Monday 1-27-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[rocky57]

Big Ray Sports (Spooky Express) - CBB Comp Play - Sacramento State/Northern Arizona Under 125

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Jesse Schule

Jan 27 '20, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs NC State
Play on: OVER 146 +100

This is a 1* free play on Over 145.5.
The Tar Heels have fallen on hard times, with one of the worst records in the ACC this season. They had lost five straight before beating Miami 94-71 at home over the weekend. It was a nice win for a struggling team, but it was also the fifth time in six games that they gave up at least 70 points. History tells us that we could see a high score when these North Carolina rivals meet. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone over the total, and all of those games had a total higher than 160. We should see both teams score over 70 points here on Monday night.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jan 27 '20, 7:08 PM in 9h
NHL | Capitals vs Canadiens
Play on: Canadiens +115 at sportsbook

Free Pick on Canadiens

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Bobby Conn

Jan 27 '20, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Mavs vs Thunder
Play on: Mavs -1½ -110 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on Mavs -1½ -110

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Hunter Price

Jan 27 '20, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Mavs vs Thunder
Play on: Mavs -1½ -110 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Mavs -1½ -110

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Mike Lundin

Jan 27 '20, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Mavs vs Thunder
Play on: Mavs -1½ -110 at 5Dimes

MIKE'S MAVS @ THUNDER FREE PICK
The Dallas Mavericks have one of the best road records in the league at 15-6, and I like their chances to win and cover the small number when visiting Oklahoma City Monday night.
The Thunder have admittedly played pretty well of late, coming off five straight wins with underdog wins against Houston, Orlando, and Minnesota during that stretch.
This is a tough spot though as they'll be playing their third game in four nights and note that the Mavs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings with OKC.
Free pick on Dallas Mavericks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Jan 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 10h
NHL | Lightning vs Stars
Play on: Lightning -128 at betonline

Lightning -128
The Tampa Bay Lightning (29-15-4) take on the Dallas Stars (27-17-4) on Monday night as the NHL returns to action for the second half of the season. The Bolts are currently -128 (Opened at -129) road favorites and the Over/Under is set at 5.5 (Opened at 6). This one faces off at 8pm ET from the American Airlines Arena in Dallas.
We're expecting Ben Bishop (16-10-2 2.28 GAA) in net for Dallas and Andrei Vasilevskiy for the Lightning. (24-9-2 2.54 GAA). Last game out Bishop allowed three goals on 15 shots in relief of Anton Khudobin in Saturday's 7-0 loss to the Wild. For Vasilevskiy last game out he stopped 30 of 31 shots in Friday's 7-1 win over the Jets, and has now won 10 straight starts, and has a .917 save percentage in 35 games.
I just don't see the Stars being able to shut down Killhorn in this one, and he is my X-factor Monday. Killhorn is second on the team with a career high 20 goals thus far, he plays on the first PP unit and his a general thorn in the side of every team that faces him. He just gets it done. At one point he was on pace for 26 goals, 41 assists, and 67 points. All three would shatter his career highs.
Throw in Stamkos (4G last 3 games) and Kucherov who has has now got the team lead with 22G after scoring 5x times in the last 3 games, and his 54 points, and you've got a recipe for success on Monday night. Big D has to stay out of the penalty box or they're cooked.
Some trends to consider. Tampa Bay are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games, are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Dallas, and are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games this season. Head to head the favorite is 6-2 in their L8 matchups, and lastly the Lightning are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.
Play the Lightning up to -138.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Monday 5* FREE NHL ML Play

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Totals Guru

Jan 27 '20, 8:08 PM in 10h
NHL | Lightning vs Stars
Play on: UNDER 6 -120

Free Total Annihilator On Lightning vs Stars under 6 -120

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Larry Ness

Jan 27 '20, 8:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Wisconsin vs Iowa
Play on: Iowa -5½ -105 at BMaker

