Friday 3-6-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: March 6-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

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March 6, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo has an 11-race card set to go this evening. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 8 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

1-Mr Varsity (8-1)-Drops to a spot to shine for Team Plano. Using and hoping the morning line odds are accurate.
4-Gorgeous For Real (6-1)-Also drops into a good spot and tuned up with a nice qualifier. Looking for a big try in 1st start coming off the bench for small barn with a good batting average.
5-Almost Cut My Hair (5-1)-Went off as a lukewarm chalk in last and started slowly. Looking for Svendsen to be more aggressive from this post and put in play early. Could beat this field at a fair price.
8-Coz And Effect (7/2)-Stuck outside again but did rally with a big effort from the 9-hole last week. Best to respect again, could stay good and brush by with another strong surge.

Race 9

1-Reys N A Ruckus (12-1)-Price shot who seems to fit with these. Will toss last and look for a return to recent form. Races well when forwardly placed, could make the most of the post draw and trip out.
6-Platinum Time (9/2)-Might be overlooked at the windows and could leave and get a good seat. Recent form has been sharp and may offer a nice return.
7-California Rock (3-1)-Has been extremely consistent all meet and will respect chances in quest for 3rd straight pictures. Using but looking toward others to pump up the Pick 4 payout.

Race 10

2-Getter Queen Flush (6-1)-Has been racing well and now gets some needed post relief. Best to not overlook, should be in the hunt at a square price.
5-Magnifique (3-1)-Makes 2nd start at this level since dropping out of Opens and being out of action since 1/3. Draws well and Plano should have this mare dialed on high.

Race 11

1-Pancetta (5/2)-Drops to the lowest level of the meet. The 1-25 record is an issue, but this is a spot to wake up and was Plano's choice over #5.
2-In For The Chase (3-1)-Dropped and popped last week from the 9-hole and now is right back at the same class. Does lose Svendsen but Magee can provide a good steer.
4-My Friskie Boy (10-1)-Has been in the mix versus this kind. Longo can save ground and look to pop with one big move down the lane at a juicy price.

0.20 Pick 4

1,4,5,8/1,6,7/2,5/1,2,4
Total Bet=$14.40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies for 3/6/20

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March 6, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Friday, March 6, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers: View Video

Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File

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RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Rookie Mistake; 8-Jetovator

Forecast: Rookie Mistake, a solid third after a bit of a slow start in the recent Baffle Stakes, tackles older foes today while dropping a class and is a fit on speed figures. A maiden winner over the local lawn in January, the D. O’Neill-trained son of Square Eddie should be able to settle behind the leaders and then provide his run from the quarter pole home. Jetovator overcame a bit of early trouble to graduate over this course and distance in late January and has trained steadily since, so we suspect the son of Grazen has further improvement in him. Drawn comfortably outside in a race lacking in early speed, the Peter Eurton-trained colt should be on or near the lead throughout in this first-level allowance sprint for state-bred runners. We’re expecting the winner to be one of these two, so we’ll include both in our rolling exotic with a very slight edge on top to Rookie Mistake.
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RACE 2: Post 1:32 PT. Grade: B
Single: 5-Lil Sydney

Forecast: At first glance this looks like a treacherous affair, a 14-runner race for bottom-rung maiden claimers. You can spread (and still not be right) or you can take a stand and try to be right. Lil Sydney is a first-time gelding removing blinkers and dropping in class, so the M. Glatt-trained son of Sidney’s Candy has every right to leave his previous form behind in his first outing in 11 months. He’s actually worked better than the work tab gives him credit and appears to be a better type now than when we last saw him almost a year ago. In this league a little will go a long way so let’s make him a straight play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 4-1.
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RACE 3: Post 2:05 PT. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Lucky Romano; 4-Tromador

Forecast: Tromador drops to his lowest level ever after exiting a much tougher restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming turf sprint and at this level the lightly-raced colt may have found his friends. He’s fast enough on pure speed figures off his grass form and in fact won a maiden $40,000 affair sprinting on this main track two runs back. Lucky Romano makes a monumental trainer change to M. Glatt, picks up F. Prat, and seems certain to receive plenty of play based on these two factors alone. The Lucky Pulpit gelding, a runner-up in two valuable state-bred stakes early in his career but way below that form since, should settle in just off the pace and then have every chance to wear down the leaders when it counts. These are the two we’ll be including in our rolling exotics but you may find the need to go a bit deeper.
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RACE 4: Post 2:35 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Desert Smoke; 2-Smiling Shirlee

