If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
I think both Indiana and Minnesota need this win pretty bad but I have the Gophers a few points better than Indiana on a neutral. Bart Torvik, Team rankings and Kenpom all also have Minnesota the better team here. Lastly, Minnesota has had the hardest schedule in the nation according to Jeff Sagarin. This is a road revenge spot for Minnesota and I think this will be a very close game that could go either way.
27-14 making picks since the start of 2020, returning $960 to $100 bettors.
With two games left in the regular season, Indiana is currently a 9-seed in Jerry Palm's projections, yet still sitting on the bubble. Their last two games of the season are against Minnesota and 24th ranked Wisconsin. Tonight's game is a must win for the Hoosiers to continue to solidify an at-large bid in the tournament. Indiana will look to take momentum in the Big Ten tournament with big wins in their two remaining regular season games, both coming at home. The Hoosiers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Tonight they add to that trend, controlling the pace vs. the Golden Gophers and securing the win at Assembly Hall, and of course covering that short number.
Robin Hood
Today’s Update (3/4/20): There is a Robin Hood Selection tonight. The play comes from one of my spread algorithms for NCAABB which is 55.3% this season overall and 59.2% on plays that are one level above standard qualifying value. Today, Temple -2.5 over Tulsa achieves one level above standard qualifying value. Temple currently achieves an LJP 3U. Therefore I am going with a Robin Hood Selection on Temple -2.5 over Tulsa. The next update on this page will be by 11am ET tomorrow.
Game: (527) Chicago Bulls at (528) Minnesota T\\\'wolves
Date/Time: Mar 4 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Over 119.0 (-110)
View Analysis
We can make this concise as possible. We are a smidge late on this play today or it would most likely rank as a 5% (or higher) option, and it opened at 117 or 117.5 and maybe still a 118.5 available out there on the market.
The Bulls defensive efficiency in the first half on the road over the past 5 games is a whopping (read: disgusting) 130+, all 5 losses, with a pace over 100 possessions per....AND only a net rating of -15...offense is doing work as well!
Twolves...first overall- last 5 games...124 def. efficiency but with a net rating of just ~ -13, a nuts pace OVER 110, and, along with Bulls, both of the defenses improve in the second half...while both team's pace goes down considerably...and much less a free for all of running and chucking.
Twolves last 3 games allowed in the 1st half - opponent averages 67 points
Bulls last 3 games allowed in the 1st half - opponent averages 65 points
The Twolves have just 1 win in the last 5 games at home...while the Bulls have 0 wins in the last 5 road games....these 2 teams will not and do not have a TON of opportunities on the respective remaining schedules for Ws...and both staffs likely will think this is one of those chances in the final 2months of the season...which makes me even more in love with this play at a number sub-120!
Twolves 8 of 10 to the 1H Over last 10
Bulls 7 of 10 to the 1H Over last 10
Comment