Sunday 2-16-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:18 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 3	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $6,300 • Post: 1:48P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JESS LITE MY FIRE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GEAUX JUMPIN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	JESS LITE MY FIRE	5/2	7/2
5	TK FIRE AWAY	8/1	9/2
7	GEAUX JUMPIN	8/5	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ALLURES DREAMER	1	15/1	Slow	0	0	6.9	0.0	0.0
2	CANADIAN PRIZE	2	6/1	Average	0	0	5.1	0.0	0.0
3	JESS LITE MY FIRE	3	5/2	Slow	62	54	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	DOC BOY ACE	4	10/1	Slow	0	0	7.0	0.0	0.0
6	FIXR UPPER	6	4/1	Slow	0	0	6.3	0.0	0.0
7	GEAUX JUMPIN	7	8/5	Average	59	48	4.5	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: TK FIRE AWAY (8/1) [Jockey: Alberto Antonio - Trainer: Palacio Eric].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:18 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 5	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Claiming $8,500 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 2:53P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 115 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,500. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. (RAIL SET AT 21 FEET).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. FIERY CAUSE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIERY CAUSE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase S peed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	FIERY CAUSE	4/5	9/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	DAT CAT MIRACLE	6	15/1	Front-runner	56	63	58.8	58.8	51.3
8	HER NAME IS UM	8	8/1	Front-runner	69	68	50.2	5.7	0.0
3	WARNING BELLE	3	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	68	61	65.4	65.4	54.9
4	DESTINY'S STORM	4	12/1	Alternator/Front-runner	58	58	48.8	48.8	37.3
1	FIERY CAUSE	1	4/5	Alternator/Stalker	77	76	67.0	71.0	68.5
2	THE MALLARD QUEEN	2	12/1	Trailer	59	56	64.5	45.5	37.0
5	UNBRIDLED STORMY	5	20/1	Trailer	68	50	49.3	31.3	18.3
7	PRINCESS NICOLE	7	6/1	Trailer	69	60	19.9	61.6	54.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:18 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 94

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 PAPA TURF 5/2
# 2 BOY HOWDY 8/1
# 6 SHORT OF EZ 3/1

PAPA TURF could be the bet in here. Has solid speed figs and has to be considered for a bet here. Has been running admirably lately and will probably be on the lead early on. Garnered a quite good speed figure last time out. BOY HOWDY - Has to be given a chance versus this field displaying strong numbers lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 84 under similar conditions. SHORT OF EZ - Has to be given a chance against this group of horses in this race displaying very strong figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 89 under similar conditions. Win percentage one of the best in this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:19 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Oaklawn Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#4 SPECTACULAR TEMPER (ML=2/1)

SPECTACULAR TEMPER - You may want to throw out that last affair at Oaklawn Park on a track listed as good where she finished off the board. Should do well right here on a fast track. It looks like Cohen had to 'know' this filly on February 6th when riding her for the initial time. Back on again today. Stalking speed. My friends and I like this one. I like the fact that this filly's last rating, 59, is tops in this field. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This horse has the topmost in the bunch. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 QUIET DAWN (ML=5/2), #2 SWEET KALA (ML=7/2), #3 AGAVE QUEEN (ML=5/1),

QUIET DAWN - Awfully difficult to wager on this horse when she hasn't been showing any gumption lately. Finished fifth in her most recent effort with a disappointing speed fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. SWEET KALA - She showed not much at all in the last affair. This filly notched a speed fig in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event. AGAVE QUEEN - 5/1 is just too low of a price to take on most any animal that has run poorly in back to back outings. 66/49/41, are the lessening Equibase speed figs for this vulnerable equine.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #4 SPECTACULAR TEMPER on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:19 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 4:42pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#7 CHIEF BARBARA (ML=4/1)
#2 NIGHT OF IDIOTS (ML=5/2)
#1 FLORISTA (IRE) (ML=10/1)

CHIEF BARBARA - Don't often see a lucrative ROI like +53. This jockey/handler duet has done well together over the last 12 months. With a big class drop in Equibase class figure points from her Jan 18th race at Golden Gate Fields. Based on that knowledge, I will give this horse the edge. NIGHT OF IDIOTS - Hernandez comes to race after getting to know the mare in the last contest. Hernandez's agent must like anytime Wong gives them a mount; win pct together is fantastic. After a pair of sprints, she's routing today, which is probably what this mare wants to do. FLORISTA (IRE) - This mare won on September 22nd at a higher class level and the same 1 mile distance as today. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fifth). Should improve in this event, with some decent odds. Just look at her latest speed figure, 81. That one looks good in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 WAR MOCCASIN (ML=9/5), #6 FANTASTIC SECRET (ML=8/1), #5 MOSCATO GIRL (ML=8/1),