Forecast: Smiling Shirlee, exiting a series of competitive state-bred events, shows up in a softer-than-par entry level Cal-bred allowance main track two-turn affair for fillies and mares and should be short price to regain her winning form. Missing at 6/5 when fourth, beaten three lengths in on a recent grass dash, the daughter of Smiling Tiger finished second in the Soviet Problem Stakes at Los Alamitos three runs back and we don’t expect today’s one mile distance will be an issue, especially against this group. She should be along in time under J. Rosario. Desert Smoke just won a $10,000 claimer in gate-to-wire fashion with a nice speed figure and if she can turn in two alike the E. Truman-trained mare projects to be prominent throughout and have every chance. We’ll have tickets including both in our rolling exotics and then press with Smiling Shirlee on top.
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RACE 5: Post 3:08 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Zero Down; 5-Tropical Terror; 7-Brace for Impact

Forecast: Zero Down lands a comfortable inside draw for his first try around two turns, removes blinkers (love that angle) and could inherit the role as the controlling speed if the “send” strategy is employed. With the rails up 30 feet, this appears to be an ideal spot for a theft. We always say that even if a sprinter really doesn’t want to run long, he has a good chance of handling the trip first time he gets a chance and in this case the son of Square Eddie projects to have every opportunity. Tropical Terror looks the most dangerous of the off-the-pace types, and after finishing in the frame in his last three the J. Cassidy-trained colt may be ready to break on through. Brace for Impact has improving speed figures, and while he’s suspect at this distance the B. Headley-trained gelding could be dangerous with the switch to grass. Toss him in on a ticket or two.
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RACE 6: Post 3:38 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Concur; 5-Impression; 6-Captivate

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in this $25,000 main track miler for older horses while slightly preferring the class dropper Concur on top. Likely to draft into a nice second-flight, ground-saving position from his rail post, the veteran son of Curlin drops to his lowest level ever, has a prior win over the local main track, and offers a bit of value at or near his morning line of 6-1. Impression looked good earning a sharp number when a winner in a slightly softer spot two races back but then was in too tough when overmatched in a first-level allowance event last time out. Back where he belongs today, the B. Spawr-trained veteran does his best running on the front end, so we’re anticipating that regular rider T. Pereira will let him roll from the bell in attempt to become the controlling speed. Captivate is another tackling softer today with the expectations of an improved effort. He’ll be close to the pace throughout, and if Impression can’t outrun him early the son of Warrior’s Reward could find himself on the lead in a race in which the closers may be a bit suspect.
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RACE 7: Post 4:08 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Tig Tog; 9-Sugary

Forecast: Tig Tog moves up a notch after a clever win over this course and distance last time out and with J. Rosario staying aboard in a race in which the pace flow compliments this deep closers style, the Irish-bred mare in the J. Sadler should be ready for a similar effort. Given another proper patient ride and with some help up front, she could get up in time. Sugary looked fairly decent winning a $32,000 claiming turf miler in late January and returns for that same price while being given an extra furlong to work with. A winner of three of her last four but not being raised in class, the seven-year-old mare clearly is for sale, but if she has at least one good one left she should be hard beat once again. We’ll slightly prefer Tig Tog on top but use both in all of our rolling exotics.
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RACE 8: Post 4:38 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Hoffa’s Union; 4-Justin’s Quest; 8-Lambeau

Forecast: The nightcap is a competitive entry-level allowance main track middle distance affair with several possibilities. We’ll try to get by using three, including the dangerous come-backer, Hoffa’s Union. The P. Miller-trained colt, so well regarded after being purchased privately following a 15 length debut main win that he was unsuccessfully wheeled back in the Wood Memorial Stakes-G1, makes his first start since last July following a string of sharp drills at San Luis Rey Downs that should have him fit and ready. With F. Prat taking the call, the son of Union Rags looks extremely live and well-meant. Justin’s Quest returns off the bench for Baltas and has trained well enough to expect a good effort. He’ll be prominent throughout and has back numbers that make him competitive. Lambeau, third at 70 cents on the dollar in a similar spot last month, might have been a tad short in his first outing since November but won’t have that excuse today. Solid in the speed figure department and retaining V. Espinoza for a barn that sports strong stats with second off layoff runners, the son of First Samurai will be making just his four career start, so there’s plenty of room for further development.
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[Can'tPickAWinner]

My Tampa Bay Derby All-Stakes Pick 4 Ticket

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March 6, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
This far into the Derby prep season, the newcomers could take over with the Triple Crown as their target.

