Service Plays Friday 2/21/20

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FOOTBALL JESUS

FRI nite hoops NCAA

ST LOUIS+pts

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SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS






UNDER 124.5

ST. PETER'S @ MANHATTAN | 2/21 | 7:00 PM EST


It is natural for a coach to demand a more conservative approach after his team had a poor assist-to-turnover ratio. The Manhattan Jaspers have 15 straight Unders when they are coming off a road game in which they had more turnovers than assists and are facing a team that is not on a losing streak of three or more games. As for Saint Peter’s, the Under is 15-1 when the Peacocks are coming off a home game in which they scored fewer than 18.2 percent of their points from the foul line with the lone Over by two points after TWO overtime sessions. (The game was 30 points Under at the end of regulation.) We are on the Under.
5-2 IN LAST 7 CBB O/U PICKS | +279



SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS






UNDER 133.5

PENN @ DARTMOUTH | 2/21 | 7:00 PM EST


The Big Green are coming off a 75-53 win over Cornell in which they had just three double-digit scorers. This has been a nice O/U indicator; the Under has cashed 13 straight times when Dartmouth is coming off a win in which it had three or fewer double-digit scorers, staying Under by an average of 17.5 points. The linemakers rate this one close to a toss-up, and this is relevant because the Under has cashed in seven straight Quakers games when the line is within four points of pick 'em and they are facing a team that has averaged fewer than four blocks, staying Under by a staggering 19.9 points. Play the Under.
5-2 IN LAST 7 CBB O/U PICKS | +279



SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS






PRINCETON +7.5

PRINCETON @ HARVARD | 2/21 | 7:00 PM EST


Princeton is coming off a 73-54 win over Brown, and Harvard is coming off a 77-73 win over Columbia. Both of these results point to a play on Princeton. The Tigers are 19-0 ATS on the road off a double-digit win in which they allowed less than 40 percent shooting, had thirty or fewer defensive rebounds and had fewer than 10 steals. As for Harvard, we find the Crimson are 0-7 ATS in their last seven when they are off a win as a favorite in which fewer than 45 percent of their baskets were assisted. Grab the generous points.
9-6 IN LAST 15 CBB PICKS | +238



SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS






SAINT LOUIS +2

VCU @ SAINT LOUIS | 2/21 | 9:00 PM EST


St. Louis is catching points and is coming off a 67-63 loss in Massachusetts. This is a play-on spot, as the Billikens are 11-0 ATS as a dog off a road game when they are facing a team that is averaging fewer than 20.25 fouls per game. As for VCU, we find that it has a neat performance dichotomy based on the number of assists it recorded in its previous game. The Rams are 7-0 ATS on the road off a home game in which they had more than 15 assists and 0-13 ATS on the road off a home game in which they had fewer than 15 assists. They had 11 assists at home against Dayton on Tuesday, making the play against VCU.
9-6 IN LAST 15 CBB PICKS | +238

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy NBA
6-Unit Play. #513. Take Cleveland Cavaliers +6 over Washington Wizards (Friday @ 7pm est)

I know it seems a bit scary here to take the Cavs for our 7th Straight Winner for our 91st Golden Week of our career (7 winners in a row). Great 3* Winner to start the 2nd half on the Pistons/Bucks Over by the way that brings us to +6800 on the NBA Season and on a 6-0 Run for +2700 and 17-6 Run for +3700. Let's keep rolling here as we also have a solid 3*CBB Selection, 3*NHL Selection, 6*XFL This Weekend after the 3-0 last weekend for +1000 (6-0 with Football top plays dating back to last season) and of course, our 5*Soccer Play on Saturday which we are 10-1 in Soccer for +3000. Take a moment, and sign up for the Entire Season in all the sports and save money because we are going to keep working hard to increase your ROI. Per this seleciton, we like the Cavs here. Joh Beilein is one of my favorite coaches and he decided to part way with the Cavs as losing was just not in his DNA but the real reason is that the Cavs were not showing the professionalism he is accustomed to in college. Charles Barkley recently came out and attacked the Cavs players as well and they took a lot of flack. The Cavs did beat the Hawks to close out the first half likely knowing it was Beilein's last game as a coach and they won by double-digits against a Hawks team who was playing well coming in and who just beat the Heat at home. This is a Cavs team that has potential and as they face a Wizards team who likely might go to the playoffs, I think the new energy that Coach Bickerstaff will bring for this game will be enough to get inside the number. Remember, Bickerstaff is a good coach who coached the Rockets and Grizzlies before this and I think these players have been dragged through thd press a little here and I think the Cavs put forth a lot of effort here and look to get inside the number. Note, if we win today, we would have 10 straight NBA 6-Unit Selections.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo NBA

