Service Plays Friday 5/15/20

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#3 Madame Moon	Major player goes off the Barboza claim, and somewhat unfathomable 56% move, just-missed last time for Pletcher, drew perfectly, and has plenty of upside off just three starts; look out.
#8 Cherokee Sound	The chalk was just 2nd, beaten just a nose, so clearly she hits hard, but this wide draw isn't ideal, she'll be overbet, and doesn't have the room for improvement like the pick; second-best.
#6 Laska	Class riser adds blinkers after a good 2nd from a bad draw last time, and this equipment change is a 3-for-5 move for Matz, and she already fits nicely with these on paper; do not ignore.
Race Summary	You're not getting the 8-1 ML on the pick but even 9-2 or so seems fair on a gal who could move way up, not to mention she drew best of her main rivals too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, as this is a deep field, and a win in the $11 range would likely play a lot higher in both sequences.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#8 Allegedly Perfect	Price player got to the turf in his third start and really improved after dueling early, drew a perfect attack post here, and should only build off that encouraging run; upset special.
#2 Uncle George	Expected chalk debuts for Clement, who is a potent 27% with firsters, and he's kin to some nice ones, but the inside is no bargain, and the barn is on a big cold streak; trying to beat.
#6 Carribean Gold	Logical sort cut back last time and was a good 3rd, while ahead of the pick too, so he's obviously a big threat, though his lack of early speed is a bit worrisome; still, looms in the mix.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 8, even though that turf debut last time was very sharp, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he may fall through the wagering cracks with some sexier connections lined up, even though he won't have to improve much at all off the run last time to have a big say here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#7 Cometin	Class dropper goes off the Baxter a claim, a stiff 33% angle, but also enters off a June layoff, so something clearly went amiss, but still, this is a top local barn, his form was best when last seen, and this move just looks like a perfect poker play, while daring anyone to claim him; spotted to score.
#10 So Long Chuck	Pace player did well to draw outside for his pressing style, as he can gauge things to the inside and proceed accordingly, or simply go on with it early if no one else goes, and the slight class drop after dueling throughout for 8k and tiring late to be 3rd won't hurt either; looms the main danger.
#3 French Quarter	ML favorite has some solid recent form and now goes off the claim for David, which is a sterling 35% angle from a 17-horse sample, but it's not like his form is any great shakes, and improving off Joseph isn't easy, plus this one just failed at short odds last time as well; willing to make him prove it.
Race Summary	Another ML miss, as you aren't sniffing 4-1 here, and if you do then clearly the 7 is damaged goods, but in the 5-2/3-1 range you can make an aggressive win and place bet, though you can get some built-in value by singling him in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he looks very cleverly placed here, and would be tough to deny if ready to deliver anything remotely close to his best.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Charles Town - Race #3

#7 A Is for Artist	Has some tracking pace that might prove useful from the wide draw at this short trip, but the abbreviated distance might work in his favor.
#5 Cyclobomb	Has had nine chances, and the form is sort of all over the place, but his best stuff would do here. Tough read at a likely underlaid price.
#3 Grandpa Louie	No doubt he can win this, but he has lost four of his last five as the odds-on favorite, so it's going to be an easy pass for me on principle here.
Race Summary	A Is for Artist might get a good run while prompting the splits from the outside. He'll have to fire off a September layoff, but the two likely favorites are short on excuses and worth trying to beat.

Charles Town - Race #4

#3 Dubai Was Lit	Reliable type runs her race almost every time, and her very best stuff would be good enough to handle these at a mid-range price.
#4 Star of Night	The one to beat off a couple of romping wins earlier this year, but this is a deeper bunch than she faced in either of those two, and she's sure to get bet again.
#1 Malibu Splash	Tends to come running late, and the inside draw might allow her to find a cozy spot while sitting in behind the leaders.
Race Summary	Dubai Was Lit is attractive at something like 7/2 or 4/1 in here, as her best races stack up favorably with the chalk drawn outside of her.

Charles Town - Race #8

#1 Parisian Diva	She'll have to fire fresh off the October break, but she rolled in her comeback race last year and owns several recent efforts that would leave the rest of these running for second.
#2 Amelia Bedelia	Looks like the main danger to the top choice off a good win last out, and she almost always shows up with something very close to her baseline effort.
#6 Lucille of Troy	Not really sure what to make of this one, but she easily handled that Penn allowance bunch and might be in line for a piece here with something similar.
Race Summary	Parisian Diva should be tough off the bench, as she dunked on a field off a layoff last year and owns reliable running lines that should be able to handle these if she comes back running at all.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Remington Park - Race #2

#1 Fds of Seattle	Lost a photo at this distance last out and this old-timer (10yo) looks like he's sitting on a win.
#3 Give It To Shaq	Was 3rd two back and was shuffled back in his latest; will get a better trip in this one.
#4 Flight to La Jolla	Was a decent 3rd in his 1st 870 attempt and has the chance to improve with one under his belt at the distance.
Race Summary	Fds of Seattle just missed last out, gets the rail and can press from the start of this one; should have something left.