WAR MOCCASIN - You think this animal is going to be first just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish on top regularly. FANTASTIC SECRET - This questionable contender ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will likely get beat in today's race running that number. MOSCATO GIRL - I cannot play this frequent non-winner. Gets the assignment fulfilled from time to time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 CHIEF BARBARA to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:19 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 37

FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 29 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 FIERA CALLADA 2/1
# 1 FABIAN GUILLERMO 4/1
# 2 CAFEINA 3/1

FIERA CALLADA looks very good to best this field. Navarro will probably be able to get this filly to break out early for this event. This racer is highly ranked this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. This filly has posted some nice finishes in her last several tries. FABIAN GUILLERMO - The Lasix change (with second time Lasix) may spark a return to the races for this colt. Carrasquillo will most likely be able to get this colt to break out early in this race. CAFEINA - Have to think this one will run well following the quick major improvement. Always hard to beat Negron and Diaz working together, winning 29 percent of their races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:20 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

02/16/20, TAM, Race 4, 2.16 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $15,200.
Claiming Price $32,000, if for $30,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 4-5-6) / Super High 5
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	Pearls for Josie	7/2	Morales P	Sweezey J. Kent	JC
097.4166	5	Reneesinheaven	6-1	Mawing L	Ward Dennis	FEL
097.3930	10	West Burke	12-1	Suarez A	Hamm Timothy E.	W
095.8860	9	Wrapping	5/2	Coa K J	Proctor Thomas F.	S
095.2460	8	Blazinonbayou	5-1	Centeno D	Manning Dennis J.	T
093.9389	1	Natoma(b+)	8-1	Quinonez A	Wilkes Ian R.
093.9091	6	Moms Love(b+)	10-1	Allen. Jr. R D	Bowersock Maria
092.7435	4	Millie	12-1	Camacho S	Gulick James M.
092.4326	2	R D Blessing	30-1	Almeida M	Drake Robert
091.4975	3	Tea Party	12-1	Ferrer J C	O'Connor. II Robert R.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to TAM.

7	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
5	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
10	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
9	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
8	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
1	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
6	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
4	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
2	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3
3	219.00	19.20	1.73	48.00	72	150	Race Age 3

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.89, Win% 30.43
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	Pearls for Josie	7/2	Morales P	Sweezey J. Kent	JFC
096.9958	9	Wrapping	5/2	Coa K J	Proctor Thomas F.	S
095.5658	5	Reneesinheaven	6-1	Mawing L	Ward Dennis	EL
095.3776	4	Millie	12-1	Camacho S	Gulick James M.	T
095.0265	6	Moms Love(b+)	10-1	Allen. Jr. R D	Bowersock Maria
093.6249	10	West Burke	12-1	Suarez A	Hamm Timothy E.	W
093.1342	8	Blazinonbayou	5-1	Centeno D	Manning Dennis J.
092.3343	1	Natoma(b+)	8-1	Quinonez A	Wilkes Ian R.
091.8297	3	Tea Party	12-1	Ferrer J C	O'Connor. II Robert R.
089.2959	2	R D Blessing	30-1	Almeida M	Drake Robert

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to TAM.

7	21.60	9.80	1.10	41.67	45	108	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
9	21.60	9.80	1.10	41.67	45	108	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
5	21.60	9.80	1.10	41.67	45	108	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
4	21.60	9.80	1.10	41.67	45	108	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
6	21.60	9.80	1.10	41.67	45	108	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
10	21.00	5.20	1.58	66.67	12	18	*Actual Post Greater Than 9
8	21.60	9.80	1.10	41.67	45	108	Last Race Was Turf With Main Today
1	43.20	6.80	1.40	55.56	30	54	*Actual Post 1
2	17.40	11.20	1.03	39.33	105	267	Last Race Purse Lower Than Today

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.68, Win% 31.71
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:20 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

