Monday 1-13-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:20 AM

283CLEMSON -284 LSU
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

283CLEMSON -284 LSU
LSU is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game in the current season.

283CLEMSON -284 LSU
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after going under the total in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:21 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Championship

Clemson @ LSU

Game 283-284
January 13, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
126.659
LSU
123.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 3 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 6
69
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(+6); Over

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:21 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Monday, January 13

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CLEMSON (14 - 0) vs. LSU (14 - 0) - 1/13/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEMSON is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:26 AM

Hot & Not - Title Game Angles
Matt Blunt

The wait between the semifinals and national title game this year is gigantic, but that's probably exactly how Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney wants it. Can you imagine the type of rhetoric he'd spew if he were in the Big 10, and had just a week to prepare for a ranked Big 10 team like say Michigan, and then followed that up a week later with a game against a ranked Big 10 team like Wisconsin, as Ohio State had to do this year. There is little chance Clemson would even sniff a winning streak like the one they've currently got going, and the absurdities coming out of Swinney's mouth would be hysterical.

Instead, the guy who continually complains his program gets no respect, gets to cruise through a eight-game conference schedule (opposed to nine games for nearly every other conference) in the weakest Power 5 conference there is, and then parlays that into multiple weeks to prepare for Ohio State, and then multiple weeks to prepare LSU in this title game. One, that Clemson may not even be in had they not been given a gift of an overruled fumble return TD that would have likely put the hole they were in against the Buckeyes too deep to come out of...

You've got to give it to Swinney though, as his rhetoric is highly persuasive for those that seemingly can't see through it, and who knows, maybe one day soon we will see either a nine-game ACC schedule for the conference, or multiple ACC teams crack a Top 25 ranking when they face the Tigers in regular season play. That way, Clemson won't spend 75% of their football season feasting on cupcake opponents and can't parlay that into routine playoff appearances and absurd rhetoric from Swinney.

But in the interest of fairness, Clemson did beat who was put in front of them (again, something Swinney has a hand in), and find themselves with a chance to win 30 straight games and be the first college football program to defend their College Football Playoff national title. The breaks they have gotten might be outrageous, but you've still got to be a good football team to get to this point, and Clemson has been here two years in a row.

And while a month ago I did lay out this piece and this piece, outlining past stats and trends to keep in consideration for the CFB Playoffs, it doesn't hurt to do one more now that the two teams playing for the title are set. And in the interest of fairness, I'll outline situations/stats that work both for and against each team involved.

Who's Hot

In favor of LSU – Teams in the National Title game that finished the regular season with a worse turnover margin per game are 5-0 ATS in the championship game during the playoff era

In terms of outright winners, Alabama's the only program to win a national title with a better turnover margin per game then their opponent, as they did so when they beat Georgia and Clemson in this game. But the latter two teams there did cover the spread as underdogs in those games, to go along with Clemson being on the lower end of this stat line in their two national championship wins, as was Ohio State in the inaugural playoff.

This year's game sees Clemson – who finished +1 in turnover margin per game in the regular season – going up against LSU – who finished +0.8 in turnover margin per game in the regular season -puts this historical edge on the side of the Bayou Bengals.

Who knows, maybe it has been a case of the turnovers drying up against elite competition for these strong turnover margin teams, but while the angle of “the Heisman winner never wins the national title” likely getting spewed to death this week, this is an angle that does favor LSU and quarterback Joe Burrow's squad.
In favor of Clemson – National title teams that finished the regular season with more rushing yards per game are 4-1 SU in playoff era
Not only a stat that suggests taking the points with Dabo Swinney's crew, but one that points to them defending their title as well.

College football is something where talent definitely matters, as the better teams have the better players, and because of that, they can often play “bully ball” against lesser foes and just simply beat them by running the ball down their throat. That mantra doesn't necessarily apply to a national title game, but what it does help in this case, is letting the team that's ultimately more confident and more reliant in their running game to establish some rhythm, dictate the tempo, and possibly wear down the will of their foe.

I'm not sure the latter will happen here given that LSU's defense did face stiffer tests on a weekly basis with their SEC schedule, but if Clemson can use their rushing attack (239.1 yards per game in regular season) to sustain long drives and potentially let a layer of rust form on Burrow and that LSU offense, a repeat champion is what we could end up seeing.

