Saturday 1-18-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #31
    Chip Chirimbes

    Chip's FREE NCAA Winner

    TCU vs. Oklahoma, 01/18/2020 14:00 EDT

    Point Spread: +3½/-110 TCU

    Sportsbook:
    TopBet

    Chip's FREE NCAA Winner
    TCU at Oklahoma 2:00 ET
    Horned Frogs (+) over Sooners- Both of these Big-12 clubs are off of disappointing losses as TCU was hammed by West Virginia 81-49 and the Sooners fell at home to Kansas. Although Oklahoma is 11-5 SU on the season they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall and the Horned Frogs have been no prize against the number and are 6-9 ATS on the season. TCU's head coach is smarting from the worst loss of his coaching career and will have his toads leaping for the ball and they will need to and I'll tell you why. The Sooners are 12-3 in the series and have won the last four and they are 12-0 all-time against the Horned Frogs at Lloyd Noble Center. But, this line is short for a reason...take TEXAS CHRISTIAN!
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #32
      Tony Brown

      Tony’s *5 star NBA free play

      Phoenix vs. Boston, 01/18/2020 19:00 EDT

      Point Spread: -6½/-115 Boston

      Sportsbook:
      Bookmaker

      Fp: Celtics a tough out at home taking 16 of the 20 games so far this season . Vs a suns team who has struggled all season especially away from home I like Boston to win and cover for my nba free play
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #33
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

        Louisiana Downs - Race 6
        Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
        Stakes • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 96 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 3:00P
        QUARTER HORSE 350Y, BILLY MONTGOMERY S. - FOR ACCREDITED LOUISIANA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT: 124 LBS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $125 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $125 TO START. $25,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. PREFERENCE TO HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST LIFETIME EARNINGS AT TIME OF ENTRY. DIFFERENT OWNERS WILL HAVE EQUAL DRAW ACCORDING TO EARNINGS. THE SECOND PART OF A SAME OWNER ENTRY WILL HAVE NO CONSIDERATION OVER A SINGLE INTEREST. FAILURE TO DRAW INTO THE RACE CANCELS ALL FEES. LOUISIANA DOWNS WILL PRESENT A TROPHY TO THE WINNING OWNER. NOMINATIONS CLOSED SATURDAY, JANUARY 4, 2020 WITH 25 NOMINEES.
        Contenders
        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds

        Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS REDWHITEANDBLUE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. MS DIAMOND PRIZE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. PATRIOT ON ICE: Horse's win perce ntage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. RH JESS MOMO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HEZ JESS A CARTEL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
        8
        JESS REDWHITEANDBLUE
        7/2
        6/1
        1
        MS DIAMOND PRIZE
        5/2
        7/1
        7
        PATRIOT ON ICE
        5/1
        7/1
        6
        RH JESS MOMO
        15/1
        7/1
        9
        HEZ JESS A CARTEL
        10/1
        8/1

        P#
        Horse (In Running Style Order)
        Post
        Morn
        Line
        Running Style
        Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure
        Finish Figure
        Platinum
        Figure
        1
        MS DIAMOND PRIZE
        1
        5/2
        Average
        92
        90
        5.4
        0.0
        0.0
        2
        EYEONDAPRIZE
        2
        20/1
        Average
        75
        66
        4.3
        0.0
        0.0
        3
        GLAZEE
        3
        8/1
        Fast
        86
        83
        3.2
        0.0
        0.0
        4
        STRUT FOR PETES SAKE
        4
        5/1
        Fast
        88
        87
        2.6
        0.0
        0.0
        5
        A QUICK JEWEL
        5
        12/1
        Average
        81
        84
        5.2
        0.0
        0.0
        6
        RH JESS MOMO
        6
        15/1
        Average
        96
        88
        5.3
        0.0
        0.0
        7
        PATRIOT ON ICE
        7
        5/1
        Fast
        92
        82
        1.0
        0.0
        0.0
        8
        JESS REDWHITEANDBLUE
        8
        7/2
        Fast
        91
        91
        3.0
        0.0
        0.0
        9
        HEZ JESS A CARTEL
        9
        10/1
        Fast
        92
        87
        2.7
        0.0
        0.0
        10
        SPEEDY PILOTO GEE
        10
        15/1
        Fast
        86
        75
        3.1
        0.0
        0.0
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #34
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



          Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 5
          $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent mimimum wager $1 Pick Four
          Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 93 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 7:52P
          QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. 124 LBS(NO SEX ALLOWANCE).
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CIRCLE CITY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SACRED NATION: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. SENOR FROGS: Horse 's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ZOOM ON JESS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. APOLLITICAL BRED: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
          7
          CIRCLE CITY
          4/5
          5/1
          1
          SACRED NATION
          4/1
          6/1
          3
          SENOR FROGS
          7/2
          7/1
          5
          ZOOM ON JESS
          6/1
          9/1
          4
          APOLLITICAL BRED
          20/1
          10/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          1
          SACRED NATION
          1
          4/1
          Average
          97
          93
          4.3
          0.0
          0.0
          2
          CELTIC MIRACLE
          2
          20/1
          Slow/Trouble-prone
          85
          82
          8.2
          0.0
          0.0
          3
          SENOR FROGS
          3
          7/2
          Fast
          89
          91
          1.2
          0.0
          0.0
          4
          APOLLITICAL BRED
          4
          20/1
          Average
          91
          87
          5.1
          0.0
          0.0
          5
          ZOOM ON JESS
          5
          6/1
          Fast
          89
          88
          2.4
          0.0
          0.0
          6
          FEARLESS N FAVORITE
          6
          20/1
          Slow
          81
          69
          9.3
          0.0
          0.0
          7
          CIRCLE CITY
          7
          4/5
          Fast
          94
          93
          1.7
          0.0
          0.0
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #35
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.




            Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $23500 Class Rating: 98

            FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR

            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 4 COLTRANE 3/1
            # 5 EPIC (ARG) 5/1
            # 1 AND WON 9/2
            COLTRANE supports the wager in here. Lately Centeno has been hot which may give the edge to this gelding. Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 92 speed figure which is one of the most competitive in this group of animals. EPIC (ARG) - Looks very strong for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in turf route races recently. AND WON - Recorded a competitive speed fig last time out. Lately Granitz has provided players with a formidable winning percentage with horses racing in turf route races.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #36
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Aqueduct - Race #1 - Post: 12:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 65

              Rating:

              #8 JUDITHS COUGAR (ML=8/1)
              #5 COMBAT RIBBON (ML=3/1)
              #3 FORTUNE FOUND (ML=4/1)


              JUDITHS COUGAR - As the only speedy sort in the race, I expect this gelding to be long gone. COMBAT RIBBON - Diaz and Sacco perform well when they are put together. It's hard to beat a +48 ROI for a rider and trainer. FORTUNE FOUND - Trainer Hennig moves this horse down in class to face weaker company. Look for a nice effort given this drop. Rider jumped on this colt's back for the first ride on December 13th. Should know the animal even better this time around. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track in the last race. Without a sloppy track, has a fair chance in today's race.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SKIPIN ON ORCHARD (ML=5/2), #6 TIPAZO (ML=9/2), #1 NUMBER ONE DILLON (ML=6/1),

              SKIPIN ON ORCHARD - Never really did much at all last race out on Nov 17th. Hard to bet on today. TIPAZO - Finished third in his most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. NUMBER ONE DILLON - Not probable that this animal will finish better than he did last out when placing seventh.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #8 JUDITHS COUGAR is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: 8 with [3,5]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [3,5,8] Total Cost: $6
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #37
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Turf Paradise - Race #1 - Post: 12:40pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 79

                Rating:

                #7 PANSHIR (ML=5/2)
                #1 YUMA THURMAN (ML=15/1)


                PANSHIR - When Cruz and Silva join forces on horses the win percent has been tremendous at 31. I predict an ideal trip. Stalk the early speed, and pounce on the turn. YUMA THURMAN - Although it's been awhile, this mare won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think she could run back to that old form today. Trainer, Fulmer, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Just missed hitting the board on Jan 1st at Turf Paradise. With decent morning line odds today, she has my interest.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FELDY (ML=4/5), #5 LIEUTENANT MARGIE (ML=5/1), #4 SHE GOT AWAY (ML=8/1),