02/16/20, GP, Race 9, 4.34 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
Claiming Price $8,000, if for $7,000, allowed 1 lb. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 9-10-11)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	9	Put Position	6-1	Saez L	Becker Scott	TL
098.9535	5	Vicky Apple	7/2	Vasquez M A	Hurtak Daniel C.	F
098.3850	2	Enlisting	9/2	Jaramillo E	Delgado Gustavo	SE
097.6315	1	Ledecky	8-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Gallegos Jose A.	J
096.9718	7	Brookes All Mine	4-1	Gaffalione T	Quiroz Angel
096.2504	10	Grace's Drama	15-1	Rendon J	Swick Don	W
095.9559	4	Babie Monster	8-1	Torres C A	Orseno Joseph F.
094.7300	6	Denver	10-1	Gonzalez S	Lichoa Alfredo
094.4240	11	Kindhearted Kota	10-1	Zayas E J	Sano Antonio	C
094.0583	3	She Takes Heart	20-1	Meneses M	Croft Barry N.
091.0045	8	Motion's First	30-1	Gonzalez A	Rakoff David

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

9	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
5	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
1	65.40	17.60	1.11	34.34	102	297	*Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m
7	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
10	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
4	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
6	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
11	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
3	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
8	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.97, Win% 37.84
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:21 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies for 2/16/20

February 16, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers: View Video

Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File

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RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: X
Single: 5-Bella Vita

Forecast: Bella Vita was extremely well-meant in her debut last month, but after a slow start, a wide trip, and perhaps hitting the front too soon the expensive daughter of Bayern was tagged right on the money by another very talented filly, She’s Devoted, in a similar state-bred turf sprint for sophomore fillies. The S. Callaghan-trained filly, a $400,000 purchase last year at the OBS April sale, seems sure to improve with that bit of experience behind her and should simply outclass this group of Cal-breds. She’s 5/2 on the morning line (you won’t get it) and looks like the surest winner on the program and a logical rolling exotic single.
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RACE 2: Post 12:58 PT. Grade: B
Use: 6-Short of Ez; 7-Papa Turf

Forecast: Short of Ez returns to his win level after being overmatched in starter optional claiming company last month, and anything close to his five-length romp two runs back probably beats this field. Papa Turf, now nine years old and a veteran of 62 previous races, makes his first start since early November and is a seven time winner over the Santa Anita main track. His recent works indicate he’s doing well for the J. Mullins barn and he is reunited with A. Cedillo, who was aboard in a 12-lenth romp under these conditions two races back during the fall season. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 3: Post 1:28 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Kissable U; 4-Lucky Babe; 5-Warren’s Empress; 10-Creer

Forecast: Here’s a grass grab bag for sophomore state-bred fillies over a mile on turf. Use as many as you can afford to. Warren’s Empress stretches out to a distance she’s bred to like, exits a hot race and adds blinkers, so we’re expecting the daughter of Clubhouse Ride to step forward for a barn that does very well with second-time starters. Lucky Babe was a distant third in her debut sprinting on grass and is another with every right to improve with experience and distance. Creer is stuck way outside but showed improvement when a non-threatening runner-up over this course and distance in a similar affair last month. With another forward move today she should be in the thick of things again. Kissable U has some early speed, and if she can shake loose early she might get brave. Toss her in somewhere at 8-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 4: Post 1:58 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 2-Lane Way; 6-Charlatan

Forecast: Lane Way was a promising third behind Nadal in one of the hottest maiden sprints in memory and if doesn’t go backwards it will take something extra special to deny him in this six furlong sprint for 3-year-olds. The R. Mandella-trained son of Into Mischief retains F. Prat and shows two nice recent workouts to indicate he’s right on edge. Charlatan is a fast-working first time starter from the B. Baffert barn that brought $700,000 as a yearling. The son of Speightstown has been doing some excellent work from the gate leading up to this race for a barn that hits at a remarkable 29% with debut runners. Lane Way is the proven commodity so we’ll put him on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 5: Post 2:28 PT. Grade: B
Use: 5-Johnny Podres; 8-If Id Told You; 9-Fly the Sky

