Friday 2-28-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, February 28


    NY Rangers @ Philadelphia

    Game 55-56
    February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Rangers
    13.592
    Philadelphia
    12.464
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Rangers
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    -165
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Rangers
    (+145); Over

    Minnesota @ Columbus


    Game 53-54
    February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    12.135
    Columbus
    9.777
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Columbus
    -130
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+110); Over

    Colorado @ Carolina


    Game 57-58
    February 28, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    10.308
    Carolina
    11.795
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 1 1/2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    -115
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (-115); Under

    Buffalo @ Vegas


    Game 61-62
    February 28, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    11.426
    Vegas
    13.061
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -250
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-250); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Anaheim


    Game 59-60
    February 28, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    10.529
    Anaheim
    9.513
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -185
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-185); Over
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Friday, February 28


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MINNESOTA (30-25-0-7, 67 pts.) at COLUMBUS (31-20-0-14, 76 pts.) - 2/28/2020, 7:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MINNESOTA is 24-28 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 10-14 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      COLUMBUS is 4-10 ATS (-9.2 Units) in February games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
      MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NY RANGERS (34-24-0-4, 72 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (36-20-0-7, 79 pts.) - 2/28/2020, 7:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHILADELPHIA is 36-27 ATS (+68.4 Units) in all games this season.
      PHILADELPHIA is 27-11 ATS (+12.1 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
      NY RANGERS are 34-28 ATS (+66.3 Units) in all games this season.
      NY RANGERS are 16-12 ATS (+33.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
      NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games this season.
      NY RANGERS are 15-8 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
      NY RANGERS are 13-5 ATS (+19.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      NY RANGERS are 16-13 ATS (+33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      NY RANGERS are 10-8 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 18-30 ATS (+49.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      PHILADELPHIA is 271-289 ATS (-110.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
      PHILADELPHIA is 7-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      COLORADO (37-18-0-7, 81 pts.) at CAROLINA (35-23-0-4, 74 pts.) - 2/28/2020, 7:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      COLORADO is 16-8 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
      COLORADO is 157-152 ATS (+331.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
      COLORADO is 141-114 ATS (+264.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
      CAROLINA is 91-102 ATS (-56.1 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
      CAROLINA is 123-133 ATS (-66.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CAROLINA is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
      CAROLINA is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PITTSBURGH (37-19-0-6, 80 pts.) at ANAHEIM (25-30-0-8, 58 pts.) - 2/28/2020, 10:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ANAHEIM is 582-484 ATS (+60.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 8-3 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
      ANAHEIM is 307-244 ATS (+37.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
      ANAHEIM is 284-262 ATS (+591.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      PITTSBURGH is 19-7 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      PITTSBURGH is 20-7 ATS (+10.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
      ANAHEIM is 1-9 ATS (+10.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ANAHEIM is 3-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      ANAHEIM is 3-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BUFFALO (29-26-0-8, 66 pts.) at VEGAS (35-22-0-8, 78 pts.) - 2/28/2020, 10:08 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      BUFFALO is 232-251 ATS (+543.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
      VEGAS is 81-73 ATS (+203.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      VEGAS is 29-32 ATS (-18.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      VEGAS is 11-14 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      VEGAS is 3-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Paul Leiner

        NBA & CBB Picks 2/28

        100* Over 124.5 Dartmouth/Cornell
        100* Rider -3
        100* Over 219 Nuggets/Clippers
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          Al Cimaglia: February 28-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis


          February 28, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
          The 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo this evening is set to begin in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout and will be my focus.

          Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

          Race 7

          2-Gravelsinmytravel (5-1)-9-year-old needs the right trip and starts slowly. The pace could be brisk and in 4th local start, might be set to roll by down the lane.
          3-To The Limit (7/2)-Beaten chalk didn't get the best of trips and couldn't make up ground down the lane. Steps-up a notch but has beaten better when dialed on high. Plano steers and with the right trip it could be picture time.
          8-Contemporay Legend (5/2)-Program chalk drops to a spot to shine. Kennedy's choice over #5 is a major threat with a live cover flow. Kennedy could also leave as there isn't a lot of gate speed inside.

