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Starting the day with NY Jets/Buffalo OV37. The OV37 achieves an LJP score of 3. I would advise a 0.75 unit selection. I would also advise a 0.25 unit parlay on Cincinnati +2 over Cleveland, Dallas -13 over Washington and Tampa Bay PK over Atlanta. Parlay pays 1.50 units. Next update for 3:30pm ET.
1-Unit Play. Take #678 Penn State (-22.5) over Cornell (Noon, Sunday, Dec. 29)
The Nittany Lions have laid the wood to bad teams all year. They have played a great schedule. Ignore the metrics their schedule rank; I don't know if anyone has played a better schedule and the Lions have played 8 of 12 games against Top 100 opponents. In the four games against lower tier schools they won by 38, 27, 18 and 29 points. I don't see why this would be any different against a Cornell team that has lost nine straight games. This game shouldn't be competitive.
1-Unit Play. Take #698 South Florida (-8.5) over Florida Atlantic (5 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 29)
South Florida is starting to play better after a shaky start to the season. They are coming off two straight losses, but both were close games against good teams and USF has now covered the spread in five straight and seven of their last nine. Florida Atlantic has beaten a bunch of bad teams. Three of their wins were over D-II schools, and two more were over weak sisters like Holy Cross and High Point. They aren't a bad team. And they will be up for this one. But FAU isn't a very efficient offensive team and they are going to struggle against USF's tough defensive play.
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #683 Duquesne (-2.5) over Marshall (2:30 p.m.) AND Take #715 Richmond (+10.5) over Alabama (6:30 p.m.)
3 Unit Play. Take #711 Tulsa +7 over Kansas St (6:00 PM, Sunday, December 29, ESPN+)
Kansas St has posted a 1-4-1 ATS record in their last six games following a straight up loss and they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five games where they were listed as the favorite. They have also failed to cover the number in seven of their last eight games following an ATS loss and they are an awful 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. Throw in the fact that Tulsa beat K-State last season, along with the fact that the Wildcats have struggled year long against teams with a winning % of .600 or better, going 0-5 ATS in their last five games in that spot and we're taking the points here with the Golden Hurricane in a game that we have bit closer than the odds makers do in Manhattan on Sunday evening.
CBB Dec 29
3 Units - #308711 Navy (+17 ) vs Virginia *4 EST
The total in this game is 99! UNREAL, opened at 98. Navy plays great defense and does not score much. Same with Virginia on a higher level. Virginia has covered this high of spread in terms of margin of victory only twice this season. Navy scores 61 a game and allows 57. Virginia scores 54 ppg on offense. There are too many points involved for this set up as clearly Virginia is better but with the total below a 100 and Navy can man up on defense, that keeps this closer than this number, it is basic math.
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