Service Plays Friday 5/29/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #1

    Service Plays Friday 5/29/20

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #2
    Weekly Bankroll Builder: May 29 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 Play

    May 27, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

    Weekly Bankroll Builder: May 29 Gulfstream Park Late Pk4 Play

    Wednesday, May 27, 2020 by Host Brian Nadeau

    We’re likely a week away from the return of the extremely popular Stronach 5, so let’s attack Friday’s late Pk4 at Gulfstream Park one more time, which has a few legs that could be ripe for big upsets. Here’s hoping the rains steer clear and we have a fair go of it.

    *** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update, as well as on Twitter. ***

    Race 7 (3:49 ET): 3up 30k claimer at 5 furlongs (turf)

    Tossing the speed going this short over this turf course is always a worry, but there’s so much of it here that (barring a mass of scratches) I have to think this falls apart in the lane, and that’s how I’ll play it. And considering three of my four A’s are big prices, I like my strategy even more. The list starts with #5 OAK BLUFFS (10-1), who was last seen running a good 5th to better behind the raging Tiger Blood, so the drop, and a closing style that will be flattered by the race flow, just might get him there today. I’m very interested in #6 FUEL THE BERN (8-1), another dropper, and this one should be stalking the pace, and while he’s been on the dirt 11 straight, the turf run at the bottom of his PPs was solid, and he hinted he’s showing signs of life off that 5th last time. An outside attack post says you have to use #8 R BOY EVENS (5-2), but it’s worrisome Maker didn’t get any improvement from him off the claim, and one start later he’s willing to lose him for the same 30k, not to mention pressing/dueling early and holding on late—at an underlaid price—isn’t ideal for this spot. Lastly, I’ll toss in a real bomber in #10 HONOLULU EXPRESS (15-1), another closer who will run on late, likes the course (3-for-8), and really isn’t that far off these on paper anyway.

    Pk4 A horses: 5,6,8,10 (listed in order of preference)

    The two speeds inside are good—and very fast—which is why you read above how I’m playing this race, but I have a lot of respect for the form of #1 GOOD BYE GREG (9-2), and #2 APACHE BRAVE (3-1), and the former is off an October layoff for Rivelli, who is an insane 62% from a 39-horse sample off this elongated break, while the latter, with Lopez up and blinkers-on, could speed pop this group, so I’ll use them both, though ultimately I still think this falls apart.

    Pk4 B horses: 2,1

    Potential B add ins: NONE

    Race 8: 3upfm Florida-bred AOC (16k/N1X) at 6 furlongs

    It’s going to be extremely tough to beat #7 FLORA FANTASY (7-5), who just won at the level last time, gets an even better pace setup today, keeps Irad, and goes off the claim for Delgado (34%) and Drawing Away, which means she could improve that much more off the win last time. And all of that is why I won’t try to beat her, and take the free square that she looks like.

    Pk4 A horses: 7 (listed in order of preference)

    I know #3 Sayonara Baby (9-2) was only a half-length behind ‘Fantasy last time, but she got loose that day and still couldn’t hold on, and there seems to be more speed here, so she looks like a very likely candidate to regress today, and so there will be no backups, since the rest just don’t stack up.

    Pk4 B horses: NONE

    Potential B add ins: #3 Sayonara Baby (9-2), #4 Assume Control (12-1)

    Race 9: 3f 25k SAL at 5 furlongs (turf)

    There’s plenty of speed in this turf dash too, but it’s looks best, so I’m definitely using #11 SWIRLING CANDY (5-2), who will be attacking under Irad off the Delgado claim (34%), and #6 TWEET AWAY ROBIN (7-2), who is off the Maker claim (15%) after an MCL dirt win by the length of the stretch. With that being said, the class-dropping #9 HAPPY LOUDON (15-1), who will be a big price, will also be closing late, has a lot of upside, and isn’t far off the top pair on paper either, so if it collapses, just maybe she blows this up from out of the clouds.

    Pk4 A horses: 11,9,6 (listed in order of preference)

    Working out a trip from down inside, and not getting fried by the pace, won’t be easy for #2 POSEIDON’S PASSION (3-1), but she did rate and win two-back, so maybe she can pull that trip again here, which would give her a chance, though easier said than done, hence her supporting role.

