Service Plays Tuesday 3/17/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:08 AM

CARMINE BIANCO

SOCCER PLAYS
Game: (207841) Caykur Rizespor at (207842) Goztepe
Date/Time: Mar 17 2020 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 2.5 (-118)
Rizespor at Goztepe

The play is Under 2.5 -118 (good to 2.3 split line of 2.0 and 2.5)
While the sporting world rightfully takes an extended hiatus with the COVID19 virus affecting nations worldwide there are still a few leagues that are in action albeit with games being played in empty stadiums. Turkey's Super Lig is one and Tuesday's game between Rizespor and Goztepe is a make up fixture of a match that was originally cancelled due to weather conditions. The form of each side was trending in opposite directions at that time of the cancellation but both are currently regressing in a spot where the visitors with a 2-2-8 away record and a point below the relegation line will be looking for any type of points here. They've been held off the scoresheet in 4 of their past 8 away SL games and have averaged .83 GPG away from home. Goztepe will look for a form reversal here against one of the leagues worst away sides but while currently sitting 8th in the SL standings the rank
12th at home with a paltry 1.27 GPG scored. They've been held scoreless their past 3 Super Lig games. With both sides looking to pick up any type of point(s) here we'll look for a tighter game throughout and it'll be a play on the Under 2.5 here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:09 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #5

#3 Sally Strong	Cowans firster goes for a potent barn and shows a slew of AM drills, brings Machado in for the ride (35% for this barn), and won't have to be a monster in this weak field; looks live.
#8 Ronni's Day	Price player improved greatly when 4th in her second start, has plenty of speed, and drew a nice outside attack post, which should play perfectly with her running style; do not ignore.
#9 Judge Reese	Closer was 2nd and 4 lengths ahead of 'Day last time, so she's a bug threat here, but at 0-for-8 she's got no upside, and her price will be an underlaid one; trying to beat out of the EX.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 3, as you'd like to see her live and taking money, and if that's the case you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you can get some built-in value by keying her to kick off the Pk4, since the proven runners here aren't much, and she looks like she could be OK.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6

#4 Dancing Willard	The chalk has aired in two straight and meets a modest crew on the rise, which means he may name the score once again; imposing.
#3 Often Enough	Stretch runner didn't fire last time but has some solid runs to fall back on, and there's plenty of speed here to set him up; exotics appeal.
#2 Calboyzeke	Versatile sort can settle a bit, which will come in handy here, and the runs two and three-back give him a chance for a piece; can get a share.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 4, but if that 2-1 ML holds he'd be a huge overlay, as he looks more in the 6-5 range, so play him aggressively to win and place if the tote allows, though you can single him in the Pk4 to get a bit more value, since he looks way too tough for this group.

Mahoning Valley - Race #7

#6 Alycar Flash	Outside stalker/presser drew perfectly for his style, has run well in all three starts at the level, and may not even be favored; look out.
#5 Got Grit	Stretch runner didn't fire last time after two big runs, but he's been facing better, the pace works here, and he'll be a price; can bounce back.
#2 Persuasion	Tricky read was 3rd behind the pick last time yet is favored on the ML, and he's the inside speed too, which won't help; tread lightly here.
Race Summary	You aren't seeing that 7-2 ML on the pick, as he really should be favored here, but even if he's 5-2 that seems fair, as he best on paper, and some of his biggest rivals have some questions, so play him to win and place, and key him in the Pk4 as well, since either of his last three would make him very tough to deny.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:10 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fairmount Park - Race #2

#5 Megan's Honor	Working well for the debut, and he lands in a pretty modest spot for this first trip to post. Figures to get bet a bit.
#2 Wildwood Secret	Looks like the 'other' Becker runner today, but that bullet work in advance of this has him looking ready to roll at first asking.
#4 Imperial Temple	Ran well enough here behind an easy winner a couple weeks ago, but the guess is one of the Becker debuters will prove just a bit too tough for him today.
Race Summary	Megan's Honor and Wildwood Secret both seem ready to go at first asking for a capable barn. Hoping Imperial Temple takes a lot of action as I think he's very vulnerable today.

Fairmount Park - Race #5

#10 Commanding Midas	Pace will try to break for it from the outside, and that's the perfect draw for her in a spot with a handful of firsters drawn underneath her.
#7 Simply Fast	Forward player invades from New York with a right to be very tough with these, but she hasn't finished her races with a ton of energy and might not be able to finish them off late.
#3 Lori's Legacy	Sprint trip might be a prep for something longer down the road, but she might be good enough to land an underneath share at this abbreviated trip.
Race Summary	Commanding Midas has some speed from the outside, and the hope is that she finds the front and puts away the other pace to get brave late. She has drawn the rail in each of her last three races and gets outside today.

