Wednesday 3-11-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 09:25 AM

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 53 Wins and 164 Losses All Time(105.7 units)
4.9 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On UTAH using the Money Line in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 108 Wins and 289 Losses All Time(170.2 units)
4.6 out of 5

549 DETROIT @ 550 PHILADELPHIA
Play Against DETROIT using the Money Line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 15 Wins and 35 Losses This Season(-27.3 units)
4 out of 5

547 NEW YORK @ 548 ATLANTA
Play Against ATLANTA using the Money Line in All games after scoring 130 points or more
The record is 5 Wins and 18 Losses All Time(-21.6 units)
3.8 out of 5

555 DENVER @ 556 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 13 Wins and 4 Losses This Season(13.45 units)
3.6 out of 5

557 NEW ORLEANS @ 558 SACRAMENTO
Play On SACRAMENTO using the Money Line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 10 Wins and 35 Losses Last 3 Years(24 units)
3.5 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against UTAH using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 6 Wins and 9 Losses This Season(-18.95 units)
3.5 out of 5

555 DENVER @ 556 DALLAS
Play On DALLAS using the Money Line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses This Season(11.8 units)
3.4 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in Home games in the second half of the season
The record is 5 Wins and 21 Losses Last 2 Years(-18.1 units)
3.1 out of 5

553 UTAH @ 554 OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against OKLAHOMA CITY using the Money Line in All games in the second half of the season
The record is 13 Wins and 36 Losses Last 2 Years(-26.6 units)
3.1 out of 5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 09:25 AM

NBA Betting Essentials, Odds and Angles for Wednesday, March 11
Tony Mejia

New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5, 235) at Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center – 10:35 p.m. ET, ESPN
NO: 28-36 SU, 32-29-3 ATS, 36-28 O/U
SAC: 28-36 SU, 33-29-2 ATS, 34-30 O/U

Last 10 games:
NO: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-5 O/U
SAC: 7-3 SU, 7-2-1 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the second of three meetings between the teams tied for ninth place in the Western Conference standings. Although the Grizzlies remain well-positioned to reach the playoffs since they’ll remain three games up on the winner of this one, this is obviously enormous for both of these teams, who will meet for the final time on March 22 in New Orleans. The Pels won this season’s only matchup 117-115 on Jan. 4 in a game that was played before Zion Williamson debuted. Lonzo Ball finished with 24 points and 10 assists, helping overcome Harrison Barnes’ 30-point outburst.

Essentials to Know:
-- New Orleans was outrebounded 51-44 by the Kings in their win but are better equipped to win the battle of the boards with Williamson in the fold. The Pels are 6-3 on the road in Williamson’s first games in opposing arenas.

-- The Kings are playing the second of a four-game homestand but won’t play again until Sunday night against the Nets. Sacramento is in the midst of a stretch where it will play 10 of 14 at home.

-- The over has connected in four straight games involving the Kings, who have surrendered an average of 120 points per game in that span. The Pels have scored at least 120 points in three of the last four.

Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers (-12)
Wells Fargo Center – 7:05 p.m. ET
DET: 20-45 SU, 26-38-1 ATS, 38-26-1 O/U
PHI: 38-26 SU, 29-34-1 ATS, 33-30-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
DET: 1-9 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U
PHI: 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the last of three encounters between these teams this season and the only matchup set to be played in Philly. The Pistons lost the first two matchups at home, falling 117-111 on Oct. 26 and 125-109 on Dec. 23. While the 76ers have the NBA’s top home mark (28-2), Detroit’s 9-23 mark on the road is tied for fifth-worst in the league. Andre Drummond was present for both of the Pistons’ two losses against the Joel Embiid-led Sixers, so with neither big man in the equation tonight, this should be a completely deifferent game.

Essentials to Know:
-- The last five 76ers’ games have all gone ‘over’ the posted total with Embiid and Simmons out. Josh Richardson is hoping to clear concussion protocol in order to return to the lineup and it’s clear Philadelphia has missed one of their top on-ball defenders.