          Race 8

          1-Wizzel Stix (6-1)-Will toss last effort as Roberts is back and he has driven a few times before. Looking for a more aggressive steer and could get the top and steal a quarter.
          3-Bunkerhill Jill (3-1)-Camera shy mare did race the last 1/2 in 57.1 in previous start after being off for 7-weeks. Looking for a big try tonight and the Wiseman barn has been rolling.
          5-Brian's Magic Girl (3-1)-Was claimed for $7,200 on 1/4 and since then has been racing over its head. Now takes a good drop and this looks like the time to cash the biggest check.

          Race 9

          1-Bettor In The Bank (5-1)-Went out for jog last week from the 8-hole and is back against the same company. Looking for a more serious effort and starting from the rail should help.
          2-Marced Magic (4-1)-Dropped out of the Open class to this level in last. Tried to get on the engine and not look back. That was an unusual tactic and it didn't work. Magee sticks and may look to come off cover tonight.
          4-Blue Star Maverick (5-1)-Sizzled the back half in 54.1 but came up empty. Could race closer to the top of stack and might be sitting on a big try .
          6-Bunker Hill Bill (6-1)-Comes off 2-second place finishes and has been right there in quick miles. Wasn't Magee's choice but Roberts might be able to squeeze a bit more juice out of this veteran and pop at a square price.

          Race 10

          1-Cenalta Glory (9/2)-Last race was on 2/1 but has shown to come back well after time off. Plano's choice over the 3 & 5 is a 9-time winner in 23 starts at CalX. Should like the company and best to not overlook.
          4-Custards Dungeon (4-1)-Started the year with 3-straight wins and has had excuses in last 3 starts. Will respect connections and could get 1st win at this level.
          9-Marc Mellow Man (7/2)-Post draw could hurt but thinking the price will be better than the morning line. Rolled the last half in 55.4 and Roberts takes over here and he could put in play sooner.

          0.20 Pick 4

          2,3,8/1,3,5/1,2,4,6/1,4,9
          Total Bet=$21.60
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
            Santa Anita
            Friday, February 28, 2020
            *

            Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
            *
            It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
            *
            Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

            *

            Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
            Grade B=Solid Play.
            Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
            Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
            *
            The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

            *
            *
            b>Today’s Day Makers: View Video

            Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File
            *
            *

            RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: X
            Single: 1-Mongolian Legend

            Forecast: Mongolian Legend adds blinkers for the first time, lands the favorable rail, exits a series of much tougher races and has speed figures that make him a logical short priced favorite in this maiden $40,000 middle distance affair. As an eight-race maiden he’s probably not one to trust, but if it’s not him, then who? We’ll make him a no value rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.
            *
            *
            RACE 2: Post 12:58 PT. Grade: B+
            Use: 1-Point Hope; 2-Classy Atlantic

            Forecast: This non-winners of three $35,000 claiming turf sprinter should boil to the two inside runners, both of whom are making their first start for new connections following a claim. Point Hope was haltered by M. Glatt (32% with a strong flat-bet profit) and can be expected to improve with the switch to F. Prat and the turn back to a sprint. The veteran Irish-bred mare appears capable of producing a winning late kick. Classy Atlantic is a two-time winner over the local lawn and has a good stalking style for this distance on this course. She goes for the Cerin barn, which usually has a high percentage of winners sporting the first-off-the-claim angle, and though she could do no better than third when favored last time out she exits an open affair and should find this restricted group well within her abilities. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll then have extra tickets keying Point Hope on top.
            *
            *
            RACE 3: Post 1:28 PT. Grade: C+
            Use: 5-Malibu Cat; 6-Raneem

            Forecast: Raneem shows up in a maiden claimer for the first time while returning to the main track, so the B. Baffert-trained filly shouldn’t have any excuses after failing as the favorite in a stronger straight maiden event last month. She’s always been vulnerable in the final furlong but figures to stick much better in this league. We’ll put her on top but not with any degree of confidence. Malibu Cat, sixth in the same race Raneem just finished fifth in, also should enjoy the lesser competition and must be given a strong look. She retains F. Prat, and with just three prior starts may have bit more improvement in her than her main rival. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that probably is best left alone.
            *
            *
            RACE 4: Post 1:58 PT. Grade: C+
            Single: 5-Indy Jones

