Service Plays Thursday 2/13/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Johnson

One of these three should win

1. Rory McIlroy

√ Since his win at the Tour Championship has played in seven events and been in contention in six on the final day. Won the WGC-HSBC and was T-3 in his last start at Farmers
√ Was T-4 last year at Genesis, played last 54 holes in 12 under
√ Is first in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, T-18 in Greens in Regulation, second in Par Breakers, which are great stats for Riviera
√ Has taken over the No. 1 spot in the Official World Golf Ranking

2. Justin Thomas

√ Has won three times in his last nine starts and was T-3 in last start in Phoenix
√ Played great last year until having to play 32 holes on Sunday and had final-round 75. Game is perfect for Riviera, and he's a major champion winner who has played well the past two years
√ Is fourth in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, 14th in Greens in Regulation, and fourth in Par Breakers, which are great stats for Riviera

3. Bubba Watson

√ Has won three times at Riviera (2014, '16 and '18), and in those wins he hit 67 percent of his greens
√ Last two starts, was T-6 at Farmers and T-3 at Phoenix Open, and he was 24 under in both events
√ Ranked T-2 in Greens Hit at Farmers, T-36 at Phoenix, ranked 3rd in Putting inside 10 feet on poa annua greens at Farmers

Players you have to consider

4. Xander Schauffele

√ Has been runner-up three times in last eight starts, T-16 at last start in Phoenix
√ Been consistent at Riviera in two starts after poor first rounds. Was 3 over in first rounds and 16 under in last three
√ Is third in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, T-10 in Greens in Regulation, third in Putts inside 10 feet, which are great stats for Riviera

5. Dustin Johnson

√ Showed signs of travel fatigue at Pebble, finishing T-32 after finishing second in Saudi the week before
√ In 10 starts at Riviera, has been in the top four six times, including win in 2017
√ Key to playing so well at Riviera is hitting a lot of greens and playing well on par-5s

6. Jon Rahm

√ Has been in the top 10 in his last six starts, including two wins, and was T-9 in last start in Phoenix
√ Was T-9 in his only Riviera start last year with rounds of 67-70-69-71
√ Is 11th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, T-10 in Greens in Regulation, 13th in Putts inside 10 feet, which are great stats for Riviera

Those coming in with momentum

7. Tony Finau

√ Was runner-up at Riviera in 2018, T-15 last year. In those eight rounds, is 16 under
√ Game has gradually been coming around, with T-6 at Farmers and second at Phoenix, Is 34 under in last 12 rounds
√ Is second in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, T-63 in Proximity to Hole and T-15 in Par Breakers for 2020

8. Hideki Matsuyama

√ This guy could be the big surprise of the week. Has played well at Riviera, was T-4 in 2015 and T-9 last year
√ Has had a slow start to his year. Was T-12 at Sony Open, T-45 at Farmers, T-16 at Phoenix
√ Is 10th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, T-10 in Greens in Regulation, T-20 in Scrambling, which are great stats for Riviera

9. Patrick Cantlay

√ Has been good the last two years, with T-4 in 2018 and T-15 last year. Led on Greens Hit in 2018. Has not been over par last eight rounds, going 15 under
√ Was second at Shriners and fourth at the Sentry and T-11 at Pebble Beach
√ Is eighth in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, sixth in Greens in Regulation and 24th in Putts inside 10 feet for 2020

Players who could surprise

10. Phil Mickelson

√ Won at Riviera in 2008 and '09, was runner-up in 2007 and '12. Comes into event on a roll after good week at Pebble Beach
√ Was T-3 at Saudi International two weeks ago and third last week at Pebble
√ Best part of his game last week was around and on the greens. For the year, is 20th in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green

11. Adam Scott

√ Hasn't played since his win in December at the Australian PGA Championship
√ Has always played well at Riviera, winning in 2005, finishing second in 2006 and '16. Was T-7 last year
√ Historically has always been a great ball striker and a poor putter, in 2019 was fourth in Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, 30th in Greens in Regulation and eighth in Par Breakers

12. Max Homa

√ Was T-37 in Genesis last year, finished with a 69 in tough conditions
√ In the midst of a good run, T-9 at Farmers, T-6 at Phoenix and T-14 at Pebble. Is 39 under in his last 16 rounds

13. J.B. Holmes

√ Surprise winner last year at the Genesis, he did it with great ball striking and was first in Strokes Gained Putting
√ Hasn't played poorly this year -- T-16 at Farmers and Phoenix, T-14 at Pebble. Could have been better but he was over par in final round. His stats for the year are terrible, but he has been able to score.

Course may not suit them

Tiger Woods

√ Has always struggled at Riviera, was T-2 in 1999. Last year, was T-15 despite shooting 65 in third round
√ Looking to break Sam Snead's streak, and it would be great to do it in the only event he has played more than three times that he hasn't won. You can never count Tiger out
√ Tiger is a great ball striker, and Riviera may not suit his eye, but he comes in after finishing T-9 at Farmers

Justin Rose

√ Was T-4 last time he played Genesis in 2017, but before that he has struggled at Riviera
√ Has struggled of late, missing the cut at Farmers, was second in Singapore and T-5 at Hero but hasn't really been in contention on PGA since the Wells Fargo in May
√ Tee to green hasn't been sharp, which could present a problem, but his short game and putting has saved him.

