Service Plays Friday 4/24/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-23-2020, 10:40 AM

Weekly Bankroll Builder: April 24 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 play

April 22, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau
Weekly Bankroll Builder: April 24 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 play

Wednesday, April 22, 2020 by Race Chat Host Brian Nadeau
With the Stronach 5 on hiatus for the time being, let’s alternate between Gulfstream’s late Pk5 and Pk4 on Friday’s, as even though the Championship Meet has ended, the racing is still flush with top connections and deep fields.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter. ***

Race 7 (4:15 ET): 3up 12.5k claimer at 6 furlongs

With the last three legs of the sequence looking mighty tough, let’s kick things off with a single, since it looks like #4 COMBINATION (3-1) looks like a potential standout off four straight sharp runs with big figures (for these), and the fact he goes off the claim for Sancal (a 2-for-11 move), lures Saez, and figures to sit the right trip just off the speed. He also looks in the 7-5 range, so by singling we’ll maximize his value, while allowing for more coverage in the three ensuing legs, which are much deeper.

Pk4 A horses: 4 (listed in order of preference)

The drop in class might wake up #6 PHANTOM RO (7-2), as he’s been facing much better, while getting back to what looks like his preferred surface, and over a GP main track he’s 2-for-6 on.

Pk4 B horses: 6

Potential B add ins: #2 Jersey Joe (8-1), #3 French Quarter (4-1), #8 Kyle (6-1), #7 Joe Di Baggio (8-1)

Race 8: 3yof AOC (75k/N1X) at 1 1/8 miles (turf)

The first of a trio of toughies is the definition of a spread, as the favorites all look similar on paper, and the odd strong favorite—#3 EVE OF WAR (9-5)—has never been on turf and comes in off a dud on the main track. I’ll go with the newcomer #1 NOPE (10-1), who had solid GIII European form, has worked forwardly for her US debut, drew best of all, and adds Lasix for a Walsh barn that has had some good success here this year. There’s little doubt #2 SECRET STASH (9-2) has a huge chance off that 3rd in a GIII at Tampa last time, her first start since October, and she’s another who got helped by the draw. Obviously you have to use Eve of War, and maybe she gets loose on the stretchout after a troubled start/trip last time, but it’s odd to see her on the turf off just one bad start and a sparkling debut, and these are not great stats for Pletcher (just 12% first-turf), so tread lightly. Lightly raced runners #7 APOGEE (10-1) and #6 ELLA BRILLA (8-1) need to step up their game, but have plenty of upside off just four total starts for sharp barns, so they are worth inclusion at nice prices.

Pk4 A horses: 3,1,2,6,7

Maybe I’m a little stubborn using #5 SKYE ROW (6-1) on the B line, but she’s facing winners, and the five-pack above look a little better, so let’s keep her underneath, even though her MSW win last time was solid enough. The drop out of several stakes should help #9 SUNSET PROMISE (8-1), and her form fits with these, but this wide draw is doom, an at 1-for-10 there’s no upside here.

Pk4 B horses: 5,9

Potential B add ins: NONE

Race 9: 3upfm AOC (25k/N1X) at 1 1/16 miles

With the locals not all that overwhelming, let’s go with a fresh new face in #1 SLAM DUNK (3-1), who showed a lot of promise as a 2yo, drew well for her two-turn debut (don’t forget they run to the first finish line at this distance), and looks primed to pick up where she left off, which was an MSW romp at CD in November. If there’s a horse bred for the main track it’s #4 WHISPERING BEAUTY (9-2), who has run five times on turf, but she’s by Arch and is out of a Storm Cat mare, so she may be poised for a breakthrough with blinkers-on. The wildcard is #3 GRACEFUL PRINCESS (5-2), who has some mixed 2yo form for Nicks but now starts for Pletcher, who is 22% with newcomers and 29% off 180+ - day layoffs, and note two of her best races were here last year.

