Service Plays Saturday 1/18/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports CBB Saturday

2 Ohio state pick
3 Florida -2
7 USC -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

5 Star Baller

Western Kentucky -6

[king Louie 5th]

Bondi tia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

PURDUE +6
PURDUE @ MARYLAND | 1/18 | 2:00 PM EST
12:02 PM
It's been nearly a full week since Purdue stomped Michigan State at home, and most of the public seems to believe the Boilermakers are in a natural letdown spot Saturday against Maryland. Although undefeated at home, the Terrapins are flawed and the program is showing an alarming trend of peaking early in the season before fading late. They outplayed Wisconsin most of the way only to come up short. The clearly superior team is getting a decent handful of points here.

5-2 IN LAST 7 MD ATS PICKS | +273

7-4 IN LAST 11 PURDUE ATS PICKS | +264

MIAMI (FLA.) +6
FLORIDA ST. @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 1/18 | 1:00 PM EST
11:59 AM
Florida State comes off a hard-fought win at the wire against Virginia to face Miami on a fast turnaround. The Hurricanes are coming off a dismal performance against N.C. State and have even more motivation to give a strong performance against their in-state rival.

4-2-1 IN LAST 7 FSU ATS PICKS | +182

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Peabody’s picks:
Wisconsin GB
South Carolina
NC st
Missouri st
K st super pick

We take:
Detroit
Texas A&M
Clemson
Evansville
West Virginia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo cbb

2-Unit Play. Take #603 Seton Hall (-4.5) over St. John's (Noon)
I'm going to keep riding Seton Hall. They are the best team in the Big East and coming off a nice win at Butler. They've won seven straight games overall and I think they will take down their rivals here. St. John's has been playing over its head all season long and they will come down to reality sooner rather than later.
3-Unit Play. Take #608 Pittsburgh (-3) over North Carolina (Noon)
Things have been going terribly wrong for North Carolina. It's only going to get worse on the road. They haven't played a true road game in a month. And after three straight dispiriting home losses I don't expect more effort outside of Chapel Hill. Roy Williams is right: this is just a bad basketball team.
3-Unit Play. Take #613 Illinois-Chicago (-2) over IUPUI (Noon)
UI-C is better than its record suggests. This team wasn't healthy during the nonconference. But now that they have their seniors back in the fold this team is going to be a tough out. They proved that with their win over Wright State last weekend. IUPUI is a mess right now and is just a really bad team. The Flames should hold it together enough to pick up a road win.
3-Unit Play. Take #616 Villanova (-9.5) over Connecticut (Noon)
Connecticut is a try-hard team. But they don't have enough shooters and their guards are underwhelming. Losing Tyler Polley was a huge blow because he was by far the team's best shooter. They simply don't have the firepower to hang around in a game like this. And if they can lose by double-digits at Cincinnati and at South Florida they can definitely lose by double-digits at Villanova.
2-Unit Play. Take #626 DePaul (+4) over Butler (1 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
I think that this is a letdown spot for Butler. They are coming off a huge game against Seton Hall that they lost, and now they have to go on the road with a giant target on their backs. DePaul has lost four straight games. But they have played really well against a brutal schedule and they are due for a marquee win. I think they get it here.

2-Unit Play. Take #634 Florida (-2) over Auburn (1:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
Auburn is coming back to reality a bit after their hot start. They are coming off an emotional game against rival Alabama and now have to go back on the road to another tough SEC venue. Florida has been overrated all season long. But they are still a decent team and they are always tough in their own gym.
2-Unit Play. Take #635 Dartmouth (+12) over Harvard (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
Neither team has played in a couple weeks so it is tough to know what they are going to bring to the table in this one. But Harvard has been a disappointment for most of this season and they have struggled against big numbers like this. I think the Crimson will win, but they won't be able to run it up here against a feisty Dartmouth team.
2-Unit Play. Take #638 North Carolina State (-6.5) over Clemson (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
This is a major letdown spot for the Tigers. They are not a good team and they played out of this world against Duke. They are going to come crashing back to reality here.
4-Unit Play. Take #651 West Virginia (-5.5) over Kansas State (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
I had this number closer to 8.5. Kansas State does have a nice home court edge. But they just aren't very good. WVU has been in no-screwing-around mode all season long and Huggy Bear won't let them have a mental lapse here. West Virginia has been good away from home this year and I think that they will roll in the second half of this game.
2-Unit Play. Take #654 Oklahoma (-3) over TCU (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)

