Wednesday 1-1-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000, IF FOR $30,000, ALLOWED 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 PUKALANI 6/1
# 9 GALIT JAK 9/2
# 1 GLORIOUS GAL 6/1

PUKALANI is my choice. Her earnings per start in turf sprint contests alone makes you take a look at her. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up lately under today's conditions. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed figure - 66 - of her last race. GALIT JAK - Her 69 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in this competition. Jaramillo will most likely be able to get this filly to break out early in this race. GLORIOUS GAL - Had one of the most competitive Equibase Speed Figs of this group in her last competition. Is difficult not to look at given the company run in as of late.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $31,300 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#4 A FABULOUS KISS (ML=10/1)
#5 HEAVEN SENT ANGEL (ML=7/2)
#6 SPEAK LIGHTLY (ML=6/1)
#2 FANCY KELLY (ML=5/1)


A FABULOUS KISS - This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on December 14th, finishing first. Filly won shipping here on December 14th and looks good right back. This filly's last speed fig registered on Dec 14th is tops in last race speed figs. HEAVEN SENT ANGEL - Smith tried her against the boys last time out. This should be a good spot. Trainer Smith moves this thoroughbred down in class to face a lower class of horses. Look for a solid race given the class advantage. Trainer, Smith, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track last time around the track. Under better track conditions, has a chance in this race. SPEAK LIGHTLY - A racer coming back this quickly after a sharp outing is a good sign. A win pct like 40 is fantastic for any jock/handler duo. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is solid. Ruberto drops her in this event fit and ready to go. FANCY KELLY - Smith has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half. Ranked numero uno in EPS (earnings per start). Another indication that this horse has class.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 TIZ WHAT (ML=2/1), #1A JERSEY BOUNCE (ML=2/1), #3 PSYCHOANALYST (ML=5/2),

TIZ WHAT - Hard to put your dough on this speedy one. Too much early speed in the race. This filly won last time, but probably won't do it today versus tougher competition. JERSEY BOUNCE - In the last affair this racer finished sixth. Doesn't bode well for her chances today. The speed figs continue to drop, 53/50/31. Not a good sign. All kinds of crazy speed on board for this affair. Almost no chance for this speedball. PSYCHOANALYST - Tough to play any horse in a short distance contest if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last two months. Earned a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last out in a Maiden Special race on October 12th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that number.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #4 A FABULOUS KISS on top if we're getting at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turfway Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#5 JOCKER JUSTICE (ML=7/2)
#4 LIZZY'S LURE (ML=7/2)


JOCKER JUSTICE - This gelding is in the top spot in earnings per race entered. Take a good look at this horse before the race. LIZZY'S LURE - This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's race is a shorter distance and should aid his chances of winning. You always have to be on the prowl for money making jock/handler combinations; we have one right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 CALM PACIFIC (ML=3/1), #3 ELWOOD'S ADVICE (ML=4/1), #9 HOWELL MOUNTAIN (ML=8/1),

CALM PACIFIC - Can't play this chalk horse off the long layoff. Just cannot bet on this mount. Didn't show me anything last time out or on August 18th. ELWOOD'S ADVICE - This equine doesn't have a winning spirit. Repeatedly finishes in the place and show hole. This questionable contender ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last race out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that rating. HOWELL MOUNTAIN - Hasn't been doing anything at all lately. Not probable that the speed figure he earned on Dec 1st will be enough in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #5 JOCKER JUSTICE to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13200 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 DANCE DUNE 8/1
# 4 GONEASAGIRLCANGET 4/1
# 6 ALL AMERICAN JEWEL 5/1

DANCE DUNE looks decent to best this field and is a very good value-based bet given the 8/1 line. With a reliable 52 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Has quite good speed figs and has to be considered for a bet for this event. GONEASAGIRLCANGET - The speed rating of 62 from her last race looks quite good in here. ALL AMERICAN JEWEL - Has performed solidly lately in route races, posting a nifty 55 avg Equibase speed fig. Gamblers have been noting speed increases from entries changing equipment (blinkers on today).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