Pk4 A horses: 1,4,3

A lack of speed might be the undoing of #5 HUNTNG SEASON (7-2), who will like getting back to the dirt, though she’s very slow on paper and might not like this tricky trip. I have no idea what to make of #7 SHREWDNESS (6-1), who has run eight times on turf/synthetics and isn’t bred for this, but Biancone is 9-for-30 turf-to-dirt, which is good enough for me to include her underneath.

Pk4 B horses: 5,7

Potential B add ins: NONE

Race 10: 3yup 12.5k MCL at 5 furlongs (turf)

I have nothing clever here, so I’ll blanket the race with the five who can win, as there are several who can’t. Top honors go to #5 NOTHIN BUT NET (4-1), who goes off the Orseno claim, has solid turf sprint form, and runs as a first-time gelding with the proper spacing as well. Taking a short price on #11 CANDY COMA (9-5) doesn’t seem prudent, as he could win for 25k at 4-5 on debut and meets a solid crew here,
from a wide draw as well. A drop in class, second-time turf, and second-time Joseph may all prove key for #12 ANNUALIZED (6-1), who was a closing 4th last time and will get some pace here. The move to Saez says it’s go-time with #8 FIFTY CENTS (9-2), and getting back to the turf says as much too, so expect him to be a real threat from close range, and he only has 3 ¼ lengths to make up on ‘Coma, after a very troubled trip too. I can’t imagine you’ll get 12-1 on #3 KOBE FIFTY TWO, since Zerpa is 6-for-13 with firsters and 5-for-10 with debut MCL’ers, not to mention 35% in turf sprints and 32% with Jaramillo up, but the price should be fair, and with the top-4 not world beaters, he needs to be used.

Pk4 A horses: 5,11,12,8,3

No one else remotely entices for the win, as they all look far below the top quintet.

Pk4 B horses: NONE

Potential B add ins: #9 Swingin On a Star (12-1)

The suggested tickets:

Main Ticket (play for $1): 4 with 3,1,2,6,7 with 1,4,3 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $75 (for $1)
Race 7 B Backup: 6 with 3,1,2,6,7 with 1,4,3 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $37.50
Race 8 B Backup: 4 with 5,9 with 1,4,3 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $15
Race 9 B Backup: 4 with 3,1,2,6,7 with 5,7 with 5,11,12,8,3 = $25

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 06:55 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#1 Mr Tito's	Wilkes charge didn't run an inch on debut at CD last June and hasn't been seen since, but that was a very key race, he now takes the biggest drop in racing, meets a crew there for the taking, returns with Lasix and as a first-time gelding, drew perfectly, and goes for a barn that is 20% off this extended break; look out.
First in Line	Lightly raced runner goes for a Weaver barn having a banner year, and keeps Saez, who is a man among boys in these parts, so this one has a big shot, and plenty of upside too, though this wide draw won't help, and he doesn't have a lot of speed either, so at underlaid odds he's a bit tough to trust; still, plenty scary.
#2 Plan of Attack	Price player finally gets a good draw after no-chance wide posts in his last two going 1m, and it's not like he ran poorly in either, so while he's not as appealing as the top pair, there's reason to think he puts his best foot forward here, which would put him in the mix and what figures to be overlaid odds; hardly impossible.
Race Summary	There's plenty of reasons to think the 1 fires a big shot here, both because of some angles he brings, and the lack of some the rest have to offer, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since he looks live, and figures to run a lot better than his debut, which means the rest of these who are predominantly stuck in neutral woould be in trouble.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#2 Borrowed Angel	MSW dropper chased a hot pace on debut then retreated at huge odds, and while the 92-1 is long gone, she'll still offer value, will only improve against a group like this, meets just one to fear, adds Lasix and blinkers as well, and gets a huge jock upgrade to Saez; upset special.
#3 I'm Prayingfofrthat	Heavy favorite wins this for fun if she runs back to the sharp 2nd against slightly better two-back, and the close 9th in a two-turn rout against Florida-MSW foes last time can be excused, so being back with friends, and sprinting, says she'll be a real handful; looks tough to deny.
#6 Cultivation	Price player hasn't had clear sailing in either of her last two, but the run two-back, she she settled early and was 2nd, beaten just a nose, puts her in the mix here, though after nine starts, with just one recent good showings, means she's tough to trust; tread very lightly here.
Race Summary	The price will still be worth the risk-reward on the 2, and she has a world of upside as well, while havng to only scale one mountain in the 3, as opposed to several huge threats, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4, since budget players will all be singling the chalk, which means a win by the pick would go a long way in knocking out a a lot of tickets.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#3 East Coast Swing	Turf/synthetic miss has yet to run on dirt, but sure is bred for it (Exchange Rate out of a Street Cry mare), has speed, two-turn foundation, and adds blinks too; thinking she's firing a big shot.
#2 Simple Story	Lightly raced runner was all-out to beat 50k MCL'ers last time, with a modest figure too, so while she has plenty of upside, facing winners is never easy, and she'll be overbet too; second-best.
#6 Lady Fiorella	Tricky read drops in class but it comes off a no-show last time, which is fine, except her prior two at that level were solid, so she may be off-form, yet will be bet like she's not; mixed signals.
Race Summary	Being a fresh new face in a spot like this is never a bad thing nor is having speed over the GP main track, so give the 3 a look in all the slots at this 4-1 ML or better, as well as to kick off the late Pk4, since she might get overlooked here, even though she seems to be catching the right field, and could improve in a big way in her initial dirt try.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 06:55 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4