Who's Not

In favor of Clemson – Backing the team with a worse opponent yards per play number has you 1-4 SU in national title games during the playoff era

Clemson finished the year tied with Ohio State atop the country in opponent yards per play at 3.7. LSU managed to post a 4.9 opponent yards per play number this year which was 25th in the country. Historically, that's a good spot for Clemson to be in, but I'm not entirely sold on this trend this season as I would have been in year's past. And it speaks to the quality of competition these two teams faced this year as well as how their games played out.

Not only was Clemson able to rack up great defensive numbers against the offensively challenged ACC, but LSU's numbers are likely skewed a bit worse then they should be given how many times they packed it in in the 2nd halves of games they firmly had in control. That's on top of LSU facing much better competition overall. Clemson had plenty of time for their second stringers in games they had firmly in control as well, but even those second stringers were much better then the starters they were up against most of the time in ACC play, so it is what it is for Clemson here.

But the saying “defense wins championships” always has some level of truth to it, and Clemson did hold an Ohio State team that averaged 6.8 yards per play this year to just 5.8 yards per play in that semi-final game. Again, that overturned fumble return completely flipped the momentum of that semi-final game, so who knows how things would have been different if that had stood, but this was info found and something that is a solid piece of supporting evidence for those already looking at the Clemson side. I'm just not sure I'd put that much weight into it this year.

In favor of LSU – National Championship teams that lost the time of possession battle in their semi-final game are 0-2 SU in the title game during the playoff era
Again, another stat that doesn't hold extraordinary weight here, especially since it's only occurred twice – Oregon in 2014 and Georgia in 2017 – and the ATS record for both of those sides is split at 1-1 ATS. It's also something that can be highly relative to the opponent faced in the semis, and without question, Clemson had the harder test in getting by Ohio State, compared to LSU's contest vs Oklahoma.

Clemson did lose the time of possession battle 33:27 to 26:33 in that semi-final game, while LSU won the ball control game against Oklahoma with a 32:58 to 27:02 edge. Every single national champion in the playoff era won the time of possession battle in their respective semi-final game, so for those that may be looking at potential ML plays, this is a check that goes LSU's way.

Final point

Going back to this piece from a month ago, I discussed how every past national champion in the playoff era did finish the regular season with at least 5 ATS defeats. That works in LSU's favor for this game, and let's not forget the second point I made in that ATS record section of that piece:
The team with the best regular season ATS record has been the runner-up in each of the last three years and four of the five playoff seasons overall.
We will have to wait and see if that holds true once again this year, as it would with an LSU outright win. Clemson and their 10-3 ATS record during the season could end up following in the footsteps of those past programs to come up short in this game.

The point-spread is always the great equalizer though, and with this year's number holding relatively steady at LSU -5.5 since it opened, could we see the same scenario that we have in the odd numbered years (as to when season started, not date of title game) of these playoff games in the past – the favorite wins the game outright but the underdog covers....

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:27 AM

NCAAF

Championship

Trend Report

LSU Tigers
Louisiana State is 11-3-2 ATS in its last 16 games
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Louisiana State's last 17 games

Clemson Tigers
Clemson is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:28 AM

NCAAF

Championship

Clemson is 9-2 SU in its last 11 bowl/playoff games (10-1 ATS), despite being an underdog in nine of the 11 games; this is 4th time in last five years they’re playing for national title, winning the title two of last three years. Clemson had been a double digit favorite in every game this season until the Fiesta Bowl, when Ohio State outgained them by 99 yards. Clemson was down 16-0 but rallied to win behind soph QB Lawrence, who is unbeaten (25-0) as a college starter. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Joe Burrow had seven TD passes in his last game….at halftime- they threw for 532 yards in their 63-28 thrashing of Oklahoma. LSU has only three wins this year by less than 14 points- they beat Auburn/Alabama in consecutive games, by 3-5 points, and beat Texas 45-38 back in September. LSU gave up 409 PY to Texas, 418 to Alabama. LSU won four of its last five bowl/playoff games, they won the ’07 national title, lost the ’11 title game. Bayou Bengals are 13-7-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a single digit favorite. Four of their last six games went over.

