Service Plays Saturday 4/25/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 05:52 AM

Saturday, April 25: My Gulfstream Park Late Pick 4 Ticket

April 24, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
Gulfstream Park’s late Pick 4 on Saturday is highlighted by Unbridled Stakes for 3-year-olds and a lights-out scramble for outstanding older allowance and stakes types in the 11th.. There’s a good chance few knew these two would come up so competitive.
While the Unbridled is a solid one-turn mile stakes event and the 11th is a seven-furlong test that is as good a non-stakes as you could find.

Here’s a look at my Pick 4 ticket suggestion, which uses a 3x4x4x3 approach for $72 and runs from races 9-12:

Race 9 (Unbridled Stakes)
Dr Post is as intriguing as any in here as he makes just his third career start. After a 4th at Belmont in his only start of 2019, he fired a dandy for trainer Todd Pletcher in his first at Gulfstream off a vacation of nearly nine months as he came off the pace for a maiden win in a rapid 1:22 1-5. The Quality Road colt has effortless put down some good works and gets Irad Ortiz, Jr., who is back after some time off.
South Bend spent his last three on the turf and had good results in each, including a fast-closing third in the Grade 3 Palm Beach Stakes. He won the Street Sense over the dirt at Churchill last year, is in good form and will probably run on late. Attachment Rate is another in play on the ticket after his third in the Grade 3 Gotham at Aqueduct. He’s finished with energy in his last three and is a legit threat.

Race 10
This distance turf race for $35,000 claimers (N3L) has so many good options that it’s difficult to trim is down to even four, which was the case here.
New Year goes after his third straight win after he was 0-of-11 to begin his career. To say he’s figured it out is an understatement, and his wins over the turf at GP were powerful. Stock Trade, Crypto Gold, Noble Hope also have run well lately and also stand a serious chance.

Race 11
This one is graded stakes-quality as Global Campaign returns to the races and is surrounded by proven runners in good form.
Global Campaign draws a decent group of opponents as he makes his first start since running third in Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes, finishing behind New York stalwarts Tax and Tacitus. Prior to that he beat eventual Belmont Stakes winner Sir Winston.
There is plenty of serious competition here, including Soldado, winner of three of five, and Spinoff, who ran in the Kentucky Derby and Belmont, as well as the Belmont Derby. He ended his campaign with an easy win at Saratoga. Also on the ticket is the speedy Yorkton, who was second at Gulfstream last out. He often shows speed and can be very dangerous if able to get clear early.

Race 12
Maiden-claimers round out the action, and W W Archie, With a Bit of Luck and Annualized are worthy of inclusion.
W W Archie was third in his last two and has been steadily stepping down the ladder. With a Bit of Luck has raced just once, but it was against a higher level and he led for a half-mile. He was on the turf and now moves over to the main track.
Annualized drops to his lowest level and was a closing fourth on turf last time. He was third on dirt once last year.

Here’s the suggested play for the late Pick 4 Saturday at Gulfstream Park:
9) #3 Dr Post, #5 South Bend, #7 Attachment Rate.
10) #3 New Year, #4 Stock Trade, #6 Crypto Gold, #7 Noble Hope.
11) #2 Soldado, #4 Spinoff, #5 Global Campaign, #9 Yorkton.
12) #7 W W Archie, #8 With a Bit of Luck, #9 Annualized.
50-cent Late Pick 4: 3-5-7 with 3-4-6-7 with 2-4-5-9 with 7-8-9 ($72)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 05:52 AM

Race of the Week: Unbridled Stakes at Gulfstream Park

April 24, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
$75,000 UNBRIDLED STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, April 25, 2020
By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Seven 2020 Triple Crown nominees match up in a race named for the 1990 Kentucky Derby winner. The 1-1/16 miles Unbridled Stakes will be the first 2-turn test for 4 of the 7 aspirants. Race 9 on the 12-race card, the Unbridled kicks off the day's late pick four sequence.