I'm going to keep going against TCU. I think that this team is overrated. They have played a joke of a schedule. And after getting slapped around in Morgantown they have to make a tough trek out to Norman to finish up their road trip this week. The Sooners have lost two straight so they will be focused for this game. And I think that OU is the better team in this one.
7-Unit Play. Take #670 VCU (-9) over St. Bonaventure (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
VCU should be able to bounce back here after their blowout loss at Dayton. That game was closer than the final score suggests. VCU has been absolutely terrible ATS this year. But they are due for a maiming. The Bonnies have won four straight and 11 of 12. However, those wins have come against a bunch of nobodies. This is a really young team - they start five sophomores and have two freshmen off the bench - and I think VCU will take advantage.
3-Unit Play. Take #673 Richmond (-2) over George Mason (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
This is a really good, experienced Richmond team going up against a young, erratic George Mason group. I think the Patriots have actually overachieved this season. However, they have lost four of their last five games and haven't looked good in the process. Richmond is experienced and methodical and I think that they are legit. They will get this win.
4-Unit Play. Take #691 Oregon (-2) over Washington (3:45 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
Washington is dealing with some serious personnel issues. Quade Green is out and Jaden McDaniels didn't play earlier this week because of an ankle issue. That's two starters for a team that doesn't use its bench at all. Washington has lost four of six and they are pointed in the wrong direction. I think that Oregon is going to bounce back after their dud at Washington State. This team is too good to lose two in a row to inferior opponents.
2-Unit Play. Take #695 Northern Arizona (+10.5) over Northern Colorado (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
1-Unit Play. Take #700 South Alabama (-1) over Georgia Southern (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
South Alabama laid an egg against Georgia State on Thursday. However, I don't see them losing to both State and Southern - at home - in the same weekend.
3-Unit Play. Take #714 Wichita State (-4) over Houston (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)

This line seems way off. Wichita State has been fantastic at home. And Houston, for as talented as they are, hasn't exactly been a world beater on the road. Betting on Wichita State in their home gym is never a bad idea and I think that they will get another W here.
1-Unit Play. Take #740 UT-Martin (+4.5) over Austin Peay (5 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #757 Northern Iowa (+1) over Bradley (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 136.5 Northern Iowa at Bradley (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
Bradley is coming off a bizarre game against Missouri State. They were up 10 points at the half. Then they fell behind by 11 points midway through the second half. Then they outscored Missouri State 33-12 in the final 10 minutes to win by 13. They shot 17-for-30 from 3-point range in that game. They aren't going to do that nonsense again. This one will be played in the 50's and low 60's and Northern Iowa will grind out another W.

4-Unit Play. Take #766 USC (-2) over Stanford (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 18)
Stanford is coming off a win over UCLA. But UCLA stinks. Now they are playing a real team and I think they will take one on the chin. Stanford is 15-2 and their numbers look real good. But they haven't played anyone. And they haven't done a single thing on the road this year. This is only their third road game of the season. And the first two came against San Jose State and UCLA. USC has beaten some good teams this year. They are more talented offensively and they have the home court edge. I'll go with the Trojans.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI/Esparza

3 Unit Play. Take #643 Over 129.5 Ohio at Eastern Michigan (2:00p.m., Saturday January 18 ESPN3)
The Ohio Bobcats are averaging a little over 70ppg their last 6 games and the Bobcats have struggled dropping 4 out 5 games. EMU has also dropped 4-Straight and 6 out 7 so defense could be flown out the window and I see this total cashing this afternoon. Ohio is 4-1 O/U following a ATS win and the EMU is 7-1 O/U following a ATS loss.


