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Monday 2-17-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Scored another easy complimentary winner Sunday—my fifth in the last seven days—as Villanova spanked Temple for the seventh consecutive time. For Monday’s freebie, we’ll stay on the East Coast and grab the points with St. John’s as a home dog against Xavier.
I certainly understand it’s been a miserable Big East season for St. John’s, which is 3-9 in league play. But aside from a 20-point loss to Villanova back on Jan. 28, the Red Storm have been highly competitive at home. They suffered three losses to Butler (60-58), Seton Hall (82-79) and Georgetown (73-72) by a combined six points, while knocking off DePaul (74-67 as a three-point favorite) and upsetting Providence on Saturday (80-69 as a 1½-point dog).
St. John’s also owns an upset victory over West Virginia back on Dec. 7, a 70-68 triumph as a four-point home underdog, which was part of a seven-game winning streak to close out non-conference play. Since the Mountaineers win, the Red Storm are a solid 6-2-1 ATS on their home floor.
Meanwhile, Xavier might have a superior overall record (16-9), but the Musketeers haven’t been much better than St. John’s in league play, going just 5-7 (including 2-4 on the road). And they’ve been vastly worse than St. John’s at the betting window (9-15-1 ATS vs. 14-9-2 ATS). That includes St. John’s getting the money in an 8-point loss at Xavier as an 8½-point underdog back on Jan. 5.
Xavier has been dreadful as a favorite, too, cashing in just five of 15 games. And tonight marks the first time the Musketeers have been a road favorite in Big East play. The only occasion this season when Xavier laid points on the road? 80-78 loss at Wake Forest (laying 6 points).
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