            Forecast: Indy Jones is 1-for-16 lifetime so there’s no way you can back him with any degree of certainty but the Temple City gelding has numbers that are good enough to beat this restricted (nw-2) $12,500 field and just finished a close third (albeit in a four-runner race) in a similar event earlier this month. If he can produce any kind of forward move – or just turn in the same type of effort – he can win. You can reluctantly use him as a rolling exotic single or just sit it out.
            *
            *
            RACE 5: Post 2:28 PT. Grade: B-
            Use: 6-Commanding Chief; 7-Border Town

            Forecast: Border Town and Commanding Chieffinished third and fourth, respectively, in a recent similar straight maiden turf router and both figure in the fray once again while stretching out to a mile and one-eighth. Neither should be inconvenienced by the extra distance and both should be included in rolling exotic play, though ‘Town, with five fewer starts and adding blinkers for the first time, has more room for improvement and therefore deserves top billing.
            *
            *
            RACE 6: Post 2:58 PT. Grade: C+
            Use: 1-Winning Bells; 2-Sweet Sassafrassy; 5-Dorita’s Lemon

            Forecast: Winning Bells, second while more than six clear of the rest in a similar bottom-rung maiden claimer last month, probably won’t have to do much more today to graduate in only her third career start, so we’ll put the daughter of Dialed In on top and hope that she leaves cleanly from the rail. Sweet Sassafrassy, well-backed at 3-1 in her debut in the same race Winning Bells exits, flashed speed before weakening to wind up a distant third, but she has a right to be fitter and stronger today. It wouldn’t be surprising to see patient handling employed today. Dorita’s Lemon is a first-timer with moderate works. If she run just a little bit, she can act with these.
            *
            *
            RACE 7: Post 3:31 PT. Grade: B+
            Single: 2-Kazan

            Forecast: The speed types appear suspect in this turf sprint for $50,000 older claimers so let’s go with the best of the closers. Kazan, strictly a router throughout his career, has been away since last August when he was voided claim, but we suspect the D. O’Neill-trained gelding will fire a good shot fresh following a series of solid works at San Luis Rey Downs. With excellent turf rider U. Rispoli taking the call, the veteran son of Shanghai Bobby figures to be rolling in the final furlong and with good racing luck should get up in time. Let’s make him a straight play and rolling exotic single.
            *
            *
            RACE 8: Post 4:02 PT. Grade: B
            Use: 1-Tejon5-Seizetheday Rexy

            Forecast: The nightcap is a maiden $50,000 state-bred sprint that drew just seven starters. Seizetheday Rexy seems the best of the known element after finishing a solid runner-up in a similar affair last month and with another forward move today should be hard to deny. The Pratt-O’Neill combo always hits at a high percentage and this gelding projects to enjoy a soft pace-prompting trip and have every chance to separate from the pack when the pressure is turned on. Tejon is a Square Eddie gelding making his first start for the always-dangerous R. Baltas barn and shows a reasonable work tab at San Luis Rey Downs that indicates some ability. The rail is no bargain but in a modest field he’s worth tossing in.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              My Fountain of Youth Late Pick 4 Ticket


              February 28, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
              You have your mind on a single, you put your finger on the button, press and hope your assessment is correct. Easy game, right?

              That’s the way it’s going to go Saturday in my approach to the big Fountain of Youth-anchored Late Pick 4 at Gulfstream Park. Dennis’ Moment is a single on this week’s suggested ticket, and hopefully that ticket’s chances will still be alive to the final race on the 14th race card. The Fountain of Youth is a Grade 2 and is the major prep for the Gr. 1 Florida Derby.

              While it’s never easy singling a horse in a 12-horse field, it’s necessary to cut down somewhere, and the Fountain of Youth looks like the spot. The three races leading up to the headliner are so difficult it looks like they will require players to load up in those races. The road map this week is 4x6x6x1 for $72.

              Dennis’ Moment looms as heavy favorite in the Fountain of Youth, and deservedly so. The race is so full of speed that none of the runners will be able to get an open lead, and with several shooting for the front, it will probably take a runner to come from just off the pace. Dennis’ Moment, trained by Dale Romans, won from just off the pace in the Gr. 3 Iroquois and a similar effort can get it done for him in this one.

              The Pick 4 starts in the 11th race with the Gr. 3 Canadian Turf Stakes -- the first of two grass routes races, and each is coming up challenging, to say to least. Many of the main contenders have been at this for a while, and the older they get, the more likely it is that an up-and-comer will come along, much like Bricks and Mortar did last year. In 2018. Bricks and Mortar lost in Grade 2 and 3 but came back last year ready to roll against the aged and usual Grade 1 suspects, and they could not answer his call. The American turf racing seen is crying out for another superstar among males, and perhaps one of the races on this card will be a start in determining which one goes to the head of the class.