Field Depth:
SOUTH BEND is a listed stakes winner and Grade 3-placed. SOROS has the field's only other open-company listed stakes win, while RELENTLESS DANCER has won in Louisiana-bred stakes company. ATTACHMENT RATE is Grade 3-placed. RELENTLESS DANCER and SOUTH BEND have tackled the toughest competition, but there's not an overwhelming class edge here. The race is capable of being won on the class rise.

Pace:
Pace projections are tough with 4 of 7 runners stretching out from 1-turn races. RELENTLESS DANCER may be the most committed to a front-running style, but expect some of the sprinters to force the issue.

Our Eyes:
ATTACHMENT RATE caught the eye with 2 sharp rallies during the Gulfstream Park Championship Meet. The second netted a commanding maiden breaker that set him up for the Grade 3 Gotham at Aqueduct. The Dale Romans trainee managed third in the Gotham behind front-running Mischievous Alex, but the Gotham's slow final quarter in 26-2/5 did not inspire confidence for additional distance. While his pedigree suggests 1-1/16 miles around 2 turns should be in his arsenal, ATTACHMENT RATE's visual clues tip me that he may be more effective as a closing sprinter. Leading jockey Luis Saez has dominated the local colony and will give him every chance to prove he's worthy of the trip.

RELENTLESS DANCER finished fourth while attending the pace over this 1-1/16 miles trip in both the G3 Holy Bull and G2 Tampa Bay Derby. The former effort came at Gulfstream against the powerful duo of eventual Florida Derby winner Tiz the Law and eventual Fountain of Youth champ Ete Indien. He should be forwardly placed toward the inside and that's advantageous over this assignment. RELENTLESS DANCER has trained well since the Tampa Bay Derby, including a Gulfstream bullet 5 furlongs in 1:00 flat on April 11.

DR POST is the X-factor, taking on stakes performers and a route distance for the first time. Todd Pletcher's well-bred Quality Road colt turned heads March 29 with a deft closing kick at 7 furlongs. His first start since July netted a massive 109 BRIS late pace figure. The 2-turn question remains the key hurdle; his mama Mary Delaney was an outstanding sprinter, winning Keeneland's Grade 2 Madision at 7 furlongs. Irad Ortiz, Jr. takes the mount as he returns to action from a self-imposed pandemic break from work.

Trainer Stan Hough has the duo of SOUTH BEND and NECKER ISLAND as separate betting interests. SOUTH BEND has been more accomplished and faced rock-solid grass sophomores like Field Pass, Vitalogy and Decorated Invader in his last 3 starts. The transition back to dirt should not be a big issue; he won the Street Sense on dirt at Churchill and was fourth in the local Mucho Macho Man Stakes in January. NECKER ISLAND has not extended around 2 turns in 5 starts, but has a middle-distance pedigree. He's drawn nicely on the rail for this 1-1/16 miles configuration.

SOROS, winner of the 1-turn mile Smooth Air Stakes, disappointed in his 2020 return bid in allowance company March 27. The Commissioner colt did have a bit of late life in that one and may be set to improve some around 2 turns.

AMERICANUS exits a solid 7-furlong allowance victory over quality rivals Violent City and Silver Ratio. The Belmont fall debut winner was well-beaten in the Grade 3 Nashua last fall, but has run well twice at age 3 and appears to be developing the right direction for Mark Hennig. The War Front colt has not routed, but his second dam was Unbridled Lassie, third in the Grade 1 Coaching Club American Oaks going long.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: SOUTH BEND is 7-for-8 in the superfecta lifetime and proven over distance and class.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender: NECKER ISLAND showed more talent at 2 than he displayed so far this year. If he wakes up on the stretch-out from the rail, he could offer a nice price play in the mix.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $100 win SOUTH BEND.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-24-2020, 05:54 AM

Saturday, April 25: My Oaklawn Park Late Pick 4 Ticket

April 23, 2020
Picks from Racing Analyst, Jonathon Van Dine

It’s another phenomenal Saturday of racing at Oaklawn Park and the day’s co-features – the $125,000 Carousel and $100,000 Bachelor – have attracted some serious racehorses. The Bachelor, which goes as Race 9, drew Bob Baffert’s superstar three-year-old Eight Rings, while Race 10, the Carousel, marks the seasonal debut of Bellafina and also attracted Steve Asmussen’s star mare, Mia Mischief.