-- Detroit shot 4-for-19 in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s loss to the Knicks and lost new starting center John Henson to an ankle injury that will probably keep him out tonight. The Pistons’ 84 points was their fourth-lowest scoring output of the season.

Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat (-9.5)
AmericanAirlines Arena – 7:35 p.m. ET
CHA: 22-42 SU, 32-29-3 ATS, 30-34 O/U
MIA: 41-23 SU, 33-30-1 ATS, 38-25-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
CHA: 4-6 SU, 7-2-1 ATS, 3-7 O/U
MIA: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U

Head-to-Head:
This is the first of three meetings between these Southeast Division squads over the next month. Charlotte will host the next two matchups on March 30 and April 13 but is a heavy underdog here against a Heat squad that has posted a 27-4 home mark, the third-best home record in the league. Miami won the first matchup 117-100, dominating on the boards as Kelly Olynyk pulled down 16 rebounds.

Essentials to Know:
-- Jimmy Butler left Sunday’s win over Washington with a toe injury. Although he’s feeling better, it remains to be seen whether he’ll suit up. Tyler Herro (ankle) and Jae Crowder (concussion) each practiced on Tuesday and will likely play.

-- Terry Rozier scored a career-high 40 points in a double-overtime loss to Atlanta the other night. He had 19 points and nine rebounds in the first matchup against Miami and will look to get the better of Heat rookie Kendrick Nunn to give his team a chance.

New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks (-4.5/231)
State Farm Arena – 7:35 p.m. ET, TNT
NYK: 20-45 SU, 34-30-1 ATS, 30-34-1 O/U
ATL: 20-46 SU, 29-35-2 ATS, 39-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
NYK: 3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS, 7-3 O/U
ATL: 5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:
Neither one of these teams are going to make the playoffs and have nearly identical records that rank just ahead of Cleveland in the Eastern Conference standings. This is the third and final matchup between the squads and each of the first two encounters were extremely high-scoring. New York won 143-120 on Dec. 17 and fell 140-135 on Feb. 9, getting victimized by a 48-point, 13-assist night from Trae Young. The 140-point night is the Hawks’ second-highest scoring output of the season.

Essentials to Know: -- Atlanta connected on a season-best 21 3-pointers in a double-overtime win over the Hornets. Young is averaging 45 points per game through his first two matchups with New York.

-- Knicks point guard Dennis Smith, Jr. practiced over the weekend and is close to returning from a concussion that has kept him out since Feb. 27. The ‘over’ is on a 7-2 run in games involving New York.

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks (-1.5)
AmericanAirlines Center – 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN
DEN: 43-21 SU, 30-31-3 ATS, 30-33-1 O/U
DAL: 39-27 SU, 34-29-3 ATS, 40-26 O/U

Last 10 games:
DEN: 5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 O/U
DAL: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U
Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. (AP)

Head-to-Head:
The Nuggets and Mavs have played twice this season and will meet one more time on April 13, so they’ll determine how things will shake out in the Western Conference playoff picture. At the moment, Denver is third and Dallas is seventh, so there’s a possibility that these teams could meet in a first-round matchup. The Nuggets won 107-106 on Jan. 8, getting 33 points and seven assists from Nikola Jokic to overcome 27 points, nine boards and 10 assists from Luka Doncic.

Essentials to Know:
-- Jokic has averaged just nine points over his last two games, shooting 8-for-24 from the field. He had a fantastic run in over the last few weeks after starting slowly and played himself into better shape along the way, losing over 20 pounds in-season. There’s a good chance he’s getting his body ready for the playoff grind, so this slump may continue in the short-term as he tries to get himself ready. Denver overcame his sluggish play to beat the Bucks on Monday, taking advantage of Giannis Antetokounmpo’s absence.

