PEACH BOWL -- Welcome to the second-highest total since the birth of the College Football Playoffs. If this were a bowl with little at stake, an Over would be tempting. But games with lots on the line tend to include stretches during which an offense (or both) turns conservative. With the Big 12’s top defense, Oklahoma has shed its reputation as an offense-only program, and the Sooners enter with four straight Unders. LSU leans Under lately at neutral sites, having gone 5-2 before crowds with split allegiances. Under is the play.

                  3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB O/U PICKS | +190

                  Tom Fornelli
                  #TRUSTTHEPROCESS
                  THU 12/26
                  OKLAHOMA +13.5
                  OKLAHOMA VS LSU | 12/28 | 4:00 PM EST
                  PEACH BOWL -- There will be a lot made of the suspension of Oklahoma's Ronnie Perkins, as he's the team's best pass-rusher. I don't think it's a huge deal, though, because LSU's offense gets the ball out too quickly. While I expect LSU to win, Oklahoma's offense is too explosive to get blown out without multiple turnovers. Even after Alabama jumped out to a 28-0 lead on the Sooners in last year's semi, they battled back within 11. I don't think they ever fall that far behind in this one.

                  45-36-3 IN LAST 84 CFB PICKS | +793
                  7-3 IN LAST 10 OKLA ATS PICKS | +369


                  Emory Hunt
                  THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
                  TUE 12/24
                  OKLAHOMA +13.5
                  OKLAHOMA VS LSU | 12/28 | 4:00 PM EST
                  PEACH BOWL -- I find it hard to envision a Jalen Hurts-led offense not being able to find enough success to keep this a one-possession game. I know the Sooners' defense isn't great by any stretch of the imagination, but neither is LSU's. Now, the Tigers are much better in that area than Oklahoma, but not 13.5 points better when facing a dynamic QB like Hurts.

                  106-66-1 IN LAST 173 CFB ATS PICKS | +3408
                  4-1-1 IN LAST 6 LSU ATS PICKS | +290

                  3-2 IN LAST 5 OKLA ATS PICKS | +77
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369677

                    #24
                    GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTAL SAT, 12/28/19 - 2:00 PM
                    618 Wright St / 617 Wis.-Green Bay Under 158.0 Westgate double-dime bet
                    Analysis:
                    ~2* Play at 155 or better..

                    Pick Made: Dec 28 2019 5:59AM PST
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #25
                      GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/28/19 - 8:00 PM
                      243 Clemson -2.0 (-105) Pinnacle vs 244 Ohio St. triple-dime bet
                      Analysis:
                      Not a lot to say here but the facts are in. Clemson has the BEST Coach in this match-up. He has been to the Natty before (Often) and he knows the drill. His QB is absolutely the best, 20 TD's and ZERO Int's in the last 6 games. This is less than a field goal and even though I know that Ohio State is a very good team, Clemson is simply better. One of the key's in the Clemson offensive line which perhaps the best in the country at protecting the QB. If Lawrence has time this will be easy. If he does not his mobility will kick in. We su‘spect that he will have time and Clemson should outscore Ohio State even though we think the Buckeyes will have some success as well and because of that lean to the OVER. Let's lay the small number here..

                      Pick Made: Dec 26 2019 4:59PM PST
                      GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/28/19 - 12:00 PM
                      237 Iowa St. 3.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 238 Notre Dame double-dime bet
                      Analysis:
                      2* Play at your best number..

                      Pick Made: Dec 27 2019 5:24AM PST
                      GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE SAT, 12/28/19 - 4:00 PM
                      241 Oklahoma 14.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 242 LSU double-dime bet
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369677

                        #26
                        Doc Sports

                        CONS:12/28/19

                        CFB
                        7# 238 Take ND -3.5 ov IowaST,
                        5 #240 Take PennST -7 ov Mem
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369677

                          #27
                          Doc Sports

                          CONS:12/27/19

                          NBA
                          5 #555 Take Pho -3 ov GSW
                          5 #545 Take Cle/Bos UNDER 217

                          NHL
                          6 #41 Take Bos -150 ov Buff

                          CFB
                          6 #236 Take AFA -2.5 ov WasST
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369677

                            #28
                            ROOT

                            Hoops

                            Millionaires——Louisville +
                            No Limit Club—Riverside
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #29
                              ROOT

                              MILL-Oklahoma +

                              No Limit-Memphis +

                              Inner Circle-Ohio State +

                              Pinnacle- Iowa st
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                              • B*mb07
                                Senior Member
                                • Mar 2018
                                • 640

                                #30
                                sports unlimited 5% BOWL MAJOR WAGER
                                Game:(237) IOWA STATE at (238) NOTRE DAME
                                Date/Time: Dec 28 2019 12:00 PM EST
                                Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                                Play Rating: 5%
                                Play: IOWA STATE 3.5 (-109)

                                View Analysis

                                5% IOWA ST +3.5
                                How many people are going to look and see the Name Notre Dame only -3.5 against Iowa St and immediately think this is Free Money. Notre Dame is the Big Name at 10-2 while Iowa St is just 7-5. Don’t fall into the trap here. Where is Notre Dame’s motivation to be playing in the Camping World Bowl. For Iowa St playing Notre Dame is a big deal even if this is one of the smaller Bowl Games. Teams are always motivated to play the history rich Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Iowa St HC Matt Campbell is one of the up and coming coaches in College Football. Notre Dame has the 11th ranked defense while Iowa St has the 37th ranked defense but remember Iowa St plays in the Big 12 where most of the offenses put up big numbers. The Iowa St defense only allowed 3 teams to score 30 or more points all year and that’s playing in the explosive Big 12. Bowl Games are as much about motivation as there about Talent. Iowa St is the motivated team here and I have them pulling the Upset. TAKE IOWA ST +3.5 as my 5% MAJOR WAGER.

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