Tuesday 3-10-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

43NASHVILLE -44 MONTREAL
MONTREAL is 13-21 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

45TAMPA BAY -46 TORONTO
TAMPA BAY is 19-6 ATS (11.2 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

47PITTSBURGH -48 NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 12-8 ATS (11.3 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

49BOSTON -50 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (11.1 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

51CAROLINA -52 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-35 ATS (-22.6 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

55NY RANGERS -56 DALLAS
NY RANGERS are 9-1 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

57NY ISLANDERS -58 VANCOUVER
NY ISLANDERS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

59OTTAWA -60 ANAHEIM
ANAHEIM is 0-5 ATS (-7.5 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 10


Tampa Bay @ Toronto

Game 45-46
March 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
11.381
Toronto
10.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-115); Over

Nashville @ Montreal

Game 43-44
March 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
9.491
Montreal
10.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-105); Under

Pittsburgh @ New Jersey

Game 47-48
March 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
9.289
New Jersey
11.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-180
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+155); Over

Boston @ Philadelphia

Game 49-50
March 10, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.846
Philadelphia
13.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-110
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-110); Under

Carolina @ Detroit

Game 51-52
March 10, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.065
Detroit
11.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-240
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+200); Over

NY Rangers @ Dallas

Game 55-56
March 10, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
9.681
Dallas
10.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-165); Under

NY Islanders @ Vancouver

Game 57-58
March 10, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
8.846
Vancouver
10.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-130); Over

Ottawa @ Anaheim

Game 59-60
March 10, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
11.269
Anaheim
10.423
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, March 10

Trend Report

Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games
Nashville is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games on the road
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New Jersey is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Jersey's last 10 games
New Jersey is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New Jersey

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Boston
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Bruins
Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Carolina
Detroit is 17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Carolina
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Carolina is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Rangers is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games
NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Rangers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Rangers is 5-8-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Anaheim is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Anaheim is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Anaheim is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Ottawa
Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Anaheim is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Ottawa is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Ottawa is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Anaheim

Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vancouver's last 10 games
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Vancouver is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games at home
Vancouver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Vancouver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Islanders is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Islanders's last 12 games
NY Islanders is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games on the road
NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
NY Islanders is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Vancouver
NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

55 NY RANGERS @ 56 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in Home games after a division game
The record is 1 Wins and 12 Losses This Season(11.25 units)
4.9 out of 5

57 NY ISLANDERS @ 58 VANCOUVER
Play On NY ISLANDERS using the Money Line in Road games in non-conference games
The record is 1 Wins and 11 Losses This Season(10 units)
4.1 out of 5

55 NY RANGERS @ 56 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in Home games in March games
The record is 2 Wins and 16 Losses Last 3 Years(13.9 units)
4 out of 5

51 CAROLINA @ 52 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games after allowing 4 goals or more
The record is 5 Wins and 36 Losses This Season(-28.1 units)
3.9 out of 5

51 CAROLINA @ 52 DETROIT
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games after allowing 4 goals or more
The record is 5 Wins and 36 Losses This Season(-28.1 units)
3.9 out of 5

57 NY ISLANDERS @ 58 VANCOUVER
Play On NY ISLANDERS using the Money Line in All games on Tuesday nights
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses This Season(8.95 units)
3.6 out of 5

43 NASHVILLE @ 44 MONTREAL
Play On MONTREAL using the Money Line in Home games in non-conference games
The record is 7 Wins and 22 Losses Last 2 Years(14.35 units)
2.7 out of 5

49 BOSTON @ 50 PHILADELPHIA
Play On PHILADELPHIA using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 13 Wins and 5 Losses This Season(10.05 units)
2.1 out of 5

49 BOSTON @ 50 PHILADELPHIA
Play On PHILADELPHIA using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 13 Wins and 5 Losses This Season(10.05 units)
2.1 out of 5

55 NY RANGERS @ 56 DALLAS
Play On NY RANGERS using the Money Line in All games
The record is 27 Wins and 22 Losses This Season(15.35 units)
2.1 out of 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Mahoning Valley - Race #4