It’s been accepted in many corners of the nation’s racing map that 2-year-old Breeders’ Cup types of 2019 don’t necessary instill a lot of confidence.

The Tampa Bay Derby on Saturday is a good way to find out where some of the up-and-comers stand. And it’s nothing close to being easy to handicap. The suggested All-Stakes Pick 4 ticket (races 8-11) uses the headliner, which is the last of the sequence, as on of two “spread” races. The arithmetic on the ticket this week is 3x2x5x5 for a $75 ticket.

Those five selected on the Tampa Bay Derby leg are Spa City, Chance It, Market Analysis, Sole Volante and Letmeno. Here’s a look at their chances:

Spa City: An up and comer who debuted early in the week of Christmas and has shown considerable improvement in each of his subsequent starts and comes off a dandy of a maiden win – 1 length victory in a 1 1-8-mile race at Gulfstream. He can stalk and get the distance.

Chance It: It’s hard to find any faults as he’s won four of six (and second in the other two). He’s been two turns just one, and it was a smashing win against Florida-breds. Of course, he’s in open company today for this but really has shown a lot of heart when eyeballed. His connections will learn a lot today.

Market Analysis: He’s had just one start and he won all-out going seven furlongs at Gulfstream. He’s bred to go the distance and will be close-up throughout if he runs back to his only start.

Sole Volante: The choice if you believe there will be a speed battle between a cadre of runners. He’s the deep closer and comes in off a 2.5-length, going-away win of the Sam Davis Stakes here. Florent Geroux picks up the mount, which might be an indication of what kind of future trainer Patrick Biancone believes this one has. If any horse in his field, or for that matter, in this crop of 3-year-olds screams out “distance,” this is the one. He’ll get his biggest class challenge.

Letmeno: Was third in his only start over this strip. It was his first one since September and looks good going two turns. He’ll be the priciest of this group and is capable of running a big one. If speed falters he can pick up some, if not all, of the pieces. Has the good price and some promise and is worthy of inclusion

Here’s a suggested play in the Tampa Bay Downs All-Stakes Pick 4 on Saturday:
8) #1 Big Dollar Bill, #3 Trophy Chaser, #5 King for a Day.
9) #3 Magic Star, #7 Starship Jubilee.
10) #1 Ivyetsu, #6 Walk In Marrakesh, #8 Outburst, #10 Secret Stash, #12 Micheline.
11) #2 Spa City, #4 Chance It, #5 Market Analysis, #7 Sole Volante, #8 Letmeno.

50-cent Pick 4 ticket: 1-3-5 with 3-7 with 1-6-8-10-12 with 2-4-5-7-8 ($75).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Aqueduct - Race #1

#1 Timing	Stalker goes for a white hot Gargan barn and ran well on debut, when trying a demanding 1 1/8 miles, so on the cutback, off that experience builder, he should be primed; look out.
#4 Hostile Witness	Logical contender has run solid figures in his last two and now starts as a first-time gelding, which can often wake a horse up in a big way, and there's value here as well; do not ignore.
#3 Icy Dude	Dicey ML favorite was a deep closing 2nd at Laurel, which is a knock in and of itself, as Rice sends the B team there, and his two local runs weren't much at all; making him prove it.
Race Summary	That 7-2 ML on the pick seems more than fair, as the debut was promising, he should only improve off it, and he sure doesn't meet much here, so play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since he won't have to move forward that much to handle a group like this.

Aqueduct - Race #5

#2 Spin Your Partner	Delacour firster (12%) goes for one of the most underrated barns around, has a slew of works for her unveiling, while really picking it up of late, and meets just one to fear; looks very live.
#3 Amos	Stiff ML favorite was a distant but clear 2nd in the slop last time in her first for Micelli, and that would make her a big threat here, but 0-for-8 there's also no real upside here; second-best.
#1 Flattering Eyes	The best of the rest was 2 3/4 lengths behind the 3 last time, in a lifetime-best run, so while that is positive, you have to wonder if she regresses off that performance; underneath, if at all.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 2, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, especially since no one but the 3 should be, and if that's the case you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you can get some guaranteed value by keying her to end the early Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since she looks like a solid prospect, which means she may be throwing down a race the rest of these, the chalk included, simply won't be able to handle.

