Monday 3-2-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

13COLORADO -14 DETROIT
COLORADO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game in the current season.

15EDMONTON -16 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, March 2

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COLORADO (39-18-0-7, 85 pts.) at DETROIT (15-47-0-5, 35 pts.) - 3/2/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 17-12 ATS (+35.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 142-114 ATS (+265.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
DETROIT is 15-52 ATS (-106.7 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 10-38 ATS (+82.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-37 ATS (+72.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DETROIT is 5-35 ATS (+71.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 6-27 ATS (+58.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-0 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 5-0-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (34-23-0-8, 76 pts.) at NASHVILLE (32-24-0-8, 72 pts.) - 3/2/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 426-450 ATS (-43.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 32-32 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 11-13 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
NASHVILLE is 11-14 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 6-9 ATS (-8.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, March 2

Trend Report

13 COLORADO @ 14 DETROIT
Play On COLORADO using the Money Line in All games in a road game where where the total is 5.5
The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses This Season(8.1 units)
4.2 out of 5

13 COLORADO @ 14 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games after allowing 4 goals or more
The record is 5 Wins and 35 Losses This Season(-27.1 units)
3.8 out of 5

13 COLORADO @ 14 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games after allowing 4 goals or more
The record is 5 Wins and 35 Losses This Season(-27.1 units)
3.8 out of 5

15 EDMONTON @ 16 NASHVILLE
Play On EDMONTON using the Money Line in All games
The record is 21 Wins and 13 Losses This Season(14.9 units)
2.7 out of 5

13 COLORADO @ 14 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 37 Losses This Season(-25.15 units)
2.1 out of 5

13 COLORADO @ 14 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 37 Losses This Season(-25.15 units)
2.1 out of 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

by: Josh Inglis


EDMONTON OILERS AT NASHVILLE PREDATORS
MCDAVID IN MUSIC CITY

Monday brings us slim pickings in the NHL with just two games. The matchup offering the most value is in Nashville where the Predators (3-2 SU, 2-3 O/U last five) host the Edmonton Oilers (2-3 SU, 2-2-1 O/U last five). This will be the Preds’ fifth and final home game before playing the next six of seven on the road. Nashville is 3-1 SU on its current homestand and is averaging 3.25 goals per game and 2.75 goals against.

Monday’s match will start a three-game road trip for the Oilers with stops in Nashville, Dallas on Tuesday and Chicago on Thursday. Edmonton is 2-3 SU and 2-3 O/U on the first game of back-to-backs this year. With both teams in the thick of playoff aspirations, we're looking for a closely checked game with two teams that are hitting the Under in over 50 percent of their last 10 games.

Nashville goalie Juuse Saros has great numbers against the Oilers over his career, posting a 1.79 goals against with a .952 save percentage in five games. With both teams sporting Top-7 numbers in scoring chance save percentage and bottom half numbers in shooting percentage over the last three weeks, we see the best play on the Under 6 goals to start the week.


MONTREAL CANADIENS AT NEW YORK ISLANDERS
THE PRICE IS RIGHT IN BROOKLYN

The Montreal Canadiens come into the Barclay Center having won five of the last six matchups against the New York Islanders. The Habs also are catching the Islanders at an opportunistic time as New York has dropped three straight decisions including two straight at home.

Statistically, the Islanders are in the bottom-third of the league in many important metrics like Corsi against, scoring chances against and scoring chance shooting percentage. Over the last two seasons, Montreal goalie Carey Price is 2-1 SU versus the Islanders with a 1.33 goals against and a sparkling .955 save percentage.

Montreal has been giving up leads with ease of late but that won’t stop us from taking the value on the underdog Canadiens on Tuesday night. Take Montreal on the ML.


BOSTON BRUINS AT TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING
METRO’S BEST

The two best teams in the Metro Division will square off Tuesday as the Boston Bruins — winners of seven of their last nine on the road — take on the Lighting in Tampa Bay. The Bolts had a rocky final two weeks in February as they went 1-4 SU in their last five, had the second-worst shooting percentage on scoring chances and are now without their captain and No. 2 goal scorer in Steven Stamkos, who is out for eight weeks.

Boston and goaltender Tukka Rask are coming off a 4-0 shutout victory of the Islanders on Saturday and look like they have righted the ship after a couple of embarrassing losses to the Flames and Canucks. Tampa Bay has won both matchups this year with each game being decided by a single goal. We like the value of Boston which will be the underdog in this contest and is riding the confidence that comes with shutting out a previous opponent. Take the Bruins on the ML.