Remington Park - Race #3

#7 Eyesa Painted Pistol	Was up in time two back and had a tough trip last out; with a clean trip she can return to the winner's circle.
#8 Charm the Chief	Held on for a narrow win under these conditions last time out; should be tough right back.
#2 Merrilees Valentine	Beat N2L company in her 1st of the year and might be able to handle the step up in conditions.
Race Summary	Eyesa Painted Pistol usually runs well when she doesn't have trouble and can battle from the start of this one.

Remington Park - Race #7

#8 Jess a Hilbily Bone	Likely will benefit from having some quality starts this season and was 4th in the Distance Challenge here last out; needs some breaks with his running style but should be moving well late.
#1 Regards Miracle	Was up in time vs. allowance company at Sunland and is a stakes winner at the distance.
#6 Illtakeyouforaride	Won three of his last six and was rolling late for 3rd in a stakes race at Zia last December; has trained well for his return.
Race Summary	Jess a Hilbily Bone has shown interest late in his recent races and it could work in his favor that the other top contenders have not been running lately.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FujitaPunter
Baseball Taiwan CPBL 2020
Uni Lions – Chinatrust Brothers
Over 12.5
Baseball South Korea KBO 2020
LG Twins – Kiwoom Heroes
Kiwoom Heroes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 unit Play. #305004. Competition: Belarus Premier League. Take Torpedo BelAZ (-160) MONEY LINE over Gorodeya. (Friday @ 11:00 AM est) (For this to Win, Torpedo must Win by 1 or more goals, a Draw is a Loss, Regulation + Injury time).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 3	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $6,250 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $8,800 • Post: 6:54P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * MY GATOR AID: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. DUSTING EM: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. THE CASH FERRY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TJJ BODACIOUS BOY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. CHARM THE CHIEF: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designati on.
6	MY GATOR AID	15/1	5/1
1	DUSTING EM	6/1	6/1
4	THE CASH FERRY	12/1	8/1
5	TJJ BODACIOUS BOY	15/1	9/1
8	CHARM THE CHIEF	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	DUSTING EM	1	6/1	Average	83	65	4.7	0.0	0.0
2	MERRILEES VALENTINE	2	10/1	Average	69	64	5.8	0.0	0.0
3	MR DEE CADE	3	8/1	Fast	65	68	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	THE CASH FERRY	4	12/1	Average	82	70	4.7	0.0	0.0
5	TJJ BODACIOUS BOY	5	15/1	Average	73	67	0.0	0.0	0.0
6	MY GATOR AID	6	15/1	Fast	85	71	3.5	0.0	0.0
7	EYEZA PAINTED PISTOL	7	3/1	Average	70	64	5.9	0.0	0.0
8	CHARM THE CHIEF	8	4/1	Fast	71	62	1.0	0.0	0.0
9	EASIER TO LIE	9	9/2	Fast	69	61	1.9	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 3	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Rolling Super High Five
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 1:14P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. (IF A CAL-BRED WINS THIS RACE, THE OWNER WILL RECEIVE A $10,000 INCENTIVE AWARD DIRECTLY FROM THE CALIFORNIA THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS' ASSOCIATION.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * OLIVE YOU MORE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STAR OF AFRICA: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). ILLAPAWNIE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SAPORI GIRL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MOON OVER MAG BAY: Jockey/Trainer comb ination win percentage is at least 30.
1	OLIVE YOU MORE	7/2	5/1
3	STAR OF AFRICA	6/1	6/1
7	ILLAPAWNIE	3/1	8/1
6	SAPORI GIRL	5/1	8/1
5	MOON OVER MAG BAY	10/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	ILLAPAWNIE	7	3/1	Stalker	88	79	79.8	68.7	61.2
5	MOON OVER MAG BAY	5	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	79	84.4	74.9	62.9
1	OLIVE YOU MORE	1	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	90	78	71.6	73.5	68.5
2	DON'T UNZIP ME	2	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	86	84	71.1	57.7	50.2
6	SAPORI GIRL	6	5/1	Trailer	82	82	83.8	82.8	76.8
4	ZAHRA	4	8/1	Trailer	81	75	73.5	67.3	56.3
3	STAR OF AFRICA	3	6/1	Trailer	97	72	38.9	68.3	61.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 57

FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 COMMCAT 3/1
# 3 CHEESE LOUISE 7/2
# 6 HOW IS SHE 6/1

COMMCAT looks to be the bet in here. Has decent Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Earned a formidable speed rating in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. Reliable average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a key contender. CHEESE LOUISE - Could provide positive returns based on very good recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 54. Will most likely come out very strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the front end recently. HOW IS SHE - Has performed strongly recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 50 avg speed figure. Strong rider with handler figures make this horse a strong choice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:13pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#5 MISS MARIS (ML=5/1)
#1 MYSTIC COMIN HOME (ML=7/2)