My free play is on Iowa at 8:30 Et.The Iowa Hawkeyes opened 2020 by losing Jan 4 to Penn St in Philly and then lost at Nebraska ('Huskers are currently just 7-13). That dropped the Hawkeyes out of the AP poll but FOUR straight wins, THREE vs ranked opponents, has Iowa back in the top-25 (No. 19 and likely to move up in the new poll released Monday afternoon). The 14-5 Hawkeyes are 5-3 in the Big Ten, 1 1/2 games back of co-leaders Illinois and Mich St (7-2), as well as a half-game back of 6-3 Maryland and Rutgers. Visiting Iowa City on Monday will be 12-8 Wisconsin, which has dropped two of its last three games to become one of NINE Big Ten teams to have at least four conference losses.
Wisconsin has been to the "Big Dance" in 20 of the last 21 seasons and while the Badgers lost the 6-10 Happ (17.3 & 10.1) and a solid guard in Iverson (6.9 & 4.5) from last season's 23-win NCAA team, the Badgers have a solid returning core. The 6-11 Reuvers (13.8 & 5.2) may not be Happ but he's a quality man. Joining him front is the 6-8 Ford (7.7 & 3.6) and 6-10 Ohio St transfer Micah Potter, who became eligible in December and has averaged 9.5 & 5.4 in 10 (Badgers are 7-3 since he joined the team). Wisconsin has a deep backcourt in King (10.0), Trice (9.1-4.1-3.4), Davison (8.9 & 4.6) and Pritzel (7.4 & 3.3). Trice and Potter each scored 11 points vs Purdue but is was nowhere near enough as the Badgers lost their fourth straight in Mackey Arena under head coach Greg Gard, 70-41. Reuvers added 10 points and Brevin Pritzl had eight, but no player finished with more than four rebounds as Wisconsin lost the battle of the boards 42-16,
Head coach Fran McCaffrey came to Iowa back in the 2010-11 season (off three straight NCAA trips with Siena). His 2013 team was the NIT runner-up and he then led the Hawkeyes to three straight NCAAs. Iowa missed the "Big Dance" the next two years but last year's 23-win team was back in. The Hawkeyes opened 1-3 in Big Ten play but have won FOUR in a row. The 6-11 Luka Garza (23.2 & 10.3) scored a team-high 28 points to go along with 13 rebounds and four blocked shots to record his 11th double-double of the season as the Hawkeyes shot 52.7 percent from the floor in an 85-80 win against Rutgers. The 6-10 Ryan Kriener (8.0 & 4.2) joins Garza up front and Iowa will have NO problem matching Wisconsin's depth on the perimeter. Sophomore guard Joe Wieskamp (15.0 & 6.0) and freshman PG Fredrick (10.9 & 3.1 APG) lead the way but Toussaint (6.9) and Connor McCaffrey (6.5-4.6-3.6) are quality performers (note: McCaffery is ranked third nationally in assist-to-turnover ratio at 3.83).
Wisconsin has won EIGHT of the last 10 meetings with Iowa but the Badgers are playing back-to-back road games for the FIRST time this season. Take a close look at Iowa, as the Hawkeyes are 7-1-2 ATS their last 10 games. Lay the points.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Jan 27 '20, 9:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Kansas vs Oklahoma State
Play on: Oklahoma State +8 -109 at GTBets

The Cowboys typically play Kansas tough here. In fact, the Jayhawks haven't beaten the Cowboys by more than five, when OSU was listed as the home team, since way back in 2012. The Cowboys gained some confidence with a much-needed win at Texas A&M last game. Obviously, a win tonight would be huge. They're 7-3 ATS the last 10 times that they were home underdogs in the 6.5 to 12 point range. I expect them to leave it all on the floor in this one. Consider grabbing the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Jan 27 '20, 9:05 PM in 11h
NBA | Rockets vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -10½ -110 at 1BetVegas

1* Free Sharp Play on Jazz -10½ -110

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Will Rogers

Jan 27 '20, 10:08 PM in 12h
NHL | Blues vs Canucks
Play on: Blues -120 at BMaker

The set-up: It was this time last year that Jordan Binnington and the Blues "upped their game" and then plowed their way to a Stanley Cup trophy. This season St. Louis has been the "cream of the crop" from the "get go" and I believe it'll come in focussed on the task at hand tonight. Vancouver is atop the weak Pacific Division and all signs point to it have its hands full tonight.
The pick: While Vancouver went into the break with a 4-1 win over the Sharks, the Blues went into the All Star game with a 5-3 loss to the Avs. Both teams are dealing with injuries, so that area is a "wash" in my opinion. Note though that St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine Western Conference road games after three or more days of rest, while Vancouver is just 3-6 in its last nine home games as an underdog in the +105 to +125 range. I like Jordan Binnington to out-play Jacob Markstrom in net. Look for the defending champs to post a win to open up the second half. Consider the visitors in this one.
1* FREE PLAY on the St. Louis Blues.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

The Big Monday betting doubleheader on ESPN features a pair of interesting matchups in the ACC and Big 12 conferences.