PHILADELPHIA FLYERS AT WASHINGTON CAPITALS
ROUND FOUR IN D.C.

The Flyers and Capitals will meet for the fourth time this year in Washington on Wednesday. The Flyers have won twice including the most recent one back on February 8 - a 7-2 thumping in Washington that saw the visiting team pot seven goals against Washington goalie Braden Holtby.

Coming out of the weekend, the Flyers have won six straight games and have lost just three times in their last 14. Since February 12, Philly leads the league in expected goals against as it is giving up the fewest scoring chances per game over that stretch. We're backing the away team here as the Flyers should pay backers a good price as a midweek underdog. Take the Flyers on the moneyline.

If you’re looking for a little more action on this game, the Capitals are one of the league’s best Over teams at home and are 8-0-1 O/U in their last nine home games while the Flyers are 11-1 O/U in their last 12 away games.


GOALIE PROFILE: BEN BISHOP, DALLAS STARS

Looking to fade a cold goalie for an Over play this week? Take a look in Dallas with No. 1 goalie Ben Bishop. The Dallas backstop has permitted three or more goals in six of his last 10 starts, allowing four goals four times including his two most recent starts. Bishop holds a 4.21 goals against and .878 save percentage over the last two weeks and is coming off his worst month statistically.

On Tuesday, the Stars play host to the Oilers and we expect Bishop to get the start after backup Anton Khudobin played Saturday in a 4-3 loss. Bishop has started twice against the Oilers this year and holds a 0-1 SU record with a 3.71 goals against and a .884 save percentage. With Dallas not seeing a total of six goals or greater since January and sporting a Top-2 powerplay with a Bottom-10 penalty kill this month, it might be a great spot for an Over as Edmonton will also be on the backend of a back-to-back.


INJURY UPDATE: VICTOR OLOFSSON, BUFFALO SABRES

The Buffalo Sabres’ surprise rookie, Victor Olafson (19 G, 21 A in 50 GP), left Saturday’s game after injuring his right leg and was in obvious pain as he struggled to get off the ice. Olofsson had recently returned to the lineup on February 14 after missing over a month of action with a lower-body injury.

In the games that the forward was in the lineup (Feb 14 - Mar 1) the Sabres went 5-2-1 O/U and in the games the rookie missed they went 6-9-1 O/U. As a team, the Sabres averaged 2.65 goals for and 2.88 goals against without Olofsson and 3.25 goals for and 3.38 goals against with the rookie.


HAT TRICK TRENDS

• The Philadelphia Flyers, Calgary Flames and Vegas Golden Knights were the league’s best at scoring in February with each team scoring at least 3.85 goals per game. The Flames, Carolina Hurricanes, Florida Panthers and Washington Capitals were bottom of the league in goals against per game last month with each club allowing at least 3.5 per contest.

• The Dallas Stars had the league’s best powerplay over the last 30 days at a 32.5 success rate. This is in stark contrast to their penalty killing which ranked second-last at 71 percent. The Stars averaged a middle-of-the-pack penalty rate at 8:20 per game while their powerplay saw the 24th-most time on the powerplay at just 3:20 a game.

• Away teams won just 42 percent of the games last week, down from their monthly average of 47 percent, but the teams that did win as road favorites covered the puckline at 50 percent which is a big increase on the monthly average of 34 percent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 2


Utah @ Cleveland

Game 581-582
March 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
120.561
Cleveland
107.987
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 12 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-8 1/2); Over

Houston @ New York

Game 577-578
March 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
120.668
New York
114.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 5 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 10
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+10); Under

Portland @ Orlando

Game 579-580
March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
114.504
Orlando
114.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
Even
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 7
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+7); Over

Memphis @ Atlanta

Game 583-584
March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
113.782
Atlanta
119.168
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 5 1/2
246
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2
239
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-2); Over

Milwaukee @ Miami

Game 585-586
March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
130.903
Miami
115.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 15
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3); Over

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 587-588
March 2, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
119.956
Chicago
109.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 10
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4); Over

Indiana @ San Antonio

Game 589-590
March 2, 2020 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.950
San Antonio
118.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+2 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

NBA, CBB & MLB picks 3/2

100* Over 230 Rockets/Knicks
100* Weber State -6.5
100* Braves -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Injuries

HOUSTON
No significant injuries.