Forecast: Johnny Podres was visually quite pleasing winning a maiden two-turner over the all-weather surface at Golden Gate Fields last month with a career top speed figure and his only prior try on grass resulted in a solid runner-up performance in November. A progressive son of Grazen, the S. Miyadi-trained colt is a devout stretch runner in a field that promises to have faster than par early fractions. At 8-1 on the morning line, he’s worth a bit of gamble. Fly the Sky won a state-bred first-level allowance event over this course and distance last month and not much more will be needed to win this open affair. He has plenty of speed but doesn’t need the lead to win, so the extreme outside draw might not be a negative for a colt with his style. If Id Told You is improving with each start for G. Mandella, and the number that he earned when breaking his maiden last November at Del Mar makes him a fit. Recent works indicate that he should be fit enough to pick up where he left off.
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RACE 6: Post 2:58 PT. Grade: B
Use: 2-Afternoon Heat; 3-I Belong to Becky; 5-Tigre Di Slugo

Forecast: Tigre Di Slugo didn’t get the best of trips when third in a similar first-level allowance sprint last month but with better luck today from a better post the lightly-raced 5-year-old can make amends. F. Prat stays aboard and should have this son of Smiling Tiger doing his best work from the quarter pole home. Afternoon Heat was a half-length in front of ‘Slugo when runner-up in that same highly-rated race, has trained well since, and should be within range and have every chance once again. The S. Knapp-trained colt switches to J. Rosario and projects to be in a good pace-stalking position throughout. I Belong to Becky crushed a much softer restricted (nw-3) $16,000 field last month over this track and distance and earned a speed figure that makes him very competitive despite the class hike. We’ll prefer Tigre Di Slugo on top but include all three in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 7: Post 3:31 PT. Grade: B
Use: 4-Shines Her Light; 6-Laura’s Light

Forecast: Laura’s Light makes her sophomore debut for P. Miller after displaying considerable ability in three starts during a productive two-year-old campaign. A sharp sprint maiden winner at Golden Gate Fields in November, the daughter of Constitution subsequently was a strong runner-up in the Jimmy Durante S.-G2 at Del Mar and then in late December captured the Blue Norther Stakes over the local lawn in gate-to-wire fashion. She’s been kept on edge with a series of good drills at San Luis Rey Downs, so she’s logically the one to beat again, though at 6/5 on the morning line there’s not much value to be found. Shines Her Light graduated at this trip just 16 days ago and is wheeled back quickly into stakes competition, a fairly ambitious move by J. Sadler. On numbers, she should at least get a piece of it, so rolling exotic players might consider including her on a back-up ticket while reserving the main punch for Laura’s Light.
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RACE 8: Post 4:02 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-My Journey; 7-Speakerofthehouse

Forecast: The finale is a bottom-rung maiden claimer for older horses. My Journey stretches out again, continues to train like a gelding with more ability than he’s shown, and may offer a bit of value at 6-1 on the morning line. The son of Good Journey can be expected to employ gate-top-wire tactics and in a field like this he could get very brave if not pressured early. Speakerofthehouse, second under similar conditions last month, should fire a good shot but he’s a 14-race maiden and not one to count on. Both can be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have extra tickets keying My Journey on top.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:22 AM

Al Cimaglia: February 16-Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis

February 16, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Pompano Park starts the week with an 8-race card. The 0.50 Pick 4 rolls in Race 5, it has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a very low 12% takeout and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

2-Jimmy Be Good (8-1)-With this post draw it makes sense to look toward Jimmy to spice up the Pick 4. Does his best work racing near the top of the stack and this is a spot to trip out.
6-Alway'syourway (3-1)-Hennessey's choice over the #5 and #8 was an 11-time winner in 2019 but has only 2 wins in 15 starts at the Pomp.
7-Rockntouch (4-1)-Some will discount the chances of this McNichol trainee as he couldn't close the deal in last 2 starts. But set very fast fractions in last and may not need to go to the half in 54.4 tonight. Start will be key and best to respect.

Race 6

1-LA Rockin Sampson (8-1)-Has the gate speed to be on the engine or in the 2-hole and take advantage of a beneficial trip to score at a nice price.
3-Fernado (12-1)-Santeramo's choice will need a good steer but at 12-1 is worth a swing in a race where the chalk is outside and doesn't always have great gate speed.
5-Spanish Art (6-1)-If there is a battle for the lead, and the pace is sizzling MacDonald should be rolling late. This barn has been hot and 6-year-old has the speed to be in the mix with this crew.
6-Feelin Lika Winner (2-1)-Hennessey got the lead and slammed on the brakes in last. If Wally is able to go to the half in 56.2 and to the 3/4's in 124.4 he probably wins again. I'm thinking it won't be so easy tonight.