#7 Etelka	Will need to fire fresh off the December layoff, but the guess is that she'll be able to as she ran a big one first time out. Would be attractive at something like the 7/2 ML offering.
#6 Baci	Has a right to be tough with these after a good runner-up effort last out. The form tends to be a bit spotty, though, so I wouldn't be too excited to take any kind of short number while counting on her to repeat every bit of that last one.
#9 Stoney's Monkey	Think she's a bit of a reach on top, but he did move forward in that second start off the bench, and she's a gimmicks player if she has another step in the right direction in her.
Race Summary	Etelka ran very well in her career debut in December, and the drop doesn't feel really panicky at this point in time. If she runs back to it, she's there.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6

#10 Gran Old Parr	Barn can get this one home at first asking, and he doesn't meet a particularly imposing cast in this first trip to post.
#1 Bee By the Sea	Adds Lasix for this second start after actually earning a decent figure for the level at 73/1 in the debut. No clue if it was legit or if he's good enough, but at something like 8/1 he'd be in the mix.
#11 Uncle Kevin	5/2 ML favorite drops off the clunker last time out, and that makes him a tough call. If he can run to anything approaching that debut effort, the rest of these probably run for second, but I'd want a fair number to find out which guy shows up today.
Race Summary	Gran Old Parr probably won't have to be a star to handle this group at first asking, but that also depends on what kind of effort Uncle Kevin brings to the table today. That guy is the wildcard off the dull run, but I fear he's overbet based on his realistic chances of winning this.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #7

#1 What a Hoot	Showed some tactical pace last out before backing up when running two turns, and the cutback to this seven-furlong trip allow him to finish a bit better this time around.
#3 Will Runaway	Moved forward nicely to score last out, but he'll face a bit better in this spot while probably taking his fair share of the action.
#11 Credit Cycle	Has now put together a nice string of races while knocking on the door, and he draws well here to find a spot into the turn.
Race Summary	What a Hoot cuts back with a little bit of positional pace that can keep her in touch at this seven-furlong run, and he might get a cozy trip from the inside.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 06:56 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #2

#3 Twisted Fashion	Finished 3rd in a Derby last out and should be ultra tough in this allowance; has been on the board in 6 of 8 and looks like the one to beat here.
#4 High Rate of Fury	Was 2nd and 3rd under the wire and was moved up one spot in each via disqualification; has trained well for his 1st of the year.
#1 Wired Special	Was three-quarters of a length behind the top pick here last time and is capable of another big effort along the inside.
Race Summary	Twisted Fashion has been fairly close to the always-tough Southern Electric and should be very difficult for others to handle.