-- Tim Hardaway, Jr. has averaged 23.5 points over the past four games but will be looking to help Dallas bounce back from a disappointing loss to San Antonio in which it blew a second-half lead. Hardaway’s contributions will be vital since Seth Curry will remain out of the lineup due to an ankle injury. The Mavs are 6-5 SU and ATS on the second night of a back-to-back.

Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder (-2)
Chesapeake Energy Arena – 8:05 p.m. ET
UTA: 41-23 SU, 30-31-3 ATS, 33-31 O/U
OKC: 40-24 SU, 34-29-3 ATS, 30-33-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
UTA: 5-5 SU, 2-8 ATS, 4-6 O/U
OKC: 8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:
These teams met to open the season way back on Oct. 23 and will square off again in Game No. 81 on April 13. The Thunder won the most recent matchup 104-90 behind 27 points from Dennis Schroder. Separated by a single game, these teams aren’t likely to meet one another in the postseason unless they end up as the 4-5 matchup but are likely going to be jockeying for seeding the rest of the way.

Essentials to Know:
-- The Jazz have struggled at home but have won their last six road games. OKC is on a 17-5 run and has posted three consecutive wins. The first two matchups between these teams were played in Oklahoma City.

-- Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander missed Sunday’s win at Boston with a hip contusion but practiced on Tuesday and is expected to return if he suffers not setbacks prior to the contest. -- The ‘under’ is on a 3-1 run in games involving Utah, which has scored under 100 points in two of the last three contests, which is only the second time that’s happened all season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 09:26 AM

61SAN JOSE -62 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 4-15 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

63WINNIPEG -64 EDMONTON
EDMONTON is 12-6 ATS (8.9 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

65NY RANGERS -66 COLORADO
NY RANGERS are 9-1 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

67OTTAWA -68 LOS ANGELES
OTTAWA is 10-46 ATS (-27.8 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 09:26 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 11

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SAN JOSE (29-35-0-5, 63 pts.) at CHICAGO (31-30-0-8, 70 pts.) - 3/11/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 85-86 ATS (-24.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-4 ATS (+3.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 15-26 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 386-388 ATS (+781.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 170-192 ATS (-101.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-2 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 6-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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WINNIPEG (36-28-0-6, 78 pts.) at EDMONTON (37-24-0-9, 83 pts.) - 3/11/2020, 9:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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NY RANGERS (36-28-0-4, 76 pts.) at COLORADO (41-20-0-8, 90 pts.) - 3/11/2020, 10:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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OTTAWA (25-32-0-12, 62 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (28-35-0-6, 62 pts.) - 3/11/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 6-23 ATS (+39.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in March games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 176-182 ATS (-17.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 19-42 ATS (-23.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 116-121 ATS (-49.4 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 09:26 AM

NHL

Wednesday, March 11

Trend Report

Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing San Jose
Chicago is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Jose
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Jose is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 10 games
San Jose is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing Chicago
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
San Jose is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Chicago

Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Colorado's last 18 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
New York Rangers
NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Rangers is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 8 games
NY Rangers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
NY Rangers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Colorado
NY Rangers is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Colorado

Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Anaheim is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Anaheim is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Anaheim is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Anaheim
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
St. Louis is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Anaheim

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Los Angeles is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Los Angeles is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Ottawa's last 18 games on the road
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Ottawa is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
Ottawa is 4-13-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 09:27 AM

67 OTTAWA @ 68 LOS ANGELES
Play On LOS ANGELES using the Money Line in All games after playing 3 consecutive home games
The record is 1 Wins and 10 Losses This Season(9.25 units)
3.7 out of 5

67 OTTAWA @ 68 LOS ANGELES
Play On LOS ANGELES using the Money Line in All games after playing 3 consecutive home games
The record is 5 Wins and 19 Losses Last 2 Years(14.05 units)
3.1 out of 5

65 NY RANGERS @ 66 COLORADO
Play On NY RANGERS using the Money Line in All games
The record is 28 Wins and 22 Losses This Season(16.8 units)
2.4 out of 5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:31 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #3