    Pk4 B horses: 2

    Potential B add ins: NONE

    Race 10: 3up 12.5k N2L at 1-mile (turf)

    It’s tough to get too cute in the finally, as the two MSW droppers—#6 WIND RIDGE (7-2) AND #7 SUPERHIGHWAY (9-2)—simply look better than a very weak bunch. I’ll side with the former, who has the best dirt race showing, will get more speed the rally into on the cutback to one-turn, and has a big recency edge on his main rival, not to mention will be a better price too. ‘Highway is going to be bet off the board for Brown, Klarman, and Irad, and he may well win, but he also hasn’t run since June, was always part of the B-team anyway, and frankly, was pretty bad in both starts, so sure, he still can win, but at short odds he’s not the type to stand alone with.

    Pk4 A horses: 6,7 (listed in order of preference)

    I could easily have put #5 NIMBLE BEAST (5-2) on the top line, as he may be a Lone F and almost wired at the level last time, but he stretches out a furlong here, and meets two stiff class droppers from potent connections, so I’m just not sure he can reproduce that run, even if he does clear.

    Pk4 B horses: 5

    Potential B add ins: NONE

    The suggested tickets (all can be played for more than $0.50):

    Main Ticket: 5,6,8,10 with 7 with 11,9,6 with 6,7 = $12
    Race 7 B Backup: 2,1 with 7 with 11,9,6 with 6,7 = $6
    Race 9 B Backup: 5,6,8,10 with 7 with 2 with 6,7 = $4
    Race 10 B Backup: 5,6,8,10 with 7 with 11,9,6 with 5 = $6
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


      May 29, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
      My focus will be on the Late Pick 4 at Northfield Park which starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool but it could be considerably higher. The pool on Wednesday night was a hefty $42,000.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 11

      3-Kehmmywood (3/2)-Even effort in qualifier but veteran drops into a soft spot and knows how to win. Looking to start the ticket with a single and will hope 10-year-old brings a top effort.

      Race 12

      2-One More Mission (5/2)-Far back early but kept pacing through the mile in qualifier. Tune-up was on sloppy track but paced the back half in 57.1 and should be in the mix this evening.
      3-Westfiftythird (7/2)-Wrenn takes a seat and that won't hurt. Should be forwardly placed in a race without much form, so best to respect.
      6-Roscoe Village (12-1)-Even effort in tune-up on a sloppy track. Camera shy but he is not alone. Seems to be worth a swing at 12-1 in the morning line.
      7-Trace Of Lindy (5-1)-Sold for $20,000 in November and now makes first start for the Smith barn. Has speed and also has had breaking issues. Maybe things are changing, has stayed on stride without hopples in last two qualifiers.
      9-Dontyousayit (4-1)-Qualified well at ScD and has a win and a 2nd place finish in three starts at Nfld. Post doesn't help and is only 2-17 lifetime, but could be a threat versus this crew if Sugg provides a good steer.

      Race 13

      2-Blue Spanx (3-1)-Drops into a nice spot and comes off a strong qualifier. 2020 record is 0-15 but seems to have a big shot for a picture tonight.
      5-Given Up Terror (2-1)-Comes off a nice qualifier and should like the company. Over the last 2-years has only 3 wins in 51 starts. Will use but look to others also for some value.
      7-Mr I Am (20-1)-Fits with this bunch, raced well in qualifier and should be a big price. My guess is Stahl will leave and could find a close-up seat behind one of the chalks.
      8-Striking Reality (15-1)-If pace is lively this 5-year-old can roll late and had a nice tune-up. The question is whether Grismore can get him into striking range. Looks to be worth the risk at 15-1 in the morning line.

      Race 14

      4-Otsego (7/5)-Steps down to a more comfortable spot after a needed start. Lightly raced 4-year-old could be sitting on a big try.
      7-Setit And Forgetit (8-1)-Has finished in the money in 5 of 7 starts at Nfld with 2-wins. Hall will not be driving but whoever steers needs an alert start. 4-year-old can make one big brush and does know how to win.

