Service Plays Saturday 2/22/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Doyle

AUBURN -6
TENNESSEE @ AUBURN | 2/22 | 12:00 PM EST
11:33 AM
I’m in a phone down relationship with the Tigers on the road. I don’t trust them, who’s texting them. They are not the same loving group on the road as they are at home. They are at home today. Lay the points.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CBB PICKS | +293
NC STATE +101
FLORIDA ST. @ NC STATE | 2/22 | 4:00 PM EST
11:26 AM
Get on the bandwagon of Kevin Keatts. This is a huge game for the Wolfpack as far as March goes, so don't expect a letdown. NC State money line (+101) is the play.

8-5 IN LAST 13 CBB ML PICKS | +525
KENTUCKY -4.5
FLORIDA @ KENTUCKY | 2/22 | 6:00 PM EST
11:11 AM
I’d lay seven points here. Kentucky’s guards are all future pros and are peaking at the right time. Wildcats cover.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CBB PICKS | +293
BYU +158
GONZAGA @ BYU | 2/22 | 10:00 PM EST
11:06 AM
The Zags looks average in surviving San Francisco. Now they're on the road against a ranked opponent. This environment will be electric, and BYU is catching Gonzaga at the right time. Cougars money line (+158) is the play.

8-5 IN LAST 13 CBB ML PICKS | +525
UNDER 133
UCLA @ COLORADO | 2/22 | 4:00 PM EST
11:02 AM
UCLA is finding itself with new head coach Mick Cronin, especially on the defensive end. The Bruins have held their last two opponents to 58 and 57 points. Meanwhile Colorado’s calling card is defense, allowing just 62.3 points per game. This will be a grind-it-out conference game. Take the Under.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CBB PICKS | +293
PITTSBURGH +125
VIRGINIA @ PITTSBURGH | 2/22 | 12:00 PM EST
10:59 AM
Virginia has been awful ATS and now lay points on the road. No thank you. This is a big spot for Pitt coach Jeff Capel’s squad to get a win that excites the fan base. Pitt money line (+125) is the play.

8-5 IN LAST 13 CBB ML PICKS | +525
ILLINOIS ST. +105
DRAKE @ ILLINOIS ST. | 2/22 | 4:30 PM EST
10:56 AM
I was so impressed by Illinois State’s first half against Loyola when it was up four at halftime. The Redbird already have knocked off Northern Iowa this season at home. Coach Dan Muller needs this win bad. Illinois State money line (+105) is the play.

8-5 IN LAST 13 CBB ML PICKS | +525
KANSAS +104
KANSAS @ BAYLOR | 2/22 | 12:00 PM EST
10:51 AM
Both teams are No. 1 seeds, but think about this: If your house was on fire and only team could save it by winning, which would you trust more? The answer is Bill Self and Kansas. Don’t get scared away by that 67-55 loss in the first matchup. Jayhawks money line (+104) is the play.

8-5 IN LAST 13 CBB ML PICKS | +525
MASSACHUSETTS -2.5
MASSACHUSETTS @ FORDHAM | 2/22 | 4:00 PM EST
10:46 AM
UMass has won two of its last three and gave Dayton all it can handle. Coach Matt McCall needed some wins, and he and his team need this win too against a Fordham team that has so much troubling scoring. I'm on UMass.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CBB PICKS | +293
2-1 IN LAST 3 UMASS ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Nagel

PURDUE -3.5
MICHIGAN @ PURDUE | 2/22 | 2:00 PM EST
11:32 AM
The Wolverines have won four straight to give themselves a solid chance at salvaging an NCAA bid. The slumping Boilermakers are looking to do the same and come in with a three-game losing streak that includes blowouts to Penn State and Ohio State. The Boilermakers were embarrassed the last time they took their home court. Look for them to turn up the defensive intensity and turn back Michigan.

19-14-1 IN LAST 34 CBB PICKS | +346
8-6 IN LAST 14 PURDUE ATS PICKS | +144

RHODE ISLAND +2.5
RHODE ISLAND @ DAVIDSON | 2/22 | 5:30 PM EST
11:26 AM
Davidson blew a 19-point lead against lowly St. Joe's in its last outing, while Rhode Island was blow out by Dayton in its last A-10 road game. But Rhode Island is pretty clearly the second-best team in a top-heavy A-10. The Rams would have to have a serious letdown, in conjunction with a strong Davidson performance, in order to lose this one. Rhode Island isn't getting enough respect in this spread.