Fairmount Park - Race #8

#7 Diamond Maximus	Finisher has run well locally in the past, and if he can get back to something like that, he's a player for top honors here.
#1 Stormy Pacific	Dirt form stacks up really well with what it would take to win here, but that but he'd need to offer a better price than he has in recent races for me to consider.
#4 Knockyourblockoff	Pace probably needs to go for it in the early stages here, but there should be a bit of company near the top for him, potentially leading to a tricky trip.
Race Summary	Diamond Maximus might appreciate the return to the local footing where he has won a couple races in the past and has never missed the board in four starts.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:11 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Western Fair - Race #2

#7 ACEFORTYFOUR RIVER	Ranged up on turn, second best in solid first-out run.
#2 PATWEARSTHEPANTS	Led long way, held third despite equipment problems.
#5 ACEFORTYFOURLADYDI	Half sister to top one, debuts for 24-percent barn.
Race Summary	Acefortyfour River was flushed out of fifth near the half-mile marker, loomed boldly off the dueling leaders near the top of the stretch and surged late to finish second. She figures tough with a move forward off that well-bet debut. Play 7-2, 7-5 and 7-8 exactas.

Pompano Park - Race #1

#1 FIREWATER JAKE	Duplicate of race two back against sharp rivals makes him good value play.
#6 HE ROCKS THE MOON	Steady numbers, gets Hennessey, use in all gimmicks.
#5 SPIRITED ENCOUNTER	Rallied first-over to finish third on class drop to this level.
Race Summary	Firewater Jake can be excused for a non-threatening try from post 8 in 1:52.2, but his race two back could make him the first horse in today’s field to win this year. He saved ground behind the three favorites and finished a willing third while 4-wide. Play 1-5 and 1-6 exactas.

Pompano Park - Race #6

#2 ASK ME IFI CARE	Can maximize speed on class drop, knows how to win.
#7 HYPO FLIP	Three-race winning streak ended from post 9 on the class rise.
#4 ROCK N ROLL ROSIE	Hit board in 3 of last 4 starts, driver’s choice on a double call.
Race Summary	Ask Me Ifi Care, a 10-time winner last year, exits open company, draws inside and can make good use of her speed in this field. Play 2-4 and 2-7 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:11 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Will Rogers Downs - Race #3

#5 Drowningndiamonds	Ran well in dirt races last fall and can be a tough customer on the front end.
#6 Covington Quality	Lost a photo in an allowance race in his latest and can stay close to the lead today.
#2 Allthewaywithtaye	Has taken five of his last six and comes in from Houston; low-priced fave.
Race Summary	Drowningndiamonds is a 10-year-old that is a little touch and go in his form but his best races make him a big player here.

Will Rogers Downs - Race #5

#1 Taruca	Was up in time for a solid sprint win at Houston last out and has some closing punch.
#2 Rockport Kat	Has closed with some energy in recent starts and was claimed in his latest; works have been good.
#6 Trumpence	Faltered in a strong stakes race last time and is back to a more comfortable level.
Race Summary	Taruca will get a rapid pace in front of him and can reel in this group in the final furlong.

Will Rogers Downs - Race #9

#12 Eurodiamond	Faltered in two at Sam Houston and ended last year in good form; doesn't have the speed to get the lead, and that could work in his favor if he's allowed relax.
#2 Emily's Pegasus	Romped going longer two races back and Dioboro stable does well anywhere it goes.
#9 Isadora	Usually gets the lead and can carve out some favorable fractions; could be very difficult to catch.
Race Summary	Eurodiamond improved toward the end of last year and then didn't fire at all at Sam Houston; has the speed to stay in range.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:12 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 5	.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)/$1 Exacta /$1 Trifecta /.10 Superfecta
Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 51 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 2:49P
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SECRET SEAL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SECRET SEAL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" des ignation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. WAGES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase S peed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	SECRET SEAL	5/1	5/2
2	WAGES	3/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	SECRET SEAL	5	5/1	Alternator/Front-runner	44	49	61.5	47.1	44.1
2	WAGES	2	3/1	Stalker	55	48	49.2	42.0	36.5
4	GOOD FOR NOW	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	52	43	41.4	34.8	27.3
8	MCFANCY	8	7/1	Alternator/Stalker	49	46	33.2	33.0	22.5
6	MOVIN' ON BYE	6	9/2	Trailer	51	33	35.1	39.9	33.9
3	IMA RUBY	3	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	48	49	32.9	38.0	28.0
7	ROYAL QUEEN	7	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	48	35	26.8	27.4	13.4
1	SUTAH WHO	1	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	45	43	21.0	35.0	21.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:13 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 9	Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) First Half of Late Daily Double
Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $9,350 • Post: 5:15P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ISADORA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ISADORA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
9	ISADORA	3/1	3/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	ISADORA	9	3/1	Front-runner	77	75	81.0	64.6	61.6
6	SILVER SAILOR	6	6/1	Front-runner	61	63	48.8	52.8	42.3
12	EURODIAMOND	12	5/1	Stalker	67	66	60.2	57.8	51.3
4	SHAKER BAKER	4	12/1	Stalker	61	60	26.9	49.5	38.5
5	CAMP WASHITA	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	72	63	59.2	54.8	50.8
10	SIN CITY	10	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	66	59	38.8	51.6	41.1
2	EMILY'S PEGASUS	2	12/1	Trailer	58	42	49.2	48.0	28.0
1	VEILED IN GOLD	1	12/1	Trailer	57	54	36.3	49.8	33.3
11	SHE'S GOT MOXY	11	20/1	Trailer	64	56	20.2	45.2	29.2
8	TEDDERS ANGEL	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	61	63	52.6	36.2	22.2
3	SERVICE BIZ ANNIE	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	52	46	37.5	41.0	22.0
7	TOCCETTA	7	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	48	45	21.0	42.2	20.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:13 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Sam Houston - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#2 JAZZ MUSIC (ML=6/1)
#6 MAJOR SHIPMAN (ML=7/2)
#1 WHENTHEPENNYDROPS (ML=3/1)