If you’re playing the races on Xpressbet this weekend, why not check out these two great promotions?

- 1 Million Point Late Pick 4 Split: Hit Oaklawn’s Saturday Late Pick 4 – the one handicapped in this blog – and you’ll win a Split of 1 Million XB Rewards Points. Redeem your Points for wagering credits, past performances and more.

Pegasus Betting Championship Feeder Tournament Put up the $500 Buy In and square off against other savvy horse players to punch your ticket to the 2021 Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship (PWCBC). Tournament tracks are Gulfstream Park (all races) and Oaklawn Park (Races 8 – 11).

Here's my take on the Late Pick 4:

Race 8 (5:14PM ET) – Allowance ($62K)

Oaklawn kicks off its late pick 4 with a difficult allowance race going 6 furlongs. This race seems to revolve around #4 SNEAKING OUT. If she can revert back to her form when Hollendorfer had her in April and May of 2019 then she will be very tough to beat. She is 6-4-2-0 in one-turn races, and Hollendorfer is 25% of the layoff. However, this will be the first time she has left California and the layoff does concern me a little bit. I am going to use multiple horses in this leg starting with #1 FLAT OUT SPEED who has done nothing wrong in her first 3 starts. #5 NOMIZAR could get a very nice stalking trip in this race as there is quite a bit of speed lined up here. I will also use #8 READY TO RUNAWAY and #9 BYE BYE J to round out this first leg.

Pick 4 Horse(s): #1 FLAT OUT SPEED (12/1), #4 SNEAKING OUT (7/2), #5 NOMIZAR (9/2), #8 READY TO RUNAWAY (6/1), #9 BYE BYE J (4/1)

Race 9 (5:45PM ET) – Bachelor Stakes ($100K)

The Bachelor Stakes has a few familiar rivals once again going up against each other. #9 LONG WEEKEND was victorious over #1 LITTLE MENACE, #2 BEAU OXY, and #5 LYKAN. LONG WEEKEND was able to go right to the front, and never look back winning by more than 4 lengths in the end. It would seem to be a difficult task for any of those 3 to turn the tables here so we’ll use LONG WEEKEND and then look elsewhere. #7 EIGHT RINGS won the Grade 1 American Pharaoh by 6 before struggling in the BC Juvenile. This is obviously a much easier spot, and is a must use. I am also going to use #3 ECHO TOWN coming off a nice $90K Allowance win at Oaklawn Park.

Pick 4 Horse(s): #3 ECHO TOWN (9/2), #7 EIGHT RINGS (5/2), #9 LONG WEEKEND (3/1)

Race 10 (6:16PM ET) – Carousel Stakes ($125K)

The feature race of the day sees #1 BELLAFINA ship into Oaklawn Park to face 7 rivals. She has been installed as the 8/5 favorite, and I will be singling in this race. However, I will not be singling BELLAFINA. I am looking to the far outside in the #8 MIA MISCHIEF. She had an easy win at Oaklawn Park off the lay-off albeit against very weak competition, but that race was used to tighten her up for the Carousel Stakes. She draws favorably on the outside and should sit a very good trip. I would definitely understand going 2 deep and using BELLAFINA, but she has never really come close to winning a race outside of California. I will single here in hopes that going deep legs 1 and 4 will pay-off.

