Service Plays Tuesday 1/28/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

5* NBA - Phoenix @ Dallas Under 226.5
projection 222

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

NEW YORK +1.5
NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE | 1/28 | 7:00 PM EST
4:09 PM
The Hornets have lost eight in a row and could be fatigued from their European trip. New York is on the upswing, at least when considering expectations. The Knicks have covered five straight overall and eight of their last 11 versus Charlotte.

62-53-2 LAST 117 NBA SIDES | +380
39-28-2 IN LAST 69 CHA ATS PICKS | +879

7-2-1 IN LAST 10 NY ATS PICKS | +483

MIAMI -1
BOSTON @ MIAMI | 1/28 | 8:00 PM EST
3:54 PM
The Heat are 21-2 at home. Even though they played last night, I like them to cover against a Boston team missing its top two rebounders in Jayson Tatum (groin) and Enes Kanter (hip). Lay it.

62-53-2 LAST 117 NBA SIDES | +380
56-35-1 IN LAST 92 BOS ATS PICKS | +1780

30-23 IN LAST 53 MIA ATS PICKS | +488

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

AIR FORCE -2.5
FRESNO ST. @ AIR FORCE | 1/28 | 9:00 PM EST
3:23 PM
Fresno State has lost four of its last five games and seven of the past nine, the latest by 34 points at home. These two teams are among the dregs of the Mountain West, but the Falcons are not dealing with any (known) internal issues. Bulldogs F Nate Grimes was suspended for the team's most recent outing. If the punishment continues, Fresno State will sorely miss the league leader in blocks, the No. 3 rebounder and a producer of 12 points per game.

16-9-1 IN LAST 26 CBB PICKS | +587
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 FRESNO ATS PICKS | +200

NEBRASKA +4.5
MICHIGAN @ NEBRASKA | 1/28 | 7:00 PM EST
3:17 PM
Michigan has fallen off a cliff, from a top-five ranking in late November to possibly missing out on the main stage during March Madness. Now PG Zavier Simpson, the orchestrator of the offense and a demon defender, has been suspended. And F Isaiah Livers, just back from a groin aliment that cost him six games, was re-injured on Saturday and is questionable. What once seemed a sure thing against unimposing Nebraska could result in the Wolverines’ fifth outright loss in a row.

16-9-1 IN LAST 26 CBB PICKS | +587
9-2 IN LAST 11 NEB ATS PICKS | +676

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

Sharp Premium
NEXT UPDATE 4:00PM ET ON WEDNESDAY! If there is any major change or addition, beyond just LJP score itself, I will post a message to Twitter. Otherwise the bonus content will continue into Wednesday!

There is no top sharp consensus on any game as of yet.

The highest LJP score of the day is Memphis -1.5 over Denver which achieves an LJP score of 4U.

There is an LJP major move on VCU -9. The game opened as Richmond 2, then up to Richmond 4 and then to Richmond 1 and then VCU to 3U. Currently VCU achieves an LJP of 3U.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

RH
Bettor #4 is in action already with Memphis +1 over Denver. It is an average play for him. If he adds anything further I will let you know. Memphis achieves an LJP score of 4U.

Our totals guy has two full game totals. I am only using his first halves for the purposes here given the performance. I will post his full game totals to Twitter. If he adds a first half play, I will add it here and post a message to Twitter.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass: 400 Cavs game over, 1000 * Grizzlies, 400 St Johns, 400 Akron, 700 Rutgers, 1000 * Mississippi State game under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Basketball(BOB BALFE) VIP
7:00 PM EST
Rotation #615-616
Michigan/Nebraska Over 145
At first glance you want to take Nebraska as Michigan will be without Zavier Simpson tonight and Isaiah Livers probably will also miss this game, but you have to remember there is a talent gap between these programs not matter how short handed the Wolverines might be. The good news is with Simpson and Livers off the floor this defense is really struggling. Nebraska has a bunch of transfers that this Michigan team and staff have never faced before. I believe the Cornhuskers can put up points at home. The talent gap we just mentioned will make it difficult for this weaker Nebraska Defense to stop Michigan. This is a Michigan team that has their flaws on offense, but this is a perfect opponent to get back on track with. Take the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Josephs

Tuesday's MACtion Action Play

3% Bowling Green -123

Bowling Green- Moneyline
Bowling Green has won six in a row entering this matchup with Ball State at home. The Falcons turn the ball over the least of anyone in the country. They don't exactly force a ton of TOs themselves, but their defensive strength is on the inside where they are holding teams to just 46.3% from two point land. BG's only home loss came in the first game of this month against Kent State 79-61. Justin Turner's return to the lineup makes things so much better for them on both sides of the ball. Ball State is 11-8 and has split their last four games. The Cardinals are 3-3 away from home with the road wins being Illinois-Chicago, Georgia Tech and Eastern Michigan. Ball State's defense is a lot stronger inside than their opponent and is slightly better offensively which is why this is only a one point spread. I like the Falcons. I think they are the better team here especially at home.