Underdogs covered the last five national title games, winning three of them SU; New Orleans site obviously favors LSU; Clemson lost Sugar Bowl here to Alabama (24-6) two years ago.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:28 AM

If you're betting LSU, here are five prop picks you need to take in the CFP Championship
Jason Logan

Clyde Edwards-Helaire picked up 325 receiving yards between Week 9 and the SEC title game, helping the Tigers average 45 points per game in that span.

The LSU Tigers have plenty of supporters heading into Monday’s CFP Championship Game against the Clemson Tigers. In fact, the belief in the Bayou Bengals has taken the spread for the national title game and run it up from LSU -3.5 to as high as -6.

If you’re among the masses shouting “Geaux Tigers” - and not “Go Tigers” - with a ticket on LSU in hand, you’ll want to look at these prop and derivative picks for Monday’s matchup.

They’re all tied to aspects of the game vital to Louisiana State’s championship hopes. Good luck!

LSU -0.5 FIRST QUARTER

Louisiana State is at its best when it kicks in the door and does damage right out of the gate.

The Tigers traded touchdowns with Oklahoma before closing out the first quarter with a 21-7 lead in the Peach Bowl. Against Georgia in the SEC Championship, LSU only needed six minutes to find the end zone and held a 14-0 lead after one frame. And, versus Alabama, the Tigers jumped out to a 10-0 lead and were ahead 10-7 after 15 minutes of action.

Clemson’s defense has been especially stingy in first quarters, allowing an average of just 2.1 points in the frame on the year. However, the Tigers (Clemson, that is) have softened a bit in recent opening quarters, giving up a touchdown to Virginia in the ACC title game and watched Ohio State run out to a 10-0 lead in the first quarter of the Fiesta Bowl.

Clemson knows it can’t afford LSU to find a rhythm and get ahead on the scoreboard early, which would force the reigning national champs to pass more and turn away from a run-heavy playbook – which is likely their best “defense” against the LSU offense.

If the Bayou Bengals can buckle Clemson’s knees early on, LSU will have its opponent right where it wants it.

TREVOR LAWRENCE UNDER 52.5 RUSHING YARDS

When Clemson does drop back to pass against a dangerous LSU secondary, Louisiana State can’t let the Tigers off the hook by allowing QB Trevor Lawrence to create something out of nothing when plays break down.

Lawrence sparked Clemson’s comeback against the Buckeyes with 107 yards on the ground, including a 67-yard touchdown run. He’s only gone over this 52.5-yard total just three times all season, but they’ve all gone in the past five games, so Lawrence absolutely has his legs under him.

Louisiana State did a good job containing Oklahoma QB Jalen Hurt to 43 yards rushing on 14 carries (thanks in large part to forcing the Sooners to play from behind) but did get rolled by Ole Miss dual-threat QB John Rhys Plumlee for 212 yards on the ground in Week 12.

Keep Lawrence contained and don’t let him make magic on broken plays.

CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRE OVER 50.5 YARDS RECEIVING

Edwards-Helaire gave Tigers backers a scare in the Peach Bowl, injuring his hamstring in practice a week before the game. And while he was healthy enough to play against Oklahoma, he was limited in action, carrying the ball just twice for 14 yards.

Edwards-Helaire has looked healthy in practice leading up to the CFP Championship, which is good news for LSU bettors. Not only was CEH one of the best running backs in the country down the stretch – posting 686 yards rushing in the final five regular season games – but he became a top target in the passing game as well.

He has 399 yards receiving on 50 grabs and LSU’s offense has been extra explosive when he gets thrown in the mix. He picked up 325 of those receiving yards between Week 9 and the SEC title game, helping the Tigers average 45 points per game in that span, which includes games versus Auburn, Alabama, Texas A&M and Georgia.

If CEH can get loose versus Clemson and break off some big gains after the catch, LSU offense will be extremely tough to figure out.

JUSTIN JEFFERSON OVER 8.5 RECEPTIONS

Joe Burrow was the star of the Peach Bowl, but the effort put in by Justin Jefferson should not be discounted. The Tigers junior WR caught 14 balls for 227 yards through the air, with four of those grabs going for touchdowns.

