Tuesday 12-31-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Dec 31 '19, 2:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Florida State vs Arizona State
Play on: Florida State +4½ -110 at Mirage

1* on Florida State +4½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Dec 31 '19, 2:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Florida State vs Arizona State
Play on: Florida State +4½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Pick on Florida State +4½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 31 '19, 3:05 PM in 6h
NBA | 76ers vs Pacers
Play on: Pacers +2 -110 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Pacers +2 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Dec 31 '19, 3:45 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Kansas State vs Navy
Play on: Navy -2½ -110 at betonline

My free play is on Navy (Liberty Bowl) at 3:45 ET.
10-2 Navy (No. 23 in the CFP rankings) will take on unranked on Kansas State (8-4) in the Liberty Bowl on Tuesday. The two programs are used to playing in bowl games, as Navy will be appearing in its 15th bowl game in the last 17 years, while Kansas State will make its ninth bowl appearance in the last 10 seasons. 2018 was a bit of an anomaly for both schools, as neither played in a bowl game. Navy went just 3-10 and Kansas St 5-7 finished 5-7 in the swan song of iconic coach Bill Snyder, who retired for a second time after the season. Ken Niumatalolo led the Midshipmen to biggest turnaround of any FBS program from last season, while Chris Klieman, who led North Dakota St to four FCS national championships over the previous five seasons, guided the Wildcats to a tie for third place in the Big 12, the school's best finish in conference play since 2014.
The Wildcats are led by QB Skylar Thompson (2,191 passing yards and 402 rushing yards), who accounted for 22 TDs (12 passing, 10 rushing) this season and became the fourth player in school history with more than 4,000 yards passing and 1,000 yards on the ground. Gilbert is the team's leading rusher (698 yards / 5.2 YPA / 6 TDs) for a running game averaging 190.5 YPG (37th). The team's top-two pass-catchers are Schoen (35 catches) and Knowles (22) but both have excellent averages of 16.2 and 15.9 YPC. The Wildcats are averaging 30.7 PPG (54th) and the Kansas State defense allows 21.5 PPG (28th). Most impressively, the defense has been VERY opportunistic, ranking No. 1 nationally in third-down efficiency (25.9%), while holding 11 of 12 opponents below their season scoring averages.
Perhaps no team in the country has its fortunes tied to one player more than Navy, which features dual-threat QB Malcolm Perry Perry shattered a few single-season school records on his way to the 304-yard performance against Army, boosting his rushing total to 1,804 yards to eclipse the mark previously held by Napoleon McCallum, while also establishing a new standard with 2,831 yards of total offense. Perry's ninth consecutive 100-yard rushing performance and 10th of the season are also school records. RB Carothers is also a threat with 712 yards and 14 TDs. Overall, Navy averages a nation-best 363.8 YPG on the ground, averaging 6.1 YPA with 51 rushing TDs. Perry's outstanding game vs Army overshadowed a stellar effort by the defense, which limited Army to 148 yards of total offense. Navy allowed 33.5 PPG on 426.0 YPG last season but in 2019, has allowed just 22.8 PPG (38th) on 326.3 YPG (22nd).
Navy has won four of its last five bowl games and while this will be Klieman's first FBS bowl game, he has lots of postseason experience by winning four of the previous five FCS titles not to mention serving as an assistant to Craig Bohl for another three Bison FCS title winners. I respect K-St and Klieman but preparing for the Navy option is no easy task. Contrary to popular opinion, a couple of extra weeks is not always enough. It should also be noted that Niumatalolo has used extra prep times wisely in recent bowls, covering his last FIVE. At this price, I'm backing the team which features the most-dangerous player on the field and that's Navy with QB Perry.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Dec 31 '19, 5:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: OVER 222½ -110

