Service Plays Monday 12/30/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LV WOLF
Western Michigan 3.5
Virginia 14.5

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Nfac
western mich 3.5 $600

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Barner

Dec NBA ATS 20-20

UTAH -10
DETROIT @ UTAH | 12/30 | 9:00 PM EST
11:35 AM
The Jazz seem to have hit their stride, winning seven of their last eight games. The only loss was by just three points in Miami. The Pistons have been a disaster on the road, where they are 4-10 ATS. To further complicate matters, they are expected to be without F Blake Griffin (knee), G Luke Kennard (knee) and F Markieff Morris (foot) for this one. Look for Utah to cover this lofty line at home.

36-23 IN LAST 59 NBA ATS PICKS | +1070
12-9 IN LAST 21 DET ATS PICKS | +206

MILWAUKEE -6.5
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO | 12/30 | 8:00 PM EST
11:30 AM
The Bulls have won five of their last eight but defeated Atlanta twice, beat Washington by one point and topped Detroit in that span. That’s not exactly impressive. Meanwhile, the Bucks have won five of six despite having G Eric Bledsoe (lower leg) and F Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) miss time. And four of the victories were by at least 11 points. With Bledsoe expected back for this game, look for the Bucks to cover.

36-23 IN LAST 59 NBA ATS PICKS | +1070
12-7 IN LAST 19 CHI ATS PICKS | +428

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sportsline football

Mon, Dec 30
12:30
BOWL
250%
W.Michigan +3'
over W.Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. #729. Take Over 153.5 Austin Peay vs. Georgia (Monday @ 7pm est)

We roll with the Over here as we think Austin Peay will get up for this game against Georgia a power 5 SEC school. By the way, great win once again with Liberty and another 2-0 Basketball Sweep yesterday for +600 for a great 8-1 Basketball Run for +2770 right now. Austin Peay posted 53 points against a top 10 defense in West Virginia but also posted 72 points against a team like Vanderbilt who has a decent defense and Vandy scored 90 points. Georgia faces a team here in Austin Peay who is one of the worst they have faced and they did not shoot well against Southern and it sets up nicely here for Georgia to bust open a great offensive performance here and hence this game is likely to go over the posted total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10 Western Michigan +3.5
10 Western Michigan/Western Kentucky over 53.5
10 Illinois/California over 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist
Hofstra pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc CBB monday

4 Unit Play. Take Chicago State +33.5 over Missouri (8p.m., Monday, December 30 SECN+)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BMC 1000 Virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJP Score:

Western Michigan = 0

Western Kentucky = 1OPEN

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 1-0 UN55 (DNQ)

12:30pm ET



Current Results: 5 (0-0 +0.0 units), 4 (2-1 +0.9 units), 3 (5-3 +1.7 units), 2 (10-10 -1.0 units), 1 (6-6 -0.6 units)

Current Results: Premium Plays (1-0 +1.0 units), "Just Missed" Premium Plays (1-2 -1.2 units), Other Sharp Consensus (0-0 +0.0 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo cbb

Yest: -1.2

Ytd: +12.6
---
4-Unit Play. Take #730 Georgia (-12.5) over Austin Peay (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 153.5 Austin Peay at Georgia (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
If you look at the scores from yesterday's action something should jump out. Yesterday featured a lot of teams from power conferences flexing their muscle against teams from lower leagues. That's exactly what I think is going to happen here and this game shouldn't even be close. Georgia has a future NBA player on its roster. They also have three other upperclassmen starters that should be able to toss around the guys from Austin Peay. The Govs are really beat up, with three of their top five players out. So they are basically just going to hope that Terry Taylor can outscore Anthony Edwards (both guys average over 20 per game). I don't see it happening. Austin Peay has no size and they are one of the worst defensive teams in college basketball. This is a game where I think Tom Crean is going to keep the pedal to the metal all game and win this one by 25+.