Pick 4 Horse(s): #8 MIA MISCHIEF (9/2)

Race 11: (6:47PM ET) – Maiden Special Weight ($60K)

The nightcap is a tough maiden special event, and honestly, this is race where it is tough for me to a very strong opinion. Singling Mia Mischief will afford me the ability to go deep in this leg which I most certainly will. We’ll start with #1 COPPER KING who draws the rail, but doesn’t have a lot of speed. He has shown the ability to sit mid-pack which he’ll need here. It will likely be too difficult to drop back and circle the field. #3 VIOLENT PASS went off at 9-2 against similar last time out and lost all chance at the start and then raced wide. Given the 15-1 morning line I will give this one another shot. Joel Rosario picks up the mount on #4 UNRIGHTEOUS who was overmatched in the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby, but obviously gets back to easier competition here and is the one to beat. #6 AZTEC EMPIRE is another logical horse to use in here after finishing 3rd in a $60K MSW last out. I will also use #9 RONAMO, #11 On d’Oro, and if the #13 SCALE draws in, he will also be included on the ticket.

Pick 4 Horse(s): #1 COPPER KING (7/2), #3 VIOLENT PASS (15/1), #4 UNRIGHTEOUS (5/2), #6 AZTEC EMPIRE (5/1), #9 RONAMO (10/1), #11 ON D'ORO (8/1), #13 SCALE (6/1) (AE)

My Ticket

Race 8: 1, 4, 5, 8, 9
Race 9: 3, 7, 9
Race 10: 8
Race 11: 1, 3, 4, 6, 9, 11, 13
Ticket Cost: $52.50 for 50-cents

I am looking at $52.50 for 50-cents as it stands now. If you are a big fan of Bellafina in the Carousel, then it probably wouldn’t be difficult to pare down the first leg to just two horses to allow you to include Bellafina.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 07:06 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1

#2 We Five	Intriguing sort had to go two turns on turf on debut and didn't do much running, but Terranova isn't a guy that cranks them too often, is 22% turf-to-dirt, and this one gets a huge jock switch to Centeno as well; thinking this may have been the plan all along.
#3 Rollick	Dangerous returnee hasn't been out in over 13 months and now goes from Clement to Stidham, but this sharp barn is 26% off extended layoffs, and 22% with newcomers to the barn, and the debut was solid, and she's another bred for the main track; very scary.
#5 Bourbon Rebellion	The best of the dirt runners didn't fire on turf last time but her debut 5th here on dirt was solid, so she'll like the surface switch, though though note initial run was at 54-1, so taking 3-1 or so here isn't all that appealing; logical contender, albeit at underlaid odds.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like about the 2, especially the cutback to one-turn and switch to the main track, and the price as well, not to mention the competition isn't all that tough, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, as she should be a square price, which would knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #3

#8 Vivamente	Thomas firster goes for a barn that knows how to get them ready (14% on debut), drew the perfect outside attack post, meets two slow favorites who don't inspire in the least, and has a slew of AM works for her unveiling; look out.
#2 I'mthekatsmeow	The chalk was a well-beaten 2nd off the long break last time, so she could be tighter here, but she was also favored last time, they expected a lot, and her run was timed with a sundial, so she's got no margin for error; trying to beat.
#1 Hifalutin	Money burner was a neck behind the chalk last time, has lost at 6-1 or less in all six career starts, and her five underneath slices tells you what you need to know about desire, plus she's never gained in the stretch in any start; no thanks.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 8, as she has to be live and taking money against a group like this, and provided she is, you can play her aggressively to win and place, though you'll get some added value by keying her in the early Pk5/Pk4, since the two proven gals don't look like much, and yet they'll take plenty of action in both sequences.