MISS MARIS - Jaramillo and Sweezey partnered with one another are a punter's friend. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier bunch than last out at Tampa Bay Downs. MYSTIC COMIN HOME - You always have to be on the patrol for money making jock/conditioner combinations; we have one right here. This filly is in good form, having run a strong race on Apr 18th, finishing first. This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TALKTHETALK (ML=9/5), #2 NO SE VENDE (ML=4/1), #4 TOONIE LOONIE (ML=6/1),

TALKTHETALK - I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. NO SE VENDE - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to notch a much better speed fig than in the last race to vie in this dirt sprint. TOONIE LOONIE - Only beat maiden claimers in the last race. It's going to be very tough for this racer to repeat versus winners. Finished first in her most recent performance with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 MISS MARIS is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

05/15/20, TAM, Race 1, 12.25 ET
05/15/20,TAM,1,6F [Dirt] 1:08:03 CLAIMING. Purse $10,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 15. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since April 15 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	7	Tale of a Song	6-1	Alencar W	Ferraro M. Anthony	FW	36.84	1.45/$1
098.12	6	Greeley's Farewell	8-1	Santos A	Ferraro M. Anthony		31.49	1.15/$1
096.46	5	Junction	9/2	Spieth S	Carrasco. Jr. Victor		36.84	1.45/$1
096.10	1	Tartan the Bull	5-1	Allen. Jr. R D	Bowersock Maria	L	36.84	1.45/$1
095.82	2	Elusive Ro	5/2	Gallardo A A	Rodriguez Angel M.	JE	36.84	1.45/$1
095.06	8	Sammy's Mineshaft	3-1	Cotto. Jr. P L	Pimental John I.	S	36.84	1.45/$1
094.73	3	Steady Earner	10-1	Frates D J	Wright Michael W.	TC	36.84	1.45/$1
090.63	4	Hebgone	20-1	Coa K J	Tsirigotis. Jr. James		36.84	1.45/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 32.08, ROI 0.82/$1

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 72

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MISS RYLEIGH 7/2
# 13 AWESOME ALESSANDRA 4/1
# 3 FLYING BUSINESS 6/1

My pick here is MISS RYLEIGH. Ranked high in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. She ought to be given a chance given the strong speed figs. AWESOME ALESSANDRA - With a very strong 72 speed rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. FLYING BUSINESS - Her chances to win are much better today facing this softer field. Ought to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:28pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#13 SLEEPING GIANT (ML=15/1)
#5 POPLAR AVENUE (ML=8/1)
#10 MALIBU SUNSET (ML=7/2)
#2 ON THIS DAY (ML=6/1)


SLEEPING GIANT - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Joy. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's race is a shorter distance and should help his likelihood of winning. The rider and trainer combination have a favorable ROI when they combine forces. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This horse has the topmost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish. Joy must think that this gelding will adapt to the tight turns at Charles Town, perhaps because he's had success on the turf. POPLAR AVENUE - Boyce has this gelding signed up for the ideal contest. MALIBU SUNSET - Thorpe was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the equine right back. This gelding is a gem of consistency, almost always in the top three. ON THIS DAY - Strong return on investment for this jockey and handler duo.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 NOPALITO (ML=3/1), #8 POET WARRIOR (ML=9/2),

NOPALITO - I think this morning-line favorite needs this race under his belt to start getting back into shape. Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 4 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint affair lately. POET WARRIOR - This gelding is always around, but just doesn't win. Hard to bet on him on the win end. This gelding earned a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#13 SLEEPING GIANT to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,10,13]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

05/15/20, SA, Race 6, 3.00 PT
05/15/20,SA,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:00 CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since December 31 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered ).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	4	Treasure Hunter	7/2	Cedillo A	Glatt Mark	FEW	39.42	1.66/$1
097.76	3	C Dub	12-1	Fuentes R	Papaprodromou George	L	39.42	1.66/$1
097.75	9	Adens Dream	9/5	Figueroa C	Sadler John W.	JS	36.05	1.26/$1
097.68	5	Black Storm	5-1	Flores E	Mullins Jeff	T	39.42	1.66/$1
097.15	8	Oh Marvelous Me	5-1	Prat F	Glatt Mark		39.42	1.66/$1
094.68	2	Erotic	6-1	Rispoli U	Carava Jack	C	39.42	1.66/$1
093.53	1	Original Intent	30-1	Franco G	Greenman Dean		39.42	1.66/$1
092.72	6	R Cha Cha	20-1	Gutierrez M	Papaprodromou George		39.42	1.66/$1
092.45	7	Buster Douglas (BRZ)	8-1	Velez J I	Pineda Milton G.		39.42	1.66/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.25, ROI 4.07/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

Santa Anita Picks 5/15

Fri May 15, 2020 8:55 am
First day back fro Santa Anita and I have 3 races capped. Yesterday we hit the 6-4 exacta in the first and it paid $23.40 and Don't Get Khozy wins the eighth. Goodluck today

Race 1
#5 Drop The Chalupa $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-6-3

Race 3
#5 Strictly Biz $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-9-2

Race 7
#4 Kaylas Cowgirl $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 4-5-9