#3 Cataphract	Dangerous returnee hasn't been out since 4/17, so he could need this, not t mention you have no idea if he's still got his form, but that form was imposing when last seen, the works here are sharp, and it's a great sign that he's not in for a tag either; thinking he's primed.
#5 Split My Britches	The best of the runners with recency was a good 2nd at this trip and level two-back, so the cutback off the meek two-turn mile run last time works, and if the two favorites aren't ready off their long layoff, this dude would be mighty tough to deny; would be no surprise.
#6 City Volume	Dicey ML favorite hasn't run since June, so what you get here is a guess, and the last time he was seen he bombed at short odds, which further compounds things, especially since he'll likely be a big underlay at the windows; quite comfortable making him prove it on top.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 3, as you want to see him live and taking money if he's ready, and if that's the case you can make an aggressive win and place bet, though you can get some built-in value by singling him in the exotics, as he does appear ready, and it's not like there's anyone here he's supposed to fear either.

Mahoning Valley - Race #5

#3 Gone too Soon	Closing longshot has finished behind several of these of late after running out of room in the stretch, but now catches a group absolutely loaded with speed; bombs away from the back.
#8 Machismo	Pace presser did well to draw outside the rest of the gas, and his best would win this, but still, chasing all the hear might leave him a bit leg weary in the lane; dangerous, but second-best.
#4 Drena's Bullet	Cutback router led then tired to be 2nd routing last time, but it's the stalking win two-back when sprinting that makes him appealing here, at what will be overlaid odds too; very playable.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will really flatter the 3, while potentially hurting the 8, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the Pk4 as well, since he's got a chance to make a stretch dent, and the price will be a big one.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6

#5 Ready to Rocket	Lightly raced and improving sort really moved forward when 4th in a fast race for the level last time, meets a weak field, and seems poised for a lifetime best; too good for these.
#8 Goes too Fast	Stiff ML favorite was a solid 3rd at big odds last time, but it's not like it was a fast run, and the 30-1 then will be replaced by 9-5 or so here, which isn't appealing; not sold on.
#3 Kid Tejano	Stretch runner finally got up last time after 32 misses, and often the lifetime maidens come right back to win, though the percentages say he won't be one of them; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	You certainly won't get rich on the 5 but he should be favored, so if they bet the 8 hard you'll get a better price than you should, so play him aggressively to win and place at 9-5 or better, though you can get some guaranteed value by singling him in the Pk4, since 'Fast will take plenty of support even though he's a bit tougher to trust.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:34 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Turf Paradise - Race #4

#6 Towards the Light	This guy has only tried the lawn once in his career, but he romped on the front end last out when given a chance to go long off a series of short sprint races. Guessing he'll try to take it to them again here.
#2 Rate For Me	He has been very tough at similar levels in the last year, and he should be in line for a great trip near the top. The one to beat at too short a price.
#1 Playoff Bound	Versatile player can adapt to what happens in front of him on the track, and his last two tries keep him in the mix for a share with these.
Race Summary	Towards the Light is worth a shot on the front end in a race where the chalk may be overbet to the point of keeping this guy at a playable number.

Turf Paradise - Race #5

#7 Baby Rocks	Might be the right one to use to try to beat the chalk in here, as she showed a little bit of life early on at Sunland last out and might find the local company a bit more to her liking.
#3 Taylors Gals	Tactical speed should get another great trip, but she's heading into her 10th career start and is going to surely be overbet here.
#1 Karma Reigns	Didn't show much in the debut, but with just that one race under her belt, she's far less exposed than the rest of these. Just a little bit of upside would probably put her in the mix.
Race Summary	Baby Rocks is worth a chance to try to upset Taylors Gals. She invades locally with a couple of decent runs under her belt with tougher.