NEW YORK
[PG] 02/29/2020 - Dennis Smith Jr. is "?" Monday vs Houston ( Concussion )
[SG] 02/29/2020 - Reggie Bullock is "?" Monday vs Houston ( Illness )

PORTLAND
[G] 02/29/2020 - Anfernee Simons left last game, is "?" Monday vs Orlando ( Ankle )
[PG] 02/19/2020 - Damian Lillard is out indefinitely ( Groin )

CLEVELAND
[SF] 03/01/2020 - Alfonzo McKinnie is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Utah ( Plantar Fasciitis )
[C] 03/01/2020 - Tristan Thompson is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Utah ( Knee )
[PG] 03/01/2020 - Darius Garland is OUT Monday vs Utah ( Groin )

MEMPHIS
[PF] 02/25/2020 - Brandon Clarke is OUT 2-3 weeks ( Hip )
[F] 02/23/2020 - Jaren Jackson Jr. is OUT 2-3 weeks ( Knee )

ATLANTA
[SG] 03/01/2020 - DeAndre' Bembry is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Memphis ( Abdominal )
[SF] 03/01/2020 - Cameron Reddish is "?" Monday vs Memphis ( Back )

MILWAUKEE
[SF] 03/01/2020 - Khris Middleton is "?" Monday vs Miami ( Neck )
[SG] 03/01/2020 - Kyle Korver is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Miami ( Back )

DALLAS
[PG] 03/01/2020 - Luka Doncic is "?" Monday vs Chicago ( Thumb )
[PF] 03/01/2020 - Kristaps Porzingis is "?" Monday vs Chicago ( Rest )

CHICAGO
[F] 03/01/2020 - Wendell Carter Jr. is probable Monday vs Dallas ( Ankle )
[SG] 03/01/2020 - Coby White is probable Monday vs Dallas ( Back )

SAN ANTONIO
[C] 03/01/2020 - LaMarcus Aldridge is downgraded to doubtful Monday vs Indiana ( Shoulder )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 2


Colorado @ Detroit

Game 13-14
March 2, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
11.598
Detroit
8.267
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-310
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-310); Under

Edmonton @ Nashville

Game 15-16
March 2, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
10.713
Nashville
11.818
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: March 2-Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis

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March 2, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight's Pompano Park 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 5. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool with a very low 12% take out and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

2-Hypnotic Racer (4-1)-Comes off an even effort after breaking in previous start. Looking for a bigger try with this post draw, can stick around and roll by late.
5-Maddelle (5-1)-Was beat as an odd-on favorite by #6, but could look to get the top and be the one controlling the pace.
6-New Number Who Dis (3-1)-Deruntz provided a sharp drive and was able to back the pace down and stay strong to the wire. This mare likes to win, 5-10 this year and 12 of 37 in 2019-2020, best to not overlook.

Race 6

5-Northern Dali (3-1)-Drops into soft spot looking for an overdue win. Should have a good shot at getting on the engine and may not look back.
6-Post Time Terror (5-1)-Has the gate speed to drop in right behind #5 and catch a 2-hole ride. Is over due to get the right trip and take a picture.
7-Sun Belle Slippery (2-1)-Has won the last 2-starts and now Hennessey gets back in the bike. Start will be key and may not get the top without a challenge. Should be bet hard, using but will hope for others to boost the Pick 4 payout.

Race 7

1-Deseronto (2-1)-Set a blistering pace in last and now draws the rail again but Ranger takes a seat. Looking for a more rated effort. Should be on the engine or in the 2-hole behind #5.
5-Jimmy Be Good (3-1)-Form has been so-so but Hennessey should be out and winging. Has been falling short but will respect connections and the short field shouldn't hurt.

Race 8

4-Gold Star Aurora (12-1)-Simons can put this mare in play and keep her in contention. Has a good chance to get on the engine and may be able to steal a quarter. Will take a swing from this post and shoot for a nice price.
7-R ES Shabla (5-1)-Has had excuses and comes back to a spot to shine if ready after missing a start. Should be forwardly placed and could snag an overdue win at a square price.
10-Stonebridge Focus (2-1)-Shooting for 6 in a row and best to respect although the post makes it a more diffcult task. Is a major player but Oakes needs to provide a good steer.