Remington Park - Race #3

#1 Crossing Boundaries	Was mid-pack in a Derby trial and had a troubled start vs. maiden specials; capable of moving up on the class drop.
#4 One Fabulous Royal	Was in tough spots in her 1st two races and was roughed up at the start of early; can be a factor with a clean start.
#7 Bv My Guy	Failed vs. maiden specials in his only start and should improve on this class drop.
Race Summary	Crossing Boundaries has been taking on good foes and this class drop should put her over the top.

Remington Park - Race #4

#9 High Rate Runaway	Lost his chance last time when an opponent forced him to the outside; drops in class and can wake up here.
#1 Easier To Lie	Was 5th, beaten a length in each of her last two and make a run along the rail; dangerous.
#7 Sweet Blazin Fire	Ran an even 4th at a higher level last time and is eligible to show improvement in her return.
Race Summary	High Rate Runaway's last race is a throw-out due to trouble and he has several races on his form that would be good enough to win this.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 06:57 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park

Oaklawn Park - Race 2	Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Starter Allowance $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 1:35P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN ONE OF THEIR LAST THREE STARTS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 24, 2020 ALLOWED 6 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JOSIE THE E F FIVE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZANILLUSION: Horse 's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. STURDY ONE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. RANSOMED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7	JOSIE THE E F FIVE	10/1	5/1
2	TIZANILLUSION	9/2	7/1
1	STURDY ONE	5/2	7/1
8	STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO	12/1	7/1
5	RANSOMED	3/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	SWEET TATUM	4	12/1	Front-runner	91	82	91.8	68.4	57.9
2	TIZANILLUSION	2	9/2	Front-runner	87	78	84.6	80.4	75.9
7	JOSIE THE E F FIVE	7	10/1	Alternator/Front-runner	93	81	78.2	77.8	73.3
1	STURDY ONE	1	5/2	Stalker	88	85	82.8	86.2	75.7
9	COUNCIL RULES	9	15/1	Stalker	86	75	82.2	77.2	65.7
5	RANSOMED	5	3/1	Stalker	90	82	67.0	76.0	68.0
8	STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO	8	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	86	67.6	81.4	71.4
6	SHE'S A DIME	6	9/2	Trailer	79	87	64.2	73.2	60.2
3	ZELLA ROSE	3	10/1	Trailer	87	74	44.4	74.6	60.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 06:58 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 8	$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Optional Claiming $75,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 93 • Purse: $46,000 • Post: 4:46P
(RAIL AT 115 FEET). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MARCH 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $62,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILEAND ONE EIGHTH)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NEW DAY DAWNING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SECRET STASH (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY PANDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EVE O F WAR: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). SUNSET PROMISE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NEW DAY DAWNING: Horse h ad a bullet workout within the last seven days.
2	SECRET STASH (IRE)	9/2	5/1
8	LADY PANDA	15/1	7/1
3	EVE OF WAR	9/5	7/1
9	SUNSET PROMISE	8/1	8/1
4	NEW DAY DAWNING	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	NEW DAY DAWNING	4	8/1	Front-runner	83	85	83.4	84.4	69.4
9	SUNSET PROMISE	9	8/1	Stalker	87	88	89.8	84.8	74.8
8	LADY PANDA	8	15/1	Stalker	86	92	83.8	82.6	75.6
3	EVE OF WAR	3	9/5	Stalker	83	100	82.2	82.2	72.7
5	SKYE SNOW	5	6/1	Stalker	87	85	81.7	81.2	71.7
6	ELLA BRILLA	6	8/1	Stalker	82	79	58.4	68.9	54.4
2	SECRET STASH (IRE)	2	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	92	89	73.3	88.6	84.6
7	APOGEE	7	10/1	Trailer	87	79	67.3	74.9	66.9