[cracker]

Andre Gomes NBA
Hawks Over 234
6ers Over 215

[cracker]

Goodfella 3*
Rutgers -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDREW MCINNIS

BASKETBALL PLAYS

NBA Side Play
Game: (539) New York Knicks at (540) Charlotte Hornets
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Charlotte Hornets -120

View Analysis

NBA Total Play
Game: (547) Atlanta Hawks at (548) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Under 233.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDREW MCINNIS NCAAB

CBB Side Play
Game: (613) Florida State at (614) Virginia
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Florida State -113

View Analysis

I believe the oddsmakers are predicting this one a little closer than what it is actually going to be. Virginia is shell of last years team and simply cannot hang with FSU.I do not care about the defense because they are just flat out horrendous on offense which is why they have lost 6 games, and a few disappointing ones. You cant win every game 42-40, not playing FSU. Virginia has been awful at home as of late while FSU has won 17 of their last 18 games. This FSU can play on the road, they have now won 3 straight road games, including a 13 point beatdown on what was #1 ranked louisville. FSU just recently beat this team at home in what was an "off game" for the seminoles. It was a close low scoring 54-50 game but I am going to have to trust the offense that AVERAGES 20 MORE PPG than the other team (Virginia). Not to mention they can play pretty damn good defense too as they rank 65th in the Country. Like I said, I am not worried about the Home court because the Cavalirs have shown that Home Court does not matter and will not change the fact that they average 20 less point a game than this explosive Seminoles team who has been on a roll. Take Florida state here.

CBB Side Play
Game: (621) SMU at (622) Cincinnati
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: SMU 5.5 (-110)

View Analysis

CBB Side Play
Game: (627) Purdue at (628) Rutgers
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Rutgers -2.0 (-110)

View Analysis

CBB Side Play
Game: (641) Butler at (642) Georgetown
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Butler +105

View Analysis

Butler has had some injuries that limited their depth and faced a damn tough schedule which resulted in them dropping 3 in a row before their amazing comeback vs Marquette last game, led by Kamar Baldwin. They'll be carrying tons of much needed emotion and momentum coming into this matchup in Georgetown where Butler usually owns them and is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs the Hoyas. Do not be fooled by the Hoyas inflated offensive numbers, they have slowly been declining each game with players transferring, getting injured, or just being flat out bad. This Butler defense is simply going to be too much vs this inexperienced Georgetown team that is currently struggling on offense. Georgetown plays the perfect zone for Kamar Baldwin to exploit this matchup. When his shot is on, Baldwin can shoot with anyone in the country, especially that sweet sweet mid range game he has. Watch his 2nd half highlights vs Marquette if you dont believe me. Butler reminds me alot of Xavier, who just recently beat up on Georgetown. Butler will control the pace, as they do so excellently every time and control this game from start to finish. Butler's pace ranks 340th in the country, YOU WILL PLAY at Butler's pace, no matter what. And that is what makes this team so excellent. Fantastic coach in Lavall Jordan as well. You know my favorite ingredients, defense and rebounding. Butler is ranked #8 in the country on defense and also the #6 rebounding team. Impressive stuff. They work hard. I like how these two teams match up, go with Butler.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Chuck

BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (539) New York Knicks at (540) Charlotte Hornets
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 209.0 (-110)

View Analysis

17 times in 340 games since Christmas 2019 has a total been hung less than 210....and the Under is 12-5....and there's a reason...Hornets are off the Paris game and a 3 day rest since then while the Knicks run at the slowest pace and have the 4th best defensive rating over the past 5 games!

This number is a gift if you're able to get it anywhere near the 208, 209, or 210 range....and rivals some of my favorite plays of the night!

Game: (545) New Orleans Pelicans at (546) Cleveland Cavaliers
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H New Orleans Pelicans -4.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Closer to 5% if you're getting it at -4

I would play it somewhere between 4 and 5% if we're talking the -4.5 and -5 that is mostly out there now...certainly still a 4% at -5 in my book

Zion is back...likely a similar minutes restriction but won't have any worry in just the 1st half...the Pels are healthy and rested and the Cavs are on a B2B with travel and even won last night as well...in Detroit against the EVER CONFUSING Pistons .

Cavs aside from the roster mismatch, short bench, and rest factor are just 8-15 ATS at home in the first half this season.