0.50 Pick 4

2,5,6/5,6,7/1,5/4,7,10
Total Bet=$27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Mahoning Valley - Race #1

#1 Discreet Energy	Stalker improved last time when 4th to a few of these, is on the upswing, will be a square price, and sure doesn't meet much; look out.
#5 Cause of Love	Dangerous runner was a half-length ahead of the pick last time and has tons of upside, though she'll also be overbet; still, plenty scary.
#4 Tejate	Stretch runner was just 2nd and ahead of the top-2, though that also made her 0-for-13, so it's tough to think today is the day; no thanks.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML on the pick seems very fair, as she wasn't far behind her two biggest rival and seems to be moving forward, so play her to win and place, and especially in the exotics as well, since she looks poised for a big run, while sitting a perfect trip too.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6

#4 Queen Esther	Tactical sort has been 2nd in her last two and should be just off the favorite, who looks loose, and that means she'll be in a perfect spot off the far turn; call to post the mild surprise.
#3 Heatherfromphoenix	Stiff ML favorite also looks like a Lone F here, and Pappada has been hot and is 2-for-4 off the claim, but this is a class rise, and the pick will be close throughout; second-best today.
#2 Tormenta de Oro	Stalker has been just behind the pick in 3rd in her last two, so she obviously figures, but the waters are deeper here, which means a win may be out of reach; using underneath only.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 4, but with the 3 taking all the money that 7-2 ML might hold, and it seems fair too, so you can play her to win and place, while getting some additional valur by using her in the Pk4, as budget players will be singling the chalk, which means a win by the pick would knock out a lot of tickets.

Mahoning Valley - Race #7

#2 Resurrection Road	Kentucky invader has been facing much better in claiming races and now runs in a spot where she can't be nabbed, which is a great sign, not to mention this is a meek bunch; imposing.
#7 Treasured Bond	Longshot ran well in her first start against winners at CT and figures to get overlooked in here, but she is improving and has plenty of upside off three starts; could blow up the exotics.
#8 Channel Princess	Fellow Kentucky invader has also been facing better, but on turf and Polytrack, and she's never been on real dirt, plus this wide draw is brutal at this trip; trying to beat her for second.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 2 but that 9-5 ML would be value, as she's simply better than this modest group, so make an aggressive win bet if the tote allows, while getting some additional value by singling her in the Pk4, and using a longshot like the 7 underneath in the exotics, since the pick looks too tough for these, and the 8 seems a bit vulnerable for 2nd.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Turf Paradise - Race #2

#7 Hypersonic	Figures to get overlooked on the board today, but he wasn't badly beaten by one of today's likely chalks in that spot, and the draw seems pretty good for him to find a spot to track the splits.
#1 Clavichord	Obviously this Juddmonte-bred runner didn't pan out, and now he returns as a gelding on the drop here. Not a huge fan of Super Savers on the lawn, but he's probably enough to land a piece today.
#2 El Borracho	Has run pretty well in both lifetime turf starts, but he's still an 11-start maiden at the end of the day, and the price won't be enough to make him playable.
Race Summary	Hypersonic should get a pretty good go of things near the top in this spot, and something similar to that last effort would keep him in the mix today.

Turf Paradise - Race #5

#4 Pine Grove Road	Think this guy may wind up overbet, but he's in line for a really perfect pressing trip today. Recent form makes him the one?
#1 Rockandahardplace	Reliable finisher might get a little spark from getting back on the grass, but he is a player for top honors on either surface.
#2 Mr. Shook	Has done his very best work on the lawn, winning six of his 11 career turf starts. His early speed is an asset, but he's likely to have Pine Grove Road breathing down his neck the entire way.
Race Summary	Pine Grove Road figures for the run of the race while drawn outside of Mr. Shook, and he'll likely try to put that guy away into the lane before bracing for a challenge from Rockandahardplace.