Turf Paradise - Race #8

#5 All Under Control	Might be able to use that tactical speed to his advantage in a spot without a bunch of confirmed front-end speed, and his reliable turf form makes him one of the ones.
#8 Beat the Heat	Drops out of a stakes try last out in which he was in too deep, but there isn't a ton of pace signed on in this bunch, and that may hinder his late-running style.
#8 Camino de Estrella	Recent form makes him the one, but his main-track form is a bit better than his grass running lines, so he may be a bit overbet off the dirt tries.
Race Summary	All Under Control can get a good go of things near the top in a spot with a modest pace looking, and something like his last makes him tough right back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:34 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Rosecroft - Race #2

#8 DON DORADO	Exits open company, has plenty of back-class to summon.
#1 COVERT OPERATIVE	Tuned up at Pocono, goes well from the rail tonight.
#5 DREAMFAIR BOGART	Third at this level twice in February, back with own kind.
Race Summary	Don Dorado draws post 8 in his second start back, but he showed a pulse for a half-mile in a fast race in open company. His memory should serve him well in this field. Play a 1-5-8 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #15

#5 FRIGGUN FAST	Erratic behavior slowed progress in latest, good value play.
#1 ISLAND CLUB	Chased the even-money winner around the track.
#7 SUNSHINE DAY	Improved in second start off layoff, starts outside.
Race Summary	Friggun Fast gained steadily in the middle half despite her head being turned sideways most of the way. She flattened out but is worth a playback if she minds her manners. Play 5-1 and 5-7 exactas.

Pompano Park - Race #3

#1 VICKI ALL	Mare has speed and rail and was Hennessey’s choice on a triple call.
#2 STORMONT PARK	Got past the 2-to-5 favorite to finish third last week.
#9 COMMENTARY	Blew clear stretch leads the last two times he stayed flat.
Race Summary	Vicki All led until late the last time Hennessey was in the bike and she’s in a good spot to go non-stop from the rail tonight. Play 1-2 and 1-9 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:35 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#1 I'm More Ready	Won the last time he was on turf and was 3rd in the slop last time; capable going two turns on grass and could be overlooked.
#2 Danzing Dunhill	Has taken to the local turf and was 2nd last time in his 1st vs. winners; can be in the mix from the outset.
#4 Dynadrive	Was 3rd when claimed by Maker last time and was finishing well in four of his five starts; dangerous, especially for his new barn.
Race Summary	I'm More Ready has been on the turf for a while and looks like he's built and bred for the mile; will be heard from late.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#7 Im the Captain Now	Has been in much tougher races than this and can fire a big one here; Lopez can keep him closer to the lead in a race that may not have that much of a pace.
#2 Gambler's Fallacy	Makes his 1st of the year after racing in New York for the last two years; late player.
#1 Solar	Was clear at the end of a N2L claiming spot last time, steps up in class and is a good bet to advance late.
Race Summary	Im the Captain Now is in the softer spot he's seen since 2017 and should be able to handle this group.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#8 Ricki Ticki Taffi	Has stakes experience and comes off a 3rd going longer last out; turns back in distance and can dig in for the win.
#2 Gemo	Comes off the turf and turns back in distance; can be in the hunt early and can benefit from the six furlongs.
#1 Mobeatyabad	Destroyed maiden-claimers last out in good time and is facing much better company; can lead or press throughout.
Race Summary	Ricki Ticki Taffi was 2nd in the Linehouse Stakes at this distance two back and anything close to that gets him the win here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:35 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 1	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 6:00P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. TAKECHARGMATRIARCH is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TAKECHARGMATRIARCH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TWO SIXTEEN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaste r Power Rating.
2	TAKECHARGMATRIARCH	8/5	5/2
6	TWO SIXTEEN	2/1	3/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	TAKECHARGMATRIARCH	2	8/5	Front-runner	81	74	96.6	65.0	63.0
6	TWO SIXTEEN	6	2/1	Front-runner	89	62	87.4	65.0	60.5
4	NEARLY MISSED	4	8/1	Trailer	69	63	39.4	56.4	47.9
5	POSSEINEFFECTTOO	5	12/1	Trailer	67	60	20.8	59.8	52.3
3	RED HOT DAME	3	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	72	73	64.9	56.6	48.6
1	ROMAN BELLA	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	53	53	71.2	47.4	35.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:36 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 3	Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $3,500 • Post: 1:48P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BANG BANG HOT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LIGHTENING DREAM: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style desig nation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ANGEL BAR CARTEL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JESS A JUNKY: Hor se ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	BANG BANG HOT	8/5	5/1
1	LIGHTENING DREAM	9/5	6/1
6	ANGEL BAR CARTEL	6/1	7/1
3	JESS A JUNKY	20/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	LIGHTENING DREAM	1	9/5	Fast	69	62	2.4	0.0	0.0
2	JESS LITE MY FIRE	2	7/2	Fast	61	55	1.3	0.0	0.0
3	JESS A JUNKY	3	20/1	Slow	69	57	6.7	0.0	0.0
5	BANG BANG HOT	5	8/5	Average	65	64	4.1	0.0	0.0
6	ANGEL BAR CARTEL	6	6/1	Average	65	62	5.4	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: IMA QUICK DOC (8/1) [Jockey: Cabrera Rolando - Trainer: Weeks Kenneth].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:37 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $23500 Class Rating: 93