Game: (607) Buffalo at (608) Akron
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Akron -7.5 (-105)

View Analysis

John Groce has done an AMAZING job back in the MAC for his second go round, this time moving north a bit up the highway from Athens to Akron...with a stop in Champagne, Illinois for a very shameful firing after 3 of 5 winning seaons. He is likely where he should be...and this Akron team resembles in many ways the Bobcats squad from 2012 that went to the Sweet Sixteen...largely getting him the B1G job at Illinois. We talk a lot about how Jason Preston of OU is one of my favorite players in the country you've not heard of and incredibly underrated...well the TOP SPOT in those rankings....personally....goes to LCJ of the Zips...Loren Christian Jackson...and his 5'8" stature and nation's nearly top 3 point shooter...behind only 2 fellas...and is coming into the game shooting damn near 50% from deep. The Zips have 4 guys better than the best guy Buffalo has going tonight...the Bulls have a hard time playing defense, as well as transitioning from Nate Oats' offensive rush attack....and on the road tonight after losing to Kent State is NOT a good spot.

I could go on and on and on......and on....about Akron and my analytics and numbers and the MAC and all that whatnot....and will likely do so in the future. I had NO CLUE why the number was what it was at Miami last week and the game largely went just as I predicted...tonight is the same exact deal...as this line is damn near half of what I might lay...

I had this as a 10 to 12 point spread tonight and certainly don't trust the Bulls to step it up in class like the'll need to in order to stay within 8 points...and the Cheese and LCJ should both easily get to the 20 point mark as Akron dominates yet again on both ends of the court....with basically the same line as last week but now at home!

Game: (631) Ohio at (632) Northern Illinois
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Ohio 3.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Wrong team favored....Bobcats for the "upset"

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDREW MCINNIS

HOCKEY PLAYS

Strong Home Team vs Weak Road
Game: (83) Ottawa Senators at (84) Buffalo Sabres
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 7:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Buffalo Sabres -1.5 (+130)

View Analysis

A lot of the time I'll look to back the team that has already played a game following the All-Star break, but not in this instance (The Ottawa Senators competed in a very exciting game last night against the New Jersey Devils that ended up in a win for the Devils in a shootout) Playing at home is where the Sens have played close games and have been able to find the win column but playing on the road has been a whole new story for them this year or over the past few years in general. On a large scale, the Senators are 15-49 in their last 64 road games, 15-49!! That is CRAZY. Some teams have trouble playing on the road but not near the troubles the Sens have. It's even more important to mention that this game is being played in Buffalo because the home team has won the last 6 games between these two squads. While the Sens have struggled on the road, the Sabres have been dynamite at home winning 8 of their last 11 home games.

The Sabres have a pretty light schedule ahead of them starting with this game and they'll be looking to start it off right.

The Sabres are the play here against a very sorry Sens team that has lost 10 their last 11 games.

The Senators are also 2-6 SU this year on second half of B2B's, things DO NOT add up for them here.

Play Buffalo -1.5 (+130)

5% Post All-Star System Blowout $$
Game: (85) St. Louis Blues at (86) Calgary Flames
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 9:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: St. Louis Blues +105

View Analysis

It's the second day back since the All-Star break and we find the St. Louis Blues as slight underdogs - this right away is a standout Bet-On spot for me seeing the Blues as short dogs but what really makes me want to back them is the fact that they already have a game under their belt. The St. Louis Blues fell to the Vancouver Canucks last night in Vancouver where the Canucks play some of their best hockey in a very thrilling game. With a final score of the 3-1 you migh think the game lacked offensive excitement but that statement would be completely false, we just saw an outstanding night of goaltending. I system I've been using for any breaks at all has been backing the team that has already had a chance to get back into game form and play a full 60 minutes which is exactly what the Blues did last night. The Blues had scoring chance after scoring chance but Thatcher Demko shut the door for the night and kept the Blues to just one goal. The Blues have proven to us that they can bounce back after losses but more importantly bounce back after scoring 2 goals or less. Many teams struggle on the second half of a back to back but not the Blues, they are 6-1 in their last 7 games on no rest. A BIG TIME bounce back team. Last but not least we are seeing Jordan Binnington back in nets for the Blues tonight, an anchor for this team. The Calgary Flames will come out flat here in this spot and look ahead to their divisional match-ups coming up in the near future, two of which will be against their provincial rivals the Edmonton Oilers.

The Spot is great for the Blues and so is the price. Blues +105

West Coast Total
Game: (85) St. Louis Blues at (86) Calgary Flames
Date/Time: Jan 28 2020 9:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (-110)