      $1 Pick 4

      3/2,3,6,7,9/2,5,7,8/4,7
      Total Bet=$40
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #4
        Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


        Gulfstream Park - Race #1
        #5 Veer Tactical sort takes a slight drop in class and enters with some decent enough form off her last two, and with just four starts there's still upside here, and with a strong favorite next door, she'll offer a hint of value as well; love her chances in here.
        #6 Cactus Kitten Ramsey homebred daughter of Kitten's Joy debuts for Maker (13%) and has Irad, so she'll be bet hard, but yikes, she's being given away for 12.5k without even a run, which isn't a good sign for a gal with such a big pedigree; tread very lightly.
        #7 Bettin Onna Kitten Stretch runner made a big late dent last time at a mile, when she rallied from last-of-11 to be 3rd, and it was on the drop to this level too, and you have to think she'll like the extra furlong she gets to deal with today as well; clearly the one to fear late.
        Race Summary There's a lot to like about the 5, most notably her tactical speed and her price, not to mention she faces a potentially vulnerable favorite and the rest of these gals aren't much, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since there are ore than a few here who will take play, and getting home a $10 or so winner will knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat.
        Gulfstream Park - Race #4
        #7 Fancified McPeek charge has turned into a new gal since getting to the turf, winning two straight, and while this group is tougher, she fits on paper, and her stretch running style might appreciate a taxing course with some give to it from all the recent rain; hat trick time.
        #1 Toffen Heavy hitter is lightly raced and has a ton of upside, drew perfectly, and will be on or just off the pace, which means she's going to be in the right spot off the far turn, and she won't have to improve much, if not at all, off that recent 2nd to win this; the gal to beat.
        #2 Hurricane Breeze ML favorite will be bet hard for Maker off the claim (15%), especially since it was for Dubb and Irad rides, but she exits just an MCL win, so this is a stiff rise in class, and with little margin for error, and underlaid odds, you're allowed to look elsewhere; trying to beat.
        Race Summary You should get fair value on the pick, as both the 1 and 2 will be played more, even though the 7 is right there with them, and has yet to taste defeat on turf, so play her to win and place, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win in the $10 range, over two who will anchor a lot of tickers, will add plenty of value to both sequences.
        Gulfstream Park - Race #5
        #3 Alpha Babe Magner firster (12%) is by the white-hot sire Malibu Moon, is out of a dam who is a half-sister to GI winner Funny Moon, and goes for a trainer who is from the tree of Pletcher and Brown, so he knows what to do with a young and talented horse; look out.
        #1 Deemed Essential The chalk for Pletcher has Irad too, so don't expect any value here for a barn that is potent in these early season 2yos dashes, and they paid 125k for a daughter of 10k young sire Upstart, so she clearly looked the part, though the rail is no bargain; second-best.
        #6 Go Jo Jo Go Tricky read was bet off the board on debut for a Yates barn that is firing, though she didn't have a fair go of it and was basically eased, so how she responds is a big guess, though the price will be a lot better if you're stringing along; far too early to give up on.
        Race Summary Tab the tote on the 3, as you want to see her live and taking money into the teeth of the 1, and if that's the case you can play her to win and place, though you'll get some built-in value by using her to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will be singling 'Essential, even though there are a few hurdles, and the pick looks like a runner.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Charles Town - Race #3
          #8 Love You Goodbye Is starting to get short on excuses with four runner-up finishes from six starts, but she's pretty reliable and can get another good run from close range.
          #9 Rumourist Debuter doesn't meet a whole lot at first asking, and the barn has been off to a hot start since racing resumed recently.
          #4 Carpe Amorina Hit or miss form is still a concern, and even though the local debut was decent, that was still a huge lead she coughed up late in the lane. The one to beat.
          Race Summary Love You Goodbye might get a bit overlooked with this bunch, and she's got the speed to be in the mix from the break. Carpe Amorina can win this, but I wouldn't be excited about taking another short price.
          Charles Town - Race #7
          #1 Lady Storm Will need to fire off the December break, but she has been razor-sharp in her last three, and she figures capable of controlling the tempo from the rail.
          #6 Brushing Made a winning impression in the local debut when never headed at 3/2, and while that nine-length romp fits here if she's able to repeat it, that's a big 'if' on a pretty steep hike.
          #9 Sniff Should get a decent run of things from close range, and she has a really solid ability to rate that will give her rider some options for placing her after the break.
          Race Summary Lady Storm has enough pace to find the front in here, but she also won her last from well off the splits. She's dangerous and the one to beat in this spot.
          Charles Town - Race #8
          #5 Anna's Bandit Won't offer any price, but it's really tough to get past her. She has been a bear with the local company and won two stakes here last year by nearly nine lengths combined. She was recently a good third with Grade III company and should handle these.
          #1 Parisian Diva Looks like the main danger, but any pace pressure is going to hurt her the most from the fence. Her local record of 13/9-2-1 is tough to argue with, but the top choice might just be too good.
          #3 Cameron Street Is totally overmatched with these on paper, but she occasionally sucks up for a piece late, and that may be her best chance -- sit back and let everything unfold in hopes that enough horses come back to them late to land a piece.
          Race Summary Anna's Bandit looks very tough, and she owns five wins from seven local tries. Her recent form towers over these on the drop.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Northfield Park - Race #4
            #3 McARTER Best value play against bad bunch of rivals.
            #6 EATAAMSALLFIREDUP Looks best on paper but he’s 0-for-16.
            #9 LOTSAPEPPERONI Meadows invader draws post 9 for 33 percent trainer.
            Race Summary McArter chased short-priced runaways in his last two starts and paced evenly in a race dominated by deep closers at Lexington. He can run past this field at a decent price. Play a 3-6-9 exacta box.
            Northfield Park - Race #1
            #3 RAIN MISS Has ability, will try to show it for new barn in seasonal debut.
            #1 BE A BELIEVER Solid freshman season in sire stakes, starts from rail.
            #2 B ANKING Mare got caught by pocket-sitter after race fave broke stride early.
            Race Summary Rain Miss attracted a lot of betting attention at the fairs, put it all together in an 11-length romp, now gets Lasix for his new connections. Play 3-1 and 3-2 exactas.
            Northfield Park - Race #2
            #2 CAPTAIN’S REIGN Tries to upstage runner-up finishes and reward loyal backers.
            #6 ROBUSTO BLUE CHIP Gets plenty of pace to rally into at a price, use in gimmicks.
            #4 COUSIN LOUIE Good first gear, won nine races last year, mostly at fairs.
            Race Summary Captain’s Reign was the beaten favorite in 3 of 4 starts out of town, but he did manage to finish second three times. He’s the one to beat for top connections. Play 2 with 4, 6 with ALL trifecta.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #7
              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