#7 Make the Rules	Class riser has looked good winning two straight, drew the perfect attack post for his pressing style, as that should have him just off the speed, and he'lloffer some value too; hat trick time.
#3 On Fire	The speed ran off and hid last time after setting hot splits, so he'll clear here too if he runs like that, but this is a better group, and the pick won't let him get too far away; still, plenty scary.
#4 Accoustical	Deep closer has run well at the level in his last two and will be rolling late, but he's also come up short in both, and the race flow likely won't help him here either; runs out of room in the lane.
Race Summary	The race flow really points to the 7, as he can spy the speed and get first run off the far turn, and that win last time was sharp and suggests he can handle the rise, so play him in all the slots, and especially the exotics as well, since he has every right to be a big player here.

Mahoning Valley - Race #5

#2 Fionetta	Stalker has burned a lot of money of late and now rises back up in class, but his running style in a race loaded with speed will play out nicely; mows them down in the lane.
#5 First Distinction	Sppedster will be bet hard on the return to Radosevich, and that win two-back was huge, but all the other speed signed on is to his outside, which won't help; comes unglued late.
Grace Appeal	Longshot was a decent 3rd at the level last time and has a hint of a rating gear, so if she can sit far enough off the pace, there's a chance she makes a dent late; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and should flatter the 2 while hurting the 5, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying her to kick off the Pk4, as she looks poised to finally break through, at better odds this time too.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6

#4 Duplicator	Price player didn't like the route or the mud last time, but he's back sprinting today, and the run at the level two-back gives him a big chance here; upset special.
#7 Sacred Warrior	Heavy hitter was a solid 3rd at the level in the mud last time and should sit the right kind of stalking trip, though she could regress off such a big run; looms large.
#2 Tio Perico	Tricky read did beat 'Warrior when 2nd last time, and a repeat would make her tough, but unlike that colt, this one doesn't have much fast track form; tread lightly.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 4, who may get overlooked off the dud last time even though there are a few obvious reasons why he didn't fire, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would add plenty of value to the sequence.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Turf Paradise - Race #2

#1 Shoe Game	Makes the turf debut today, but the recent form stacks up well enough and she's there if she handles the new footing.
#6 S U M Racer	Reliable turfer caught a tough winner last time out, and she figures to be rolling late with the best in here.
#2 Lesedi	Might be a bit overbet in this one, but she'll get a good forward trip with these and fits with a repeat of her last.
Race Summary	Shoe Game is worth a look in the turf debut, as she's quick enough to get a good run of things from the inside as she makes her turf debut.

Turf Paradise - Race #3

#2 Thechampisfloring	Interesting to see what price she offers as she brings in the highest last-out BRIS speed rating by a long way. That came against $5K maidens, though, so the run against winners is the test. Would accept 7/2 or 4/1.
#1 Who's the Diva Now	Forward player has a high enough ceiling to trounce this group, but she's running off the layoff with some pace from the fence. The trip could turn tricky.
#7 Top Hat High Jinks	Hit or miss form is a bit of a concern, but she runs best when she finds the lead and will likely break for it from the outside while hassling the rail-drawn chalk.
Race Summary	Thechampisfloring ran off against cheap maidens last time out, but that was her second good effort in a row locally, suggesting there might be a chance she can repeat it in a logical spot to try winners for the first time.

Turf Paradise - Race #7

#7 Miss Perfecta	Looks for her fourth in a row, and she has been impressive while climbing the ladder. Will give her the edge to keep the run going.
#2 Yes Please	Reliable type looks like the one to beat with another forward trip looming, but the price might get a bit too short here.
#6 Beau Rocks	Seems like an underneath player at best, but she might be the right one to try to get in the mix to spice up the gimmicks in what appears to be an otherwise top-heavy race.
Race Summary	Miss Perfecta and Yes Please should be tough here, but the former may offer a better number as she continues to step up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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The Meadows - Race #7

#7 TOUCHAMATIC	Game second to winning fave, knows how to win.
#5 CAMERA LADY	Winning streak ended in race against top one, gets ideal set-up.
#6 LAKEISHA HALL	Finished first or second in 71 of 110 starts.
Race Summary	Touchamatic delivered a game, first-over effort but was no match for his odds-on stablemate. She draws outside and is re-united with Merriman in her bid for a 31st victory.