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JANUARY 11 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000 (RACES WHERE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 DISTINCTIVE FLOWER 5/2
# 2 CHILLED MILK 7/2
# 1 CLASSY WOMAN 9/2

DISTINCTIVE FLOWER is the strongest bet in this race. Is difficult not to look at based on speed figures which have been respectable - 87 avg - of late. Looks very good versus this group of horses and should be one of the leaders. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. CHILLED MILK - This mare is a contender based on her earnings per start in turf route events. The speed figure of 83 from her most recent affair looks strong in here. CLASSY WOMAN - Posted a strong speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:37 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,900 Class Rating: 83

Rating:

#5 FRENCH ACCENT (ML=7/2)

FRENCH ACCENT - The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CHROMIUM (ML=1/1), #3 AMERICAN SPARROW (ML=3/1), #2 NOBLE DAVE (ML=8/1),

CHROMIUM - If you keep selecting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned frequently. This vulnerable equine's record tells you not to bet on him as the chalk. Finished second in his most recent performance with a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. AMERICAN SPARROW - This gelding is always around, but just doesn't win. Difficult to play him on the top end. Will be hard for this horse to beat this field off of that last fig. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. NOBLE DAVE - Tough to keep chasing this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. This steed didn't go to the front and didn't close down the lane last time he ran.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FRENCH ACCENT - One can surmise, given he finished out of the top three at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last out, that this horse did not like the off track. I expect a chance at a big improvement with better footing today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 FRENCH ACCENT to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-11-2020, 10:38 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Sam Houston - Race #1 - Post: 12:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 54

Rating:

#6 TWO STEPPING DISCO (ML=9/5)

TWO STEPPING DISCO - Faced tougher in the last race at Sam Houston. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of choice plays. I think that the addition of the 'hood' today will keep his mind on the race at hand.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MULA ECHO (ML=5/2), #1A MR. WITT (ML=7/2), #1 WITT LOVES TACOS (ML=7/2),

MULA ECHO - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint races in order to wager on him. Couldn't make up any ground at any point on February 19th. Hard to wager on in today's event at the expected odds. MR. WITT - 7/2 odds isn't enough for this participant when scrutinizing the most recent showings. Garnered a quite unimpressive speed fig last time around the track in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Feb 19th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig. WITT LOVES TACOS - This closer looks to have little chance without a ding-dong battle up front. Difficult to play any entrant to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - TWO STEPPING DISCO - This gelding is at the top in the bunch in earnings per start. I'm making a wager on this one.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #6 TWO STEPPING DISCO to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

Wednesday 3-11-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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