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Jonathon Kinchen
The four-race sequence begins at 3:25 p.m. ET with Race 5 and goes through Race 8.
Overview
Big fields and some lukewarm favorites make the late Pick 4 at Aqueduct on Friday an intriguing opportunity. Using the A-B-C-X method for multirace wagers, my all-A ticket will be a 3x3x3x2 play, but I will also put together three-A, one-B tickets.
Aqueduct 5th
1 Bankers Daughter (4-1) -- I'm not crazy about the rail draw, but this one just might be better than these. She ran two nice races as a 2-year-old, and her last start -- her second as a 3-year-old -- suggests she has another step forward. If she works out a trip from the rail, she might win easy.
3 Micromillion (7-2) -- She doesn't feel fast enough, but I always lean on Hall of Fame trainers (Todd Pletcher in this case) in races like this that appear below the par for the level.
6 Sharp Starr (5-2) -- She has been bet in both starts and might have been best in her last race, but she missed the break under an apprentice jockey. Now, in her third career start, she gets the meet's leading rider in Manny Franco. If she breaks well, she will be tough.
5 Kilkea (15-1) -- She spent a ton of time on the rail in her last start and could improve at a big price.
A: 1,3,6
B: 5
Aqueduct 6th
1 Missle Bomb (4-1) -- He hasn't raced in 187 days and draws the typically uncomfortable rail. He has won off a layoff but has tried five times. Everything on paper suggests to use him, but the price is likely going to be shorter than I would prefer. I'm using him, but I wouldn't talk anyone off of tossing.
6 Aristocratic (7-2) -- This 6-year-old gelding has big speed. He might have to deal with other pace in the race, but he appears to be the best of the speed. He has three wins in seven starts at Aqueduct and has missed the board only once.
10 Win With Pride (3-1) -- He chased Aristocratic honestly in his last race. Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is winning at 20 percent in 2020 and is 26 percent in his career with horses making their first start with him. The outside draw is a big advantage.
9 Reed Kan (15-1) -- This longshot will need to get lucky and be loose on the lead. His pace figures going 6½ furlongs suggest that the cutback to six furlongs could be a big boost.
A: 1,6,10
B: 9
Aqueduct 7th
7 Pot of Hunny (8-1) -- You never know what you are going to get from horses stretching out in distance, but I like this one. She ran evenly in both of her starts. That typically leads to success when horses stretch out. She's definitely an "A" on my ticket.
8 Stonezapper (7-2) -- I like this one. She's not stretching out as much as Pot of Hunny but has the same even running style. She and Pot of Hunny are my top two.
1 Courageous Girl (3-1) -- The speed figure in her last race was a lifetime best and better than any other filly in this race has run. However, I just don't trust the figure; it seems like an outlier. There's a chance she is figuring things out so I'll use her, but I don't trust her.
6 Holmdel Park (9-2) -- Her last four races were good, but I feel they were one cut below what she needs to run on Friday. She needs to take another small step forward. The good news is that she is adding blinkers. Maybe that will be the key.
A: 1,7,8
B: 6
Aqueduct 8th
11 Adios Amigos (3-1) - He drops in for the $25,000 claiming tag. He has done most of his running on the turf, but his debut last April on dirt suggests that this one might be tough. He should get pace to close into.
8 Bronze Lion (6-1) -- He has some speed. He was inside speed in his last start, and the outside draw could help this one's chances.
10 Come On E.V. (12-1) -- Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is only 14 percent with first-time starters in his career, but this guy has the looks of one that could get it done. Beware stranger danger.
5 Kilmarknock (4-1) -- His last race was bad, but that was run at nine furlongs. The cutback to a sprint should be more to his liking.
A: 8,11
B: 5,10
Aqueduct Pick 4 Grid
All-A ticket
$1 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($54)
Three-A, one-B tickets
$.50 Pick 4: 5 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 9 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 6 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 5,10 ($27)
Total wager: $108
The four-race sequence begins at 3:25 p.m. ET with Race 5 and goes through Race 8.