** Featured Free Pick on New Years Eve **
The NBA Comp play at 5:05 eastern is on the Over 223 points in the LA. Clippers at Sacramento Kings game. This game fits a solid league wide totals system that goes over for rested home dogs like Sacramento that scored 110 or more and allowed 120 or more as a road dog in their last game, vs an opponent like LA that failed to cover by 7 or more at home in their last game. This system is 7 of 7 to the over. LA has gone over the last 3 as a road favorite in this range and the Kings are 4 of 4 over if they lost 6 or more games straight. Look for this game to play over the total. For the free pick. play the over in the LA vs Sacramento game. Rob V- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 31 '19, 6:05 PM in 9h
NHL | Maple Leafs vs Wild
Play on: UNDER 6½ -120

1* Free Sharp Play on Maple Leafs vs Wild under 6½ -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Dec 31 '19, 7:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Warriors vs Spurs
Play on: Warriors +9 -109 at GTBets

Warriors +9
New Year's Eve NBA betting action and we get the Golden State Warriors 9-25 (16-17-1 ATS) taking on the San Antonio Spurs 13-18 (11-19-1 ATS) at 7pm ET from AT&T Center.
Nearly winners of 5 in a row that Warriors are looking and playing much better. If you know which Spurs team we're going to get on Tuesday night it might be time for you to buy a lottery ticket. The Spurs have looked good at times and have looked terrible most of the other times, so it's not easy at all to handicap this team.
The way I see this one shaking down is D'Angelo Russell and Alec Burks are the difference makers. They are playing elite ball right now. Last game out Russell had 35 points on 13/21 shooting, and Burks threw down for 16 off the bench. Both provide extremely tough matchups and I think the Warriors can keep this one close on NYE. An added boost could be the return of rookie Eric Paschall who practiced Monday.
Some trends to consider. Golden State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games, and are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games against San Antonio. The Spurs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent in the Pacific division, and 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games.
I don't see the Spurs HOT shooters staying as hot as they were vs. Detroit. I think 9 is too many.
Play the Warriors +9.
Good Luck, Razor Ray
New Year's Eve 5* FREE NBA ATS Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Dec 31 '19, 8:05 PM in 11h
NHL | Jets vs Avalanche
Play on: Jets +165 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Jets +165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez

Dec 31 '19, 9:05 PM in 12h
NHL | Flyers vs Kings
Play on: Kings +110 at BMaker

NHL 75 DIME GAME
KINGS +110
Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Los Angeles. Follow the trend here. The Flyers are 6-2 on the road against the Kings. Great Value Play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

255FLORIDA ST -256 ARIZONA ST
FLORIDA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 in the last 3 seasons.

261TEXAS -262 UTAH
TEXAS are 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

285KENTUCKY -286 VIRGINIA TECH
KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 31

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FLORIDA ST (6 - 6) vs. ARIZONA ST (7 - 5) - 12/31/2019, 2:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS ST (8 - 4) vs. NAVY (9 - 2) - 12/31/2019, 3:45:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 181-134 ATS (+33.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 181-134 ATS (+33.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 81-46 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 178-141 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 178-141 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 76-49 ATS (+22.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA ST (7 - 5) vs. WYOMING (7 - 5) - 12/31/2019, 4:30:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS (7 - 5) vs. UTAH (11 - 2) - 12/31/2019, 7:30:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) on a neutral field where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
UTAH is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
UTAH is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
UTAH is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENTUCKY (7 - 5) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 4) - 12/31/2019, 12:00:00 P
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Trend Report

Tuesday, December 31

Virginia Tech @ Kentucky
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
Kentucky
Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Florida State @ Arizona State
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida State's last 9 games
Florida State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
Arizona State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Navy @ Kansas State
Navy
Navy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Navy is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
Kansas State
Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games

Georgia State @ Wyoming
Georgia State
Georgia State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
Georgia State is 7-12-4 ATS in its last 23 games
Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 5 games
Wyoming is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

Utah @ Texas
Utah
Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Texas
Texas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

Dec 31- Belk Bowl, Charlotte
Virginia Tech won three of last four games, covered five of last six; they’re 4-6 ATS in last ten games as a single digit favorite, 2-3 TY. Four of their last five games went under total. Hokies lost their last two bowls; their last bowl win was here, three years ago. Average total in their last five bowls: 70.8. Kentucky won four of last six DI games, running ball for 918 yards in last two; Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a single digit underdog, 2-2 TY- their last three games went over the total. Wildcats lost four of its last five bowls, with last two decided by total of four points. Favorites won seven of last eight Belk Bowls (6-1-1 vs spread), with average total of 60.5 in last six; ACC teams are 5-3 SU in last eight Belk Bowls.