Brooks Koepka

√ Has never been a big fan of West Coast golf. Has played once at Genesis (2017), shooting 75-72 and missing the cut
√ Hasn't shown us much in his return, finishing T-34 in Abu Dhabi and T-17 in Saudi Arabia.
√ Just don't know what to make of his game right now. It doesn't seem sharp and doesn't seem close

Jason Day

√ He has struggled big-time at Riviera, playing four times and failing to break 70 in 12 rounds and is 25 over, if you can believe it
√ Played well at Farmers, finishing T-16, and was great at Pebble but had problems with wind in final round, shooting 75 to drop to fourth
√ We feel comfortable with Day not having back problems. He is hitting the ball OK, but it's unclear if he can overcome the problems he has had at Riviera

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasInsider - Golf - Genesis Invitational
Matt Blunt

Top Picks
Dustin Johnson 14/1
Justin Rose 40/1
Longshot - Ryan Palmer 125/1

72 hole matchup Top Pick - Justin Thomas (-105) over John Rahm (-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

TORONTO -138
DALLAS @ TORONTO | 2/13 | 7:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:19 PM
My simulations see the Maple Leafs taking down the Stars nearly two-thirds of the time in their Thursday battle, providing a value price on the short home chalk. I've got Toronto winning 65 percent of the time in this matchup. Toronto has won its last four against Western Conference opponents and also has taken six of the last seven meetings in this series on its home ice.

15-9 LAST 24 NHL SIDES | +297
6-1 IN LAST 7 TOR ML PICKS | +542

3-1 IN LAST 4 DAL ML PICKS | +240

OVER 229.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW ORLEANS | 2/13 | 8:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:07 PM
My numbers see at least 239 points hitting the board Thursday between the Thunder and Pelicans, sending this one well Over the posted total. The Over is hitting in a whopping 69 percent of simulations between these high-powered clubs. The Over is on a 7-3 run in this series and the Thunder are playing Over at a 4-0-1 clip when coming off a straight-up loss. The defense-challenged Pelicans are on a 17-5 overall run to the Over.

6-0 IN LAST 6 NBA PICKS | +600
5-1 IN LAST 6 NO O/U PICKS | +389

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ARIAN BHARDI - SOCCER EXPERT
Match: Milan - Juventus
League : Italy - Cup
Date & Time : 2.13.2020 at 20:45 (2:45PM EST)
Pick: Juventus
Odds: +118

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike McClure

DraftKings

Xander Schauffele

Brooks Koepka

JB Holmes

Collin Morikawa

Jason Day

Lanto Griffin

FanDuel

Xander Schauffele

Brooks Koepka

JB Holmes

Dustin Johnson

Brian Gay

Lanto Griffin

[Onehunglow]

Anyone ever see Mike Mclure/Micah Roberts Nascar picks?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

PLAY: UNDER Memphis/Cincy
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

Huge game in the AAC and we love the UNDER here for 3*. Huge Trends for this one including the fact that Memphis is 9-1 UNDER last 10 road games. It is mostly because the Tigers have struggled traveling scoring points and especially against good defensive teams. That is what Cincy is and the fact is Memphis is #12 out of 353 D1 Teams for Defensive Efficiency as well. UNDER is 4-1 the last 5 Head to Head Match-ups including a 60-47 affair back in Memphis earlier this season. We actually have a strong lean for the Bearcats to cover this number as well but the UNDER is by far the best bet here. Handicapping games based on Tempo is not always the best thing to do and this is one of those games. Let's play UNDER at 3* at your best number..

Late Morning Note: This number is slightly down from the open but a 3* Play MUCH Lower than what is posted


Pick Made: Feb 13 2020 6:46AM PST

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB

Thursday card features the 100% Big SKY Game of the Year in College hoops along with a PAC 12 Play of the Month and a 15-0 NBA Pre All Star Break Totals System.

The NCAAB Comp play for Thursday is on Louisiana Tech at 7:30 eastern. The Bulldogs are off a pair of road losses but can take solace in the fact that they are 17-0 at home off a road game and have covered the last 3 off back to back road games, 6 of 9 vs winning teams and 8 of 12 off a road favored loss. Florida International comes in off a pair of wins but has failed to cover 3 of 4 off 3 or more conference wins. With the home team at 7-0 ats in this series we will lay it with LA. Tech. On Thursday we have our Big Sky Conference Game of the year and a massive 15-0 NBA Pre all star break top totals System play along with the PAC 12 Game of the Month and more. Jump on see us on facebook to jump on. For the College hoops Free pick. Play on the LA. Tech Bulldogs. RV- GC Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Bollman

UNDER 6
ARIZONA @ OTTAWA | 2/13 | 7:30 PM EST
11:21 AM
The Coyotes are 19-11 with the under on the road this season but they are missing their starting goalie in Darcy Kuemper. The Senators average 3.0 goals per game at home this season but the Coyotes give up the sixth fewest goals per game on the road with 2.77. The Senators have the sixth worst power play in the league at home with just 16.5% effectiveness. Take the under.