              Hay Dakota, Sombeyay, Gidu and Flying Scotsman. Hay Dakota has been a good $45,000 claim for trainer Jason Servis as he has won two of his three for the new stable. He had a good late punch in winning at 7 1-2 furlongs in his 1st of the year and looks ready to step up into stakes company. Sombeyay was second to Hay Dakota in what was his first in nearly six months. It would be no surprise if he stepped up off that effort and turned the tables. Gidu and Flying Scotsman also are worthy of inclusion. Gidu will be among the pacesetters and if they back off of him, he could be very tough all the way around. Flying Scotsman invades from Fair Grounds, where he was a closing second in the Woodchopper.

              The middle two races are the most difficult. The Gr. 2 Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes looks like slightly more than half the field has a chance for success. A case can be made Bodexpress, Haikal, Phat Man, Zenden, Do Share and Hog Creek Hustle. There is a tremendous amount of speed and it will come down to which of these can carve out the best trip.

              The Grade 2 Mac Diarmida Stakes goes as the 13th race, and like the Gulfstream Mile, any of a half-dozen of the runners are capable. It’s an extensive list that includes Morocco, Sadler’s Joy, Zulu Alpha, Admission Office, Spooky Channel and Marzo. Zulu Alpha enters off a huge win in the Gr. 1 Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational and is the defending champ of the Mac Diarmida. He is among the older runners involved, and several of the younger runners appear to be legit threats.

              Here’s a suggested play in the Gulfstream Park late Pick 4 on Saturday:
              11) #1 Hay Dakota, #5 Sombeyay, #9 Gidu, #12 Flying Scotsman,
              12) #1 Bodexpress, #2 Haikal, #3 Phat Man, #5 Zenden, #10 Do Share, #11 Hog Creek Hustle.
              13) #1 Morocco, #4 Sadler’s Joy, #6 Zulu Alpha, #7 Admission Office, #8 Spooky Channel, #9 Marzo.
              14) #5 Dennis’ Moment.
              50-cent Pick 4 ticket: 1-5-9-12 with 1-2-3-5-10-11 with 1-4-6-7-8-9 with 5 ($72).
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