                FELDY - Have to be particularly concerned about the recent trend and awesome speed fig in the January 1st race. It was this mare's best at that distance and this one should bounce today. LIEUTENANT MARGIE - Ran irregularly on January 1st. Be leery this time out. You always figure that this horse has a shot to be the victor, but she falters regularly. SHE GOT AWAY - In the last affair this pony finished eighth. Doesn't look good for her chances this time around. Disappointing speed figure last time around the track at Turf Paradise at 4 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #7 PANSHIR to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/2 or better though
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,7]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                None
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #38
                  Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                  01/18/20, GP, Race 10, 4.06 ET
                  1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 STAKES. Purse $150,000.
                  $1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 10-11-12)
                  Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                  100.0000 7 Muggsamatic 4-1 Lopez P Servis Jason JT
                  098.6971 2 Curlin's Honor 9/2 Castellano J Casse Mark E. SC
                  098.5441 9 March to the Arch 7/2 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. E
                  097.0448 11 Galleon Mast 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Fawkes David
                  096.8093 4 Souper Scat Daddy 12-1 Jaramillo E Casse Mark E. FW
                  096.3570 3 Scraps 10-1 Rendon J Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.
                  095.9719 8 Second Mate 10-1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J.
                  095.9701 6 Class and Cash 8-1 Maragh R Cibelli Jane
                  095.7879 10 Roddick 8-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Alvarado Juan
                  095.4852 5 Jais's Solitude 10-1 Bravo J Kenneally Eddie
                  094.2275 1 Max K. O. 20-1 Saez L Falcone. Jr. Robert N. L
                  After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                  Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.
                  7 91.80 20.20 1.49 44.68 42 94 Last Race Was Same Jockey -with-
                  Race Purse Greater Than $25K
                  2 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  9 91.80 20.20 1.49 44.68 42 94 Last Race Was Same Jockey -with-
                  Race Purse Greater Than $25K
                  11 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  4 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  3 91.80 20.20 1.49 44.68 42 94 Last Race Was Same Jockey -with-
                  Race Purse Greater Than $25K
                  8 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  6 91.80 20.20 1.49 44.68 42 94 Last Race Was Same Jockey -with-
                  Race Purse Greater Than $25K
                  10 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  5 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  1 7.80@ 14.60 1.04 35.11 33 94 Race Purse Greater Than $50K
                  Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 1.15, Win% 29.79
                  @ Profit has been averaged for multiple race types.
                  If Race Is Off Turf

                  Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                  100.0000 7 Muggsamatic 4-1 Lopez P Servis Jason JT
                  098.7771 9 March to the Arch 7/2 Gaffalione T Casse Mark E. E
                  098.6669 2 Curlin's Honor 9/2 Castellano J Casse Mark E. SC
                  097.4241 11 Galleon Mast 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Fawkes David
                  097.0033 3 Scraps 10-1 Rendon J Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. W
                  096.8749 4 Souper Scat Daddy 12-1 Jaramillo E Casse Mark E. F
                  096.5693 8 Second Mate 10-1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J.
                  095.8850 6 Class and Cash 8-1 Maragh R Cibelli Jane
                  095.5317 5 Jais's Solitude 10-1 Bravo J Kenneally Eddie
                  095.3272 10 Roddick 8-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Alvarado Juan
                  094.4225 1 Max K. O. 20-1 Saez L Falcone. Jr. Robert N. L
                  After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                  Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.
                  No Profitable Conditions For Any Horse
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #39
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 69

                    FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 PA BRED HORSES MAY WAIVE THE CLAIMING PRICE IN THIS RACE BUT SHALL CARRY AN ADDITIONAL 3LBS IF RUNNING FOR THE WAIVER.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 2 CRAIGGER 8/5
                    # 6 HIDE THE RANSOM 5/2
                    # 8 AFLEET MELODY 10/1
                    I back CRAIGGER here. Could provide positive gains based on very good recent speed figures with an average of 64. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Demasi have shown sharp results lately. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved sharply to the lead recently. HIDE THE RANSOM - Looks very strong against this field and ought to be one of the front-runners. Ran a strong last race. AFLEET MELODY - With a quite good 62 speed rating last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #40
                      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



                      01/18/20, SA, Race 7, 3.37 PT
                      1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.39.01 STAKES. Purse $200,000.
                      $1 Exacta /$0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 7-8-9) - $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
                      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      100.0000 8 Fast Enough 6-1 Pereira T J Becerra Rafael SFW
                      098.6369 1 Bettor Trip Nick 5/2 Martinez C Delia William
                      098.3247 9 Big Returns 5-1 Fuentes R O'Neill Doug F. EC
                      097.7917 6 Rookie Mistake 8-1 Gutierrez M O'Neill Doug F. L
                      096.6125 7 Indian Peak 10-1 Hernandez J J Howey Quinn JT
                      096.0337 3 Sacred Rider 12-1 Cedillo A Specht Steven
                      095.8673 5 Club Aspen 3-1 Velez J I Lewis Craig Anthony
                      095.5014 4 Summer Fire 6-1 Smith M E Hess. Jr. Robert B.
                      094.3395 2 Dapper(b-) 20-1 Franco G Stute Gary
                      After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                      Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to SA.
                      8 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      1 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      9 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      6 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      7 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      3 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      5 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      4 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      2 94.10 19.80 1.23 37.25 76 204 Race Sex Not Females
                      Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 1.15, Win% 42.27
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #41
                        Pure Lock NCAA Basketball BOISE STATE BRONCOS +2
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #42
                          Shadow Sports Syndicate NCAA Basketball GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS ‑7
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #43
                            Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Basketball BAYLOR BEARS ‑5.5
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #44
                              Moneyline Hunter NHL CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS +180
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #45
                                Team Underground NCAA Basketball DUKE BLUE DEVILS ‑8
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