Service Plays Thursday 2/27/20

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SDQL Gurus

VANCOUVER -163
VANCOUVER @ OTTAWA | 2/27 | 7:30 PM EST
10:27 AM
The Canucks are 8-3 this season when coming off a win and facing an opponent with a winning percentage of lower than .450. Teams this season facing a non-conference opponent that has a winning percentage that is more than 10 percent lower than theirs and that they have beaten once already this campaign as a favorite are 29-17. Favorites in non-conference games against an opponent that has lost at least three straight and is averaging 0.65 goals per game less than their foe are 20-6. We are on the Canucks.

10-6 IN LAST 16 NHL ML PICKS | +214

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Stephen Oh

UNDER 6.5
VANCOUVER @ OTTAWA | 2/27 | 7:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:29 PM
i'm seeing an average of just 5.5 goals finding the net Thursday between the Senators and Canucks, providing major value on the Under against a total of 6.5. I've got the Under hitting in two-thirds of simulations. Ottawa is playing Under at a 6-2 clip at home and 9-4 overall. The Senators also are 5-1 to the Under against winning teams.

4-2 IN LAST 6 NHL PICKS | +138
UNDER 225.5
L.A. LAKERS @ GOLDEN ST. | 2/27 | 10:30 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:13 PM
My numbers see just 215 points hitting the scoreboard Thursday between the Lakers and Warriors, clearing the Under with room to spare. I've got the Under hitting in more than 70 percent of simulations. The offense-challenged Warriors will be dragging this one down as they haven't exceeded 106 points in any of their last five games. Things won't get any easier with the Lakers' seventh-rated defense coming to town.

11-2 IN LAST 13 NBA PICKS | +879
4-1 IN LAST 5 LAL O/U PICKS | +290

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Robert Ferringo cbb

7-Unit Play. Take #605 Towson (+7.5) over Hofstra (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 27)
Very quietly, Towson has been one of the hotter teams in the CAA over the last two months. The Tigers have gone 11-3 in their last 14 games with no bad losses. They are tough. And they have some guys that can shoot the ball well from the outside. Hofstra has won eight straight games and they are coming off a peak performance in a 16-point road win at Delaware. That clinched them at least a share of the conference title and they could have a slight letdown here. Now the Pride need just one more win this weekend to get the outright title. But they could also get caught looking ahead to the conference tournament, knowing that a regular season title won't get them back to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2001. Around half of Towson's losses this year have been by eight points or fewer, including their loss at Hofstra on Dec. 30. I think the points hold up here. Of the 350+ teams in college basketball, Hofstra uses its bench the least. This is the time of the year when those heavy minutes can catch up to guys. Towson is 17-6 SU when they score at least 60 points. Hofstra isn't a great defensive team and they have held just one team below that threshold since Christmas (16 games). I think Hofstra will struggle to put away Towson here and I will take the points.

2-Unit Play. Take #622 UW-Green Bay (-4.5) over Youngstown State (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 27)
I don't know who the Phoenix pissed off at the league office, but their schedule has been comical over the last month. They have played five straight road games! I can't remember ever seeing that in a league schedule. They have only played two home games since Jan. 19 (nine games). I think they will get a boost playing at home. This is a chuck-and-duck team that is all offense. Teams like that always shoot better at home. Youngstown is in a killer letdown spot. They lost a heartbreaker to Northern Kentucky in their final home game last Saturday. Green Bay has revenge for an OT loss at Youngstown and the Penguins have been terrible on the road. I like Green Bay to fill it up here.

2-Unit Play. Take #624 Illinois-Chicago (-6) over Detroit (8 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 27)
Detroit is an awful basketball team. They are oddly competitive in weird times, like they were when they beat Northern Kentucky and then lost to Wright State by just one point. However, they also got swept by Cleveland State this year and have been routinely blown out. The Titans are coming off a rare win, snapping a six-game losing streak and moving them to 7-22 on the year. They have played four straight home games and this is their first time on the road since Feb. 8. They have played just two road games since Jan. 19! Illinois-Chicago is a talented, experienced team that got off to a terrible start to the season because of injuries. They are healthy now and they are a solid 8-3 in their last 11 games. One of those losses? By one point at Detroit back on Jan. 25 during a stretch of five straight road games for the Flames. This weekend is their final homestand and I think that they will be ready to go. This team has played its way into a third place in the league standings and they want to lock up a home game in the conference tournament. I think they will deal Detroit another ugly loss.