                Aqueduct - Race #6
                #1 Play Me a Memory Parx invader has won 2-of-3 while facing open foes, brings his jock with him, looks like the controlling speed, and catches a potentially vulnerable favorite; look out.
                #4 Might Me Stalker is eligible to trip out here and the run against NYB claimers last time was sharp, so if he doesn't regress he's going to be in with a big chance; very playable.
                #5 Lucky Move Aforementioned dicey ML favorite is the class but would be a huge underlay at 8-5, especially since the run last time was no better than the top-2; making her prove it.
                Race Summary That 4-1 ML on the pick seems like plenty of value based on her last three, and sure, they were out of town, but she's won here before and the risk-reward will be there, so play her in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4, as the favorite has her warts, yet she'll be bet hard, which means a win by the pick would knock out a lot of tickets.
                Aqueduct - Race #7
                #5 Playthatfunnymusic Stalker drops out of a paid of open company foes, catches a field loaded with speed, lures a white hot Cancel, and meets a favorite taking a suspicious drop; call to post the mild surprise.
                #6 The Caretaker Stiff ML favorite popped two big figures off the Rodriguez claim then a good 4th in an NYB against eons better, so it's a bit odd he's back in for the 40k they claimed him before; tread lightly.
                #2 Summer Bourbon The second from Rodriguez looked good winning off the claim and now rises in class, but his last two fast track runs yielded big wins, so if he can rate a pinch, he's a player here; worth a look.
                Race Summary You won't get rich on the 5 but with the 6 taking all the money maybe you get $9 or so to win, which seems more than fair on a runner who will love all the speed and might be catching the favorite at the right time, so play him to win and place, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4, as budget players will be singling the chalk, which means a win would really spice up both sequences.
                Aqueduct - Race #8
                #2 Quietude Stretch runner exits two solid 3rds in an NYB N1X, meets a very modest field for the level, and should get plenty of pace to rally into; upset special.
                #4 Dovey Lovey Class riser just blasted 25k N3L foes and now meets tougher, but that was a huge win, she fits the race flow, and will be a price too; do not ignore.
                #8 Miss Mi Mi ML favorite was a meek 3rd at the level last time off the claim for Sacco, from Rodriguez, so more regression may be coming; not sold on her chances.
                Race Summary That 8-2 ML seems like a huge overlay on the 2, as you could make a case she should be favored here, so play her in all the slots at 5-1 or better, and get some added value by using her to end the late Pk5/Pk4, as she checks all the boxes here, and should be rolling through the lane.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                  Delta Downs - Race #3
                  #4 Miss Charlie Sioux Might get a price here on the 0-for-24 barn despite this filly running a pretty good one in the debut with similar.
                  #2 Here Comes Linda Wouldn't be a surprise to see her sustain that big move this time around after blowing the race open and settling for second in the debut. Overbet on the hike?
                  #6 Remi's Rose Can show some pace here, and she was actually running a pretty good one at 19/1 in her debut before losing the rider. I'd want her on the tickets.
                  Race Summary Miss Charlie Sioux would be plenty attractive at something like the 12/1 ML offering in a spot where she brings some upside off a good debut run.
                  Delta Downs - Race #8
                  #2 Our Lost Love No match for the runaway winner last time out, but her ability to rate just slightly off some stretchout players makes her doble tough near the top.
                  #5 Topless She has taken her race to six different tracks in as many starts, and she was victorious in her only local try.
                  #6 West Bank Baby Needs to take another step forward to handle this bunch, but she's not totally exposed after just two starts, and Calhoun sees fit to give her a shot.
                  Race Summary Our Lost Love might have to settle just off the splits if a couple of sprinters stretching out show speed, she'll get first jump with the best running lines of the group.
                  Delta Downs - Race #10
                  #8 Blue Suade Guitar Her local form had been rock-solid until that inexplicable clunker last time out when she never got involved. It's very encouraging to see her back in a spot like this instead of somewhere easier. Guessing she returns to form.
                  #1 Shes Our Fastest Might get a cozy kind of trip from the inside, as she's quick enough to sit close early but can relax in the pocket if the other pace players drawn further outside come down early.
                  #6 Summer's Indy The recent form is there, but this is a pretty negative-looking race shape on paper for this one. Also, her form cycle looks like it might fall apart at any minute after that last one.
                  Race Summary Blue Suade Guitar can get the right kind of trip behind a fair pace in this spot, and it's a great sign that she's back in with stakes company after a terrible effort with softer last time out, hinting the barn has confidence that her latest was an exception to her form.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                    The Meadows - Race #1
                    #7 ANDOVER THE CASH Steady, wide rally for third, needs some pace flow.
                    #5 MUTINYONTHEBOUNTY Chased odds-on repeater around the track to run second again.
                    #3 JESSIEJESORJESSICA Mare won 3 of the last 4 starts when she stayed on stride.
                    Race Summary Andover The Cash sustained a wide rally to finish third after he trailed through a single-file, opening half mile. He draws outside but offers good value in the same company. Play 7-3 and 7-5 exactas.
                    Meadowlands - Race #1
                    #6 SCIROCCO MISTYSAID Demanding pace took its toll, can control things in this spot.
                    #1 MAKE IT BIG Loomed boldly with wide bid on final turn but flattened out.
                    #5 PARKLANE JET Sat golden trip, reeled in ‘Scirocco’ with well-timed stretch bid.
                    Race Summary Scirocco Mistysaid dueled through a sizzling :54.4 half, shook clear to a commanding lead and wilted in the final sixteenth. He figures tough in his second start off a layoff for an amateur who used to drive full time.
                    Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4
                    #3 MYSTIC SEELSTER Free too late in winning-type effort last week against similar.
                    #8 P L LIGHTNING Exits fast heat, romped the last time she tested this level at Woodbine-Mohawk Park.
                    #5 MONEYMAKEHERSMILE Beaten fave against ‘Mystic’ after string of in-money finishes.
                    Race Summary Mystic Seelster was shuffled from the pocket and in tight through the stretch until she swung 4-wide to close with a rush for third. Like her chances tonight, love the price. Play a 3-8-ALL trifecta.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                      Gulfstream Park - Race #2
                      #1 Princess Ulele Has taken on much better lately and has given a decent account; was 4th last out and probably will improve in her 2nd of the year.
                      #3 Pick Up the Fone Was 4th in three straight and was claimed by Navarro two races back; returns to dirt and stretches out a bit.
                      #5 Lady Archa Has closed well and has taken her last three and four of her last six; was claimed by Sweezey stable last out.
                      Race Summary Princess Ulele has a class edge and should appreciate the seven furlongs; probably needed her last one and can improve today for Fawkes.
                      Gulfstream Park - Race #4
                      #1 Doctor Dub Won his only start on turf ad had the misfortune of running in races that were transferred to the slop in his last two; was claimed by Navarro last out and likely will improve at the distance.
                      #4 My Brothersledge Has kept better company and drops to his lowest level. Will have to turn it up early going this short but has the class to fit in nicely.
                      #8 Keep It Up Ran on well for 2nd and is accustomed to this level; can stay within range and could benefit from a speed duel out front.
                      Race Summary Doctor Dub needs a race to stay on the turf, and if that's the case he'll probably show speed. Navarro is 33 percent when going from sprint, route and back to a sprint.
                      Gulfstream Park - Race #9
                      #1 We Miss Susie Was an easy winner going six furlongs at this class level. Lopez has been aboard in both of her wins.
                      #5 Alandra Was 3rd in the Gr. 1 Alcibiades and was unplaced in the G2 Demoiselle. Has a rather large class advantage and will really need to kick it in earlier than normal.
                      #7 Eve of War No one got close to her in a scintillating maiden win at 1st asking; has the speed to mix it up on the front end and really could be any kind of filly.
                      Race Summary We Miss Susie takes on tough company but had no problem last time at this level. This is probably a much tougher spot but her last one should be believed.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