Unknown Running Style: NOPE (IRE) (10/1) [Jockey: Davis Dylan - Trainer: Walsh Brendan P].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 06:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 59

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 YOUR ADORABLE 3/1
# 7 SOPRESCIOUS 4/1
# 8 SHE BE FIRE N ICE 6/1

YOUR ADORABLE has a competitive shot to take this race. With one of the most competitive riders in terms of profits at the window, don't count this filly out. Decent choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. The handler wheels this horse back soon to race again. SOPRESCIOUS - Ran a strong last race. Has been close up at the finishing post most every time lately. SHE BE FIRE N ICE - Garcia will most likely be able to get this filly to break out early in this event. She has been running quite well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 07:00 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6 - Post: 2:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#1 BEE BY THE SEA (ML=8/1)
#6 COMPOUND INTEREST (ML=8/1)
#10 GRAN OLD PARR (ML=3/1)

BEE BY THE SEA - It looks like Alencar had to learn about this gelding on Apr 1st when riding him for the initial time. Back on again today. Last time around the track was at Tampa Bay Downs in a race with a class figure of 72. Dropping drastically in class rating this time out puts him in a solid position in this event. When the real running starts, this gelding should be finishing best of all. The 56 most recent race speed figure looks strong on paper. I always like to see a thoroughbred getting Lasix for the first time. Ubide adds it on this one today. COMPOUND INTEREST - Look at this pattern of improvement. 24/42/51 are the last 3 Equibase speed figs. GRAN OLD PARR - Centeno and Barboza perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +120 ROI for a jock and conditioner. Barboza adds Lasix to this one today. I'd look for a chance at a big improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 UNCLE KEVIN (ML=5/2), #9 LEBASI (ML=6/1), #7 UKNOWTHEDRILL (ML=8/1),

UNCLE KEVIN - Tough for anyone who saw this mount in his last event to invest in him this time. LEBASI - I find it hard to bet on any mount in a short distance event if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last 60 days. Mediocre rating last out at Mountaineer Park at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's race. UKNOWTHEDRILL - Don't think that this gelding has value at 8/1 in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 BEE BY THE SEA is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 07:01 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 440y on the Dirt. Purse: $9700 Class Rating: 64

QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 HACKSAW HERO 3/1
# 2 CR FUTURE 5/1
# 10 ONE HIDDEN FEATURE 10/1

I've got to go with HACKSAW HERO. Looks quite good against this field and should be one of the front-runners. Is tough not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been quite good - 69 avg - of late. The average Equibase class rating alone makes this one a solid contender. CR FUTURE - Overall the speed figures of this horse look respectable in this race. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. ONE HIDDEN FEATURE - I can't pass on this gelding given one of the strongest jockey and handler combos on the grounds. With a +10 ROI, this rider and conditioner duo has produced solid dividends lately for risk takers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 07:01 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/24/20, OP, Race 1, 1.05 CT
04/24/20,OP,1,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,200. FOR ARKANSAS BRED (WHICH QUALIFY UNDER RULES GOVERNING ARKANSAS-BREDS) MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	11	Sing a Song Too	8-1	De La Cruz W	Martin William N.	WL	57.14	2.14/$1
099.90	10	Do Me a Favor	3-1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	J	35.71	1.33/$1
099.81	5	Miss Casey Beth	5/2	Harr K	Dixon Tim	S	46.51	1.70/$1
099.60	1	Dat Girl	6-1	Birzer A	Hornsby Tammy	E	57.14	2.14/$1
098.17	14	Wish for Candy	5-1	Felix J E	Roberts Stanley W.		57.14	2.14/$1
097.29	6	Arkansas Invasion	8-1	Richard R	Williams Steve F.	C	50.00	1.97/$1
097.26	8	Couverture	10-1	Vazquez R A	Moquett Ron	T	35.71	1.33/$1
097.16	12	Aunt Sunshine	10-1	Talamo J	Deville Carl J.		35.71	1.33/$1
096.28	4	Laura N Lukas	12-1	Lara E	Litfin Nevada	F	35.71	1.33/$1
092.88	9	Cloudywithachance	20-1	Roman K	Martin Timothy E.		40.38	1.56/$1
092.66	13	Danzig Star	15-1	Elliott S	McBride Burl D.		46.51	1.70/$1
092.03	3	Esther	20-1	Canchari A L	Cline Robert N.		50.00	1.97/$1
091.23	2	Princess Simone	30-1	Roberts C	Cates Al		57.14	2.14/$1
090.35	7	Hamazing Marnie	30-1	Bailey C	Vance Thomas D.		42.86	1.90/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.87, ROI 0.86/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 07:02 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

