Saturday 2-29-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
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College Basketball
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NBA
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NHL
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Hunter Price

Feb 29 '20, 10:05 AM in 2h
Tennis | Novak Djokovic vs Stefano Tsitsipas
Play on: Stefano Tsitsipas +245 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Stefano Tsitsipas +245

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ASA

Feb 29 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Penn State vs Iowa
Play on: Iowa -3½ -110 at betonline




ASAwins FREE PLAY ON Iowa -3.5 over Penn State, Saturday at 12 PM ET
It looks to us that PSU may have peaked a little early and they are now come back earth. Between January 18th and February 15th the Nittany Lions won 8 straight games including impressive wins over Ohio State, Michigan, and Michigan State. They were clicking on all cylinders during that stretch at a level that we didn’t think they could sustain. During that 8 game stretch PSU topped 1.15 points per possession 4 times and held their opponents under 1.00 PPP 5 times. Their Big 10 averages in conference games in those metrics are 1.02 PPP offensively and 1.00 PPP defensively so you can see the level they were playing at. Now their last 3 games they have regressed as we thought they would losing at home to Illinois, losing @ Indiana, and they barely getting by Rutgers on Thursday night at home 65-64. In those 3 games they shot just 39% combined and made only 13 of their 55 three point attempts (23%). Now they travel to Iowa where the Hawkeyes are a perfect 8-0 SU (6-1-1 ATS) this year at home in Big 10 play. They are also coming off a 78-70 loss @ Michigan State on Tuesday. Iowa currently sits in 6th place in the conference but they are 1-game out of a group of 4 teams in 2nd place which includes Penn State. The Hawks are #1 in the Big 10 in offensive efficiency (6th nationally) averaging 1.16 PPP and at home they average 82 PPG on 48% shooting. We also expect them to get to the FT line plenty here, where they make 74%, as PSU fouls more than any team in the conference. It also looks like Iowa will get a boost offensively with starting guard CJ Fredrick (11 PPG hitting 46% of his 3’s) is expected back after missing the last 3 games. In their only other meeting this year (in Philadelphia), Penn State came from 7 points down in the 2nd half to win 89-86. Iowa turns the tables on Saturday and gets a win and cover vs a struggling PSU team.

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John Martin

Feb 29 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Texas vs Texas Tech
Play on: Texas +11 -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Texas +11
Texas is making a push to make the NCAA Tournament. They have won three in a row all by double-digits including upset wins on the road at Kansas State by 11 and at home over West Virginia by 10. They are now 17-11 and knocking on the door of the big dance. They only lost by 5 at home to Texas Tech three weeks ago and should be able to stay within this 11-point spread on the road. Texas is 15-7 SU & 14-8 ATS in its last 22 trips to Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games off an upset loss as a favorite in conference play. They just lost by 14 at Oklahoma last time out. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Give me Texas.

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Jack Jones

Feb 29 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Penn State vs Iowa
Play on: Iowa -3½ -110 at betonline

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Iowa -3.5
The Iowa Hawkeyes want revenge from their tough 86-89 loss at Penn State in their first meeting this season. They should have no problem getting that revenge at home this time around with a win and cover.
Iowa is a sensational 13-1 SU & 11-2-1 ATS at home this season. The Hawkeyes are expected to get back their best shooter in CJ Fredrick (10.7 PPG, 46.7% 3-pointers) from a three-game absence due to an ankle injury. They have played well without him, upsetting Minnesota on the road, covering at Michigan State and beating Ohio State by 9 at home. But having him back gives them an added dynamic that they’ve been missing.
Penn State is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last three games overall. The Nittany Lions were upset at home by Illinois and lost on the road at Indiana. They barely escaped with a last-second 3-pointer in a 65-64 home win over Rutgers on Wednesday as 4.5-point favorites. Iowa last played on Tuesday and gets an extra day of rest and preparation. The Nittany Lions have been without Myreon Jones (14.1 PPG) in their last six games and he remains questionable tonight.
Iowa is 14-2 SU & 10-5-1 ATS in its last 16 home meetings with Penn State. The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS off a road loss this season. Iowa is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet Iowa Saturday.

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Ray Monohan

Feb 29 '20, 1:08 PM in 5h
NHL | Bruins vs Islanders
Play on: Bruins -135 at betonline

Bruins -135
The Boston Bruins (40-13-12) take on the New York Islanders (35-20-8) in a Saturday lunchtime affair at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Uniondale, New York. We're expecting to see Rask vs. Varlamov in the nets. The Bruins are 18-10-3 on the road, and the Islanders are 20-7-5 at home. As a favorite the Bruins are 37-20-11 and the Islanders are 13-14-4 as a dog.
Injuries for this one. Miller and Clifton are OUT, and Wagner is questionable for Boston. For New York, Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pelech are OUT, and Greene and Dal Colle are questionable.
Scoring is going to be an issue for NY on Saturday. They're averaging 1.6GPG over their last 10, and the Bruins are averaging 3.00GPG in their last 10.
Betting trends to consider. BOS are 12-3 in their last 15 overall, and 6-2 in their last 8 road games, plus they're 8-1 straight up in their last 9 vs. New York. Head to head the Bruins own this series going 17-4 in their last 21 games when on the road vs. New York, and the Bruins are 30-11 in their last 41 matchups. Islanders are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games.
I'm on the Bruins ML on Saturday.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE NHL ML Play

