Service Plays Wednesday 2/26/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

NCAA Basketball
7:00 PM EST
Rotation # 795
Bradley -3 over Illinois State
There is a decent size talent gap between these two teams. Bradley is now back to full strength will Elijah Childs back in the lineup. This is the same team that beat the Redbirds earlier this year without Darrell Brown and Elijah Childs available that night. I just can’t see a 9 win basketball team finding the magic to beat this Bradley team with those two guys back in the lineup. This Illinois State team is locked into the #9 seed in the Missouri Valley Tournament so mentally there is no fight in them to move up the ladder. Take Bradley.

NCAA Basketball
7:00 PM EST
Rotation # 809
Virginia -2.5 over Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech was rocked by UVA in the first meeting. It was the worst offensive showing the Hokies had in 50 years. I do think this Tech team has improved, but now you have a bunch of freshman that are feeling the effects of a long and grueling ACC schedule. The work load for more than half of this roster has never been seen or experienced. UVA has trouble scoring so we know on any given night they can be beaten, but I believe this is where coaching comes into play. Tony Bennett knows his squad has a massive size advantage and he will use it to his advantage. This should be another sloppy shooting game, but it’s exactly the type of game UVA lives to play for. Take Virginia.

NCAA Basketball
9:00 PM EST
Rotation # 839
Missouri -2 over Vanderbilt
Missouri has yet to win a road conference game. Vanderbilt is in the basement in the conference. Both teams are pretty bad, but the advantage goes to Missouri as they will never get a better chance to win on the road and need to take advantage of a Commodores team that is missing all of their forwards. This is a young Vanderbilt team that is in the middle of a season in which their coach was released and Jerry Stackhouse has since taken over with no coaching experience. Missouri has the size advantage tonight and if they can’t take advantage it will spell trouble for Cuonzo Martin heading into his fourth year as head coach. Take Missouri

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Barner

FEATURED PICK
DALLAS -5
DALLAS @ SAN ANTONIO | 2/26 | 8:30 PM EST
12:47 PM
The Spurs don’t exactly enter this game in a great spot, considering LaMarcus Aldridge (shoulder) will be out. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are mostly healthy and coming off of a decisive 16-point blowout of Minnesota. They have been one of the best road teams in the league, posting a 19-7-2 record there ATS. They are also 11-3-1 ATS as road favorites. I’ll take Dallas to cover.

86-52-1 IN LAST 139 NBA ATS PICKS | +2888
14-10-1 IN LAST 25 DAL ATS PICKS | +298

MIAMI -10
MINNESOTA @ MIAMI | 2/26 | 7:30 PM EST
1:13 PM
If Jimmy Butler (personal) returns, this big number seems reasonable. The Timberwolves have lost five straight, four of which came by at least 10 points. They have also struggled on the road lately, losing their last three by at least 11 points. With how deadly the Heat have been at home this season, I’ll take them to cover, even with the uncertain status of Butler.

86-52-1 IN LAST 139 NBA ATS PICKS | +2888
13-3 IN LAST 16 MIN ATS PICKS | +962

2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

UCLA +6
ARIZONA ST. @ UCLA | 2/27 | 11:00 PM EST
4:52 PM
Arizona State has won seven in a row, but six of those came by five or fewer points. The exception: an 84-66 romp over UCLA. Look for the Bruins, emboldened by their comeback win at Colorado, to play much better tonight in a raucous home atmosphere. Grab the points.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS | +71
WOFFORD +3.5
ETSU @ WOFFORD | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
4:47 PM
East Tennessee State enters on a seven-game win streak. But this is a huge game for Wofford, playing at home and desperate to end its frustrating five-game skid. Wofford's losing streak has seen the Terriers lose by 1, 4, 6, 2 and 7 points. In the earlier meeting at East Tennessee State, the Buccaneers prevailed by just one, 49-48. Grab the points.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS | +71
MARYLAND +1
MARYLAND @ MINNESOTA | 2/26 | 9:00 PM EST
4:39 PM
Minnesota has lost five of seven and and is 0-5 ATS in its last five against teams with .600-plus winning percentages. Now the Gophers face an elite Maryland team coming off a loss. Look for bounceback games from Anthony Cowan Jr. and Jalen Smith as the Terps scratch out a win.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB ATS PICKS | +71
MEMPHIS +11.5
MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON | 2/26 | 8:00 PM EST
1:51 PM
The Grizzlies have lost three straight and looked bad doing so, but they have some matchup advantages tonight that should help them be competitive. Jonas Valanciunas and Gorgui Dieng should excel against Houston's small lineup. Grab the points.