1-Unit Play. Take #734 Akron (-9.5) over Massachusetts (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. #736 James Madison (+3) over Northeastern (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #744 Delaware (-2) over Charleston (7 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
This Delaware team is a legit sleeper in the CAA this year. They are 11-3 so far this season and just getting better. They have played a weak schedule so far this season. But they have beaten a bunch of teams that are comparable to Charleston. Oakland, Southern Illinois, UT-San Antonio and Stony Brook all come to mind. Transfer Nate Darling has been a revelation. And he pairs well with returning starting guards Ryan Allen and Kevin Anderson, who combined to average 27 points per game last year. The Blue Hens also added another impact transfer when Dylan Painter (Villanova) became eligible at the break. He gives them another big man to work with and I think that they will be able to pound Charleston on the inside. Charleston has Grant Riller, and that's really it. They haven't been great on the road this year and they are facing a completely Delaware team than the one they tooled on last year.

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 142.0 Davidson at Vanderbilt (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Vanderbilt is playing at a significantly faster pace this year compared to the last several seasons. Jerry Stackhouse is an NBA guy and a Carolina guy and he wants to get out and run. The Commodores played a Richmond team that is pretty similar to Davidson in terms of offensive capability. That game was 93-92. I don't think that this one will be quite that low scoring but I will be surprised if both teams don't hit 70. Davidson's pace numbers are slow. But when they face better competition they are always a bit more willing to get out and go. The Wildcats are coming off a low-scoring grinder against Loyola Chicago. I think that they will bounce back offensively here and push this one 'over'.

2-Unit Play. Take #755 Chicago State (+33.5) over Missouri (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Chicago State has actually covered its last two games and four of their last five games. Missouri has zero motivation for this game and they don't really score enough to run away from a team like the Cougars. Chicago State is awful. But I don't know that Missouri is going to run them off the court by 40 points tonight.

2-Unit Play. Take #760 Mississippi State (-7.5) over Kent State (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
I like Kent State. They are a real solid team from a real solid conference. But today's not their day. The Golden Flashes are much better at home than on the road. And they are facing a pissed off Bulldogs team that is coming off an ugly loss to New Mexico State. The Bulldogs just got Nick Weatherspoon back and they have had a week to prep for this final tune-up before SEC play. Their defense will be too much in this one and they should pull away late.

3-Unit Play. Take #763 Indiana State (-7) over Southern Illinois (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
Home court means everything in the Missouri Valley. And this young SIU team is going to get a taste of what that means in this game. This Southern Illinois team has been really, really unimpressive this year. They are starting three freshmen and just have too much to replace from last year's gritty veteran group. Of their six wins, five have come against teams rated No. 300 or worse and they haven't won a road game yet this year. Indiana State played a brutal schedule to start the season. But since then they have won seven straight and I like the direction this team is headed. Southern Illinois is an incredible 8-0 SU and ATS in the last eight meetings. They have swept this series four straight years! I think it is time for ISU to get some revenge.

7-Unit Play. Take #766 DePaul (-1) over Seton Hall (8:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
I really like this DePaul team and I think that they are going to be up for this game in a major, major way. This is the best DePaul team we've seen in several years and they actually have NCAA Tournament potential thanks to several impact transfers. DePaul has size, athleticism and experience, and they already beat a decent Texas Tech team here at home. Seton Hall is playing without two of its three best players. Without Myles Powell they are playing without one of the best players in college basketball. And while their big men and senior point guard Quincy McKnight can hold down the fort by relying on their defense, there simply isn't enough offensive pop for this team. DePaul does most of its damage from the perimeter and in transition. That should help limit Seton Hall's massive frontcourt. And in a game decided by the guards I like the home team's edge.

3-Unit Play. Take #778 Weber State (-10) over Idaho (9 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
This game should not be close. Weber State is just 4-8 this year and they lost their conference home opener. They are not in the mood to mess around here. Weber State has such a poor record because they've faced one of the top schedules in college basketball. I don't see a Big Sky title contender here. But they should be able to throttle a bad Idaho team. The Vandals are coming off a gut-wrenching loss to rival Idaho State (who is also terrible) and I think that they could have a letdown here. Idaho does not have a road win this year and really hasn't even been close. I think Weber State is better than it has played and I think Idaho is exactly as bad as it has played. I see a 20-point decision here.