19-14-1 IN LAST 34 CBB PICKS | +346
3-0 IN LAST 3 RI ATS PICKS | +300

MARQUETTE +1.5
MARQUETTE @ PROVIDENCE | 2/22 | 12:00 PM EST
11:20 AM
Marquette came out flat against Creighton in its last game and never recovered. Standout Markus Howard finished with just 13 points. A third straight loss would put the Eagles in pretty dangerous bubble territory. Now, they face a Providence club that needs another signature win to improve its own postseason profile. But the Friars had to fight hard in order to edge Georgetown in their last game. Look for a flat spot against what should be a motivated Marquette club.

19-14-1 IN LAST 34 CBB PICKS | +346
3-2 IN LAST 5 MARQET ATS PICKS | +74

KANSAS +1.5
KANSAS @ BAYLOR | 2/22 | 12:00 PM EST
11:14 AM
Kansas might be playing better than in any team in the country at the moment. That's saying a lot considering top-ranked Baylor has won 23 straight games and can sweep the Jayhawks with a home win Saturday. But Baylor's relative lack of offensive weapons will be a liability come March Madness and you can't expect Kansas to give up the Big 12 regular-seaosn title without a fight.

19-14-1 IN LAST 34 CBB PICKS | +346
12-4 IN LAST 16 BAYLOR ATS PICKS | +768

14-7 IN LAST 21 KANSAS ATS PICKS | +621

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From the swami:

full court press GOY : kansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco


Date Expert Rating Game Play
Feb 22 Marco D'Angelo 3% [CBB] (669) Hofstra at (670) Delaware

Time: 4:00 PM EST Hofstra -1.0 (-108)
Analysis:
3% HOFSTRA -1
Analysis to follow
***Plays will be added to this package all morning with the Package being Final by 1:15 EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Feb 22 Marco D'Angelo 5% [CBB] (671) UCLA at (672) Colorado

Time: 4:00 PM EST Colorado -10.0 (-104)
Analysis:
5% COLORADO -10
analysis to follow
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Feb 22 Marco D'Angelo 4% [CBB] (729) Florida at (730) Kentucky

Time: 6:00 PM EST Florida 5.0 (-108)
Analysis:
4% FLORIDA +5
analysis to follow
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Feb 22 Marco D'Angelo 4% [CBB] (757) Oregon State at (758) Arizona State

Time: 8:00 PM EST Oregon State 5.5 (-108)
Analysis:
4% OREGON ST +5.5
analysis to follow
Betting Line Provider: Heritage

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al horizon gom Youngstown state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