Race 7

1-Rub ofthe Green N (3-1)-Steps-up after drawing off in 152.1 and that effort would be tough to beat versus this field. From the rail it should be all systems go, and looks like a major player.
8-American Chrome (4-1)-Has the gate speed to be put in play early and came up with a good effort last week after a sick scratch. Post is a challenge but drops to a favorable level and should be in the hunt with a good steer.

Race 8

2-Jeremes General (9-1)-Facing better but has been the post time chalk in last 3 and from the 2-hole could get a cozy trip. Knows how to win, in this field only #9 earned more last year.
6-Warr-N-Munn (5-1)-Steps-up after 2 sharp wins and has a ton of gate speed to get a good early seat. Wallis owns-trains and drives and we will see how long this guy can stay on top of his game.
9-Rebellious (3-1)-Winner of 5 straight will likely be bet hard again but may not get the top without a battle. Using but will shoot against.

0.50 Pick 4

2,6,7/1,3,5,6/1,8/2,6,9
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:33 AM

JOHN RYAN
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2020
Cincinnati vs. East Carolina
East Carolina+11 -115

12:00 PM EST, February 16, 2020

NCAAM 7-Star Best bet on the East Carolina Bearcats

The Cincinnati Bearcats will take to the road to looking to stay in a dead heat with the No. 20 Houston Cougars when they take on the East Carolina Pirates in American Athletic Conference action. The Bearcats are on the bubble and rank 42nd overall among the 353 Division-1 programs in the nation in my quant rankings. So, the pressure is on in each game from here on out to the end of the regular season. They know that they have resume building games coming up against the Wichita Stat Shockers and the Cougars in each of the next two weeks. The letdown cloud could move over the Bearcats in this game against the Pirates.

The Pirates are not as bad a team as their record indicates. They lack the depth that other winning record teams and play through Sophomore forward Jayden Gardner, who is averaging 20.2 points-per-game and 9.7 boards-per-game – both team-highs. However, a pair of freshman are stepping up in recent games and making for a more balanced offensive attack. Guard Tristen Newton and forward Brandon Suggs are the two freshman and both have upped their scoring averages to 10 points-per-game. Newton has the size and length at 6-5 to overcome the Bearcats suffocating defense.

This has been a rebuilding year for the Pirates as they have only 26.7% of the minutes played and 39.6% of the points scored returning from last season. They have played enough games together to now have the team chemistry to go after soe of the big-boys, like the Bearcats, in the AAC conference.

HERE ARE SOME BUZZER BEATER TRENDS

The Bearcats are 7-20 ATS after having on three of their last four games in games played over the last two seasons.

The Bearcats are 91-136-1 ATS after failijg to cover the spread in two of their last three games in games played over the last two seasons.

The Bearcats are 1-9 ATS after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

Take the East Carolina Pirates and look for this game to be a closely contested game right to the end.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:33 AM

RED DOG SPORTS
NBA | Feb 16, 2020
All Star LeBron vs. All Star Giannis
UNDER 301½ -125

The All-Star Game usually has plenty of points but there is a new format this year. The teams will try to win each quarter for charity and then the fourth quarter will be untimed until one team scores 24 (Kobe's number).

Hopefully, there be less than 300 points scored on Sunday night as we see some defense played at certain times.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:33 AM

MARC LAWRENCE
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2020
Arizona State vs. California
California+5 -108

Play - California (Game 854).

Edges - Bears: the host team in Cal games is 14-7 ATS this season with the Bears 4-2 ATS home in conference play … Sun Devils: 0-4 SUATS in this series when coming off a SU underdog win … With the Bears home off a 16-point home loss and ASU off an upset win, we recommend a 1* play on California. Thank you and good luck as always.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 02-16-2020, 11:33 AM

ROB VINCILETTI
NCAA-B | Feb 16, 2020
Villanova vs. Temple
Villanova-6 -110

The NCAAB Comp play is on Villanova at 1:00. The Wildcats blew a big lead but held off Marquette on Wednesday and travel to Temple to take on an Owls team they have won and covered against the last 6 times a the winning team has covered 10 of 11. Temple is off a pair of revenge wins against SMU and Tulane. Temple has failed to cover the last 5 dog losses. With the favorite 12-2 ats in this series we will back Villanova. For the NCAAB Free pick. Play on Villanova. Rob V- GC Sports