85-66-2 IN LAST 153 NBA ATS PICKS | +1248
38-21 IN LAST 59 MEM ATS PICKS | +1516

10-8 IN LAST 18 HOU ATS PICKS | +119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

UTAH -5
BOSTON @ UTAH | 2/26 | 10:30 PM EST
3:24 PM
Utah is winless since the All-Star break, suffering three straight home losses. Each setback has been by nine or more points, averaging at 13 per defeat. The Jazz now face a surging Celtics team that’s 9-3 ATS over their last 12 games. However, anticipate Boston coming out flat at the tail end of its four-game road trip. Go contrarian here as the Jazz have not lost four straight home games since 2014.

35-23-1 IN LAST 59 NBA ATS PICKS | +972
15-9-1 IN LAST 25 BOS ATS PICKS | +522

NEW YORK -2
NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
3:24 PM
The Knicks have an opportunity to end their four-game skid as they travel to Charlotte. The Hornets are playing on consecutive nights and are just 2-6 in back-to-back scenarios this season. Grab the value here on the Knicks.

35-23-1 IN LAST 59 NBA ATS PICKS | +972
13-6 IN LAST 19 NY ATS PICKS | +651

10-6 IN LAST 16 CHA ATS PICKS | +338

BOSTON COLLEGE +5.5
NOTRE DAME @ BOSTON COLLEGE | 2/26 | 9:00 PM EST
1:58 PM
Nearly three months ago the Eagles upset the Irish as 12.5-point underdogs in South Bend. Leading the way was Boston College senior point guard Derryck Thornton, who scored 19 points on 9-of-12 shooting. Grab Boston College as the Irish’s slim tourney hopes diminish further.

56-43-5 IN LAST 104 CBB ATS PICKS | +828
9-1 IN LAST 10 BC ATS PICKS | +786

3-1 IN LAST 4 ND ATS PICKS | +190

WOFFORD +3.5
ETSU @ WOFFORD | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
1:51 PM
Wofford has lost five consecutive games, but all were by seven points or fewer. Look for another competitive game tonight with the Terriers facing an East Tennessee State team that Wofford held to a season-low 49 points on Jan. 1. Grab Wofford.

56-43-5 IN LAST 104 CBB ATS PICKS | +828
4-1 IN LAST 5 ETNST ATS PICKS | +289

DUQUESNE +3.5
DUQUESNE @ ST. BONA. | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
1:46 PM
One of the more intriguing matchups today is Duquesne facing surging St. Bonaventure. Duquesne has lost six of nine games, including a three-point home loss against the Bonnies. Familiarity from the first matchup should help the Dukes get back in order. Play against St. Bonaventure’s impressive 65 percent ATS mark in conference play.