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Bobby Conn

Feb 29 '20, 2:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Florida vs Tennessee
Play on: Florida -1 -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Florida -1 -109

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Red Dog Sports

Feb 29 '20, 2:00 PM in 6h
Soccer | Rennes vs Toulouse
Play on: Rennes +119 at betonline

Rennes at Toulouse
Rennes +119
Rennes is #3 of the 20 teams in League One while Toulouse is #20. They are 3-19-4 with a -33 goal difference.
Rennes 2
Toulouse 1

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Jimmy Boyd

Feb 29 '20, 4:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | George Washington vs VCU
Play on: George Washington +13½ -109 at GTBets

1* Free Pick on George Washington +13½ -109

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Cappers Club

Feb 29 '20, 6:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Utah vs California
Play on: California +1½ -105 at BMaker

California +1.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Utah Utes and California Golden Bears face off on Saturday and in this game the value lies with the underdog.
Cal is coming off a win against the Colorado Buffaloes in their last game and they have won 11 of ther 16 games at homes.
Utah has played ten games on the road and they have only one win. Utah is giving up 76.9 points per game on the road and that is going to let them down.
Back California +1.5
5* FREE Cappers Club Play on Cal +1.5

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Dave Price

Feb 29 '20, 6:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | DePaul vs Butler
Play on: Butler -8 -108 at pinnacle

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Butler -8
The Key: This feels like a good spot for the Butler Bulldogs to get right. They are riding a season high 3-game losing streak coming in. Two of the losses were at Seton Hall and Creighton on the road, which are arguably the 2 best teams in the conference. The other was an inexplicable home loss to Georgetown. They also lost at DePaul earlier this year to add to their hunger. It was a rare win for DePaul, which has gone 1-9 SU & 3-7 ATS in its 10 games since. The 9 losses have come by 12.3 PPG so they have been blown out on the regular. The Bulldogs have had 5 days off in between games while the Blue Demons have only had 3 days off. Butler is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 Saturday home games. Bets on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who were beaten by 36 or more total points ATS in their last 5 games against a team that one over the total by more than 6 points in 3 straight games are 29-4 ATS since 1997. Take Butler.

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Rob Vinciletti

Feb 29 '20, 7:35 PM in 11h
NBA | Nets vs Heat
Play on: Heat -7 -109 at GTBets

$$ NBA Featured Free PLAY $$
The NBA Comp Play is on Miami at 7:35 eastern. The Heat are one of the best home teams in the league and have covered 12 of 15 on Saturdays and 19 of 27 at home. Brooklyn was crushed last night allowing 140 points. The Nets have failed to cover 9 of 11 as a road dog, 9 of 12 vs winning teams and the last 4 with no rest. To tie in a league wide system from the database we note that Home favorites with no rest that were non division home favorites the night before cover 89% since 1995 vs an opponent like the Nets that were a road favorite. These home favorites win by an average 14 points per game. We will back the Heat tonight. For the NBA Free pick. Play on Miami. Rob V- GC Sports.

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Sean Murphy

Feb 29 '20, 8:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-B | Miami-FL vs Georgia Tech
Play on: Miami-FL +5½ -115 at pinnacle

Saturday CBB Free play. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Georgia Tech at 8 pm et on Saturday.
These two teams sport almost identical overall records but I believe Miami has a little more upside at this stage of the season. The Hurricanes will be highly-motivated here coming off a blowout loss on the road against Notre Dame. Prior to that, the Canes had reeled off three straight victories. Georgia Tech has also won three of its last four games to get back to the .500 mark on the season. Keep in mind, the Yellow Jackets are far from unbeatable at home, having gone just 8-6 here this season. The Canes took the last meeting by 15 points on February 23rd. The Jackets will have revenge on their minds but I'm not sure it will be enough to earn the cover here. Take Miami (8*).

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Steve Janus

Feb 29 '20, 8:30 PM in 12h
NCAA-B | Belmont vs Tennessee State
Play on: Belmont -8½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Sharp Play on Belmont -8½ -110

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NCAA Basketball Tip Sheet for Saturday, ACC, Big Ten and West Coast Betting Notes
David Schwab

In a trio of highlighted Leap Day matchups on Saturday night’s college basketball betting board, nationally ranked teams coast to coast make the list.

