Service Plays Saturday 4/4/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 8 - Trial - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 84

    QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BREDS THAT WHERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 CELTIC PAGENTRY 10/1
    # 7 APOLLITICAL BIRD 4/1
    # 8 AMF IM GONE 3/1
    CELTIC PAGENTRY looks strong to best this field particularly if the morning line of 10/1 holds. By Zulu Dragon, has a clear advantage in the bloodlines - brothers and sisters have ran admirably as two-year olds. This selection will feel the med change - on Lasix today. Must be considered as Keener has been among the best trainers with two-year olds. APOLLITICAL BIRD - In a juvenile affair if you see the name Apollitical Blood in the sire line you know you have a solid contender. Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Risk takers may find value with this sire's offspring, who have a combined +27 return on investment. AMF IM GONE - Wood and Ramirez have won 18 percent of their races giving this equine a decent chance. Have to wager on this money-making rider and conditioner duo.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #17
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



      04/04/20, TAM, Race 8, 4.00 ET
      04/04/20,TAM,8,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 CLAIMING. Purse $13,050. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 4 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since February 4 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races where entered for $8,000 or less not considered).
      . . . .
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.00 5 Dollar Blue 8-1 Castanon J L Correas. IV Ignacio EWC 30.85 1.41/$1
      098.11 13 Rough Night(b+) 8-1 Camacho S Ryan Derek S. 31.58 1.18/$1
      097.73 7 Astute Warrior 7/2 Gallardo A A Rodriguez Darien J 33.78 1.38/$1
      097.28 4 Completely Bonkers 5-1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. 31.58 1.18/$1
      096.91 12 Honest to Goodness 9/2 Hernandez H Silva Carlos H. T 31.58 1.18/$1
      096.72 9 Enduring Honor 6-1 Mena R Ryan Derek S. SF 31.58 1.18/$1
      096.27 11 Toss(b-) 8-1 Spieth S Slivka Sandra L. L 31.58 1.18/$1
      094.31 1 Red Hot Looks 30-1 Garcia G Caruso Nick Joseph 29.41 1.10/$1
      094.10 8 Quality Step 4-1 Quinonez A Nations Keith 33.78 1.38/$1
      093.07 2 Crown to the Gold 30-1 Garcia W A Munoz Carlos 31.58 1.18/$1
      091.21 10 Jimmy D 12-1 Allen. Jr. R D Hinsley David H. 31.58 1.18/$1
      090.79 14 Invasors Wind 15-1 Hernandez H Westlye Kenneth 31.58 1.18/$1
      090.19 6 Classy Individual 30-1 Butler D P Rhone Bernell B. 33.78 1.38/$1
      090.04 3 Tactical Quality 30-1 Mejia T B Johnson Gary L. 31.58 1.18/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 40.00, ROI 1.08/$1
      If Race Is Off Turf

      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.00 7 Astute Warrior 7/2 Gallardo A A Rodriguez Darien JT 32.52 1.09/$1
      099.88 9 Enduring Honor 6-1 Mena R Ryan Derek S. SF 42.86 1.12/$1
      099.86 5 Dollar Blue 8-1 Castanon J L Correas. IV Ignacio C 32.52 1.09/$1
      099.61 4 Completely Bonkers 5-1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. E 32.52 1.09/$1
      099.16 12 Honest to Goodness 9/2 Hernandez H Silva Carlos H. 32.52 1.09/$1
      098.58 11 Toss(b-) 8-1 Spieth S Slivka Sandra L. WL 32.52 1.09/$1
      098.02 13 Rough Night(b+) 8-1 Camacho S Ryan Derek S. 32.52 1.09/$1
      097.01 8 Quality Step 4-1 Quinonez A Nations Keith 32.52 1.09/$1
      096.33 1 Red Hot Looks 30-1 Garcia G Caruso Nick Joseph 32.52 1.09/$1
      094.42 3 Tactical Quality 30-1 Mejia T B Johnson Gary L. 32.52 1.09/$1
      094.35 6 Classy Individual 30-1 Butler D P Rhone Bernell B. 32.52 1.09/$1
      093.16 2 Crown to the Gold 30-1 Garcia W A Munoz Carlos 32.52 1.09/$1
      093.04 10 Jimmy D 12-1 Allen. Jr. R D Hinsley David H. 32.52 1.09/$1
      091.24 14 Invasors Wind 15-1 Hernandez H Westlye Kenneth 32.52 1.09/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 41.38, ROI 1.34/$1
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #18
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