6 star Tulsa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #610 Providence (-1.5) over Marquette (Noon, Saturday, Feb. 22)
Marquette is still ranked. For now. The fact that they are a ranked team and they are still underdogs on the road is a bit of a red flag. They have lost two in a row and they played like trash against Creighton at home earlier this week. Providence already beat the Golden Eagles once this season, winning on the road. This is a good matchup for them because they can bang the Eagles on the interior. Providence has a ton of talent; they have been one of the country's biggest underachievers this year. I think it will be on display here. The Friars have won their last two home games over Seton hall and Creighton, two of the league leaders. I think they can take out a Marquette team that seems to be running on fumes.
2-Unit Play. Take #625 Northern Kentucky (-3) over Youngstown State (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
Youngstown State is coming off its best game of the year. They shot out of their minds from the field (50%) and from the free throw line (89%) and blew out Wright State, the best team in the conference, by 18 points. They aren't going to do it twice in a row. Northern Kentucky is 11-2 in its last 13 games. They navigated an injury to Dantez Walton and now they are back in a groove. This team has won three straight, and six of seven, on the road by an average of 14 points per game. None of their road wins have come by fewer than 9 points. And I don't see Youngstown being too much of an impediment here.
1-Unit Play. Take #649 Wright State (-9) over Cleveland State (3 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
We won with Northern Kentucky over the Vikings on Thursday. I'm just going to keep chopping. I don't know what is going on with Cleveland State's three ?injured? players (Frank Penn, Craig Beaudion and Ty Potoma). But this is a terrible team with minimal depth as it is. Without three guys - including the starting point guard, Beaudion - these guys don't have a chance to compete. Wright State is legit. And they are coming off a surprise 18-point loss in their worst game of the year. I think they are going to bounce back. After their last three losses they rebounded to win by 23, 13 and 12 points. I see a similar bounce back effort here and this one should be an early knockout.
1-Unit Play. Take #685 Georgia Tech (+6) over Syracuse (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
Tech will be aiming to get revenge for their worst game of the season, a 34-point beat down in Atlanta from the Orange back on Dec. 7. I don't see that happening again here. These two teams look like they are headed in opposite directions. Syracuse is 1-5 in their last six games, with the one win a two-point fluke at home against a bad Wake Forest team. Georgia Tech has been hot since they finally got healthy. They've won three of four and five of seven. Tech is not good on the road, but right now I don't trust the Orange laying points to anyone.
2-Unit Play. Take #690 Illinois-Chicago (-9) over IUPUI (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
I'm going to keep banging the drum with the Flames, who should be gearing up for a potential conference tournament run. They have had the week off and the last time they took the court they beat one of the league's top teams on the road by 30 points. IUPUI is a mess. This team lost on the road to Cleveland State by 10 points. Cleveland State is one of the worst teams in the country. IUPUI has lost six straight and 10 of 11. Those losses have come by 14, 25, 9, 12, 10, 15, 6, 1, 14 and 40 points. So they have stayed within nine points of just two teams over the last month-plus. Not great. UI-C won the first matchup by nine points on the road. It should be even worse here.
2-Unit Play. Take #730 Kentucky (-4.5) over Florida (6 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
Florida kind of fell off the radar when they slipped to 12-8 at the end of January. Since then they have won five of their last six games, but it couldn't have come against a more unimpressive group of teams. The Gators haven't beaten a Top 50 team in over a moth. And if you kick out that one win - a blowout win over Auburn on Jan. 18 - then the Gators don't have a win against an NCAA Tournament-caliber team all season. I don't love Kentucky; they can't shoot. However, they are solid at home and should be able to take advantage of playing in front of a pro-UK crowd.
3-Unit Play. Take #735 Richmond (-1.5) over St. Bonaventure (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
I'm going to keep riding Richmond. This team has buried its last three opponents. And ever since Blake Francis has come back from injury these guys have been in a groove. They are a 20-win team and getting to the point where they should be considered for an at-large berth if they win out and make a deep run in the A-10 tournament. I think they are capable. St. Bonaventure hasn't played in over a week. They are coming off a horrific 93-64 loss at home to Davidson and there's no telling where their head is at. The Bonnies have been completely overmatched by the top teams in the league this year. They also have just one Top 150 win since Thanksgiving, an 83-80 win at Duquesne (who is barely a Top 100 team). The Bonnies are punching above their weight class. They won't get blown out here, bu I definitely think this hot Spiders team can do enough to get this win.
2-Unit Play. Take #758 Arizona State (-5.5) over Oregon State (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
Let's just keep riding with Arizona State. I have been on this team all season long. I knew they were better than that midseason stretch that saw them go 2-5, and they have proven it. ASU is 8-1 in its last eight games and they have won six straight. They were really sharp against Oregon and right now their three-headed backcourt of Remy Martin, Alonzo Verge and Rob Edwards are all in a nice groove. Oregon State is tricky. But they have gotten wrecked in their last two games. And this team has been horrid on the road al season. They are 2-6 in their last eight road games and the losses have come by an average of nearly 13 points per game. I'll ride the hot hand.
1-Unit Play. Take #761 Bradley (+1) over Valparaiso (8 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
Valpo stinks. They rallied from a 14-point deficit late in the second half at Drake this week, only to lose in overtime. I just don't think that this team is any good and I don't see what their home court advantage would be. Bradley has won four in a row and they are 3-3 in their last six road games. I think they'll pick up another here.
4-Unit Play. Take #776 DePaul (-2) over Georgetown (9 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
There is still no telling what the status of Mac McClung and Omer Yurtseven is. McClung finally came back from injury last game, but then got hurt again. Yurtseven hasn't practiced all week. If those two don't play then the Hoyas are clearly the worst team in the Big East. They have simply lost too much to attrition. Beyond that, I just think that this team is worn out. Four guys have to play 35+ minutes every night and they are just running out of steam. DePaul has lost eight straight games. They are 1-12 in league play and they are desperate for something positive to happen. This team is much, much better than its record and they are absolutely due for something good to happen. Remember: this DePaul team was good enough to blowout Iowa (on the road) and beat Texas Tech and Minnesota, two Top 40 teams. The Blue Demons aren't going to have any sympathy for a Hoyas team that beat them 76-72 on Feb. 8 (with Yurtseven). The Blue Demons blew a nine-point second half lead on the road in that one. They should be able to get their revenge here.
7-Unit Play. Take #794 Nevada (-7) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 22)
Fresno State is a bad basketball team. That fact has been masked somewhat by a bunch of home games and games against the weak sisters of the Mountain West. But they are not good. At all. They are coming off a win - a misleading nine-point win over a soft Air Force squad - and this is their last road game of the year. What motivation could this team possibly have? The Mountain West is one of the most unbalanced conferences in the country. The teams at the top - SDSU, Utah State, Nevada, Boise and Colorado State - are all really solid teams. Then the talent level drops off a cliff, and Fresno is right there with the bottom feeders. The Bulldogs start three freshmen so it makes sense that they are bad on the road. The Bulldogs don't have a win against a team in the Top 125 and their best win of the season was over Winthrop, at home, back on Nov. 10, by all of three points. Nevada, on the other hand, has quietly gotten hot. Look, Steve Alford isn't a bad coach. He is back in familiar waters in the Mountain West. And he is getting the most out of a Wolfpack team that lost as much talent as any team in the country. They still have some experience, with four senior starters, and they still have some tricks up their sleeves. Nevada has won four straight and six of eight. Their wins during the last month have come by 16, 22, 34, 18, 3 and 14. They have pummeled the garbage teams in this league and competed hard against the top tier. I don't see anything about this matchup that makes me think that Fresno State stands a chance.
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #646 SIU-Edwardsville (+16.5) over Murray State (3 p.m.) AND Take #747 Belmont (-3) over Eastern Kentucky (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #604 Furman (-2.5) over Wofford (Noon) AND Take #747 Belmont (-3) over Eastern Kentucky (7 p.m.)
3-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #649 Wright State (-4) over Cleveland State (3 p.m.) AND Take #685 Georgia Tech (+11) over Syracuse (4 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #690 Illinois-Chicago (-4) over IUPUI (4 p.m.) AND Take #788 BYU (+9.5) over Gonzaga (10 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Underdog


