Service Plays Sunday 3/22/20

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

PURCHASE

03/22/20, OP, Race 8, 4.51 CT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $61,000.
Claiming Price $80,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	5	Tumbling Sky	7/2	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	FEC	34.17	1.30/$1
097.98	11	Marvin	3-1	Cohen D	Robertson McLean	S	33.33	1.12/$1
096.42	2	Liam's Pride	4-1	Garcia M	O'Neill Doug F.		33.33	1.12/$1
095.74	8	Ancient Warrior	8-1	Baze T	Hollendorfer Jerry	L	34.17	1.30/$1
095.73	10	Happy Hour Cowboy	10-1	Mojica O	Robertson McLean	J	33.33	1.12/$1
095.02	1	Naughty Alfred	8-1	De La Cruz F	Garcia Genaro		34.17	1.30/$1
094.75	7	No Shirt No Shoes	12-1	Birzer A	Anderson Doug L.		34.17	1.30/$1
094.54	4	Ranaan	12-1	Elliott S	Asmussen Steven M.	W	34.17	1.30/$1
094.05	9	Big Returns	15-1	Vazquez R A	O'Neill Doug F.		34.17	1.30/$1
092.60	3	Nucky	15-1	Bridgmohan J V	Miller Peter		34.17	1.30/$1
091.96	6	Creekmore	20-1	Talamo J	Moquett Ron		34.17	1.30/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.43, ROI 1.13/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Claiming - 8.2 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#2 LADY LOVE (ML=4/1)
#4 FLASHY PATCH (ML=7/2)


LADY LOVE - The jockey and conditioner combination have a lucrative ROI when they combine forces. Taking a trip to a lower level; has the power to make her presence felt. Racing over a familiar track, where she has won multiple times before, I have to put this thoroughbred at the top of my list of contenders in this race. Went a route in a $16,000 Claiming race at Tampa Bay Downs last time around the track from an outside post position. Moving to the inside at a similar distance should benefit this mare. FLASHY PATCH - She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. A horse coming back this soon after a strong race is a good signal.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SCARLET BOW (ML=8/5), #3 BLAZING BROOKE (ML=3/1), #6 MI CUAIMA (ML=5/1),

SCARLET BOW - This favorite ran on Feb 15th and hasn't had a morning drill since. BLAZING BROOKE - Latest speed figure of 74 may not be true since it was on an off track. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued equine. MI CUAIMA - Hasn't been coming close at all of late.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #2 LADY LOVE on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass