Friday 2-14-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 03:21 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

02/14/20, GP, Race 4, 2.31 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
Claiming Price $75,000, For Each $5,000 To $65,000 1 lb. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	8	Starship Bubba	6-1	Meneses M	Perez. Jr. Juan Carlos	FE
098.7706	10	Strong Ending	7/2	Leparoux J R	Lynch Brian A.	SL
098.3347	1	Maverick Kitten	3-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Maker Michael J.	J
096.1174	3	Voicesinthedarknez	12-1	Lopez P	Carroll Josie
095.5645	2	Ask for Bode	9/2	Gaffalione T	Kenneally Eddie	TW
093.8547	9	Dreaming of Carats	12-1	Maragh R R	Rubley Kelly
093.3509	7	Indirectly	10-1	Sanchez J	Gonzalez Oscar M.
093.0486	5	Abrupt	8-1	Zayas E J	Mott William I.
092.3611	4	Winter At Bastogne	15-1	Ortiz J L	Dobles Elizabeth L.
091.4642	6	Stonecastle(b-)	20-1	Torres C A	Caramori Eduardo

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

8	81.60	25.80	3.04	60.00	12	20	Last Race Was Claimed
10	17.20	31.60	1.04	30.77	64	208	Not First Race After 45 Days Off
1	49.20@	28.20	1.22	40.91	45	110	Best Jockey
3	47.00@	28.20	1.64	27.03	10	37	Second Start
9	6.80	9.40	1.57	33.33	2	6	Carries Apprentice Weight
7	17.20	31.60	1.04	30.77	64	208	Not First Race After 45 Days Off
5	47.00@	28.20	1.64	27.03	10	37	Second Start
4	17.20	31.60	1.04	30.77	64	208	Not First Race After 45 Days Off
6	47.00@	28.20	1.64	27.03	10	37	Second Start

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.86, Win% 23.08
@ Profit has been averaged for multiple race types.
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	10	Strong Ending	7/2	Leparoux J R	Lynch Brian A.	SWL
099.2647	8	Starship Bubba	6-1	Meneses M	Perez. Jr. Juan Carlos	FE
097.6553	1	Maverick Kitten	3-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Maker Michael J.	J
096.3556	2	Ask for Bode	9/2	Gaffalione T	Kenneally Eddie	T
093.9186	6	Stonecastle(b-)	20-1	Torres C A	Caramori Eduardo
093.7972	9	Dreaming of Carats	12-1	Maragh R R	Rubley Kelly
093.7867	3	Voicesinthedarknez	12-1	Lopez P	Carroll Josie
092.9629	7	Indirectly	10-1	Sanchez J	Gonzalez Oscar M.
091.7557	5	Abrupt	8-1	Zayas E J	Mott William I.
091.3142	4	Winter At Bastogne	15-1	Ortiz J L	Dobles Elizabeth L.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

10	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
8	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
6	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
9	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
3	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
7	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
5	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
4	41.60@	17.60	1.21	34.34	34	99	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.97, Win% 37.84
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
@ Profit has been accumulated for multiple race types.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 03:22 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

02/14/20, AQU, Race 4, 2.25 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 ALLOWANCE. Purse $70,000.
(UP TO $12,180 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Empire 6 (.20) Races (4-9), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	2	Black Kettle	6-1	Davis D	Kobiskie Dane	FELC
099.7716	1	Figure It Out	4/5	Franco M	Nevin Michelle	S
097.7943	3	Gracetown	5/2	Lezcano J	Rice Linda	JT
097.1529	5	Private Beach	3-1	Correa J	Dutrow Anthony W.
095.3086	4	Can U Handle This	20-1	Cardenas L	Ramdat Rohan	W

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to AQU.

2	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
1	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
3	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
5	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
4	48.80	11.00	1.16	52.63	80	152	*Race Entries Not Greater Than 5

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.91, Win% 37.17
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 03:22 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turfway Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:12pm - Stakes - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 91 John Battaglia Memorial S.

Rating:

#7 TOMA TODO (ML=5/1)
#10 MY MAN FLINTSTONE (ML=6/1)
#9 SHAKE SOME ACTION (ML=4/1)
#3 ARTEMUS EAGLE (ML=5/1)

TOMA TODO - This colt is in good physical condition, having run a good race on January 26th, finishing second. Don't often see a lucrative ROI like +51. This rider/conditioner twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. He has the topmost earnings per race entered. Take a good look at this horse. MY MAN FLINTSTONE - With a big class drop in Equibase class figure points from his January 18th race at Tampa Bay Downs. Based on that data, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. SHAKE SOME ACTION - This colt is in fine physical condition. Ran first on January 18th. ARTEMUS EAGLE - Numerous positive 'sensations' connected with this pony and his barn.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HIGH HOLY (ML=7/2), #8 INVADER (ML=9/2), #6 TRUCULENT (ML=6/1),

HIGH HOLY - This favorite may be out of form without any recent workouts. INVADER - The Equibase speed figs are going downward. I'm not betting this mount off of that trend. Will not be easy for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. TRUCULENT - This field is a whole lot tougher than the ones he met in the last event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 TOMA TODO to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-14-2020, 03:22 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 102

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE DECEMBER 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SECRETARY AT WAR 4/1
# 3 LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) 10/1
# 8 KEEP QUIET (FR) 9/2

I think SECRETARY AT WAR is a competitive choice. If you look closely, this entrant has some longshot possibilities. Is difficult not to consider given the company run in lately. He has put up solid figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this group of horses. KEEP QUIET (FR) - Shows reliable Equibase speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Sound average Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races make this racer a solid choice.