04/24/20, TAM, Race 8, 3.58 ET
04/24/20,TAM,8,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:04 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 24 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $8,000 (Races Where Entered For $6,250 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	5	Fort King	9/2	Camacho S	Baxter Georgina	JTS	43.28	1.18/$1
097.77	3	Highwaytwentyseven	5-1	Garcia W A	Delgado Jose H.		36.36	1.13/$1
097.21	4	Bueno Bueno Bueno	2-1	Allen. Jr. R D	Wilkes Ian R.	FEC	36.36	1.13/$1
097.09	12	Yei Yei	6-1	Santos A	Bennett Dale		50.00	1.91/$1
095.80	2	Albert's Barn	12-1	Martinez W	Blair Jordan		36.36	1.13/$1
095.37	8	Jumped Bail	12-1	Suarez A	Hamm Timothy E.		36.36	1.13/$1
094.35	1	Logsdon	6-1	Spieth S	Slivka Sandra L.	W	43.14	1.49/$1
094.25	10	Grammi Dance	30-1	Alencar W	Ferraro M. Anthony	L	36.36	1.13/$1
093.14	7	Transfer Pricing	30-1	Coa K J	Belhumeur Julie		34.25	1.24/$1
092.95	6	Flying Bankroll	15-1	Garcia J A	Arboritanza Joseph		34.25	1.24/$1
091.63	11	Temple Mount	15-1	Mejia T B	Johnson Gary L.		50.00	1.91/$1
090.35	9	Archivero	30-1	Urdaneta J J	Ochoa Gerard		34.25	1.24/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.21, ROI 0.97/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 07:02 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:07pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#3 PANAREA (ML=2/1)

PANAREA - Looking at the pps on all of these horses, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long hard look at this one. Faced tougher last out at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of probable winners in this race. I like the fact that this filly's last speed rating, 69, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 KOZY DREAMS (ML=5/2), #5 GRAN MICHELLE (ML=7/2), #6 PERFECTCOMBINATION (ML=6/1),

KOZY DREAMS - Has been beaten as the favorite twice in a row. A repeat is probably in store. GRAN MICHELLE - Not a perfect 'placement' in this event. PERFECTCOMBINATION - A bit of a less than stellar try when this filly finished sixth. This filly hasn't had any recent good results in short distance races. Not easy to wager on her in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 PANAREA on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 08:49 AM

Paul Leiner

Horse Picks 4/24

Fri Apr 24, 2020 7:09 am
Laska came in second and we hit a $17 exacta in the 8th yesterday at Gulfstream. Today we are looking at Oaklawn and I have three races for you. Goodluck and stay safe.

Oaklawn Race 2
#1 Sturdy One $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 1-7-5

Oaklawn Race 5
#4 River Finn $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 4-2-1

Oaklawn Race 7
#2 Big Cheddar $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 2-8-10

**Slick** · 04-24-2020, 10:24 AM

Kevin Cox Gulfstream looks, he’s really good and likes big prices.
58, $2 & $5 ), two cold exactas of $10 & $17, and an ice cold $74 triple. Oh yeah -- toss in a couple of successful "Beatable Favorites" for good measure.
We now have a flat bet profit for our entire Gulfstream coverage.
You'll notice something new on the page a bit below -- a direct link to the Old Friends at Cabin Creek donation page ! So now if you're fortunate enough to win a couple'a fazools, you can help out Zippy Chippy and the rest of the gang. NO donation too small !! Thank you.