Turf Paradise - Race #6

#1 Sesame	Showed some tactical ability when winning in the debut, and that should benefit her here in a spot with multiple :21-and-change types signed on.
#3 Grateful Praise	Ran a big one in the local debut off the bench, but the splits are almost surely going to get tougher to handle today. She can win, but she's almost sure to get overbet.
#4 Twitterati	Seems to be bringing a forward enough set of drills to this layoff run, and she has occasionally shown some ability to finish. If the pace melts down, she could benefit at a big number.
Race Summary	Sesame will have to work out a trip from the fence, but there are quicker players drawn outside of her who figure to cross and clear. The splits figure to be contested, so her rating ability should serve her very well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Louisiana Downs - Race #1

#2 Surfdancer	Was troubled in his last two and has been in better races; can pick them up in the closing yards.
#1 Mswandas Fastdash	Was closed in her last two with a 2nd and 3rd and will be a force from the start; needs to finish the job.
#3 Tg Knight	Just missed in a three-horse finish last out and was claimed by Muniz; a threat throughout.
Race Summary	Surfdancer has the advantage in experience and is due to have a clean trip; capable of a scoring at a good price.

Louisiana Downs - Race #4

#1 Darlene Shez Flying	Runs well from the inside post and can be a factor for every stride.
#2 Cr Jesse Pies	Won three races back and lost photos in his last two; turns back in distance and can be tough again.
#4 Jcrainaway	Outlasted foes for a head win last time and steps up in conditions; quick and ready for another good run.
Race Summary	Darlene Shez Flying has a big chance along the rail and can outlast her rivals in this one.

Louisiana Downs - Race #6

#3 Jesses Dynasty	Comes off a solid allowance win in which he dug in late going 400; he's just as good going 350.
#4 Zooming Perry	Gave way early in a tough trial last time but has plenty of races on his form that would make him a difficult rivals here.
#6 Achievopiloto	Was 3rd in a three-photo photo in a wide-open allowance; fits well with these.
Race Summary	Jesses Dynasty was sharp in his last and can bring will be difficult to catch going this distance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 3	Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4
Claiming $14,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 98 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 3:35P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 17, 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 2, 2020 ALLOWED 4 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 2, 2020 ALLOWED 7 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $14,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $10,000 1 LB.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * GRANDPA'S DREAM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BIG AWESOME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. POKERIST: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a lay off. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DISCREET ANGEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	GRANDPA'S DREAM	1/1	9/2
5	BIG AWESOME	7/2	6/1
3	POKERIST	2/1	7/1
8	DISCREET ANGEL	9/5	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	DISCREET ANGEL	8	9/5	Front-runner	100	86	80.8	74.8	66.8
3	POKERIST	3	2/1	Front-runner	91	88	75.4	80.0	71.0
5	BIG AWESOME	5	7/2	Stalker	100	82	83.4	83.6	80.6
1	GRANDPA'S DREAM	1	1/1	Stalker	98	92	68.0	92.6	88.6
4	EMMETT'S DREAM	4	4/1	Stalker	87	84	58.8	65.8	55.8
2	ROLL TIDE ROLL	2	5/2	Trailer	84	83	49.8	78.4	68.9
7	JOHANNA'S DELIGHT	7	20/1	Trailer	78	79	36.8	63.2	50.2
6	SKIPPER DANCER	6	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	70	55.8	73.0	61.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 1:12P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. I'M FEELING LUCKY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * I'M FEELING LUCKY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	I'M FEELING LUCKY	3/1	8/5
3	SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS	7/2	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	I'M FEELING LUCKY	4	3/1	Front-runner	82	78	102.2	74.2	71.7
3	SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS	3	7/2	Front-runner	63	66	77.9	64.0	58.5
5	ITSALLABOUTMEMEME	5	9/2	Stalker	71	72	69.2	54.8	46.8
1	MISS INTERNATIONAL	1	4/1	Stalker	68	56	50.6	52.6	39.1
2	L. A. STAR	2	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	61	64.8	56.4	46.9
7	MY LITTLE STORMY	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	82	78	37.9	73.0	65.5
6	PULPIT'S PURRFECT	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	73	70.9	64.0	55.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Maiden - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $10300 Class Rating: 79

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 DASHA COPPER ROGUE 12/1
# 3 HQH GOLDEN PRINCESS 6/1
# 5 FAST PRAIRE MIST 9/5

DASHA COPPER ROGUE is my choice and is a very good value bet given the line. The offspring of Heza Fast Rogue have the most competitive returns in this group of animals for first time starters. This trainer has produced entries that have consistently produced quite good board hit percentages in their first race. Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be on or close to the lead early on. HQH GOLDEN PRINCESS - Looks decent against this group of horses and should be one of the early speedsters. It's a good signal that Keith is using Candanosa on this entrant. FAST PRAIRE MIST - With a formidable jockey who has won at a very good 25 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top picks.