3-Unit Play. Take #8740 South Carolina (-21) over Stetson (3 p.m., Monday, Dec. 30)
This should be a bloodbath. South Carolina has big wins over Virginia and Clemson in its last two games. I don't think they will letdown here. Stetson is one of the worst teams in college basketball. They've played one other team from a major conference (Ohio State) and lost by 35. And their only two other games against good teams (Kent State and FIU) they lost by 24 and 16, respectively. South Carolina is just way too big and way too strong. They have faced three teams this year rated No. 275 or worse. They won by 22, 34 and 27 points. The Gamecocks can pick their score.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #761 Louisiana Tech (-2) over Southern Miss (8 p.m.) AND Take #760 Mississippi State (-2.5) over Kent State (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #778 Weber State (-5) over Idaho (9 p.m.) AND Take #763 Indiana State (-2) over Southern Illinois (8 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #734 Akron (-4.5) over Massachusetts (7 p.m.) AND #736 James Madison (+8) over Northeastern (7 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe ncaab 12-30

4 Unit-Loyola-Chicago-3...
4 Unit-under-145.5 Wisc Milwaukee
3 Unit-Portland state-2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass first report: 700 western Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn


This RedBox Bowl game analysis had a typo, stating Illinois rather than California in the closing. I have corrected the brain-you-know-what. My apologies for any confusion.


Happy New Year and thanks for supporting me and the WagerTalk team.
______________


PLAY: Cal Golden Bears -6 (good to -7)
4% confidence rating


(249) ILLINOIS at (250) CALIFORNIA


The Bears (7-5) are in their second straight holiday bowl event and square off against the Fighting Illini (6-6) who are playing in their first bowl game since 2014


Cal lost to TCU in last year's Cheez-It Bowl -- a game that was a snooze-fest for those that watch football for offensive action. Last season's Cheez-game was in one of the lowest-scoring bowl games in the last 25 years. Illinois head coach Lovie Smith is on the verge of having his first winning season as the Illini bench boss.


This isn't being labeled as such but all things transparent it is... a home game for California. The Golden Bears have the versatility to be whomever they want on offense. They have a pair of quarterbacks that are interchangeable depending on their plan of attack and the opponent. Sophomore Chase Garbers and junior Devon Modster combined for 2,205 passing yards, 410 rushing yards, and 18 touchdowns. The bell cow in the offensive backfield is RB Christopher Brown Jr who’s is lightning of the offensive skilled players. The tailback posted 943 yards from scrimmage with 11 combined touchdowns.


Cal is, as the Illini are, defense-first. The Bears averaged 20.1 points and 323.0 yards per game


The Illini are led by quarterback Brandon Peters, running backs Reggie Corbin, Dre Brown, and Ra'Von Bonner. Smith's offense averages 27.3 ppg. Illinois went over the 30-point mark in six regular-season games but have faced but one defense as skilled and capable as the Bears.


The Illini rank near the bottom of most important offensive categories. They gained, on average, over 509 yards less against their opponents this year than the foe allowed on average.


Cal’s offensive efficiency, adjusted, places them in the plus-yardage category in each and every game this season. The Cal offense averaged only 323 yds per game but factoring in numbers, i.e. time of possession and others puts them on top of the Illini on both offense and defense. On the stop-side of the ball the Bears have an overwhelming advantage. And the offense is, for the first time this season, intact, healthy and ready to send QB Garbers behind center to start in this RedBox event -- a game in which Cal controls from start to finish and the best team and eventual winner in this holiday contest is never in question.


Both teams will surprise and score more than projected and do enough on defense to keep their teams competitive. But this resilient and surging Cal team will find a way to pull away from Illinois in a closely contested first half and close out a victory by margin in the end.


CALIFORNIA BEARS -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
Millionaires- Virginia +13