01/01/20, SA, Race 1, 11.30 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $55,000.
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta / $0.50Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 1-2-3) - $0.50 Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5) - $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	12	Governance	4-1	Cedillo A	Baltas Richard	L
098.8551	8	Too Late(b-)	6-1	Gutierrez M	O'Neill Doug F.	S
098.5389	11	Forever Poe	6-1	Smith M E	Chatlos Don	JFEC
096.9654	5	(F)Jurgen	6-1	Rosario J	Sadler John W.
096.6098	9	K P All Systems Go	7/2	Baze T	Mullins Jeff
095.5879	1	Goalie	6-1	Prat F	D'Amato Philip
094.7952	3	Pure Carmine	8-1	Van Dyke D	Drysdale Neil D.
094.6268	2	Frasard (GB)	8-1	Bejarano R	Powell Leonard
093.9977	10	Spanish Count	15-1	Rispoli U	Baltas Richard
093.8877	4	War Path	15-1	Diaz. Jr. J	Baffert Bob	TW
093.4423	6	Above the Rainbow	20-1	Valdivia. Jr. J	Gallagher Patrick
092.9790	13	Fredericktown	20-1	Diaz. Jr. J	McCarthy Michael W.
092.7510	14	Ekklesia	20-1	Gutierrez M	Eurton Peter
091.2563	7	Dominant Soul(b+)	30-1	Pereira T J	Capestro Paula S.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.

12	4.20	9.20	1.42	40.00	2	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
8	4.20	9.20	1.42	40.00	2	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
11	4.20	9.20	1.42	40.00	2	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
5	4.20	9.20	1.42	40.00	2	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 4
1	13.00	9.20	1.54	50.00	6	12	*Actual Post 1
3	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
2	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
10	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
4	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
6	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
13	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
14	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8
7	13.80	9.60	2.38	60.00	3	5	Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 8

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.65, Win% 24.62
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	8	Too Late(b-)	6-1	Gutierrez M	O'Neill Doug F.	SF
099.6769	12	Governance	4-1	Cedillo A	Baltas Richard	L
098.5369	11	Forever Poe	6-1	Smith M E	Chatlos Don	JEC
097.4378	1	Goalie	6-1	Prat F	D'Amato Philip
096.5683	5	(F)Jurgen	6-1	Rosario J	Sadler John W.
095.8022	4	War Path	15-1	Diaz. Jr. J	Baffert Bob	T
095.5381	14	Ekklesia	20-1	Gutierrez M	Eurton Peter
095.5102	2	Frasard (GB)	8-1	Bejarano R	Powell Leonard
095.0609	9	K P All Systems Go	7/2	Baze T	Mullins Jeff
093.6757	10	Spanish Count	15-1	Rispoli U	Baltas Richard
093.5523	13	Fredericktown	20-1	Diaz. Jr. J	McCarthy Michael W.
093.5091	3	Pure Carmine	8-1	Van Dyke D	Drysdale Neil D.
092.9218	7	Dominant Soul(b+)	30-1	Pereira T J	Capestro Paula S.	W
092.3284	6	Above the Rainbow	20-1	Valdivia. Jr. J	Gallagher Patrick

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.