Aqueduct - Race #9

#13 Brian's Last Song	Pletcher charge was bet hard on debut at the Spa, chased, then tired to be a meek 4th and now hasn't been seen since, but this barn is 31% off this extended break, 34% dropping in to the MCL ranks, plus Lezcano is here, and this one returns as a first-time gelding; love his chances.
#5 Wesworld	Dangerous stalker was a good 3rd against better at 4-1 on debut for Ward, in what was a fast race for the 40k level, so the slight class drop will help, and experience always does too, not to mention there figures to be a hint of value in this corner as well; seems the main danger.
#2 Dawn's Early Light	Tricky read didn't run an inch in the slop going longer for 40k last time, and now dips in for 25k, which is belong the claim price of 30k three-back, and the worry is the good 4th against MSW foes was just two starts ago, which says something went amiss last time; tread very lightly here.
Race Summary	You certainly won't get rich on the 13, though that 9-2 ML seems like fair value, as he has more upside than most here, goes for a potent barn, and has the first-time gelding angle working too, so play him aggressively in all the slots at 4-1 or better if the tote allows, though you can get some guaranteed value by keying him to end the late Pk5/Pk4, since he looks primed off the shelf, and this is a very deep r ace, where the public might spread, which would give you that much more leverage if you narrow down to him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Charles Town - Race #1

#5 Irish Knockout	Proved that the big debut run at 47/1 was no fluke when a close second last time out. The price gets much shorter today, but she's probably the right one.
#2 Three Bops	Has really turned a corner since adding blinkers, but she does tend to give away ground in the lane, so that's a worry late.
#6 Pipers Gold	Showed some mild late interest in the debut and now she adds Lasix for this second start. It's not impossible to think she might wake up a bit here.
Race Summary	Irish Knockout has looked legit in both starts, and she figures to get a really good run of things from close range.

Charles Town - Race #6

#6 Cheese Louise	Stretches out for the first time, but she is likely to show some pace in a spot without a ton of other speed signed on. The price should be better today, too.
#5 Commcat	Figures are there for her to play with these, but she doesn't finish with a whole lot of energy and is probably overbet here.
#2 C V's Campfire	Finisher should be plugging along late for an underneath piece, but she'd feel overbet at anything like the 8/5 ML offering.
Race Summary	Cheese Louise tries to handle two turns today, but she might be in line for a decent trip as she does so. I'd want something close to the 9/2 ML offering to dive in.

Charles Town - Race #7

#4 Dionysus' Chalice	Turned in a really solid effort last time out, and while he's no sure thing to repeat that one, he's right there if he does.
#6 Ellie's Lil Man	He can win this, but he's probably a bit overbet considering his spotty form. I'd want better than the 8/5 ML price to find out which guy is going to show up tonight.
#2 Rocket Road	Finisher offers a bit of underneath intrigue at a square price, but he's probably going to find one or two of these a bit too tough.
Race Summary	Dionysus' Chalice should get a forward trip and fits with these off that last run. If he doesn't take a big step back tonight, he can get over the top here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Meadowlands - Race #1

#3 SILK Z TAM	Has ingredients for an upset in seasonal debut.
#9 FINNISH YOUR WAY	Rallied for third from same post, makes third start as 4yo.
#2 DANGEROUSPRECEDENT	Controlled slower pace in repeat win at this level.
Race Summary	Silk Z Tam starts fresh after $43k sophomore season, gets first-time Lasix and fits the race condition well. He’s worth a price shot at 12-1, or at least a use in a 2-3-9 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#2 SHES GOT PIZAZZ	Sat pocket trip behind winning fave, held okay, switches pilots.
#4 MONOPOLY	Hustled away from post 8, tired in stretch, takes class drop.
#1 ESQUIRE	Edged top one for second despite first-over trip, barn hitting at high percentage.
Race Summary	Shes Got Pizazz rushed to the lead in blustery conditions, yielded to the 8-5 winner on the backstretch and held well for third despite being in a bit tight in deep stretch. Play 2-1 and 2-4 exactas.