        04/04/20, OP, Race 5, 3.06 CT
        04/04/20,OP,5,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $21,500. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 4, 2019. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 4, 2020 Allowed 2 lbs. A Race Since January 4, 2020 Allowed 4 lbs.
        . . . .
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
        100.00 1 Splash for Gold 6-1 Rocco. Jr. J Vanden Berg Brittany A FWC 37.76 1.31/$1
        098.53 1A Shanghai Point 6-1 Rocco. Jr. J Vanden Berg Brittany A 33.10 1.08/$1
        093.73 6 Drena's Star 3-1 De La Cruz W Martin William N. S 39.84 1.27/$1
        092.30 5 Leo 6-1 Garcia M Contreras Cipriano J 32.51 1.06/$1
        092.20 8 Full of Run 9/2 Elliott S Holthus Paul E. 39.22 1.46/$1
        091.67 3 Prince Pierce 8-1 Baze T Davis Christopher 33.33 1.26/$1
        091.62 2 Stay Home 8-1 De La Cruz F Hiles Rick 33.10 1.08/$1
        089.63 7 Rockport Kat 8-1 Roman K Luneack Theresa Sue 35.85 1.18/$1
        089.60 10 Alpha to Omega 10-1 Eramia R E Deville Carl J. 39.84 1.27/$1
        088.52 9 Fareeq 20-1 Hill C Ortiz John Alexander L 33.10 1.08/$1
        088.47 4 Here's Carlos 15-1 Birzer A Riecken Bruce L. 33.10 1.08/$1
        087.55 11 Tak 15-1 Felix J E Rainwater Bradlee E 39.22 1.46/$1
        * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.63, ROI 1.23/$1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 76

          Rating:

          #7 ZAHRA (ML=9/2)
          #2 DARLING DEMON (ML=4/1)
          #1 PAMMI DEAREST (ML=3/1)


          ZAHRA - This filly ran well in her last race but just couldn't haul in the winner. Note that she was well in front of the third horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. Dropping in class figure points from her Aug 18th race at Golden Gate Fields. Based on that data, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. When a thoroughbred drops at least 5 pounds (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but should be helpful. Maiden is switching to the main track, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to break maiden. I like the fact that this filly's last speed rating, 72, is tops in this group. DARLING DEMON - I think the shorter trip will help this filly stay the distance. That 72 fig this filly earned in her last event tells me she's a main player in today's event. Trainer Moger moves this horse down the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a strong race given the class advantage. PAMMI DEAREST - Faced tougher last out at Santa Anita. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CIVIL SUIT (ML=2/1), #8 THUNDER WOMAN (ML=5/1),

          CIVIL SUIT - The finish of sixth in the last race shows me that this horse may be getting out of condition. THUNDER WOMAN - Awfully hard to wager on this horse when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness recently.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #7 ZAHRA to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,7] with [1,2,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36

          SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
          Pass
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #20
            Paul Leiner

            Saturday Horse Picks 4/4

            Should be able to catch most of these races on FS1 America's Day at the Races starting at 1:30 and on NBC Sports Trackside Live starting at 4pm. Good one yesterday, let's keep it going.

            Gulfstream Race 1
            $10 w/p/s #5 Big Treasure

            Gulfstream Race 3
            $5 w/p/s #1 Bella Gianna

            Gulfstream Race 10
            $10 w/p/s #2 Kroy
            $2 exacta box 2-11-3 Kroy/Halladay/First Premio

            Oaklawn Park Race 9
            $10 w/p/s #8 Frank's Rockette
            $2 exacta box 8-2-1 Frank's Rockette/Ringe Leader/Kimari
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            • GetTheseDimes
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2018
              • 312

              #21
              Indian Cowboy 6* under 2.5 Real Madriz (6:00)

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