30-17-1 IN LAST 48 NHL PICKS | +1031
5-1 IN LAST 6 OTT O/U PICKS | +387

FLORIDA -124
PHILADELPHIA @ FLORIDA | 2/13 | 7:00 PM EST
11:20 AM
The Panthers are just 5-4-1 in their last 10 games but they are 16-10-2 at home this season. The Flyers are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games but they are 12-14-3 on the road this season. The Panthers score the third most goals at home with 3.82 goals per game while the Flyers give up the fourth most goals per game on the road. Philly is in the bottom third with both their special teams on the road, and the Panthers convert power plays at 24.7% effectiveness at home. Take the value in the Panthers at home in a crucial Wild Card matchup.

30-17-1 IN LAST 48 NHL PICKS | +1031
4-0 IN LAST 4 FLA ML PICKS | +463

5-2 IN LAST 7 PHI ML PICKS | +201

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
4-southern Utah-pk
3 -Detroit-2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo cbb

1-Unit Play. Take #617 Delaware (-3) over Elon (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 13)
Elon has somehow won three straight. They were 6-17 on the season before that, so you can see why that would be surprising. I don't see it continuing here. Delaware has won six straight overall and they have been decent on the road this year, picking up five true road wins. They are better defensively, they have more size, more experience, and they are simply the better team overall.

3-Unit Play. Take #628 Indiana (-2) over Iowa (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 13)
I smell an upset in the Big Ten. Indiana has been exposed in league play and they are on a four-game losing streak. However, I think that they might have hit rock bottom last Saturday getting blown out at home by Purdue. Their last four losses have come against Maryland, Penn State, Ohio State and Purdue. There's no real shame there and I think that they are due to knock someone off. Iowa has not been good on the road this year. They aren't good on the road at all, frankly. But they have benefitted from the fact that they never seem to have to play on the road! Six of their last nine games have been in Iowa City. They were blown out in their last two road games and they are coming off a peak effort in a revenge spot at Nebraska last Saturday. Iowa has two road games this weekend - at Indiana and at Minnesota. I would be absolutely stunned if they won both and I can see them getting knocked off here by an Indiana team that is due for a win and that can be tough at home.

1-Unit Play. Take #656 Oregon (-4.5) over Colorado (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 13)

I think that home court advantage will be big in this one. Colorado just struggles on the road. They are 16-38 ATS as a road underdog and they are 13-38 ATS on the road, period. The home team has absolutely dominated this series, going 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and Oregon has revenge for a loss at Colorado earlier this season. The Ducks are coming off back-to-back ugly losses last week so I think that they should be focused and ready.

3-Unit Play. Take #670 USC (-3.5) over Washington (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 13)
Washington has come off the rails. They have some talent. But ever since point guard Quade Green went down these guys have been rudderless. They struggle shooting the ball and they are not playing enough defense. USC has lost three straight games, but they haven't been playing poorly. They've only lost one home game this year and I think that this team is ready to snap out of its funk. USC also has revenge for a 32-point beat down that they took in Seattle on Jan. 5. Washington hasn't won a true road game since Christmas and I don't like them here.

1-Unit Play. Take #674 UT-San Antonio (-1) over Marshall (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 13)
I don't trust Marshall away from home and I still don't think that this team is any good. They are coming off two wins last week that they probably shouldn't have lost. And I think that they will flop here against a streaky San Antonio team. UT-San Antonio has a high-scoring backcourt and I don't think that they will meet much resistance in this one.
I have leans on Cincinnati, UTEP, Arkansas State, Central Florida and the FIU-LT 'Over'.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc ncaa

4 Unit Take #670 USC -3.5 over Washington (9p.m., Thursday, February 13 ESPN2) This play is mostly going against Washington, as they have fallen apart having lost 6 straight games. They have thrown in the towel on the 2019-2020 season. USC is also shaky but they do have talent and should be able to get back on track after playing a brutal schedule of late. USC also have revenge on their minds losing to Washington by 32 points earlier this season in Seattle. Washington is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. USC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous games.

5 Take #690 Over 139 in BYU @ LMU (11p.m., Thursday, February 13 ESPNU) BYU is well on their way to receiving an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament if they can finish out the season strong. The Cougars have gone over the posted total in 8 of their last 10 games. BYU has also gone over the posted total in 9 straight games following an ATS win in their previous game. LMU has gone over the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games following an ATS win in their previous game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Docs Consensus (14-13 L5 days)

NBA
6u Pelicans -2.5
5u Celtics -2

NCAAB
6u Drexel +5.5
6u USC -3.5
6u Southern Utah pk

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHARP TOTALS CLUB

3*Murray St/Austin Peay Over 144
2*Cleveland St/Oakland Over 130