Hawthorne - Race #3

#10 PARK OFFICIAL	Had excuses in last pair, gets class relief, post the concern.
#3 LIL ORPHAN ELMER	Beat 2-3/4 lengths in solid heat despite ‘poor position.’
#5 MOSH PIT	Must show more to warrant 5-2 favoritism with 1-30 mark since 2019.
Race Summary	Park Official was trapped 3-deep inside a lively outer flow, showed some interest when free in the stretch and flattened out late. He figures tough on the class drop if he can get position from post 10. Play a 3-5-10 exacta box.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#3 Carolyn's Smile	Gave way on turf last out and should get a great pace setup in her return to the dirt; will be flying late.
#4 Don't Eatthe Apple	Filly has been in front in all three of her races, has a good chance to sprint clear. Will be difficult to catch this time out.
#1 Avuncular	Was in front in her only start, which came at Belmont last July; has the talent but might need one off the bench.
Race Summary	Carolyn's Smile has a decent late move in dirt sprints and this pace should be hot and heavy. Turning back from a longer distance should make her doubly tough here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#3 Pardon My Heart	Came on well in good efforts in her last two, and just a small amount of improvement means she graduates from the maiden ranks today.
#1 Take Ten	Moved into contention much earlier than usual and was caught late; can save ground and needs a well-timed moved this time around.
#8 Elle M's Souri	Had a tough go of it in her 1st local start as she lost her rider on the far turn; jockey Gaffalione will 'cowboy up' and get back aboard today, and she'll be tough if she ran run back to her last two of 2019, when she was 2nd in both.
Race Summary	Pardon My Heart has made consistent improvement from the early portion of her career and can get a good run here. She's a steady closer and can grind it out.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#1 Dixieincandyland	Make her 1st of the year after ending 2019 with a strong maiden win in a blazing 1:00 4-5 for 5.5 furlongs. Has trained well for Kenneally and looks ready to resume for afternoon duties in fine fashion.
#7 Awsum Roar	Has done well on the front end or from just off the lead; had sharp wins in six of her last eight and is always a threat. Makes 1st off the claim for Dobles, who is 28 percent in first after claim.
#4 Miss Auramet	Was a clear winner last out and has been in very fast races in three of her last four; will be tough on the front end.
Race Summary	Dixiecandyland had a very rapid win in her latest and can will have little choice but to battle for the lead from the inside post; workouts indicate she's ready.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 2	Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3
Claiming $27,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $9,200 • Post: 3:10P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 21 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 6 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $27,000, IF FOR $25,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * EMPRESARIA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MA NGIARELA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PINTORELLA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FIESTA DE REYES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	EMPRESARIA	6/5	4/1
6	MANGIARELA	2/1	7/1
3	PINTORELLA	3/1	8/1
4	FIESTA DE REYES	8/5	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	MANGIARELA	6	2/1	Stalker	69	64	47.8	54.0	44.5
3	PINTORELLA	3	3/1	Stalker	74	62	40.6	54.0	48.5
5	EMPRESARIA	5	6/5	Trailer	77	72	42.4	74.0	71.5
4	FIESTA DE REYES	4	8/5	Trailer	74	64	34.8	66.2	60.7
2	EL PICO DE LESLI	2	7/2	Trailer	69	58	26.0	49.0	39.5
1	MACHUCHAL MAJORETT	1	4/1	Trailer	72	62	21.7	42.2	33.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

Aqueduct - Race 3	Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double Wagers
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $60,000 • Post: 2:25P
FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HOT BROWN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HOT BROWN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. FREUDIAN FATE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	HOT BROWN	4/1	5/2
4	FREUDIAN FATE	2/1	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	HOT BROWN	5	4/1	Front-runner	85	83	84.9	71.4	67.4
4	FREUDIAN FATE	4	2/1	Stalker	81	79	80.4	75.3	71.3
1	BIG BOY MO	1	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	81.8	65.9	57.9
2	APEX PREDATOR	2	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	68	78.4	53.0	43.0
7	KID D'ORO	7	9/5	Trailer	78	65	76.4	62.5	55.0
6	BANK GALA	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	67	71.8	59.6	47.1
3	DISCIPLANARIAN	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	85	81	56.2	63.6	55.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Maiden - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 71