              Remington Park - Race #2
              #8 Fast Flash Gordon Closed for 3rd vs. stronger field and should appreciate the 400 yards; one to hold off.
              #3 Im Fearless Held 3rd in a derby trial last out and has been in good form this year; clearly capable of running a big one.
              #6 Haggard Was 2nd in his last three, once against track-record breaker Df Lord Garvan; fits well here.
              Race Summary Fast Flash Gordon has run out of real estate in his last two and can put to good use the additional 50 yards of this one.
              Remington Park - Race #5
              #2 Copper Wire Drops to a maiden spot after running against top paints in futurity trials and a final; his best can make him a strong player.
              #3 Bv Snow Chrome Lost by a length last time and should be able to secure a better trip; two of his three starts were good.
              #5 Tunrpikers Candy Didn't fire in his only start, which came in a futurity trial; bred to be a runner.
              Race Summary Copper Wire has taken on some strong opposition and should find this level of competition to his liking.
              Remington Park - Race #6
              #4 Glitter and Gold Ran on well for 2nd last out and takes a slight drop; has been on an extended run of good form.
              #5 Prohibitive Flopped as the favorite last time but his best races would make him a s solid contender.
              #8 El Malkerido Tired as the favorite last time and was a good 2nd two back; can make a run at these.
              Race Summary Glitter and Gold rarely runs a bad one and has a good chance to outfinish this group; can secure his 1st win of the year.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)


                Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 7
                $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager $1 Late Double
                Maiden Claiming $6,250 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $7,545 • Post: 8:48P
                QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HAWKS MAIN INTEREST: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LA ZAINA DE NOGALES: Horse ranks in the top three in T rackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PERRY THE LEGACY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                2
                HAWKS MAIN INTEREST
                2/1
                7/2
                6
                LA ZAINA DE NOGALES
                3/1
                9/2
                5
                PERRY THE LEGACY
                5/1
                9/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                1
                VF FIRST PRIZE MAMA
                1
                5/2
                Average/Trouble-prone
                71
                56
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                2
                HAWKS MAIN INTEREST
                2
                2/1
                Fast/Trouble-prone
                75
                71
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                5
                PERRY THE LEGACY
                5
                5/1
                Average/Trouble-prone
                71
                58
                5.2
                0.0
                0.0
                6
                LA ZAINA DE NOGALES
                6
                3/1
                Average/Trouble-prone
                72
                66
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                7
                JUNES LIGHT
                7
                15/1
                Slow/Trouble-prone
                0
                0
                0.0
                0.0
                0.0
                Unknown Running Style: CARTEL FIRE TWO (8/1) [Jockey: Jasso Mark A - Trainer: Vallejo Adriana], PRINCELY TYPE (15/1) [Jockey: Bednar Vinnie - Trainer: Willoughby Scott].

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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park



                  Remington Park - Race 1
                  Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)
                  Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 CR: 69 • Purse: $9,700 • Post: 6:00P
                  QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FAMOUS FIRE EAGLE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. TEMPTING MONEY: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HERES A QUE STION: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. IMA DESIRIO: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                  7
                  FAMOUS FIRE EAGLE
                  3/1
                  5/1
                  9
                  TEMPTING MONEY
                  8/1
                  7/1
                  4
                  HERES A QUESTION
                  5/1
                  7/1
                  3
                  IMA DESIRIO
                  4/1
                  7/1
                  6
                  SOUTHERN SEPERATION
                  15/1
                  10/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  1
                  DREAM ARTIST
                  1
                  15/1
                  Slow
                  0
                  0
                  6.2
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  2
                  OKEY DOKEYS COCKTAIL
                  2
                  20/1
                  Slow
                  0
                  0
                  8.3
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  3
                  IMA DESIRIO
                  3
                  4/1
                  Average
                  75
                  61
                  4.6
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  4
                  HERES A QUESTION
                  4
                  5/1
                  Fast
                  70
                  63
                  3.1
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  5
                  CAPTURE DE STARS
                  5
                  12/1
                  Fast
                  65
                  52
                  3.4
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  6
                  SOUTHERN SEPERATION
                  6
                  15/1
                  Average
                  65
                  62
                  5.6
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  7
                  FAMOUS FIRE EAGLE
                  7
                  3/1
                  Average
                  69
                  69
                  3.6
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  8
                  OKLAHOMA BANDIT
                  8
                  6/1
                  Average
                  69
                  32
                  5.1
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  9
                  TEMPTING MONEY
                  9
                  8/1
                  Average
                  71
                  67
                  5.0
                  0.0
                  0.0
                  10
                  MY FIRST PRIZE LEENA
                  10
                  10/1
                  Average
                  57
                  53
                  3.8
                  0.0
                  0.0
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 13 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 75

                    QUARTER HORSE 350Y, TWO YEAR OLD NEW MEXICO BREDS THAT ARE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE 2020 MOUNTAIN TOP QUARTER HORSE FUTURITY TRIALS: WEIGHT 124 LBS. ALL HORSES MUST ENTER FOR THE TRIALS ON FRIDAY MAY 22, 2020 BY 10:00 A M AND PAY THE $800 ENTRY FEE, IF THEY ARE TO RUN IN THE TRIALS. LATE NOMINATIONS OF $15,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 6 SIGNATURE WINE 15/1
                    # 2 ABIJAH 5/2
                    # 5 SALEENA 6/1
                    SIGNATURE WINE looks to be a solid contender especially at such a decent 15/1. Sire has produced strong gains with his offspring in their first tries. ABIJAH - Vaunts sound speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. He looks very strong in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. This gelding has a strong winning percentage in short races. SALEENA - Investors may be making a risky move ignoring this conditioner working with a maiden first time starter.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