4 Unit Play. Take #766 USC -2 over Stanford (6:30p.m., Saturday January 18 PAC-12)
A fantastic PAC-12 Conference matchup tonight at Galen Center and something will have to give tonight. The home team Trojans has won 9 out 10 and the Stanford Trees are 4-1 on the road. What will give tonight? USC two nights ago beat the Cal Bears 88-56 and the Trojans dominated the game from the start. Tonight I see this game being closed from the tip but late in the second half I see USC pulling away and winning by 4 points or more. The home team in this series is 5-1 ATS and again the Trojans squeaked out a home cover.

5 Unit Play. Take #819 Over 154 BYU at Gonzaga (10:00p.m., Saturday January 18 ESPN2)
Tonight at McCarthey Athletic Center the Gonzaga Bulldogs welcome the BYU Cougars. We will see tons of points being scored tonight in Washington and the Zags are coming off a 104-54 win at home against Santa Clara. BYU is red hot coming to Washington as the Cougars have won 8 out 9 and they have cashed 5 out 6 'Over' tickets. The Zags to win this game and I see this total flying 'Over'! BYU is 5-0 O/U as a road underdog and the Gonzaga Bulldogs are 11-2 O/U following a SU win. Let's also throw in that the Bulldogs are 16-5 O/U last 21 games and wouldn't shock me to see both teams hit the 80 mark.

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI - NBA (won 9 in a row)

6 Unit Play. Take #559 Over 234.5 Los Angeles Lakers at Houston (8:35p.m., Saturday January 18)
Last night we cashed our 'Over' ticket with the Miami Heat/Oklahoma City Thunder game and tonight we see more fireworks hitting the scoreboard in Houston. The Lakers come to the Toyota Center cashing 4-Straight 'Over' games and King James has been dropping assists left and right. Houston has been struggling on offense as of late especially J. Harden but tonight both teams will be playing up-tempo games and this total flies 'Over'. The Lakers are 5-2 O/U as a road underdog and the Houston Rockets are 5-2 O/U following a double-digit loss at home. Let's also throw in that the last 13 meetings between these two teams 10 of them have gone 'Over'.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

KENTUCKY +1.5
KENTUCKY @ ARKANSAS | 1/18 | 4:00 PM EST
1:08 PM
Kentucky frittered away a sizable second-half lead in a loss Wednesday to South Carolina by going soft on the boards. The tree-tall Wildcats should dominate in that area against Arkansas, which sometimes deploys an all-guard lineup. The Razorbacks boast the country’s lowest defensive three-point percentage, but Kentucky does not rely on the three so its offense should not be hampered. Take the Cats.

3-1 IN LAST 4 UK ATS PICKS | +187

2-1 IN LAST 3 ARK ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (555) Toronto Raptors at (556) Minnesota T\'wolves
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Toronto Raptors -5.0 (-110)

View Analysis

3% Take Toronto (#555). Teddy's write-up will be posted here before noon Pacific Time.

Game: (633) Auburn at (634) Florida
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 1:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Florida -2.0 (-108)

View Analysis

4% Take Florida (#634)

Auburn just lost their first game of the year, blown out in Tuscaloosa against the Crimson Tide earlier in the week. This is a team that has not truly been battle tested on the highway – their previous true road games came at South Alabama, where they never sniffed a pointspread cover and at struggling Mississippi State. I expect them to lose again in a hostile environment today.

Auburn is a ‘bet-on’ team against foes that are going to try to run with them. But when the Tigers face an opponent with strong guard play primed to slow the pace and avoid easy transition buckets – a team like Florida -- they’re in for trouble. Today’s competition is going to be much tougher for an Auburn squad that is, quite simply, an overvalued commodity in the betting markets right now after their unsustainably hot start to the season.