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 BRAIN GAME 2/1
# 6 AUTISM WARRIOR (T) 3/1
# 3 MALIBU MAGIC (T) 10/1

BRAIN GAME has a very good shot to take this race. With a sound 58 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. The average Equibase class rating of 52 makes this entrant hard to beat. He ought to be given a chance given the strong speed numbers. AUTISM WARRIOR (T) - Looks quite good for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figures in longer quarter horse races recently. He must be carefully examined given the competitive speed figures. MALIBU MAGIC (T) - Players should note that this equine runs with second time Lasix today. The speed rating of 66 from his last contest looks very good in here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

03/06/20, GP, Race 7, 4.14 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $51,000.
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	7	Camp Randall	10-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Hough Stanley M.	JTE	34.32	1.75/$1
099.63	2	Real Money	6-1	Gaffalione T	Casse Mark E.	SL	36.32	1.52/$1
099.18	3	Macho Blue	9/5	Lopez P	Gallegos Jose A.		34.32	1.75/$1
099.04	6	By the Sey Shore	7/2	Saez L	Trombetta Michael J.	F	34.32	1.75/$1
096.91	4	Sarasota County	8-1	Rendon J	Hickey William J.		34.32	1.75/$1
094.70	1	Jake Rocks	9/2	Maragh R	Miller Herbert	W	34.32	1.75/$1
094.22	5	What's to Blame	8-1	Lebron V	Dobles Elizabeth L.	C	34.32	1.75/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 23.33, ROI 0.91/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	3	Macho Blue	9/5	Lopez P	Gallegos Jose A.	JE	43.33	1.41/$1
099.41	2	Real Money	6-1	Gaffalione T	Casse Mark E.	SL	36.00	1.18/$1
096.75	1	Jake Rocks	9/2	Maragh R	Miller Herbert	W	36.00	1.18/$1
096.04	6	By the Sey Shore	7/2	Saez L	Trombetta Michael J.		36.00	1.18/$1
095.19	7	Camp Randall	10-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Hough Stanley M.	T	36.00	1.18/$1
094.30	5	What's to Blame	8-1	Lebron V	Dobles Elizabeth L.	FC	36.00	1.18/$1
093.41	4	Sarasota County	8-1	Rendon J	Hickey William J.		36.00	1.18/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 26.19, ROI 0.55/$1

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Oaklawn Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating:

#12 OFFICER DONELL (ML=15/1)
#1 BRAVURA CREEK (ML=12/1)


OFFICER DONELL - Took a class drop last race out at Oaklawn Park. Smith keeps him at the same level in today's race. I think that's a good move. BRAVURA CREEK - Using this rider/handler combination is a good decision. Ran last time out against much better horses at Oaklawn Park. The move to a lower level should suit him well. Look for this gelding to show lots better in this event. Last event at Oaklawn Park finishing seventh on a track listed as good is no indication of his true talent.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 BABADOOOK (ML=7/2), #11 KURTS RAIDER (ML=9/2), #8 STORM CLASSIC (ML=5/1),

BABADOOOK - Hard to back the chalk when he continues to lose as the favorite. KURTS RAIDER - No picnic to play this entrant this time. Make him show you something in a short distance contest before you wager on him in a race of 6 furlongs. STORM CLASSIC - This gelding hasn't had any promising efforts in short distance races in the last sixty days.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #12 OFFICER DONELL to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,12]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:49pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#3 RESCUE FIVE (ML=9/2)
#4 DIONYSUS' CHALICE (ML=7/2)


RESCUE FIVE - Taking a trip down the class scale; has the class ability to make his presence felt. I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. This speed horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at going gate to wire in victory. DIONYSUS' CHALICE - Faces state bred foes today after finishing second versus 'open' company on February 19th. PP lines show this thoroughbred with three improving Equibase speed figures. Thorpe should be on a horse ready to win in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ELLIE'S LIL MAN (ML=8/5), #1 OWEN'S WAY (ML=4/1), #2 ROCKET ROAD (ML=6/1),

