Service Plays Thursday 2/6/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 04:46 AM

Rick Gehman

Paul Casey ($10,500)

This field is very weak and falls off a cliff, so I think you'll benefit from grabbing one of the top four golfers. As much as I love Dustin Johnson, Paul Casey offers a $1,100 savings with just as much upside.

Casey has played a ton all over the world since the end of the 2019 PGA season. He played well in that time, including a win at the Porsche European Open and a T5 at the Emirates Australian Open. His skillset as one of the world's elite ball-strikers should be a great fit for these courses this week. Casey's recent results here also are encouraging, with an 8th-place finish in 2018 and a runner-up last year.

Viktor Hovland ($9,100)

The golf world is waiting for the emergence of Viktor Hovland, who turned pro midway through the 2019 season. He came flying out of the gates last season and showed us his incredible upside with 8 Top 20s in his 10 starts following the U.S. Open.

Unfortunately, it's been more uphill for Hovland since, turning in three MCs in his last four starts worldwide.

I'm willing to buy low on Hovland, whose recent run has driven his price down to a very manageable tag. Hovland has all the stats to boast about, including his +1.11 strokes on approach (2nd in the field) and leads this field in strokes gained total.

Hovland should find some good vibes around Pebble, where he competed as an amateur in the U.S. Open last year. He finished T12 and earned the "top amateaur" title for the week.

Max Homa ($8,300)

Despite winning the Wells Fargo Championship last season, Max Homa goes mostly overlooked in the golf community. That will be difficult to continue if he keeps playing the way he is right now.

Homa enters the week with back-to-back Top-10 finishes at the Farmers Insurance Open and Waste Management Open. It's always good to see him charge up the leaderboard on the weekend, which he did last week, tying Tony Finau for the most strokes gained in the last two rounds.

Additionally, Homa notched a 10th-place finish at Pebble Beach last season and has the best Sunday Strokes Gained numbers at Pebble Beach (+3.74) of anyone in the tournament's history (minimum two starts). If Homa is in contention on the weekend, I expect him to continue to move up the leaderboard.

Adam Hadwin ($8,100)

In a field this weak, I'm trying to roster some known entities. Adam Hadwin is exactly that. We haven't seen much of Hadwin recently, who just had a new baby. He returned last week with a respectable 40th place finish at the Waste Management Open.

As he knocks off the rust, I expect him to get right back to business. He's been excellent in all facets of his game this season, ranking 12th in Strokes Gained Total. His putter is capable of getting scorching hot in a moment's notice and his lack of driving distance (108th) won't hurt him this week.

Sung Kang ($7,300)

Now we start getting into some fliers. There are flaws with nearly every golfer in this field, especially when you start getting down below $8,000. Sung Kang is no exception. He ranks 157th around the green this season, which is a major concern with these tiny Pebble Beach greens. He's capable of carding a big number at any point in the tournament.

However, there are some positives to glean from Kang. He's made six of his last seven cuts, including a T16 just two weeks ago at Torrey Pines. He's also had great success in this event with a 14th in 2019 and a 17th in 2016.

In fact, in his second round in 2016, he gained 12.19 strokes, which is the single best round on the PGA TOUR dating back nearly 20 years (123,000 rounds). Here's to hoping those good vibes come back again this week.

Tyler McCumber ($6,600)

Tyler McCumber offers one very good skill-set for this week and that is his driver. He's 4th in the field in driving distance and is a positive gainer in both Strokes Gained Off-The-Tee and birdie or better percentage.

The last time we saw McCumber was at Torrey Pines, where he finished 21st. That type of finish would do us just fine this week.

Summary

With great risk comes great reward. This is not a safe lineup. This is not the lineup you want to use to double your money. This is the type of lineup you use to finish dead last or win all the money!

The overall composition of this field and the unique nature of the event prompted me to take on more risk with fliers at the bottom (Kang & McCumber). We balance those two with more solid options (Hawin & Casey). Then round it all out with elite skill-sets and recent form (Hovland & Homa).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 07:33 AM

Stephen Oh

OVER 227
PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE | 2/06 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:10 PM
My simulations see the high-powered Bucks carrying the pace Thursday against the 76ers and sending the game Over another sizable total. The Over is hitting in 60 percent of simulations. The 76ers have played Over in six straight games against winning opponents and the Over also is on a 6-0 run in this series. The Bucks are 6-1 to the Over in their last seven home games.