7-Unit Play. Take #515 Dallas (-4) over Orlando (7 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

The Mavericks are healthy now. Luka Doncic is back to 100 percent and ready to go. I think it was a good thing that the Mavs were forced to play without their star guard for a couple weeks and they now have a lot more confidence. Orlando is a wreck. I know they've won two straight. But one win was over Detroit and the other was against a Hawks team that was off a multiple-OT game the night before. Kick out those two games and the Magic have won just twice in the last month (2-10). They can be tough at home. But they are outmatched here.

2-Unit Play. Take #517 Phoenix (+7.5) over Toronto (7:30 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

We saw yesterday, while winning our savvy play on the Kings, that momentum doesn't withstand time. Toronto closed out the first half of the season on a monster run, winning 15 straight before finally having their streak snapped. However, I think that momentum is gone. Also, if you look back at that streak they beat a bunch of just garbage teams. I'm looking to fade this team over the next few weeks and I think that they are going to come back to earth. Frankly, they aren't as good as their record. The Raptors also have bigger games with Indiana and Milwaukee on deck and I think they will not be 100 percent here in a game against a random Western Conference foe.

1-Unit Play. Take #519 Indiana (-6.5) over New York (7:30 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

The Pacers needed the break as much as any team in the NBA. I expect to see a much better effort out of this group here. The Knicks are the Knicks. They are huge losers and no bet against them is ever a bad bet.

1-Unit Play. Take #521 Boston (-6.5) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 226.5 Boston at Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

Minnesota is in a weird spot. They just acquired D'Angelo Russell, but now he's trying to learn how to play with his new teammates. And on top of that, the team's best player, Karl-Anthony Towns, is now hurt and out. Boston is also without its best player, Kemba Walker, but they are still a better, more cohesive unit. And they will be in a better position to handle his loss.

2-Unit Play. Take #523 Denver (+1) over Oklahoma City (8 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

2-Unit Play. Take #527 New Orleans (-5) over Portland (10:30 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

The Pelicans buried Portland 138-117 in New Orleans on Feb. 11, right before the break. And that was with Damion Lillard playing for the Blazers. He is out and that's a big problem for this team. New Orleans was on an upswing prior to the break, winning three of four and six of nine. They basically acquired an All-Star caliber player midseason when they got Zion Williamson back in the fold and I think that this team is going to be a tough out the next two months.

2-Unit Play. Take #530 L.A. Lakers (-11) over Memphis (10:30 p.m., Friday, Feb. 21)

We hit against the Grizzlies last night. I'm going right back against them tonight. This is a young team that is coming back from a week off by playing back-to-back games. They lost last night and now I think they are going to run into a brick wall in Los Angeles. The Lakers aren't messing around. They know it is the stretch run and they are fighting for the top seed in the West. They won't be taking this upstart Memphis team lightly.

Carpe diem. Good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FINNs LATE TIP NBA WEST CONF CASH
Game: (527) New Orleans Pelicans at (528) Portland Trail Blazers
Date/Time: Feb 21 2020 10:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New Orleans Pelicans -5.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Side Action Sports

New Orleans

[Calidreaming]

IC 6* NBA play on Cleveland Cavs

[Calidreaming]

Ben Burns CBB total Over Iona

[Calidreaming]