ELLIE'S LIL MAN - Last raced on Feb 5th at Charles Town, finishing fourth. Unlikely to perk up off of that effort in today's race. This gelding garnered a speed fig in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. OWEN'S WAY - Looked good on February 5th, finishing third, but no morning blow outs since is a bit troublesome. Poor early position in the early part of the last route event will probably make it tough to make an impression today in this sprint clash. ROCKET ROAD - Placed much too far in the rear in the first part of the last route event will probably make it tough to make an impression today in this sprint race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 RESCUE FIVE is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 91

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 DREAM SATURDAY 7/2
# 3 BREZNO 3/1
# 4 PROVEN WARRIOR 4/1

DREAM SATURDAY looks solid to best this field. With a reliable 83 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. This gelding with Miranda in the saddle makes him a solid choice. Shows sound speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. BREZNO - I like the rider on this gelding - quite good chance to win the contest. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last competition. PROVEN WARRIOR - Must be given a chance here if only for the very good speed rating earned in the last competition. He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group of horses in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

03/06/20, TAM, Race 6, 3.15 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.03 CLAIMING. Purse $18,200.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered) (Condition Eligibility). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8) / Pick 4 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8-9) - Super High 5
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	3	Big Gillette	9/2	Gallardo A A	Bennett Mary Ann	JFE	38.00	1.26/$1
096.93	1	Bunster	3-1	Centeno D	Carrasco. Jr. Victor	L	32.73	1.13/$1
095.98	5	Zitman	12-1	Morales P	Rigattieri John		38.00	1.26/$1
095.95	13	My Cowboy	6-1	Spieth S	Rini Anthony F.	T	32.73	1.13/$1
095.26	8	Global Entry	7/2	Quinonez A	Arriagada Juan	S	32.73	1.13/$1
094.21	2	Rough Night(b-)	6-1	Camacho S	Ryan Derek S.		32.73	1.13/$1
094.06	7	Wicked Boy	5-1	Hernandez H	Wilson Tony		32.73	1.13/$1
093.91	6	Delta Levy	10-1	Castanon J L	Granitz Anthony J.		38.00	1.26/$1
093.53	11	Enduring Honor	12-1	Spieth S	Ryan Derek S.		32.73	1.13/$1
093.04	14	Blue Pigeon	8-1	Garcia W A	Sweezey J. Kent		38.00	1.26/$1
092.69	12	Jimmy D	12-1	Camacho S	Hinsley David H.		32.73	1.13/$1
092.65	10	Front Line Paige	12-1	Suarez A	Swick Don	C	35.51	1.08/$1
092.60	9	Josie's Riddle	20-1	Feliciano R	Feliciano Benny R.		38.00	1.26/$1
092.55	4	Whistle Me Home	30-1	Ferrer J C	Guciardo Kathleen A.		32.73	1.13/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 35.14, ROI 0.92/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	3	Big Gillette	9/2	Gallardo A A	Bennett Mary Ann	JE	37.50	1.22/$1
098.86	13	My Cowboy	6-1	Spieth S	Rini Anthony F.	F	33.33	1.08/$1
098.59	1	Bunster	3-1	Centeno D	Carrasco. Jr. Victor	WL	41.54	1.16/$1
097.56	8	Global Entry	7/2	Quinonez A	Arriagada Juan	S	33.33	1.08/$1
097.30	5	Zitman	12-1	Morales P	Rigattieri John	T	33.33	1.08/$1
095.74	6	Delta Levy	10-1	Castanon J L	Granitz Anthony J.		37.50	1.22/$1
095.55	2	Rough Night(b-)	6-1	Camacho S	Ryan Derek S.		33.33	1.08/$1
095.55	11	Enduring Honor	12-1	Spieth S	Ryan Derek S.		33.33	1.08/$1
094.41	12	Jimmy D	12-1	Camacho S	Hinsley David H.		33.33	1.08/$1
094.30	7	Wicked Boy	5-1	Hernandez H	Wilson Tony		33.33	1.08/$1
094.29	10	Front Line Paige	12-1	Suarez A	Swick Don	C	37.50	1.22/$1
093.95	14	Blue Pigeon	8-1	Garcia W A	Sweezey J. Kent		37.50	1.22/$1
093.76	4	Whistle Me Home	30-1	Ferrer J C	Guciardo Kathleen A.		37.98	1.04/$1
092.78	9	Josie's Riddle	20-1	Feliciano R	Feliciano Benny R.		33.33	1.08/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.59, ROI 0.67/$1

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