The struggling North Carolina Tar Heels head on the road to tangle with the in-state rival North Carolina State Wolfpack. The backend game is a battle between the No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks and the Oklahoma State Cowboys in Stillwater.

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack
(ESPN, 7 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: N.C. State -5.5, Total 146

Betting Matchup

It has been a rough season for the Tar Heels at 9-10 straight-up but they did manage to hammer Miami on Saturday 94-71 as 6 ½-point home favorites. They are now 2-6 SU in ACC play with a 3-5 record against the spread. The total went OVER 144 ½ points against the Hurricanes and it has gone OVER in six of North Carolina’s last seven games. Brandon Robinson scored a career-high 29 points in Saturday’s win. He is one of four players with at least 10 points per game.

The Wolfpack (14-6) are 5-4 SU in conference play following a 64-58 loss to Georgia Tech on Saturday as slight 1 ½-point road underdogs. They are 4-5 ATS as part of a 10-9-1 record against the closing number. NC State has gone 3-5-1 ATS over its last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER in its las six outings. There are five different players with at least 10 points a game led by senior guard CJ Bryce. He was held to zero points in 26 minutes against Georgia Tech.

Betting Trends

-- The Tar Heels are 2-8 SU in their last 10 road games as underdogs with the total staying UNDER in seven of those games. However, they have covered in four of their last six games on the road getting points.

-- The Wolfpack have won their last 10 home games SU as favorites with a 5-4-1 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of those 10 games.

-- North Carolina has won the last three meetings (SU and ATS) as part of an 8-2 SU (6-4) record in its last 10 games against NC State. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five matchups in this heated in-state rivalry.


No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys
(ESPN, 9 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Kansas -8.5, Total 134

Betting Matchup

In their first game since a brawl led to multiple player suspensions, the Jayhawks held off Tennessee 74-68 on Saturday as part of the annual Big 12/SEC Challenge. Kansas (16-3 SU, 11-8 ATS) failed to cover as a 13-point home favorite as part of a 4-2 record ATS in its last six games. The total has gone OVER in its last two games after staying UNDER in the previous seven contests. Devon Dotson ended Saturday’s game with 22 points. The sophomore guard leads the Jayhawks in scoring this season with 18.4 PPG.

The Cowboys are still looking for their first Big 12 win this season against six straight losses. They did snap that six-game losing streak (SU and ATS) with Saturday’s 73-62 victory against the SEC’s Texas A&M Aggies as two-point road favorites. The total has now gone OVER in five of Oklahoma State’s (10-9 SU, 7-12 ATS) last seven games. Solomon Young had the hot hand on Saturday with a career-high 27 points playing off the bench. Rasir Bolton added 21 points to the winning cause.

Betting Trends

-- The Jayhawks have won their last four road games both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in their last six games on the road.

-- The Cowboys are 5-5 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games after losing their last three games at home SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six home games.

-- Kansas has won the last three meetings SU with the 2-1 edge ATS. Oklahoma State has the slight 6-4 edge ATS over the last 10 meetings with the total going OVER or ending as a PUSH in five of the last six matchups.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

865N CAROLINA -866 NC STATE
NC STATE is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the current season.

867SACRAMENTO ST -868 N ARIZONA
N ARIZONA is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days in the last 3 seasons.

869WISCONSIN -870 IOWA
WISCONSIN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.

871KANSAS -872 OKLAHOMA ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% over the last 2 seasons.

873N COLORADO -874 E WASHINGTON
E WASHINGTON is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after a win by 6 points or less since 1997.

1327LEHIGH -1328 AMERICAN
AMERICAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts in the current season.

1329FLORIDA A&M -1330 NORFOLK ST
Robert Jones is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week (Coach of NORFOLK ST)

1329FLORIDA A&M -1330 NORFOLK ST
FLORIDA A&M is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

1331BETHUNE-COOKMAN -1332 S CAROLINA ST
BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when the line is +3 to -3 in the last 3 seasons.

1333HOWARD -1334 COPPIN ST
HOWARD is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

1335MORGAN ST -1336 MD-EAST SHORE
MORGAN ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

1337DELAWARE ST -1338 N CAROLINA A&T
N CAROLINA A&T is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=20%) over the last 2 seasons.

1341ARK-PINE BLUFF -1342 TEXAS SOUTHERN
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

1343ALABAMA ST -1344 ALCORN ST
ALCORN ST is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% since 1997.

1345MISS VALLEY ST -1346 PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.