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #9

#10 Forevernoa	Longshot firster goes for a Hinsley barn that is just 2-for-44 on the year, but there's an abundance of AM activity on display, especially going long, young sire Constitution has proven to be very precocious, and the rest of this group don't look like much; bombs away.
#1 Recoded	The chalk will get bet hard for Wilkes, and she's best on paper, but also 0-for-5 with no upside, has a tricky rail draw, and doesn't have a lot of speed either, so sure, she's the most likely winner, but in the 7-5 range she looks like a big underlay; backwheel time.
#4 Ski Bunny	The first of two firsters for Proctor is probably the better of the two as well, since Gallardo lands here and there's three bullets in the holster, but this is a 3% debut barn, so it's unlikely she's cranked, and as a Union Rags filly, she may want longer too; tabbing today.
Race Summary	You'll get value galore on the 10, and you need to, as she's an admitted reach, but there are a few positives, and if you only have to beat the 1, then the mountain to climb isn't all that high, so give her a look in all the slots, and even to end the late Pk5/Pk4, as she could surprise, and a win would completely blow up both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 07:06 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1

#10 Katara Pass	Has no business sticking around late after chasing a fast opening quarter going long last out, but the two-back run would certainly keep him in the mix.
#1 Took a Cab	Cutback player might get a cozy go from the inside. He owns route pace and can probably stick close enough to have a shot to finish.
#2 Quick Charge	Gets blinkers on for this one, but I fear that he isn't going to finish this race with much energy as his previous BRIS Late Pace figures leave a bit to be desired.
Race Summary	Katara Pass would intrigue at something like the 6/1 ML price. I'm willing to draw a line through that last one and give him a chance here based on the two-back sprint try.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#11 Dark Ages	Was the runner that made the first move into a quick pace last out, and he predictably flattened out after that wide run. He's capable of getting a better trip, even with today's wide draw.
#7 Cause for Pardon	Wondering if this guy is going to get bet below fair value here while dropping in class and adding blinkers. Think he's a win threat, but demand a fair price.
#5 The Mighty Judge	Dropper wasn't off by much last time out, and the barn lures Irad to the saddle for this one. Think he's going to be tough, but potentially underlaid.
Race Summary	Dark Ages will have to work out a trip from a wide post, but his last run was better than it looks on paper given the race flow and when he moved, and perhaps a softer race shape will benefit him today.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#10 Miss Behave	Price swing only went evenly last time out, but she has since come back with an unusually quick bullet work, and she can probably step forward here at a big price.
#6 Catch a Thrill	Has never really run a bad one around one turn, and those last two Saratoga races would definitely make her a player here. She'll have to run big off the bench to handle a decent group.
#9 Miss Miami	Has been away a few months, but the turf sprint form isn't too far off what it'd take to score here. Chance to make some noise at a price.
Race Summary	#4 Smack an #7 Catharsis are the two morning line favorites, and while I suppose they could win, neither of them really does a whole lot for me on paper in this spot, and that led me to price shop for a runner like Miss Behave who doesn't have to come forward much at all. Not sure she's 20/1 here, but she's still interesting at something a bit shorter.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 07:07 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #1

#1 Eye M Smokin	Opened a clear lead and then was caught late last time out; has the speed again and will be doubly tough as he drew the rail.
#6 Petes Favorite	Drew outside in the Pauls Valley last time and takes a big class drop; was 3rd in three races leading up to his last one and fits well with these.
#7 Bubba Bad	Ran down Eye M Smokin last time out and goes for his 4th straight win; winning out of the No. 7 post won't be easy.
Race Summary	Eye M Smokin has speed and the rail and might get loose again; one to catch.

Remington Park - Race #8

#9 Packsaddle Senator	Was a solid 3rd in a trial in her only start and can move on to bigger and better things after this one; looks like a maiden winner.
#1 Wyngnutt	Had some trouble at the start and still ran 4th in his debut; tough with a clean trip.
#5 Dr Gold Digger	Has a pair of good works to his credit and likely will show some run in his 1st test.
Race Summary	Packsaddle Senator just missed vs. futurity trial company, drops to the maiden ranks and is the one to hold off here.