2-Unit Play. Take #677 UC-Santa Barbara (-1.5) over UC-Riverside (11 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 27)
The Big West has been as bad as I have ever seen it this year. However, UC-Santa Barbara was a team that I had pegged as one to watch. They have struggled all season, but may be peaking at the right time. They have won five of their last six games, with four of those wins coming by double-digits. This team has four guys that averaged double-digits last year and have high-scoring Max Heidegger back in form. UC-Riverside is an improved team, for sure. But they haven't been able to close out games against decent teams. Their slow pace will keep this one close, but UCSB's guards will make the difference.

2-Unit Play. Take #686 Florida International (+5.5) over North Texas (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 27)
We have a big-time contrast in styles in this game. Florida International wants to press, trap and run, playing at one of the Top 30 fastest paces in college basketball. North Texas is the exact opposite. They are a very deliberate team, playing at one of the 10 slowest styles in the country. I think that North Texas will have a little trouble here. They have not been very good on the road in league play. That has been somewhat masked by the fact that they have played six of their last nine games at home over the past month-plus. This team lost at Rice and three of their last five road wins were by five or fewer points. North Texas is also in a bit of a letdown spot here after their huge showdown with Louisiana Tech at home last Saturday. They lost that game, which was for the lead in CUSA, and they could have a bit of a hangover. Also, North Texas has a home date with Western Kentucky - the team they are tied with for second place right now, just one game back of LT - coming up this weekend. So they could get caught in a letdown/look ahead situation here. Florida International has only lost at home once this year. I think that they will be ready to play spoiler.

1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #626 UW-Milwaukee (-2) over Cleveland State (8 p.m.) AND Take #679 Arizona State (+8.5) over UCLA (11 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports ncaab

3-towns in+7.5
3-Wisconsin+6.5
3-under 149-zaga

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Jason Sharpe ncaab

7-eastern Washington+2.5
4-Loyola Marymount +1.5
3-central Michigan-1.5
3-Montana-2

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Mitchell Newman
75 DIME
Up-The-Ante
Winner # 4 of 5

WAC Game of the Year
NM state

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Docs Consensus (3-0 yest)

NBA
7u Thunder -7

NCAAB
5u UC Irvine/Cal Poly OVER 136
5u Oregon -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner

Michigan

[Lexdeoh20189]

WunderDog CBB Pick:

Game: Montana Grizzlies (633) @ N. Arizona Lumberjacks (634)
Time: Thursday 02/27 8:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Montana -2 (-108) at 5Dimes

[Bookiebuster247]

Carmine Bianca 5% - Sevilla -1.5

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From Northcoast group of handicappers:

------------------------------------

Master Sports

NCAA BK
3* #649 Colorado -9.5

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John Morrison NBA System

Results:
02/26 BKN vs WAS V3 (A) - LOSS
02/26 DAL vs SAS V3 (A) - WIN

Today's plays:
02/27 POR vs IND V1 (A)
02/27 LAL vs GS V3 (A)

Pending plays:
02/28 BKN vs WAS V3 (B)

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SPS CBB Thursday

6-Unit Play. #677 Take UC Santa Barbara (-1.5) over UC Riverside (11 p.m., Thursday, February 27)

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Indian Cowboy hockey

3-Unit Play. Take Boston Bruins -175 Over Dallas Stars (Thursday @ 7:30pm est)

We are rolling with the Bruins at home here to bounce back after getting embarrassed on home ice against the Flames losing 5-2. Coach Cassidy said it was a lack of effort and some players looked like they didnt even break a sweat. I expect the players to take that to heart and step up. The Bruins have not lost 3 games in a row in regulation since December, and on their 11-1 run they had not allowed more then 3 goals in a game. Now they have let in 14 goals in the last two games and this is a team that is built on defense so I expect a much better effort here. The Stars come off a win on the road in Carolina but it was against their 3rd string goalie, tonight will be much different with Rask likely in goal for the Bruins who has been lights out at home. The Bruins have just 3 regulation losses at home this year and I think they come to play here at home where they are extremely tough. Stars are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings. Bruins are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Bruins are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

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Millerlocks

7:00 pm est ncaab
towson vs. Hofstra

pick: Hofstra -7 (-103)

risk: 11 units

7:00 pm est ncaab
north florida vs. Stetson

pick: North florida -5.5 (-110)

risk: 11 units

7:00 pm est ncaab
iona vs. Canisius

pick: Iona +1.5 (-108)

risk: 11 units

8:00 pm est ncaab
louisiana tech vs. Western kentucky

pick: Western kentucky -1.5 (+101)

risk: 11 units