Sun Bowl, El Paso
Florida State scored 31+ points in all six of its wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 31. Seminoles are 3-8-1 ATS in last dozen games as an underdog, 1-2-1 TY. FSU won three of last five bowls, scoring 33-42 points in last two- they didn’t go to a bowl LY, part of why they’ll have a new coach next year.. Six of their last eight games went under the total. Arizona State went 7-5 TY despite a 4-game skid near end of year; under Edwards, Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS as a single digit favorite. Four of their last five games went over. ASU plays a true freshman QB; they lost last three bowls and four of last five, giving up 38.8 ppg. Favorites won last five Sun Bowls, going 2-2-1 ATS, wth an average total of 51.8.

Liberty Bowl, Memphis
Navy won four of its last five bowls, covering last two tries when favored, scoring 44-45-49 points in last three. Middies won eight of their last nine games, with loss to Notre Dame; they ran ball for 375 yards in seven of their last eight games- they’re 22-13 ATS in last 35 games as a favorite, 6-1 TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Kansas State went 5-4 in Big X this year, they’re 5-1 ATS as a single digit underdog TY, after being 1-6 the previous four years. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Wildcats won last two bowls but stayed home LY; they scored 31+ points in four of last five bowls, with favorites covering four of those five games. Underdogs won four of last five Liberty Bowls SU, with average total of 63.2.

Arizona Bowl, Tucson
Wyoming lost three of last four games (scoring 15.3 ppg) after a 6-2 start; they’re 8-2 ATS in last ten games as a favorite, 4-1 TY. Wyoming completed fewer than 10 passes in eight games TY- they were held under 200 RY in last four games. Cowboys’ last six games went under the total. Wyoming won three of last five bowls, winning twice as a double digit dog; average total in their last five bowls: 51.2. Georgia State lost three of last four games after a 6-2 start; they’re 4-3 ATS as an underdog TY, after being 4-8-3 the previous two years. Panthers split their only two bowls, in ’15, ’17. Mountain West teams won three of four Arizona Bowls, three of which were decided by 6 or fewer points. Average total in those four games: 48.

Alamo Bowl, San Antonio
Utah was KO’d from national title hunt when Oregon smoked them in Pac-12 title game; whats their motivation here? Utah scored 30+ points in 10 of their 11 wins; they’re 1-2 scoring less than 30. Utes are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a single digit favorite, 3-2 TY. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Texas lost four of last seven games after a 4-1 start; Longhorns allowed 435+ TY in seven of their nine conference games. Texas is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog, 3-2 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Underdogs are 3-0-2 ATS in last five Alamo Bowls; this bowl was a push the last two years. Big X team won this game three of last four years; average total in last five Alamo bowls, 67.8.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season


Tuesday, December 31

Virginia Tech @ Kentucky

Game 285-286
December 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
99.636
Kentucky
94.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 5 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-2 1/2); Over

Arizona State @ Florida State

Game 255-256
December 31, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
89.973
Florida State
88.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 4 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+4 1/2); Over

Navy @ Kansas State

Game 257-258
December 31, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
94.323
Kansas State
98.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 4 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+2 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ Georgia State

Game 259-260
December 31, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
83.113
Georgia State
70.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 12 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 7
49
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(-7); Under

Utah @ Texas

Game 261-262
December 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
107.989
Texas
97.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 10
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
55
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7); Under