Remington Park - Race #9

#10 Tough to Bee	Has won more than $735,000 and comes off a 3rd in the Mr Jet Moore; ready for his 1st win in two years.
#12 Zoomn On Bye	Was a closing 2nd in a derby trial last out and could improve in his 2nd over the strip.
#9 This is a Deal Too	Had trouble in his last two but has several too starts to his credit and is a regular in stakes races; had a tough trip 1st out.
Race Summary	Tough to Bee has a class advantage and is rounding back into good form; capable of a big finish.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:18 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 6	$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Optional Claiming $25,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $46,000 • Post: 3:17P
(RAIL AT 115 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT FIVE FURLONGS)

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CATHARSIS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highe st average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AWSUM ROAR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CATCH A THRILL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase S peed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
7	CATHARSIS	7/2	4/1
11	AWSUM ROAR	8/1	9/2
6	CATCH A THRILL	9/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	CATHARSIS	7	7/2	Front-runner	97	86	95.8	86.4	83.9
3	BYE BYE NICKY	3	6/1	Front-runner	82	83	83.8	81.8	65.8
11	AWSUM ROAR	11	8/1	Stalker	95	89	92.6	87.2	82.7
1	MALIBEAUTY	1	7/2	Stalker	80	78	73.0	73.9	61.4
4	SMACK	4	3/1	Stalker	85	77	61.2	79.4	66.9
8	SOME SAY SO	8	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	93	86	53.0	81.8	69.8
9	MISS MIAMI	9	8/1	Trailer	91	86	77.2	81.8	69.8
6	CATCH A THRILL	6	9/2	Trailer	90	87	62.0	82.7	70.2
2	HY DOLLFACE	2	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	85	88	84.8	71.0	52.5
5	TIDE STORM	5	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	85	81	80.0	75.4	58.4
10	MISS BEHAVE	10	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	83	59.1	78.9	68.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:18 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park

Oaklawn Park - Race 10	Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 109 • Purse: $125,000 • Post: 5:16P
CAROUSEL S. - FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE. $750 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND $1,250 ADDITIONAL TO START. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE BY THE CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES AT A FEE OF $3,000 WHICH QUALIFIES TO START WITH $125,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH 60% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 2% TO BE DIVIDED EQUALLY BETWEEN REMAINING STARTERS. WEIGHTS: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $50,000 IN 2020, ALLOWED 3 LBS.; $40,000 IN 2020 ALLOWED 5 LBS. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. THE OWNER OF THE WINNER TO RECEIVE A TROPHY. CLOSED THURSDAY, APRIL 16, 2020 WITH 30 NOMINEES.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * AMY'S CHALLENGE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MIDNIGHT FANTASY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. BELLAFINA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MIA MISCHIEF: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. LADY SUEBEE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	AMY'S CHALLENGE	4/1	6/1
2	MIDNIGHT FANTASY	5/1	7/1
1	BELLAFINA	8/5	7/1
8	MIA MISCHIEF	9/2	7/1
7	LADY SUEBEE	20/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	AMY'S CHALLENGE	6	4/1	Front-runner	110	100	103.0	99.0	92.0
5	CLASSY ACT	5	15/1	Front-runner	100	93	97.6	86.8	74.8
7	LADY SUEBEE	7	20/1	Front-runner	102	95	97.4	95.2	85.7
3	SUNNY DALE	3	6/1	Stalker	95	98	101.2	91.2	81.2
2	MIDNIGHT FANTASY	2	5/1	Stalker	107	101	98.4	96.4	88.9
1	BELLAFINA	1	8/5	Stalker	108	110	88.3	102.5	94.5
4	WHAT A FOX	4	8/1	Stalker	102	95	85.8	92.2	79.2
8	MIA MISCHIEF	8	9/2	Stalker	100	106	79.2	100.0	96.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:19 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