                        Gulfstream Park - Race 7
                        $1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
                        Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 92 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 4:03P
                        FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                        Contenders
                        Race Analysis
                        P#
                        Horse
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Accept
                        Odds

                        Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * STATE OF WAR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) i s at least 50. RAYO MY KING: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. FRANK ALONE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. CAN'TTAKEITWITHYOU: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. VERY AMUSING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                        10
                        STATE OF WAR
                        8/1
                        6/1
                        5
                        RAYO MY KING
                        6/1
                        6/1
                        8
                        FRANK ALONE
                        12/1
                        6/1
                        11
                        CAN'TTAKEITWITHYOU
                        10/1
                        9/1
                        3
                        VERY AMUSING
                        4/1
                        9/1

                        P#
                        Horse (In Running Style Order)
                        Post
                        Morn
                        Line
                        Running Style
                        Good
                        Class
                        Good
                        Speed
                        Early Figure
                        Finish Figure
                        Platinum
                        Figure
                        9
                        KILLA DEE
                        9
                        12/1
                        Front-runner
                        79
                        83
                        89.8
                        79.2
                        71.7
                        5
                        RAYO MY KING
                        5
                        6/1
                        Front-runner
                        87
                        90
                        85.4
                        83.2
                        71.7
                        8
                        FRANK ALONE
                        8
                        12/1
                        Front-runner
                        88
                        91
                        81.8
                        80.4
                        71.4
                        6
                        C'ERA UNA VOLTA
                        6
                        12/1
                        Front-runner
                        81
                        81
                        75.8
                        75.6
                        60.6
                        11
                        CAN'TTAKEITWITHYOU
                        11
                        10/1
                        Alternator/Front-runner
                        92
                        87
                        74.9
                        68.3
                        62.3
                        3
                        VERY AMUSING
                        3
                        4/1
                        Alternator/Front-runner
                        87
                        84
                        67.2
                        79.4
                        68.9
                        4
                        SLICK STAR
                        4
                        5/1
                        Stalker
                        75
                        73
                        72.1
                        68.5
                        55.5
                        1
                        GRAN CAUSEWAY
                        1
                        10/1
                        Stalker
                        82
                        81
                        67.0
                        78.0
                        63.5
                        10
                        STATE OF WAR
                        10
                        8/1
                        Stalker
                        85
                        89
                        66.4
                        77.5
                        68.0
                        2
                        BEAST MODE
                        2
                        7/2
                        Stalker
                        84
                        83
                        34.6
                        69.7
                        57.2
                        7
                        DON FAGER
                        7
                        30/1
                        Alternator/Non-contender
                        75
                        70
                        43.4
                        62.0
                        42.0
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National