If Ja'Marr Chase is LSU’s No. 1 receiver, then Jefferson has emerged as a verified No. 1-A after catching fire – and everything else – down the stretch of the regular season. He’s scored a touchdown in five straight games (nine total in that span) and has led the Tigers to receiving in both postseason matchups, with 115 yards on seven receptions against UGA.

Clemson is the top-ranked passing defense in all the land but has given up some bigger gains in its past two outings: allowing Ohio State to throw for 320 yards through the air in the Fiesta Bowl and giving up 283 yards passing to Virginia in the ACC Championship.

Clemson will have to pick its poison when it comes to LSU’s receiving options – Chase, Jefferson, TE (and son of Randy) Thaddeus Moss – and Jefferson enters with the hot hands.

JOE BURROW OVER 27.5 COMPLETIONS

Louisiana State winning the CFP title doesn’t hinge on Burrow having a huge day, but it sure as hell would be easier if he did.

The Heisman winner is absolutely burning up opposing defenses and saved his best two performances for the postseason: completing 28 passes for 349 yards and four TDs versus Georgia and connecting on 29 passes for 493 yards and seven TDs against Oklahoma.

As mentioned, Clemson has given very little to opposing passers all season, holding 11 foes to 17 completions or less including six opponents to single-digit completions. They did allow 24 completions for 236 yards in a Week 2 win over Texas A&M and watched both Virginia and Ohio State complete 30 throws in the previous two games.

Burrow has topped this 27.5-completion total six times this season, including five times in LSU’s last seven outings. Books have his Over/Under passing yards at 365.5 for the title game and given his average of about 14 yards per completion, you’re looking at 26 estimated completions versus Clemson.

If Joey Heisman can do two better against this Tigers secondary, then it should be a good day for “Burreaux” and LSU.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:29 AM

1981JACKSON ST -1982 SOUTHERN U
SOUTHERN U is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

1983BOSTON U -1984 LOYOLA-MD
LOYOLA-MD is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997.

1985N CAROLINA A&T -1986 DELAWARE ST
N CAROLINA A&T is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

1989S CAROLINA ST -1990 HOWARD
HOWARD is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

1991NC CENTRAL -1992 MD-EAST SHORE
MD-EAST SHORE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

1995MISS VALLEY ST -1996 ALABAMA A&M
ALABAMA A&M is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

1997GRAMBLING -1998 ALCORN ST
GRAMBLING is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts since 1997.

1999ARK-PINE BLUFF -2000 ALABAMA ST
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1997.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:29 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, January 13

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PORTLAND ST (8 - 9) at MONTANA (8 - 8) - 1/13/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSON ST (4 - 11) at SOUTHERN U (3 - 13) - 1/13/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSON ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSON ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSON ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSON ST is 3-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN U over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN U is 3-2 straight up against JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON U (9 - 8) at LOYOLA-MD (9 - 8) - 1/13/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 52-81 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON U is 2-1 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON U is 3-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA A&T (6 - 11) at DELAWARE ST (2 - 14) - 1/13/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA A&T is 2-1 against the spread versus DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA A&T is 5-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MORGAN ST (8 - 10) at BETHUNE-COOKMAN (8 - 9) - 1/13/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MORGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons
MORGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA ST (6 - 8) at HOWARD (2 - 15) - 1/13/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOWARD is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOWARD is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
HOWARD is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
HOWARD is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
HOWARD is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOWARD is 1-1 straight up against S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons

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NC CENTRAL (5 - 11) at MD-EAST SHORE (2 - 15) - 1/13/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MD-EAST SHORE is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MD-EAST SHORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MD-EAST SHORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC CENTRAL is 2-0 against the spread versus MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons
NC CENTRAL is 4-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COPPIN ST (4 - 14) at FLORIDA A&M (3 - 11) - 1/13/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus COPPIN ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA A&M is 1-1 straight up against COPPIN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISS VALLEY ST (0 - 14) at ALABAMA A&M (5 - 9) - 1/13/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA A&M is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA A&M is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA A&M is 2-2 straight up against MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GRAMBLING (9 - 7) at ALCORN ST (5 - 9) - 1/13/2020, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GRAMBLING is 1-0 against the spread versus ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
GRAMBLING is 4-0 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARK-PINE BLUFF (2 - 13) at ALABAMA ST (2 - 14) - 1/13/2020, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 3-1 straight up against ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:29 AM

NCAAB

Monday, January 13

Montana-Portland State split their last six meetings; Vikings won in Missoula LY for first time in last ten tries. Underdogs covered six of last seven series games. PSU lost three of last four road games, are 2-3 SU in Big Sky, where opponents are shooting 59.6% inside arc against Vikings. Six of their last eight games stayed under. PSU is experience team #18 that is the 6-9 vs schedule #164. Montana won four of its first five Big Sky games, winning first two home games by total of nine points. Grizzlies are experience team #224 that is 7-7 vs schedule #51.