04/25/20, OP, Race 3, 1.37 CT
04/25/20,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 Purse $23,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. Claiming Price $30,000, if for $25,000, allowed 2 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	7	North Side	2-1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	FEL	57.14	2.14/$1
097.61	5	Connection	7/2	Rosario J	Sadler John W.	JTW	57.14	2.14/$1
094.98	1	Flexati	4-1	Birzer A	Smith Kenny P.	SC	34.94	1.32/$1
094.91	14	Preacher	6-1	Felix J E	Hollendorfer Jerry		40.38	1.56/$1
094.69	4	I Lived It	10-1	Harr K	Morse Randy L.		33.33	1.18/$1
093.04	12	Uncle Tap	8-1	Baze T	Villafranco Federico		31.62	1.11/$1
092.73	8	Da Gold Room	20-1	Bailey C	Hartman Chris A.		33.33	1.18/$1
092.66	13	Wild Tonight	15-1	Thompson T J	Litfin Nevada		31.25	1.23/$1
091.88	11	Allen's Rocket	20-1	Canchari A L	Chleborad Lynn		40.38	1.56/$1
091.45	3	Maybe a Spider	15-1	Rocco. Jr. J	Fires William H.		57.14	2.14/$1
091.32	2	My Vow Is Courage(b+)	20-1	Wales T	Rengstorf Tony		31.25	1.23/$1
090.48	6	Fearless Rocket	15-1	De La Cruz W	Martin William N.		31.62	1.11/$1
090.41	10	Special Pryce	20-1	Quinonez L S	Swearingen Thomas H.		57.14	2.14/$1
090.38	9	Knockout Bert	20-1	Eramia R E	Green Aidan		57.14	2.14/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.87, ROI 0.86/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:19 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $10700 Class Rating: 90

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 FLIGHT FORCE 5/1
# 6 PETES FAVORITE 8/1
# 1 EYE M SMOKIN 3/1

FLIGHT FORCE looks quite good to best this field. If you gander closely, this entrant has some longshot possibilities. Has a strong shot for this event if you like back class. Joiner has this gelding moving well and is a very good choice based on the formidable speed figures garnered in longer quarter horse races recently. PETES FAVORITE - Is hard not to look at based on speed figures which have been formidable - 76 avg - of late. Put up a reliable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:19 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 PIE O MY 2/1
# 8 DECOSTER 9/2
# 6 RIGGSKI 5/1

PIE O MY is my choice. Could wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved quickly to the lead recently. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last race. DECOSTER - Has to be given consideration here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. RIGGSKI - Is hard not to consider based on Equibase speed figs which have been quite good - 57 avg - of late. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong Equibase speed figs (50 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:20 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:28pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#9 PADDY O'DINI (ML=5/1)
#1 PROFESSIONAL (ML=3/1)

PADDY O'DINI - Stalking speed. My sidekicks and I like this horse. This fine animal has a lot of class. A good sign in a grass race like we have today. PROFESSIONAL - Entered at the same class level and distance of his last win, which is a big plus for this gelding. This jock and handler's horses have been producing a positive return on investment. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is meeting an easier field than in the last race at Tampa Bay Downs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BARREL OF STOUT (ML=4/1), #4 FLIGHT DECK (ML=5/1), #11 ROSAS WAY (ML=6/1),

BARREL OF STOUT - In the last race this runner finished seventh. Doesn't look good for his chances this time out. FLIGHT DECK - Not probable that this animal will finish better than he did last time out of the box when finishing sixth. ROSAS WAY - Granted the last race was good, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #9 PADDY O'DINI on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	9 with 1 with [2,7,12] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	9 with 1 with [2,6,7,11,12] with [2,6,7,11,12] Total Cost: $20
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	[1,9] with [1,9] with [2,6,7,12] with [2,6,7,12] with [2,6,7,12] Total Cost: $48

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 09:20 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