Fla

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog CBB Pick:

Game: Duquesne Dukes (637) @ Dayton Flyers (638)
Time: Saturday 02/22 2:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Duquesne +14 (-118) at Bookmaker

[Calidreaming]

Spreitzer 7* NBA Play on Suns
IC 7* NBA Play on Brooklyn Nets

[Calidreaming]

IC XFL
7* Houston
tomorrow
4* DC
3* Over NY

[WeWantMoehr]

VSI - NBA

5 Unit Play. Take #537 Over 221.5 Cleveland at Miami (8:05p.m., Saturday February 22)
Tonight at the American Airlines Arena the Miami Heat welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland played last night and stole a road game in Washington beating the Wizards 113-108. Cleveland has won back-to-back games but lets face it their defense is allowing 118.3ppg in their last 10 games. The Heat first game in the second half they lost to the Atlanta Hawks on the road 129-124 and that game flew over and tonight I see the Heat getting their frustration out on the Cavs defense. The Cavs last 19 road games 13 of them have gone 'Over' and the Cavs are 4-0 O/U on back-to-back nights. Miami is 21-9 O/U after allowing 100 points in their last game. Let's also throw in the last 7 meetings in Miami between these two teams 6 of them have gone 'Over'.

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris - NBA

7 Unit Play. Take #542 Milwaukee Bucks -8.5 over Philadelphia 76ers (8:35 PM, Saturday, February 22, ABC)
The Milwaukee Bucks will look for their seventh win in their last eight games when they take on the Philadelphia 76ers at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI on Saturday night. The Bucks have posted a 4-1 ATS record in their last five home games where they were listed as a favorite and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS record in their last six games where they were listed as the favorite overall. They have also covered the number in nine of their last twelve games following a game where they scored 125 points or more and they are an impressive 23-9 ATS in their last 32 when facing a team that cracked the 100 point barrier in their previous contest. The Sixers, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a winning % of .600 or higher and they are also just 3-7 ATS off a game where they scored 100 points or more. They have also failed to cover the number in five of their last six games where they were listed as an underdog and they are an awful 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight as an underdog on the road. Throw in the fact that the Sixers are also 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 road games along with the fact that the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against Philly and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the home win and cover in Milwaukee on Saturday evening.

[WeWantMoehr]

Jason Sharpe - NBA

7 Unit Play Take #534 'under' 211.5 Brooklyn/Charlotte (7:05pm est):

(211.5 is at CGT and stations) The Brooklyn Nets lost star Kyrie Irving to another extended injury a few weeks back. Without Irving on the floor this team isn't as potent offensively. They have also really slowed things down pace wise since the latest Irving injury as they are 25th overall in pace ratings in those last 6 contests after ranking in the top 10 for the season before that. The Nets have also went below the posted total in 6 of their last 7 games at the end of regulation time falling an average of 9 points per game under the number.

Charlotte is the slowest paced team in the NBA this year and with that they also average the least amount of points per game. They came out of the break and really slowed things down against a Chicago team that had went 'over' the last 8 times overall. They had just 93 possessions in the game and fell 14.5 points below the total.

Play 'under' this total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy XFL
7-unit Play. #417. Take Houston -6.5 over Tampa Bay. Saturday @ 2:00 pm est

This is a lot to say about how both of these teams started the season. Tampa Bay held a lot of promise early on with Aaron Murray at quarter back, a strong De'Veon Smith in the back field and a trio of solid wideouts to give defenses trouble. But rusty Murray lead to a QB change and the Vipers make their home debut at 2-0. The Vipers are averaging over 300 yards per game with 145.5 on the ground, but with a running clock, they need to score points and wasting time grinding it out in the trenches is not going to do it. They have scored just 12 points this season while giving up 40 points and face an offense that is the highest scoring team in the league. PJ Walker is gaining a ton of praise and we expect this four-year NFL back up to shine even brighter. With Tampa's man to man coverage this will open up Walker to exploit this struggling defense. Walker has seven passing TDs to just one INT with a 62% completion rate. Houston's top two wideouts are averaging over 10 yards per catch and should cut this leaky defense apart.

3-unit Play. #422. Take Over 40 New York vs St. Louis. Sunday @ 3:00 pm est

This is one of the two 1-1 matchups this weekend as St. Louis host its first professional football game in a very long time. The BattleHawks fought until the end against a strong Houston side, losing by just four points. St. Louis has one of the highest producing offenses in the League putting up almost 400 yards per game and nearly 20 points as well. Their biggest issue is converting their extra points, which they are 0-6 this season. Jordan Ta'amu should have another break out performance as he is averaging close to 250 yards passing per game and is completing 78 percent of his passes. For New York, they were blanked last week against DC 27-0 after making easy work of Tampa Bay in the opening weekend. New York has struggled at times, but they will face a defense that will under estimate their ability as they challenge this St. Louis side that is expecting a big crowd. New York is under producing this season for its talent and is primed for a blowout performance.

4-unit Play. #423. Take DC -8.5 over Los Angeles. Sunday @ 6:00 pm est

We like DC on the road in our third and final game of the weekend. DC are 2-0 this season having opened up the XFL with an easy 31-19 win over Seattle which was followed by a 27-0 win over a New York side that could not get out of its own way last week. DC is averaging over 300 yards per game with most of those in the air, which will be a struggle for an LA defense that is giving up 31 points per game. Cardale Jones has been a bright spot in the XFL's return and is averaging 255 yards passing per game while completing 62 percent of his passes. Rashad Ross can be difficult to slow down and should have a dominate game against this LA defense. For the host, LA are 1-1 this season and are coming off a 25-18 loss at home to a very below average Dallas side. LA does have some bright spots, but QB Josh Johnson may have come out looking better than he is as they took advantage of a Dallas side that puts up points, but struggles to slow teams down. This LA defense has giving up a league high eight TDs already this season. Though DC are on the road, LA does not have the talent to take advantage of home field.