The Gators have lacked consistency this year, but they’re ‘bet-on’ all the way in a step-up game at home. This team got a real wake-up call last weekend in a blowout loss at Missouri; bouncing back strong with a double digit blowout over Ole Miss earlier in the week. They’ve shown plenty of ‘refuse to lose’ on this floor already this season; undefeated in Gainesville since a loss to Florida State back in October. Cheap price to lay…..Take Florida

Line Parameter: 4% at -3 or lower, 3% at -3.5 or higher

Game: (755) New Mexico at (756) UNLV
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 6:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: UNLV -6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

3% Take UNLV (#756). Teddy's write-up will be posted here before noon Pacific Time.

Game: (817) New Mexico State at (818) Seattle U
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 10:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New Mexico State -4.0 (-110)

View Analysis

3% Take New Mexico State (#817). Teddy's write-up will be posted here before noon Pacific Time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Chuck

Game: (621) South Carolina at (622) Texas A&M
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Texas A&M -125

View Analysis

Line is crazier than hell...I played the spread but because people I don't think are terrible at their jobs are oppo me here I will be "safer" and go with a pure W...but not only am I offended by the opening line considering the Ags are 5-1 last 6 ATS and USC is off a bank shot 3 point buzzer beater over Cal & Co. I have this right in the 65-55 range...and USC beat UVA as a big upset and then failed to cover the following game by 25 points!



Game: (563) Portland Trail Blazers at (564) Oklahoma City Thunder
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.0 (-108)

View Analysis

Line is already shitting out on us...damnit

-6.5/-7 I would still play this at 5% with the -6 being a spread I'd rate even higher than 5%

-8 or more I would start easing off...and 4% is a better investment...but would still play 4% at -9



Adams ended up sitting last night in the front end of a B2B both at home...after being listed, then removed from the injury report...then downgraded...then OUT! Confusing as hell to play the NBA with this happening...but I leaned the Heat either way and would have played them HARD had we gotten a decent gambling chip from OKC info-wise.

Now we stand tonight with both these teams on no rest, finishing B2B tonight off losses...OKC at home and Portland in Dallas...where CJ left the game with an ankle and didn't return...Dame was sick...and the short bench gets shorter with Trent out as well.

Hard for me to think Adams isn't a go tonight...and maybe even close to 100% after sitting last night in what must be nothing very serious even listed as "knee".

Thunder are 6-0 ATS this season on no rest, will be at mostly full strength outside of Nader...assuming Adams goes, who is down there to wreak havoc on Whiteside while SGA and CP3 anf Schroder all go for 20+ each...with Gallo there to possibly be a 4th against a poor, fatigued, shorthanded Blazer defense more shorthanded on offense to keep up with an impressive OKC offense....also this is the final meeting and OKC needs to secure a season split...and the Thunder are in NO position to F around with ANY games...wide spread, home, or not...for this wildly right West playoff race.

Thunder win this by double digits going away similarly to the last meeting in December 108-96...or worse!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Veno

BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (549) Phoenix Suns at (550) Boston Celtics
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Boston Celtics -6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (561) Orlando Magic at (562) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 8:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 214.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (559) Los Angeles Lakers at (560) Houston Rockets
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 8:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 233.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (563) Portland Trail Blazers at (564) Oklahoma City Thunder
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (713) Houston U at (714) Wichita State
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 138.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (717) Hofstra at (718) Coll of Charleston
Date/Time: Jan 18 2020 4:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 144.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports CBB Saturday

6 BYU +12.5

These are all 4 units:

JMU +8
Air Force pk
UTSA -1
Vandy +5
USC -2
LBSU -1.5
Grand Canyon +1
Idaho +13
Miami Ohio -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass first report :

400 Florida
400 vcu
300 Toledo

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive Sports

400 Oregon St -4
300 UMass -5 1/2
300 UT Arlington -4
300 Western KY -6