56-43-5 IN LAST 104 CBB ATS PICKS | +828

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (511) Minnesota T'wolves at (512) Miami Heat
Date/Time: Feb 26 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Miami Heat -6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

**PLAY THIS AS A 5%...BUTLER IN!**

The Heat have not been able to be home much at all this month...not as bad as the Spurs suffering this rodeo roadie all month, but damn close...this is just the 3rd times they've played at home since January 28th, but in those 2 games, they won by 30 and 20 points and in the first half absolutely destroyed the opponent! Going further back...not only are the Heat a dominant ATS team at home on the season full game at 18-8, but they are an almost as good 17-9 ATS in the first half and they are 7-2 as heavy favorites (-8+) ATS at the half, averaging a score at the break of 70-51!
The net rating in the last 5 home games is the NBA tops, the offensive rating is monstrous and the best in the league last 5 home games. I could go on and on like I did with the last 2 games...this play fits the same system as the past 2 days and again I would consider laying the full game amount just in the first half...luckily there is no need, but I also wanted to make sure I got this up while it was still -6 for value purposes!

If Jimmy Butler was healthy and a certainty and ready to go and whatnot...or if I could get more than "he had a workout at the facility" and he is up to questionable...this play would be like a 5%++ type play...as the Twolves are still without KAT, will have DLo, but also no Crabbe..are on the road in a very tough place to play...and play zero defense...which is a terrible thing against a team that scores efficiently..and likes to play solid D as well!
Game: (515) Los Angeles Clippers at (516) Phoenix Suns
Date/Time: Feb 26 2020 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Los Angeles Clippers -4.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Wowsa....still healthy Clips...I guess they're gonna revert right back to who they were before Kawhi spoke up? This is a road game...but the Griz are better than these Suns...and no Oubre moves Saric to the bench...further enhancing the Montrezl/Lou wave of the excellent Clips bench...
Ugly middle quarters of this game for sure...maybe as early as the tip!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK NCAAB

Game: (781) St. John's at (782) Villanova
Date/Time: Feb 26 2020 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 147.0 (-101)

View Analysis

Villanova is really rounding into form and had a HUGE W over Xavier on Saturday prior to this game...in what felt like it might be a bit trappy of a spot..and the Musketeers needed that sort of win like their lives depended on it, but Jay Wright's boys didn't struggle all that much in the win...never trailing and proving they can get a big road win in Cincinnati despite also just shooting 7 for 29 from deep. That 64-55 win over Xavier is also getting us a slightly better price in this game than I would even have expected...so gracias to Xavier's defensive prowess and offensive offense.
St. John's plays at a rampant pace, does not play great defense...and has allowed 80, 77, 94, 73, and 79 in their last 5 losses...with the 79 being against these Wildcats in NY, but the other 4 being against much inferior offenses compared to how Nova has turned this season from potential mediocrity to a top seed possiblity in the big dance. Following a 7 for 29 performance from deep, I don't expect the Cats to shoot ANY less from deep, maybe more, on their own rims...and considering they already shoot and make more 3s each game than most every single team in the country...and the Johnnies 5th rated pace in the nation...this could and should be a game Nova gets into the 80s. I like this Over even more because of the price, the spot, AND because Villanova at home is going to get the best shot from every single opponent in the league. Creighton and Seton Hall knocked off Nova on their own floor this month..and they survived a Marquette scare by a single point....the opponent motivation and desire is full fledged...often leading to a potential spot to look for a letdown after this game for the Red Storm!

Game: (308035) Loyola Maryland at (308036) Navy
Date/Time: Feb 26 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: To be announced
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Play to be announced

View Analysis

Oops line...Loyola should win this game...as always I still recommend taking the points

Game: (813) Rhode Island at (814) Fordham
Date/Time: Feb 26 2020 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Rhode Island -11.5 (-108)

View Analysis

Fordham is baaaaarely better on the offensive end, inside league play, than Kennesaw frickin State guys. Far be it for me to recommend taking large road chalk inside a tough conference like the A10...but gracious...URI is off a nasty OT loss to Davidson...and they now know the outside chance at catching UD is completely gone...and taking out some aggression on a hapless team like the fellow Rams should just come easy.
Must he something to do with the previous loss etc...but this is blowout CITY here folks...Fordham with an 82.1 offensive efficiency...yeah...82...I thought it was a typo as well...in A10 play.