JAZZ MUSIC - Trainer, Diodoro, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Just missed hitting the board on Feb 29th at Sam Houston. With decent odds right here, he has my interest. MAJOR SHIPMAN - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a nice outing last time out within the last month. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should race well today. A repeat of that most recent race on Feb 29th where he earned a speed rating of 74 looks lofty enough to score in this event. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is extremely important. WHENTHEPENNYDROPS - The race may set up nicely for this gelding's powerful charge. I like this racer. Should be familiar with this class level since he ran against the same type last time out at Sam Houston.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 THREE TIME CHARMER (ML=2/1), #10 THIRSTY WILDCAT (ML=8/1),

THREE TIME CHARMER - Hard to put any dough on this gelding on the front end. Likes to finish in the money though. This morning-line choice hasn't been to the track in awhile. No drills since last race. Not likely that the rating he recorded on February 21st will be enough in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #2 JAZZ MUSIC to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,2,6] with [1,2,6] with [1,2,4,6,10] with [1,2,4,6,10] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 110y on the Dirt. Purse: $3300 Class Rating: 64

QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 KK DASHIN COUGAR 9/5
# 7 JESS AN KICKIN IDEA 3/1
# 4 MSWANDAS FASTDASH 7/2

KK DASHIN COUGAR is my choice. With Duenez getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Players should probably feel comfortable with this pick given Duenez's recent dividends at the window. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase speed figs which have been formidable - 51 avg - of late. JESS AN KICKIN IDEA - Carrizales has this filly racing well and is a very strong pick based on the strong Speed Figures earned in short races recently. With a solid return on investment of +16 this trainer has shown very good results with entries running at this distance and surface. MSWANDAS FASTDASH - Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be up on the lead early on. She has a good opportunity in this race as handler, Ellis, has sharp win rate with horses going this distance.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:14 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 64

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 17. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 TOUR ON 5/1
# 1 ELIZABETH'S FEVER 5/2
# 7 ARCTIC MUSIC 6/1

My pick in this race is TOUR ON. Has earned formidable speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Has very good speed figures and has to be considered for a bet for this race. ELIZABETH'S FEVER - Is a solid choice - given the 65 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race. Has a sharp shot in this competition if you like back class. ARCTIC MUSIC - Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of very good win percentage - 19 percent - at this distance & surface. Ought to go to the lead and should never look back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 09:15 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,600 Class Rating: 37

Rating:

#8 RONNI'S DAY (ML=8/1)
#6 JOIN THE PARTY (ML=10/1)

RONNI'S DAY - My partners and I have made bucks playing thoroughbreds with this type of early speed. Follow my advice and do the same. Look for this one to go to the winner's circle at some pretty good odds in today's race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the wire. JOIN THE PARTY - Like the way this mare's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Zielinski brings her right back. I suggest you stay with this hot mare. Mare is a few starts into a return here. Should give a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A BIRD WALK (ML=5/2), #1 OPALESCENT (ML=5/2), #3 SALLY STRONG (ML=3/1),

BIRD WALK - Doesn't seem to have enough positive angles to bear out the price. OPALESCENT - Can't bet on this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race of late. This filly finished off the board on Jan 6th and wasn't close to winning last time out either. Substandard speed figure last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's event. SALLY STRONG - This questionable contender will in all probability be way back as this group crosses the wire.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - RONNI'S DAY - Number one with a bullet (workout). This beautiful animal is going to top the charts today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #8 RONNI'S DAY on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 01:54 PM

The Sharp Plays

Horse racing

Exotic with the highest combined power rating at Mahoning Valley is Race #5. Scheduled post time 2:36pm ET.

First = #1/1A Opalescent/Bird Walk, #9 Judge Reese

Second = #1/1A Opalescent/Bird Walk, #2 Cause of Love, #5 Discreet Energy, #9 Judge Reese

$2 Exacta cost is $12

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 01:55 PM

The Sharp Plays

Horse racing

Highest horse power rating at Mahoning Valley is Race #6, #4 Dancing Willard (2/1). Post is 3:04pm ET.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-17-2020, 07:12 PM

The Sharp Plays

Northfield Park

Highest Power Rated Horse

Race 4

#5 - Its A Good Thing (5/2)

Service Plays Tuesday 3/17/20

Service Plays Tuesday 3/17/20

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