8	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
12	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
11	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
1	40.80	15.60	1.25	42.68	35	82	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
5	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
4	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
14	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
9	75.00	18.00	1.25	40.94	61	149	Not Third Race After 45 Days Off
10	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
13	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
3	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
7	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
6	54.40	18.00	1.31	37.50	33	88	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 1.12, Win% 42.27
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

01/01/20, GP, Race 7, 3.30 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $51,000.
Claiming Price $35,000 (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $35,000
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quiniela / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Shore Magic	8-1	Leparoux J R	Clement Christophe	FEC
099.6618	9	Gauguin (GER)	4-1	Jaramillo E	Mott William I.
098.2246	8	King of Spades	7/2	Juarez N	Breen Kelly J.	T
097.4134	6	Go Poke the Bear	5-1	Lopez P	Maker Michael J.	J
097.1374	1	Golden Decision	8-1	Gaffalione T	Walder Peter R.
097.1022	11	Duc de Calas (FR)	10-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Clement Christophe
096.5350	7	Im the Captain Now	6-1	Saez L	Tagg Barclay
096.4778	13	Cammack	10-1	Saez L	Gulick James M.
094.6188	3	Mantra	20-1	Bravo J	Vaccarezza Carlo	S
094.4049	5	Resident Liberal	15-1	Rendon J	Eppler Mary E.
094.2487	12	Lahinch	12-1	Maragh R	Orseno Joseph F.
093.4481	2	Discovered	30-1	Landeros C	Wilkes Ian R.	WL
093.3293	10	The Mighty Judge	30-1	Alvarado. Jr. R	Fuentes Mauricio

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

4	58.20	20.20	1.30	38.78	38	98	Last Race Was Same Jockey
9	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
8	58.20	20.20	1.30	38.78	38	98	Last Race Was Same Jockey
6	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
1	58.20	20.20	1.30	38.78	38	98	Last Race Was Same Jockey
11	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
7	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
13	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
3	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
5	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
12	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
2	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming
10	49.80	20.20	1.17	37.16	55	148	Race Type Not Claiming

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.97, Win% 27.66
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Shore Magic	8-1	Leparoux J R	Clement Christophe	SFEC
098.3297	9	Gauguin (GER)	4-1	Jaramillo E	Mott William I.
097.9790	8	King of Spades	7/2	Juarez N	Breen Kelly J.	T
097.5788	6	Go Poke the Bear	5-1	Lopez P	Maker Michael J.	J
096.8866	1	Golden Decision	8-1	Gaffalione T	Walder Peter R.
096.7043	11	Duc de Calas (FR)	10-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Clement Christophe
096.2540	7	Im the Captain Now	6-1	Saez L	Tagg Barclay
096.0935	13	Cammack	10-1	Saez L	Gulick James M.
094.4359	5	Resident Liberal	15-1	Rendon J	Eppler Mary E.
094.2259	3	Mantra	20-1	Bravo J	Vaccarezza Carlo	W
093.4399	12	Lahinch	12-1	Maragh R	Orseno Joseph F.
092.8648	10	The Mighty Judge	30-1	Alvarado. Jr. R	Fuentes Mauricio
091.1020	2	Discovered	30-1	Landeros C	Wilkes Ian R.	L

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

7	1.00	11.60	1.03	27.78	5	18	Last Race Was Different Jockey With A Better Win Percent

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 1.10, Win% 40.98

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Wizards +4
2. Gameday Network NBA – Timberwolves over 222.5
3. VegasSI.com CBB – Cincinnati -3
4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – Utah St over 135
5. Sports Action 365 CBB – SMU -6.5
6. Point Spread Report NBA – Knicks +4
7. Lou Panelli NBA – Suns +11.5
8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino CBB – Fresno St +13
9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Wizards over 219
10. William E. Stockton CBB – South Dakota under 145
11. Vincent Pioli CBB – Mercer +13.5
12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Timberwolves +18
13. SCORE NBA – Wizards +4
14. East Coast Line Movers CBB – Wyoming over 132
15. Tony Campone CBB – Utah St -7
16. Chicago Sports Group NBA – Trailblazers -4
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Colorado St +5.5
18. VIP Action CBB – Wofford +8
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Furman -12
20. Las Vegas Sports Commission NBA – Wizards +4
21. NY Players Club NBA – Suns +11.5
22. Fred Callahan CBB – The Citadel +7.5
23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club CBB – Marquette +3.5
24. Michigan Sports CBB – SMU over 126
25. National Consensus Report NBA – Trailblazers -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jan 01 '20, 1:00 PM in 48m
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Alabama
Play on: Michigan +8½ -110 at Bovada