Ouch....lambs to the slaughter!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

STANFORD -7.5
UTAH @ STANFORD | 2/26 | 10:00 PM EST
2:24 PM
Utah has won only once in nine true road games, and the home team in this series is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine matchups. This is a play based on desperation, with Stanford being on the bubble and knowing what it has to do after a horrendous 1-7 stretch. But the fact that the Cardinal beat both Washington schools on the road last week was impressive. They made a statement and have four games left to build that resume before the Pac-12 Tournament. I’m backing them here.

21-13-2 IN LAST 36 CBB ATS PICKS | +661
2-1 IN LAST 3 STNFRD ATS PICKS | +99

2-1 IN LAST 3 UTAH ATS PICKS | +91

PENN ST. -5
RUTGERS @ PENN ST. | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
2:05 PM
Who responds better coming off back-to-back losses? Penn State won and covered eight straight contests before dropping its last two. Rutgers should be down a bit after losing its first home game of the season last week against Michigan and then falling at Wisconsin on Sunday. Losing and not covering on the road is something the Scarlet Knights do regularly, as they’ve lost their last six Big Ten games away from home. Penn State gets the cover.

21-13-2 IN LAST 36 CBB ATS PICKS | +661
5-4 IN LAST 9 PSU ATS PICKS | +65

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEYAS SPORT NBA

2/26/2020
GUARANTEE NBA UTAH UNDER 220 1/2

BONUS PLAYS NBA
UTAH -5
ATLANTA +2 1/2
DALLAS -5
MEMPHIS +11 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass : 400 VCU , 400 Evansville , 800 Georgia game over , 400 Arkansas game under ( Arkansas st ???) , 1000 * nets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

VIRGINIA -2.5
VIRGINIA @ VA. TECH | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
2:16 PM
A matchup of in-state rivals heading in opposite directions has drawn a surprisingly small line. Virginia has won four in a row and seven of eight straight-up, while Tech has dropped four in a row. The Hokies were held to 39 points in the first meeting. With a young rotation that includes six freshmen, Tech is unlikely to solve UVA’s pack-line defense, especially with G Landers Nolley (16.7 ppg) in a shooting slump. He is 8-for-44 in the last three games.

5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB PICKS | +171
7-3 IN LAST 10 UVA ATS PICKS | +369

VCU -5
VCU @ MASSACHUSETTS | 2/26 | 7:00 PM EST
2:10 PM
Were VCU playing with a full deck, it would stand head and shoulders over UMass. But the Rams are thinned out. Starting PG Marcus Evans (hip) and backup F Corey Douglas (foot) have been scratched, while G Nah’Shon Hyland (hip) is iffy. The health troubles have led to a four-game straight-up losing streak. The Minutemen have thrived ATS at home, going 10-4 this season.

5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB PICKS | +171

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Maloney
NBA GURU

12:30 PM
MIAMI -10
MINNESOTA @ MIAMI | 2/26 | 7:30 PM EST
Few teams have as dramatic home-road splits as the Heat, who are 23-3 in Miami, and 13-18 elsewhere. At home, they outscore opponents by 10.4 points per 100 possessions, the second-best home net rating in the league. On Wednesday, they'll not only be back at home, but will get to face a reeling Timberwolves team that has just one win since Jan.11, and will once again be without Karl-Anthony Towns. Plus, the Heat are in a bounce-back spot after a disappointing loss to the lowly Cavaliers on Monday.

3-2 IN LAST 5 NBA ATS PICKS | +81

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vic Monte

Massachusetts +5
East Carolina +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

4* Penn St -5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEYA'S SPORTS WEDNESDAY NCAAB

2/26/2020

GUARANTEE CBB VIRGINIA OVER 111 1/2

BONUS PLAYS CBB
VIRGINIA -3 1/2
UCF UNDER 136
FLORIDA OVER 148 1/2
ST.LOUIS OVER 141

[Calidreaming]

C Jordan 1500 play on Chattanooga