Dover Downs - Race #10

#2 WHIMZICAL CHAPTER – P	#2 WHIMZICAL CHAPTER – Power move to win in same spot, today’s Best Bet.
#6 NORTHERN EXPRESS – Ra	#6 NORTHERN EXPRESS – Ran 1/5 faster on same day as top one in three-peat win.
#4 MR SMEAD – Hit board	#4 MR SMEAD – Hit board in 3 of last 4 starts at double-digit odds.
Race Summary	Whimzical Chapter was confidently handled and made an explosive move when asked to win last week. Can’t go beyond him in this spot as the likely favorite. Play a 2 with 4,6 with ALL trifecta and bet win-place on #2.

Dover Downs - Race #13

#6 MAX’S BEAST	Did everything right except win, deserves another chance.
#4 MR. RIGHT	Winless this year after $73k season, drops to proper level.
#3 VICIOUS LIES	Solid numbers, just missed in the fog in this spot two starts ago.
Race Summary	Max’s Beast made a strong, first-over rally into a slow pace, took the lead and got caught by the second favorite. He could move forward off that effort. Play 6-3 and 6-4 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Sunland Park - Race #3

#1 Blue Lighting Sky	Just missed last out, takes a slight step up in class and can get to the lead from the rail; one to catch.
#3 Misty B Canyon	Has been able to run with and without the lead and has been good in five of her last six.
#4 Cees Smoken	Has finished with interest and will have to get going earlier today; Evans hitting at 26 percent.
Race Summary	Blue Lighting Sky has been running well, has enough speed to be in the battle from the start and can win this with a repeat of his last race.

Sunland Park - Race #5

#2 Gold Note	Is long overdue to turn back in distance, can get rolling vs. these and has a solid chance late in the game.
#3 My Boy Zayn	Held on for 2nd last out and that one was by far his best start; continued improvement could get it for him.
#7 One Fine Romance	Improved position in both races and could get involved earlier with the addition of blinkers; worth a look.
Race Summary	Gold Note has lacked pop going long and could get it going a shorter distance; can make a impact in the final furlong.

Sunland Park - Race #7

#4 Baydar	Turns back in distance and has an extremely fast pace to chase; she won't drop too far off the pace and should be able to pick up the speedsters late.
#2 Miss Kitty Mae	Has won two of three and cruised on the front end in her successes; could get some company out front today but still will problem dig in for a major slice.
#1 Shesomajestic	Has been a strong fighter on the front end and will be in the battle for every stride; tough.
Race Summary	Baydar is stakes placed and has done well throughout her career; makes her 1st since July but has trained well for trainer Susan Arnett.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise

Turf Paradise - Race 1	$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 1-2) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $3,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 1:25P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT THE 2019-2020 TURF PARADISE MEET FOR $3,500 OR LESS AND HAVE NOT FINISHED 1ST, 2ND OR 3RD AT THE MEET. OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 10, 2019. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $2,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ME FIRST is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ME FIRST: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TANNED MISTRESS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BELLA GALINA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Hors e has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	ME FIRST	3/1	7/2
2	TANNED MISTRESS	8/1	4/1
4	BELLA GALINA	3/5	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	ME FIRST	6	3/1	Front-runner	76	72	69.6	64.2	60.2
2	TANNED MISTRESS	2	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	82	71	61.7	63.0	54.5
4	BELLA GALINA	4	3/5	Stalker	71	74	65.6	61.8	56.3
1	MS WILD RUSH	1	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	76	51.2	62.0	52.0
3	COASTAL CURVES	3	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	68	64	42.2	62.2	56.7
7	DEVIL'S WILDCAT	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	56.4	52.2	40.2
5	CHAMP FOR JUSTICE	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	62	51.3	55.6	45.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 4	$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta /.10 Superfecta
Claiming $7,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $10,500 • Post: 2:21P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PRINCESS JADA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MORE SMORES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PRINCESS JADA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. REALREALGOOD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. THOUGHT I'DMISSYOU: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	MORE SMORES	7/2	9/2
1	PRINCESS JADA	5/1	5/1
6	REALREALGOOD	3/1	7/1
3	THOUGHT I'DMISSYOU	7/2	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	PRINCESS JADA	1	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	58	53	64.4	49.2	41.7
3	THOUGHT I'DMISSYOU	3	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	62	58	49.4	53.2	46.7
6	REALREALGOOD	6	3/1	Trailer	77	64	30.0	49.0	43.5
5	MORE SMORES	5	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	78	68	31.3	61.6	56.6
4	TRES TAURUS	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	41	46	65.6	31.9	17.9
7	BLUEGRASS BANJO	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	48	49.7	45.5	38.0
2	PEACEOUTYOURHONOR	2	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	67	28.2	38.0	29.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden - 220y on the Dirt. Purse: $10300 Class Rating: 57

QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 MISS ORIENT EXPRESS 7/2
# 5 FAST MOON RISEN 8/1
# 2 GML HOLY WATER 15/1

MISS ORIENT EXPRESS is the best wager in this race. This young animal is worth consideration. TrackMaster shows formidable trainer statistics with 2 year olds. By Freighttrain B, has a clear advantage in the bloodlines - brothers and sisters have ran well as two-year olds. FAST MOON RISEN - Very good venture today on Lasix. Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. GML HOLY WATER - Could be right there at the finish based on quite good results of the handler with juveniles. Keep in the exotics as this handler has been strong lately with babies, whose combined return on investment has been +72. I would lean toward this gelding on the rider and handler numbers alone.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#4 KNOKKE BY THE SEA (ML=3/1)
#2 MUNTAHEZ (ML=9/2)
#5 SUPPORT OUR CAUSE (ML=6/1)


KNOKKE BY THE SEA - Jockey hops back up on board after getting to know the race horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a positive sign. Nice winning percentage this rider and trainer duo have been putting together. Just see his recent speed rating, 75. That one fits in this bunch. MUNTAHEZ - This gelding is in good form, having run a nice race on Feb 15th, finishing second. This rider and trainer are solid together. Winning percent when teamed up is tough to better. May have to play this horse in this event. He has been claimed in each of his last two starts. SUPPORT OUR CAUSE - Has the look of an overlay in this event at morning odds of 6/1. Finished fifth in last race at Laurel but was close at the end.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SILVERZAR (ML=5/2), #1 MY MAN ELVIS (ML=7/2), #1A TALKING POINT (ML=7/2),

SILVERZAR - This favorite may be out of shape without any recent workouts. MY MAN ELVIS - If you keep playing these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed frequently. This gelding recorded a rating in his last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event. TALKING POINT - The finish of fourth in the last affair shows me that this equine may be getting out of condition.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #4 KNOKKE BY THE SEA to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 72

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 BELLAH DOWN 8/1
# 3 PRAISEM 4/1
# 2 BROWN SHOES 9/2

BELLAH DOWN looks to be a strong contender especially at a such a nice price. Ought to compete admirably in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of animals. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. PRAISEM - With a nice class figure average of 76, has one of the top class advantages in this field. BROWN SHOES - Must be given a chance based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #7 - Post: 3:33pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,100 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#5 CONGRUITY (ML=6/1)
#4 LEO D (ML=8/1)
#6 SWIVEL (ML=3/1)
#8 VILMA (ML=7/2)


CONGRUITY - This gelding is in nice physical condition. Ended up third on Feb 25th. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. This horse already beat the probable favorite in the last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. This gelding is uppermost in earnings per race entered. Check out this horse in the post parade. LEO D - When Corrales and Gorham team up on horses the return on investment has been fabulous at +65. Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Definitely on edge for a good one today. Ran a less than stellar race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last time around the track. Racing without the slop puts this gelding at the top of my contenders roll call. SWIVEL - Barbaran is back for another event today after sitting atop this equine for the 1st time on Feb 25th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Out of the money finish last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the lane and never gave up. VILMA - Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the first time on February 22nd. Should know the horse even better this time. This racer coming off a nice try in the last month or so is a solid contender in my humble opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 RUBY'S LOVE (ML=4/1),

RUBY'S LOVE - This horse likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually finish first. Don't put in the top spot. Don't feel this horse will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed fig was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #5 CONGRUITY on the win end if we get at least 5/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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