Overview
Big fields and some lukewarm favorites make the late Pick 4 at Aqueduct on Friday an intriguing opportunity. Using the A-B-C-X method for multirace wagers, my all-A ticket will be a 3x3x3x2 play, but I will also put together three-A, one-B tickets.
Aqueduct 5th
1 Bankers Daughter (4-1) -- I'm not crazy about the rail draw, but this one just might be better than these. She ran two nice races as a 2-year-old, and her last start -- her second as a 3-year-old -- suggests she has another step forward. If she works out a trip from the rail, she might win easy.
3 Micromillion (7-2) -- She doesn't feel fast enough, but I always lean on Hall of Fame trainers (Todd Pletcher in this case) in races like this that appear below the par for the level.
6 Sharp Starr (5-2) -- She has been bet in both starts and might have been best in her last race, but she missed the break under an apprentice jockey. Now, in her third career start, she gets the meet's leading rider in Manny Franco. If she breaks well, she will be tough.
5 Kilkea (15-1) -- She spent a ton of time on the rail in her last start and could improve at a big price.
A: 1,3,6
B: 5
Aqueduct 6th
1 Missle Bomb (4-1) -- He hasn't raced in 187 days and draws the typically uncomfortable rail. He has won off a layoff but has tried five times. Everything on paper suggests to use him, but the price is likely going to be shorter than I would prefer. I'm using him, but I wouldn't talk anyone off of tossing.
6 Aristocratic (7-2) -- This 6-year-old gelding has big speed. He might have to deal with other pace in the race, but he appears to be the best of the speed. He has three wins in seven starts at Aqueduct and has missed the board only once.
10 Win With Pride (3-1) -- He chased Aristocratic honestly in his last race. Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is winning at 20 percent in 2020 and is 26 percent in his career with horses making their first start with him. The outside draw is a big advantage.
9 Reed Kan (15-1) -- This longshot will need to get lucky and be loose on the lead. His pace figures going 6½ furlongs suggest that the cutback to six furlongs could be a big boost.
A: 1,6,10
B: 9
Aqueduct 7th
7 Pot of Hunny (8-1) -- You never know what you are going to get from horses stretching out in distance, but I like this one. She ran evenly in both of her starts. That typically leads to success when horses stretch out. She's definitely an "A" on my ticket.
8 Stonezapper (7-2) -- I like this one. She's not stretching out as much as Pot of Hunny but has the same even running style. She and Pot of Hunny are my top two.
1 Courageous Girl (3-1) -- The speed figure in her last race was a lifetime best and better than any other filly in this race has run. However, I just don't trust the figure; it seems like an outlier. There's a chance she is figuring things out so I'll use her, but I don't trust her.
6 Holmdel Park (9-2) -- Her last four races were good, but I feel they were one cut below what she needs to run on Friday. She needs to take another small step forward. The good news is that she is adding blinkers. Maybe that will be the key.
A: 1,7,8
B: 6
Aqueduct 8th
11 Adios Amigos (3-1) - He drops in for the $25,000 claiming tag. He has done most of his running on the turf, but his debut last April on dirt suggests that this one might be tough. He should get pace to close into.
8 Bronze Lion (6-1) -- He has some speed. He was inside speed in his last start, and the outside draw could help this one's chances.
10 Come On E.V. (12-1) -- Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is only 14 percent with first-time starters in his career, but this guy has the looks of one that could get it done. Beware stranger danger.
5 Kilmarknock (4-1) -- His last race was bad, but that was run at nine furlongs. The cutback to a sprint should be more to his liking.
A: 8,11
B: 5,10
Aqueduct Pick 4 Grid
All-A ticket
$1 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($54)
Three-A, one-B tickets
$.50 Pick 4: 5 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 9 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 6 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 5,10 ($27)
Total wager: $108
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