Starting on the East Coast in the ACC, the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils head to Charlottesville to face the Virginia Cavaliers. Moving to the Big Ten, the No. 24 Michigan State Spartans are on the road against the No. 9 Maryland Terrapins. Closing out the night in the West Coast Conference, the Saint Mary Gaels take on the No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs in Spokane.

No. 7 Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers
(ESPN, 6:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Duke -3.5, Total 125

Betting Matchup

Duke’s loss to North Carolina State as a road favorite on Feb. 19 was bad and Tuesday’s 113-101 road loss to Wake Forest as an 11-point favorite in double overtime was worse as part of a 1-2 record straight-up and against the spread in the last three games. The total has gone OVER in the Blue Devils’ last four games. They are 23-5 SU (14-14 ATS) overall with a 13-4 record in ACC play. Duke is third in the nation in scoring (83.3 points). Wake Forest’s 113 points ties the record for the most points allowed in the Mike Krzyzewski coaching era.

The Cavaliers (20-7 SU, 11-15-1 ATS) are 12-5 SU in conference play with five wins in a row. They have covered in the last four with Wednesday’s 56-53 squeaker against Virginia Tech as 2 ½-point road favorites. The total stayed UNDER for just the third time in their last nine games. Defense remains Virginia’s strong suit as the nation’s second-ranked team in points allowed (52.7). The Cavaliers are way down the list in Division I ball (448th) in scoring (57.6 points).

Betting Trends

-- The Blue Devils are 3-2 SU in their last five road games falling to 1-4 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games on the road.

-- The Cavaliers have won seven of their last 10 games at home SU but they are just 3-7 in those games ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five home games.

-- Duke has the SU 7-3 edge in the last 10 games in this series but Virginia is 7-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last two meetings.


No. 24 Michigan State Spartans at No. 9 Maryland Terrapins
(ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Maryland -2.5, Total 138

Betting Matchup

Tuesday’s 78-70 victory against Iowa as nine-point home favorites was the Spartans’ third SU win in their last four games. The lone loss was to Maryland (67-60) on Feb. 15. However, they are now 1-6 ATS over their last seven games. Michigan State is 19-9 SU (12-16 ATS) with an 11-6 record in Big Ten play. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of its last 13 contests. Cassius Winston led the way on Tuesday with 20 points (19 in the second half). The senior guard is averaging 18.4 points per game this year.

Maryland (13-4 SU) is trying to nail down the Big Ten regular season title with a two-game lead and three games left to play. The Terrapins (23-5 SU, 14-13-1 ATS) bounced back from a seven-point road loss to Ohio State as three-point underdogs with Wednesday’s one-point squeaker over Minnesota as one-point favorites on the road. They were able to erase a 16-point halftime deficit. Maryland moved to 10-1 SU in its last 11 games but the record drops to 2-4-1 ATS over the last seven outings. The total has gone OVER in the last three games.

Betting Trends

-- The Spartans have lost eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs with a 4-6 record ATS. The has gone OVER in eight of those 10 games.

-- The Terrapins have a SU 15-game winning streak as home favorites but they have failed to cover in their last three home games giving points. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven home games as favorites.

-- Maryland won the first meeting SU and ATS to snap a SU three game losing streak. Michigan State still has a 4-2-1 edge ATS in the last seven games between the two. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight matchups.


Saint Mary’s Gaels at No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Gonzaga -13, Total 147.5

Betting Matchup

Saint Mary’s is 5-1 SU in its last six games but 1-5 ATS after failing to cover in Thursday’s 78-72 road win against Santa Clara as a 6 ½-point favorite. The Gaels (23-6 SU, 13-16 ATS) wrap up their WCC regular season schedule on Saturday after losing the first meeting against Gonzaga 90-60 on Feb. 8 as five-point home underdogs. They are 11-4 SU in conference play and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine games. Jordan Ford put up 33 points in Thursday’s win. The senior guard is averaging 20.9 PPG this season.

The Bulldogs’ perfect run through the WCC was spoiled on Feb. 22 in a stunning road loss to BYU. They hammered San Diego 94-59 on Thursday as 25-point home favorites to take out some the frustration caused by their only SU loss since early December. Gonzaga is 14-1 in WCC play as part of a 28-2 record overall. It is 16-13-1 ATS after failing to cover in five of its last eight outings. The total has gone OVER in 11 of its last 12 games. The Bulldogs are scoring 87.8 PPG behind seven players averaging at least 10 points a game. That scoring total is ranked second in the nation.

Betting Trends

-- The Gaels are 2-8 SU in their last 10 road games as underdogs with the total staying UNDER in eight of those games. They are 2-4 ATS in the six road games getting points.

-- The Bulldogs are a perfect 15-0 SU at home this season with a 9-6 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 home games.

-- With the earlier win this year, Gonzaga is 8-2 both SU and ATS in its last 10 games against Saint Mary’s. The total went OVER in that first meeting after staying UNDER in seven of the previous eight games between the two.