Free Pick on Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Jan 01 '20, 1:00 PM in 48m
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Alabama
Play on: Michigan +8½ -115 at Bovada

Free Play on Michigan +8½ -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Jan 01 '20, 1:00 PM in 48m
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Auburn
Play on: OVER 53 -110

FREE PLAY on Minnesota/Auburn over 53 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Jan 01 '20, 1:00 PM in 48m
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Auburn
Play on: Minnesota +7½ -110 at Bovada

1* NCAAF Free Pick on Minnesota Golden Gophers +7½
I like the value here with Minnesota catching over a touchdown against the Tigers in the Outback Bowl. Points figure to be at a premium with these two teams, making the number here on the Gophers just too good to pass up.
As much love as this Auburn team is getting, I just wonder how motivated they are to play in this bowl game against a program like Minnesota that I can't imagine they have a ton of respect for. The Tigers ended their regular-season with a 48-45 win at home over rival Alabama.
A victory that kept the Crimson Tide out of the playoff. No disrespect to the Outback Bowl or the Gophers, but this game can't offer anything in terms of the satisfaction they got from beating Alabama.
On the other hand, P.J. Fleck and the Gophers have to be ecstatic to be playing in a bowl of this magnitude. They might be outclassed in terms of talent, but I think they will make a game of it with effort and execution. It would not surprise me in the slightest if they won outright. Take Minnesota!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Jan 01 '20, 1:00 PM in 48m
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Auburn
Play on: OVER 53 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Minnesota vs Auburn over 53 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Jan 01 '20, 2:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Predators vs Stars
Play on: UNDER 5½ -125

1 Dimer on Predators vs Stars under 5½ -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Jan 01 '20, 2:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Predators vs Stars
Play on: Predators +111 at betonline

The set-up: This is the 2020 Bridgestone NHL Winter Classic. The Preds come in hungry here after back-to-back home-and-home losses to the Penguins. Overall Nashville is averaging 3.45 GPG and allowing 3.29. Goaltender Pekka Rinne is 16-12-12 with a 2.73 GAA lifetime vs. the Stars. Dallas has won two straight, but it still comes in averaging only 2.63 GPG, while allowing 2.48.
The pick: The road team has won in five of the last six between these clubs and Nashville is 6-2 in its last eight as a road underdog. I think the Predators are the hungrier side today and I think they're definitely worth a second look in this contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jan 01 '20, 3:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | South Dakota vs IUPU Ft Wayne
Play on: IUPU Ft Wayne +1½ -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on IUPU Ft Wayne +1½ -109
The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (7-8) can abolish their losing record with a win this afternoon against the South Dakota Coyotes (9-6).
South Dakota is three games clear of .500, but they’ve dropped three contests in a row entering today’s game. The Coyotes have now allowed 75 points or more in 10 of their 15 games played. Most recently, South Dakota fell to Western Illinois by a score of 82-75.
On average, the Coyotes are scoring 76.3 points while allowing 73.3 points per game.
Both Tyler Hagedorn and Stanley Umude are averaging more than 17 points and six rebounds per game for South Dakota.
Purdue Fort Wayne is coming off a pair of losses to Iowa State and IUPUI, but those defeats followed a run of five wins out of six contests. The Mastodons have scored 77 points or more on six occasions this season. Fort Wayne has allowed 60 points of fewer five times.
On average, the Mastodons are scoring 70.5 points while allowing 68.8 points per game.
Fort Wayne’s top two scorers, Jarred Godfrey and Brian Patrick, are both shooting 47% or better from the field. Godfrey leads the team with 15.9 points per game, and Patrick is adding another 12.9 points per game.