UNDER 6
DETROIT @ BUFFALO | 2/06 | 7:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:05 PM
My projections see a maximum of five goals finding the net Thursday between the Red Wings and Sabres, providing a major value position on the Under against a total of six. Detroit has played Under in five straight against Eastern Conference opponents and is on a 3-0-1 Under run as a road underdog. The Under also is on a 5-2 spurt in this series at Buffalo.

14-5 IN LAST 19 NHL PICKS | +729

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 07:57 AM

Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST

8:26 AM
L.A. LAKERS -6.5
HOUSTON @ L.A. LAKERS | 2/06 | 10:30 PM EST
Perhaps eventually, Houston's daring small-ball experiment will produce meaningful victories against the Lakers. It won't on Thursday. Robert Covington and Jordan Bell are uncertain to play, and their presence will depend on the timing of the eventual trade call with the league. That call could be delayed if the Rockets plan to expand the deal in order to add a center. No matter what they do, though, they will be at far less than 100 percent with Isaiah Hartenstein as their top big man Thursday. Houston is surely looking for a playoff center option, but they won't have one in time for Thursday. Anthony Davis, JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard are hardly the faces such a small roster wants to see.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +89

**golden contender** · 02-06-2020, 10:23 AM

GC: NBA

Thursday card has a rare 6* NCAAB Red circle top play headlining a powerful college card and a 5* NBA Side with Power angle that has cashed 31 straight times. NBA Comp Play below

The NBA Comp play is on Milwaukee at 8:05 eastern. The Bucks are in a nice revenge spot here tonight in this game against Philadelphia who has failed to cover the last 6 when they lose as a road dog. The Bucks are 13-4 ats if they won 2 of the last 3 and fit a nice 78% system here tonight. Look for the Bucks to serve up revenge. On Thursday we have a rare red circle 6* Alert headlining the college hoops card. In NBA action we have a powerful 31-0 Power play rated as a 5* play. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NBA Free play. Make it Milwaukee. RV- GC Sports.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 11:16 AM

Doc Sports ncaa

4 Delaware-2.5
4 Weber state-1
4 over -139-gonzaga

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 11:16 AM

Jason Sharpe ncaa

8 Weber state -1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 11:17 AM

Ken Thomson

CBB

GOY: Belmont -5.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 11:59 AM

CleInsiderSports (3-2 yesterday)

NBA
PASS

NCAAB
James Madison +6
Murray State +6
Eastern Illinois -7.5
Sacramento State +1

NHL
Ducks ML (+140)
Ducks/Canadiens UNDER 5.5
Penguins/Lightning UNDER 6.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 11:59 AM

Docs Consensus (3-4 yest, 6-5 L2 days)

NBA
6u Pelicans -5
5u Rockets +7.5

NHL
6u Panthers ML (+100)

**Lexdeoh20189** · 02-06-2020, 01:12 PM

Game: Vancouver Canucks (45) @ Minnesota Wild (46)
Time: Thursday 02/06 8:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Vancouver +115 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 01:13 PM

Robert Ferringo cbb

2-Unit Play. Take #622 Delaware (-2.5) over Towson (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
Towson had its bubble burst with a home loss to Charleston on Saturday. I think that one could linger and carry over into this game after their seven-game winning streak was snapped. Delaware has revenge after a 16-point loss to the Tigers on the road on Jan. 11. They have built some momentum during a four-game winning streak. I think they will keep it going.

2-Unit Play. Take #628 Wichita State (-5) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
I don't think that Cincinnati is that good. I still don't think that their players like the new coach. And I think the Bearcats are going to flop in a letdown after their big win over Houston last Saturday. Wichita State has a savage home court advantage and they will definitely be up for this game. I feel a body slam coming.

7-Unit Play. Take #634 Belmont (-6) over Murray State (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
This Belmont team is not nearly as strong as ones we've seen in the past few years. But they aren't that bad, either. They play fast and they can shoot the lights out. And I think that they are going to be red hot in their home gym. And they have a couple huge motivators going into this game. The first is that they have a chance to deal a rival, and the team currently in first place in the OVC, their first league loss. The second is revenge. These two teams played a rare (for the OVC) nationally televised game on Jan. 23 and Murray State won 85-75 on their home court. That game was closer than the final score, though, as Belmont blew a second half lead and lost a game that was tied late. I think that they are going to get revenge here and I think that they will snap Murray State's 11-game winning streak. I think the Racers are overrated and I think that they've been playing over their heads for most of the season. Murray State is coming off a stretch of four straight home games while Belmont just finished up four on the road. I think home court advantage is very much going to be in play here. The Racers start a freshman and two sophomores, and I think that this young team is going to have trouble dealing with adversity away from home. That win over Belmont in the first meeting was one of just three wins (in eight tries) that Murray State has against Top 250 opponents this year.