                          Penn National - Race 7
                          W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
                          Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 55 • Purse: $11,800 • Post: 8:43P
                          (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
                          Contenders
                          Race Analysis
                          P#
                          Horse
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Accept
                          Odds

                          Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SUYAPA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUYAPA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Hors e has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TIZ TAS TIME: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMa ster Power Rating.
                          6
                          SUYAPA
                          9/5
                          2/1
                          3
                          TIZ TAS TIME
                          3/1
                          4/1

                          P#
                          Horse (In Running Style Order)
                          Post
                          Morn
                          Line
                          Running Style
                          Good
                          Class
                          Good
                          Speed
                          Early Figure
                          Finish Figure
                          Platinum
                          Figure
                          6
                          SUYAPA
                          6
                          9/5
                          Alternator/Front-runner
                          68
                          74
                          76.5
                          46.9
                          43.9
                          3
                          TIZ TAS TIME
                          3
                          3/1
                          Alternator/Front-runner
                          55
                          51
                          57.8
                          42.6
                          37.1
                          5
                          IL MIO AMORE
                          5
                          5/2
                          Stalker
                          54
                          40
                          58.2
                          44.0
                          39.0
                          4
                          SUNNY HILL BOBBIE
                          4
                          30/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          0
                          0
                          60.4
                          23.8
                          10.8
                          7
                          LUNA DE FUEGO
                          7
                          7/2
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          52
                          38
                          39.9
                          35.7
                          27.7
                          2
                          BUTTON CANDY
                          2
                          20/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          57
                          59
                          39.0
                          27.0
                          18.5
                          1
                          REYANA REYA DREAMS
                          1
                          20/1
                          Alternator/Non-contender
                          42
                          35
                          30.4
                          26.0
                          13.5
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $68000 Class Rating: 87

                            FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 3 ITS A WRAP 8/5
                            # 4 MR PHIL 5/2
                            # 6 FIRST LINE 9/2
                            ITS A WRAP has a formidable shot to take this race. Could provide positive dividends based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 83. Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. Will almost certainly compete soundly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this field. MR PHIL - Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong Speed Figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. With Carmouche controlling the reins on him, this colt should be able to break out early in this contest. FIRST LINE - Don't overlook this gelding in your bets - very dangerous with Rodriguezcastr aboard. The Equibase Speed Figure of 57 from his most recent race looks solid in here.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                              Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 65

                              Rating:

                              #1 BLESS THE RAINS (ML=2/1)
                              #6 LAUREL LADY (ML=5/2)
                              #5 THIRSTY AGAIN (ML=9/2)


                              BLESS THE RAINS - I am keen on that most recent contest on Feb 7th at Laurel where she ran third. This mare's last speed figure earned on Feb 7th is in the top spot in last race Equibase speed figures. LAUREL LADY - This one isn't the morning line choice, but finished ahead of today's M/L favorite in her last race (February 7th at Laurel). This filly is in fine condition, having run a good race on February 7th, finishing second. THIRSTY AGAIN - Entered a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race at Laurel last time out and raced in the mud finishing fourth. I'd expect a better race today. Lower weight carried of -7. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this filly falls into this category.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #2 TAPITTIZER R V F (ML=5/2),

                              TAPITTIZER R V F - Last ran on January 4th at Laurel, finishing sixth. Not likely to perk up off of that performance in today's race. Substandard rating last out at Laurel at 6 furlongs. Don't think this pony will improve too much in today's event.

                              GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BLESS THE RAINS - The TM Power Rating tells me that this horse looks good versus the rest of this field. I'm betting.





                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 BLESS THE RAINS to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
                              EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with [5,6]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                              SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                              Pass
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

                                Always check program numbers.
                                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                                Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $55000 Class Rating: 104

                                FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

                                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                                # 6 COMMANDING CHIEF 5/2
                                # 2 ON EASY STREET 6/1
                                # 3 CAPITAL CALL 6/1
                                COMMANDING CHIEF has a very good shot to take this race. With a solid 102 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last race. Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. ON EASY STREET - The odds could be just right on this entrant. Should be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. CAPITAL CALL - With a nice Equibase class rating average of 98, has one of the best class advantages in this group. Franco has one of the top jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +158 percent.
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