Big Al NHL Play On Edm Oilers

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Millerlocks

7:00 pm est ncaab
wisc green bay vs. Detroit

pick: Under 166 (-108)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est nba
dallas mavericks vs. Orlando magic

pick: Dallas mavericks -4 (-108)

risk: 11 units

7:35 pm est nba
phoenix suns vs. Toronto raptors

pick: Toronto raptors -7.5 (-110)

risk: 11 units

8:05 pm est nba
boston celtics vs. Minnesota timberwolves

pick: Boston celtics -7 (-111)

risk: 11 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks
Buffalo +4.5 over Kent St. (NCAAB)

Insider Sports Report
4* Pennsylvania -1 over Dartmouth (NCAAB)
3* Central Connecticut St. +9 over Wagner (NCAAB)
3* Boston -6.5 over Minnesota (NBA)

National Sports Service
4* Saint Peters +2 over Manhatan (NCAAB)
3* Portland +3 over New Orleans (NBA)

Primetime Sports Picks For 02/21/20
4 Unit --> Toronto -7.5 over Phoenix (NBA)
3 Unit --> Buffalo +4.5 over Kent St. (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Saint Louis +1 over V.C.U. (NCAAB)

Top Rank Sports Picks
4★ Boston -6.5 over Minnesota (NBA)
3★ Merrimack -2.5 over Sacred Heart (NCAAB)
3★ New Orleans -3 over Portland (NBA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (515) Dallas Mavericks at (516) Orlando Magic
Date/Time: Feb 21 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Dallas Mavericks -135

View Analysis

Pretty simple stuff here...hotter starting team, better, healthier roster, and a 21-5 1st half ATS against a team covering just 3 of the last 10 in the first 24 minutes. Magic are backable at home...but this is where Luka et al can start STRONG in the second half and improve the playoff standing...ultimate goal avoid an LA first round series!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK NCAAB

Game: (307921) Sacred Heart at (307922) Merrimack
Date/Time: Feb 21 2020 5:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 128.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Sacred Heart and Merrimack are both DEAD NUT Under plays in opposite today's venues...so maybe this explains the grand move upward from where it started insanely at 124...
Keep in mind this was likely a wild guess from CRIS who puts themselves out there while other books chill and react. Heritage opened it at 127 and that feels more right...but stand alone game even in a tiny NEC is seeing a ton of action from starved bettors and that means Over money. Anything more than 125 in this game signals a nice Under play for me...and if they DID open at 127 at sharp books knowing this was a stand alone bet for degens....then clearly they capped it where we did...125 or less!
b
Game: (875) Buffalo at (876) Kent State
Date/Time: Feb 21 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Buffalo 3.5 (-108)

View Analysis

Why would Buffalo even lose this game?...let alone be a dog of full HCA? Hmmm...last 5 games they have a TOP 10 defensive efficiency in the NATION...along with...ahem..EMU who just waxed Kent 70-49! Buffalo has slowed things down...played great D...good on the boards...stopped teams from the perimeter to a sub-30% rate...and played better, consistent, less manic offense.
I have the Bulls winning this game and LOVE LOVE the value with this many points....OOPS play of the night
Game: (307927) Bryant at (307928) St. Francis (NY) St. Francis (NY)
Date/Time: Feb 21 2020 7:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: St. Francis (NY) St. Francis (NY) 0.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Ooops....Bryant on the road...opened a favorite...ouch...0-6 last 6 and SF is off a HUGE outright win in the Battle of Brooklyn against LIU. No letdown for me at home tonight...wrong team WAS favored....

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK NHL

Game:(25) Boston Bruins at (26) Calgary Flames
Date/Time: Feb 21 2020 9:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (-115)

View Analysis

Pretty excellent number AND price on a Halak v. Talbot matchup here as the Bruins keep west to take on the Flames and their high scoring games. Calgary as a home favorite are 7 of 9 to the Over since the calendar flipped to 2020 and many of these games were not all that close...8, 9, 10, 11, 12 goals...and no Rask or Rittich I think we get here easily rather...with a 3-3 OT feeling like a floor here In tonight's matchup!

[rocky57]

H&H Sports (No 5* Tonight)
CBB
4* VCU -115 (Moneyline)
4* Kent State -145 (Moneyline)