4-Unit Play. Take #646 Illinois-Chicago (-2.5) over UW-Milwaukee (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
I am going to keep chopping with Illinois Chicago. This team went through a lot early in the season and that helped them get undervalued. They've won five of their last six games. And the most impressive thing is that they have played five straight road games - and won four of them. Now the Flames are finally back home and I think that they are going to get a boost. Milwaukee has lost three straight and they have not been good on the road at all. They are coming off a tough weekend with two home losses to Wright State and NKU. Those were two of their biggest games and they lost both of them in close, low-scoring fashion. These look like two teams going in opposite directions.

1-Unit Play. Take #669 Louisiana Tech (-1.5) over Western Kentucky (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
This year started with a lot of promise for WKU. But once Charles Bassey went down their season was sunk. Now Cam Justice is out too and the Toppers just don't have the depth the hold on in a really competitive CUSA. Louisiana Tech has proven itself as the best team in this league. So even though they are only one game ahead of WKU in the standings, the fact that the Bulldogs are favored here tells the tale in terms of talent discrepancy.

2-Unit Play. Take #684 Utah (-2) over Stanford (10 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
This Utah team is just a different group at home. I think that will be on display again here as they take down an overvalued Stanford team. The Cardinal are off a big home win over Oregon. However, they have not been particularly good on the road. These two teams matchup pretty well; they both have plenty of size and shaky shooting from deep. However, when two young teams get together I will always lean on the one that's playing in front of its home crowd.

2-Unit Play. Take #692 Arizona State (-4.5) over UCLA (11 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 6)
UCLA has won four of its last five games. But I think that they are going to stumble on the road here. And I also think that they are going to get caught looking ahead to a bigger game against Arizona on Saturday. People are taking Arizona State lightly. But the reality is that this is a good, improving team. They only have one bad loss on their resume; the rest have all come against Top 50 opponents. I think that they are going to take advantage of a young UCLA team that is due for a flat spot.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 01:14 PM

SHARP TOTALS CLUB

2*Weber State Under 124
2*Gonzaga Over 138

**WeWantMoehr** · 02-06-2020, 01:15 PM

VSI - NBA

5 Unit Play. Take #505 Over 227 Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:05p.m., Thursday February 6 TNT)
The struggling Philadelphia 76ers take a road trip to the Fiserv Forum to go up against the best team in the NBA. If you like scoring this is the game for you because I see both teams racking up big offensive numbers and the 76ers 3-game losing streak their 'D' gave up an average of 126.6ppg. Last Saturday the Bucks lost at home to the Nuggets 127-115 but since then they have won back-to-back games and they are averaged 124.5ppg. Philadelphia is 6-0 O/U against a team with a winning SU record and the Bucks are 6-1 O/U as a home favorite. Last 6 meetings between these two teams all 6 of them have gone 'Over'.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-06-2020, 01:17 PM

Doc’s Sports NBA
3-Unit Play #503 Take New Orleans -5 over Chicago (8 p.m. EST, Thursday Feb. 6)

The Pelicans have done well lately against sub par teams, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five against teams that have a record below .400. They snapped a three-game winning streak with two straight losses, but those were to Milwaukee and Houston, and this is the perfect situation tonight to get back on track against a Bulls team that hasn't covered in four games despite some very generous lines from the oddsmakers.

2-Unit Play #509 Take Houston +7.5 over LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST, Thursday Feb. 6)

Westbrook is questionable in this one but we think the Rockets will play it close whether he plays or not tonight. Houston is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games in Los Angeles against the Lakers, and we think they will cover this inflated line tonight. Houston has won three straight and they are playing well right now. We think the Rockets could challenge for the win but we like the points here in what we think will be a close game.

--Best of Luck, Doc's Sports

Service Plays Thursday 2/6/20

Service Plays Thursday 2/6/20

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