I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O.

Today's Beatable Favorite(s): Race 1 - #7 Fayez Race 10 -#11 Candy Coma

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I want to thank those that read my column, and have recently opened up accounts as a result of their fondness for what they see here. If you have any questions at any time, you can reach me here on Disqus, or on Twitter @brooklyncowboy1. For those who dig the scene here, and would like to be part of it, registration on our home page is easy, and if you'd like, feel free to include my name in the referral box, and let me know, so I can try and get ya' some cool swag!

Gulfstream - 4/24

Race 1

1.Big's Gray Day

2.Ninetydaysofwinter

3.Sultannes Crown

#11 BIG'S GRAY DAY has only beaten home the chase ambulance in all three starts to date, but goes long on the lawn for the first time, and we've had some success with fading sprinters doing such for the first time. Grey gelding was dropped by a gal who went 2 for 5 in turf routes ( 20K ), and the paternal granddam won the only time she went long on the lawn ( 15G ). Additionally, the mommy's daddy was a turf champion, and we like the concept of a gate move for today's 2nd off the L/O try. #4 NINETYDAYS OF WINTER drops for the 3rd straight time today and gets an upgrade in the jockey department. #6 SULTANNES CROWN has improved with each passing start, owns a lot of zip, and sheds a couple'a pounds. OFF TURF: 6-9-4-2-5 BEATABLE FAVORITE: #7 FAYEZ

Race 2

1.Gran Brandy

2.Best of Wildwood

3.Lady Archa

#5 GRAN BRANDY was a lively runner up versus slightly weaker right here on March the 8th, and rates the slightest of edges in a race where we were unable to eliminate anyone with our first draft. #3 BEACH OF WILDWOOD has been freshened up since essentially being eased two months ago, but won over this oval in the start just before that, and the works are looking good for today's comebacker. #7 LADY ARCHA has changed addresses after each of her last three calls to the post, and with good reason, as this one has scored in three of four, and four of her last six dirt tries. Horse for the course got the job done in her only spin when beginning from the outermost slot. NOTE: AS OF 2:22 A.M. FRIDAY, WE HAVE AMENDED OUR SELECTIONS TO 6-5-7.

Race 3

1.Lucy's Interest

2.Platinumcents

3.Gran Michelle

#4 LUCY'S INTEREST hasn't done much to get the heart thumping of late, but y'all know we like to look back anywhere in a maiden's past performances to find something positive, ( as they're at this level for a reason, you know ) and the bay filly has a couple of good running lines at the bottom of the page. Another meek selection. #1 PLATINUMCENTS hasn't been seen since Hector was a pup, but there's a bullet gate breeze on display, and the 387 Tommy says to us that perhaps the grisly debut was an aberration; encouraging to see Jaramillo ride. #5 GRAN MICHELLE has been conducting her morning affairs quite well for today;s initial foray, and is bred nicely for this sorta deal.

Race 4

1.Cultivation

2.I'm Prayingforthat

3.Borrowed Angel

#6 CULTIVATION ( cross entered yesterday, so check the changes ) flopped with no palpable excuse in the most recent, but the penultimate start was a goodie, and we'll pin our hopes to a rebound -- but demand value. #3 I'M PRAYINGFORTHATfinds herself at her lowest level to date, and cuts back from two turns to one while exiting a race where two of four have returned to win. #2 BORROWED ANGEL ( also put in on Thursday ) gets Lasix and blinkers for today's secondary outing while taking the biggest drop in the game. Saez now enlisted.