Home side won seven of last eight Boston U-Loyola games; Terriers won seven of last ten series games, but lost last three visits to Loyola, by 8-2-8 points. BU won six of its last seven games overall, losing by 4 at American in its only Patriot League road game; Terriers are experience team #202 that is 8-8 vs schedule #275. Greyhounds lost their last three games after an 8-5 start; Loyola is experience team #221 that is 8-8 vs schedule #333, 0-7 vs teams ranked in top 200. Greyhounds are one of the worst rebounding teams in the country.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:30 AM

NCAAB

Monday, January 13

Trend Report

Portland State @ Montana
Portland State
Portland State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland State's last 5 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montana is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Portland State

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:30 AM

557PHILADELPHIA -558 INDIANA
INDIANA is 511-449 ATS (17.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs since 1996.

559NEW ORLEANS -560 DETROIT
NEW ORLEANS are 78-48 ATS (25.2 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

561CHICAGO -562 BOSTON
BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing >=16 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

563OKLAHOMA CITY -564 MINNESOTA
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

565CHARLOTTE -566 PORTLAND
CHARLOTTE is 28-56 ATS (-33.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

569CLEVELAND -570 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:30 AM

NBA

Monday, January 13

76ers-Pacers
Philly lost its last five road games (0-4-1 ATS); home side is 7-0-1 ATS) in their last eight games overall. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Indiana lost five of its last eight games; they’re 5-2-1 ATS in last eight home games. Indiana’s last nine games went over.

76ers won four of last six games with the Pacers; they’re 2-2 ATS in last four trips to Indiana. Underdogs covered five of last seven series games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Pelicans-Pistons
New Orleans won seven of its last ten games; they’re 7-2 ATS in last nine road games. Last eight Pelican games went over. Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they lost six of last seven home games SU. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Pelicans won seven of last ten games with Detroit; they covered three of last four visits to the Motor City. Last four series games stayed under.

Bulls-Celtics
Chicago lost six of its last seven games; they’re 6-2-2 ATS in last ten road games. Four of their last five games went over. Boston lost three of its last four games; they’re 1-4 ATS in last five homie games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight home games.

Bulls lost eight of last ten games with the Celtics; they’re 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Boston (over 3-1).

Thunder-Timberwolves
OKC won 11 of its last 14 games; they’re 3-1 ATS as a road favorite. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Minnesota won five of its last nine games; they won/covered their last three home tilts. Wolves’ last four games went over the total.

Thunder lost seven of last ten games with the Wolves (2-8 ATS); they’re 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota. Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.

Hornets-Trailblazers
Charlotte lost ten of its last 12 games; they’re 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog. Four of their last six road games went over. Portland lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 6-8-1 ATS as a home favorite. Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Hornets lost their last five games with Portland; they’re 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Oregon. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.

Magic-Kings
Orlando won four of its last six games; they’re 1-4 ATS in last five games as a road underdog. Under is 9-1 in their last ten games. Sacramento won three of last five games; they’re 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Magic lost their last five games with the Kings; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Sacramento. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Cavaliers-Lakers
No word on James/Davis, who missed LA’s last game (check status) Cleveland won its last two games, covered last three; they covered four of last five road games. Five of their last six games went over. Lakers won their last eight games; they’re 11-7 ATS at home. Under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

Cavaliers won eight of last ten games with the Lakers; they’re 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-13-2020, 08:31 AM

NBA

Monday, January 13

Trend Report

Philadelphia @ Indiana
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

New Orleans @ Detroit
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Chicago @ Boston
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Chicago's last 25 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City

Charlotte @ Portland
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Orlando @ Sacramento
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

Cleveland @ LA Lakers
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Monday 1-13-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 1-13-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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