04/25/20, GP, Race 10, 5.25 ET
04/25/20,GP,10,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 CLAIMING. Purse $35,000 (includes up to $4,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since March 25 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000 (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile and One Sixteenth) (Rail at 115 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	6	Crypto Gold	4-1	Saez L	Maker Michael J.	FC	40.43	1.47/$1
099.64	7	Noble Hope	6-1	Vasquez M A	Pino Michael V.	TSE	31.39	1.37/$1
098.90	4	Stock Trade	7/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Mott William I.	JW	31.39	1.37/$1
096.47	10	Vegas Kitten	3-1	Davis D	Maker Michael J.		31.39	1.37/$1
094.65	3	New Year	9/2	Gonzalez S	Rodriguez Juan Andres		31.39	1.37/$1
093.62	9	Seeking Revenge	15-1	Juarez N	Stephens John D.		31.39	1.37/$1
093.59	2	Go Away	10-1	Zayas E J	Plesa. Jr. Edward		31.39	1.37/$1
091.26	5	Maryland Pride	12-1	Panici L	Campitelli Jessica J.		31.39	1.37/$1
090.55	1	Aequor	6-1	Reyes L R	Gonzalez Oscar M.	L	31.39	1.37/$1
090.49	8	Kingsville	15-1	Lebron V	Dobles Elizabeth L.		31.39	1.37/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 18.60, ROI 0.63/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	6	Crypto Gold	4-1	Saez L	Maker Michael J.	FC	29.24	1.19/$1
099.34	4	Stock Trade	7/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Mott William I.	JW	29.24	1.19/$1
099.32	7	Noble Hope	6-1	Vasquez M A	Pino Michael V.	SE	29.24	1.19/$1
097.00	10	Vegas Kitten	3-1	Davis D	Maker Michael J.		33.77	1.10/$1
094.86	2	Go Away	10-1	Zayas E J	Plesa. Jr. Edward		29.24	1.19/$1
094.04	3	New Year	9/2	Gonzalez S	Rodriguez Juan Andres		29.24	1.19/$1
093.31	5	Maryland Pride	12-1	Panici L	Campitelli Jessica J.		29.24	1.19/$1
092.61	9	Seeking Revenge	15-1	Juarez N	Stephens John D.		29.24	1.19/$1
091.90	1	Aequor	6-1	Reyes L R	Gonzalez Oscar M.	L	29.24	1.19/$1
091.02	8	Kingsville	15-1	Lebron V	Dobles Elizabeth L.		29.24	1.19/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 32.80, ROI 1.14/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-25-2020, 10:47 AM

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	HORSES – Tampa Bay Downs Race 2: #8 to WIN
2.	Gameday Network	HORSES – Remington Park Race 7: #10 to WIN
3.	VegasSI.com	HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 1: #10 to WIN
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	HORSES – Tampa Bay Downs Race 6: #5 to WIN
5.	Sports Action 365	HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 9: #3 to WIN
6.	Point Spread Report	HORSES – Remington Park Race 6: #8 to WIN
7.	Lou Panelli	HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 3: #4 to WIN
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	HORSES – Tampa Bay Downs Race 5: #11 to WIN
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 6: #8 to WIN
10.	William E. Stockton	HORSES – Tampa Bay Downs Race 1: #7 to WIN
11.	Vincent Pioli	HORSES – Los Alamitos Race 7: #7 to WIN
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 10: #10 to WIN
13.	SCORE	HORSES – Oaklawn Park Race 4: #10 to WIN
14.	East Coast Line Movers	HORSES – Los Alamitos Race 3: #4 to WIN
15.	Tony Campone	HORSES – Remington Park Race 3: #9 to WIN
16.	Chicago Sports Group	HORSES – Los Alamitos Race 2: #10 to WIN
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	HORSES – Tampa Bay Downs Race 8: #8 to WIN
18.	VIP Action	HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 9: #4 to WIN
19.	South Beach Sports	HORSES – Oaklawn Park Race 5: #8 to WIN
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	HORSES – Tampa Bay Downs Race 7: #6 to WIN
21.	NY Players Club	HORSES – Oaklawn Park Race 2: #12 to WIN
22.	Fred Callahan	HORSES – Los Alamitos Race 6: #7 to WIN
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	HORSES – Los Alamitos Race 8: #7 to WIN
24.	Michigan Sports	HORSES – Remington Park Race 8: #5 to WIN
25.	National Consensus Report	HORSES – Los Alamitos Race 9: #5 to WIN

Service Plays Saturday 4/25/20

Service Plays Saturday 4/25/20

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