Race 5

1.Sturgeon

2.Chaps

3.What's Inside

#7 STURGEON is 18:6-5-0 at this distance ( 12:1-0-1 otherwise ), and has won three of her last six when available for purchase. Chance to rebound at a price. #3 CHAPS is a steady if unspectacular sort who hasn't been seen in quite some time, but conditioner knows how to have 'em prepped off the bench, and we'll toss beneath as rider has picked up a few wins after an oh-fer-122 start to 2020. #4 WHAT'S INSIDE has done fine work right here ( 5:2-2-0 ) and appears to be trending in the right direction. OFF TURF: 1-4-2-8-3

Race 6

1.Politely Crowned

2.Lady Fiorella

3.The Gospel of John

#5 POLITELY CROWNED hasn't faced the starter in a while, but returns with a "For Sale" sticker attached to her rump for the first time, and is reacquainted with hood this afternoon. Another timid selection in another tough heat to decipher. #6 LADY FIORELLA hasn't hit the board yet this year, and is another who can be all yours for 40 large in this spot. #1 THE GOSPEL OF JOHN has been beset by numerous layoff lines, but her lone victory came right here, and has the hood affixed for the first time; completes our troika of selections of those now in with a tag.

Race 7

1.Jersey Joe B

2.French Quarter

3.Phantom Ro

#2 JERSEY JOE B has only beaten home one in the last duet, but we always go back three starts when sortin' things out, and the February outing was a crisp one. 13:5-2-2 mark at the distance leaps off the page, and we'll give him a shot w/ the bug assigned. #3 FRENCH QUARTER sure is an old warhorse, isn't he? Brown gelding makes his 66th career start in this spot, and is still finding his way into the winner's circle now more than ever, having gotten his photo taken after five of his last eight. #6 PHANTOM RO owns a win & a placing from as many "3rd off the break" attempts, but is halved in price off the recent purchase, so caveat emptor.

Race 8

1.New Day Dawning

2.Nope ( Ire )

3.Secret Stash ( Ire )

#4 NEW DAY DAWNING won her only start off the bench and has shot off two bullets in preparation for today's return to action. Lasix once again part of the equation after running without it in the Forward Gal. Still yet another moderate selection in a race with none eliminated at first perusal. #1 NOPE (IRE) has the wonder drug administered for today's North American bow, and totes the lightest impost of her career. #2 SECRET STASH (IRE) has some back class and can land a share. OFF TURF: 7-6-1-2-4

Race 9

1.Marialuisa

2.Hunting Season

3.Believe Indeed

#2 MARIALUISA got through the maiden ranks in a career effort 50 days in the rear, and although the number came back a bit lowish, sometimes when the light bulb comes on, it can stay on for a while ( especially with the youngsters ). Will need some pace up front to cut into. #5 HUNTING SEASON split two next out winners when completing the exacta in her only try off an absence and also finished third the only time her hooves touched this surface. #6 BELIEVE INDEED rounds out the tri.

Race 10

1.Kobe Fifty Two

2.Nothin But Net

3.Restless Rocker

Employing the "Diamond in the Rough" methodology for #3 KOBE FIFTY TWO here, as there's one crisp 48 & 3 bullet breeze amongst a slew of ordinary moves. $45,000 auction purchase can be all yours for a quarter of that in today's finale, and this is a four year old facing some younger foes, which definitely means something this time of year. Sire was 3:2-0-1 in one turn dirt events, and the paternal grandsire was a goodies who won his only dirt dash. You'd have to figure that the newest "miracle man" will have this one ready. #5 NOTHIN BUT NET completes our basketball exacta based on the solid back to back placings, drop in class, and recent snipping. #2 RESTLESS ROCKER is 2nd off the bench & loses the eye cups. OFF TURF: 9-11-3-4-5 BEATABLE FAVORITE: #11 CANDY COMA doesn't make our first draft, so why would we accept 9/5?

Service Plays Friday 4/24/20

Service Plays Friday 4/24/20

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