                      05/29/20, TAM, Race 6, 3.11 ET
                      05/29/20,TAM,6,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since April 29 Allowed 2 lbs. Such ARace Since March 29 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $75,000 (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility).
                      . . . .
                      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                      100.00 10 Gravitas 6-1 Centeno D Thomas Jonathan TFWL 31.91 1.30/$1
                      095.87 4 Cadet Connelly 6-1 Allen. Jr. R D Connelly Teresa 36.17 1.52/$1
                      095.71 1 Danzing Dunhill 7/2 Gallardo A A Weaver George JSE 25.00 1.41/$1
                      094.02 8 Matty's Express 5-1 Spieth S Dini Michael 32.76 1.27/$1
                      093.86 7 Alley Oop Johnny 10-1 Mena R Rigattieri John 28.85 1.32/$1
                      093.25 3 Summer Assault 3-1 Suarez A Boyce Michele 36.17 1.52/$1
                      092.38 9 Mecha Corta 6-1 Batista J A Gutierrez Fausto 25.00 1.41/$1
                      091.86 6 Tapage 15-1 Mejia T B Harty Eoin G. 32.76 1.27/$1
                      090.30 5 Buffalo Max 30-1 Villa-Gomez H Raines Lindsey Marie C 25.00 1.41/$1
                      088.64 2 Battle Creek 20-1 Lopez J E Ali Alnaz 32.76 1.27/$1
                      * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 40.00, ROI 1.36/$1
                      If Race Is Off Turf

                      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                      100.00 10 Gravitas 6-1 Centeno D Thomas Jonathan TFL 38.46 2.05/$1
                      097.09 4 Cadet Connelly 6-1 Allen. Jr. R D Connelly Teresa E 63.64 3.75/$1
                      095.85 1 Danzing Dunhill 7/2 Gallardo A A Weaver George J 36.90 1.17/$1
                      094.89 3 Summer Assault 3-1 Suarez A Boyce Michele S 63.64 3.75/$1
                      094.33 7 Alley Oop Johnny 10-1 Mena R Rigattieri John 63.64 3.75/$1
                      094.01 8 Matty's Express 5-1 Spieth S Dini Michael 28.57 1.20/$1
                      093.02 6 Tapage 15-1 Mejia T B Harty Eoin G. W 28.57 1.20/$1
                      092.90 9 Mecha Corta 6-1 Batista J A Gutierrez Fausto 36.90 1.17/$1
                      090.95 5 Buffalo Max 30-1 Villa-Gomez H Raines Lindsey Marie C 28.57 1.20/$1
                      089.72 2 Battle Creek 20-1 Lopez J E Ali Alnaz 28.57 1.20/$1
                      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.30, ROI 0.70/$1

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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 70

                        Rating:

                        #5 VEER (ML=5/1)
                        #13 HERCULINA (ML=10/1)


                        VEER - After the race aboard this horse on May 7th, the jockey is going to be in touch with the filly much better. A big drop in Equibase class figure points from her May 7th race at Gulfstream Park. Based on that information, I will give this horse the advantage. HERCULINA - This animal could be tough in today's contest, especially since Rodriguez rode last race out and now should be more familiar with this one.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CACTUS KITTEN (ML=2/1), #11 SUBTLE JOY (ML=3/1), #7 BETTIN ONNA KITTEN (ML=9/2),

                        CACTUS KITTEN - Trying to beat this horse this time around at the value of 2/1. SUBTLE JOY - You believe this animal is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish on top regularly. BETTIN ONNA KITTEN - Would have to get more than the oddsmaker's morning line of 9/2 to play this horse.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #5 VEER is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,13]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        5 with 13 with [1,4,12] Total Cost: $3
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                        SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                        [5,13] with [5,13] with [1,4,6,12] with [1,4,6,12] with [1,4,6,12] Total Cost: $48
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #13
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



                          05/29/20, CD, Race 8, 4.40 ET
                          05/29/20,CD,8,5F [Turf] 00:55:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $88,000 (includes up to $32,900 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-Winners Of A Graded Sweepstakes On The Turf Since October 1 Allowed 2 lbs. $58,000 Twice On The Turf Since July 4 Allowed 4 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $100,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at Five Furlongs.).
                          . . . .
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                          100.00 7 Wellabled 8-1 Jimenez A Rivelli Larry JT 29.17 1.18/$1
                          098.90 11 Carotari 8-1 Ortiz J L Lynch Brian A. 29.17 1.18/$1
                          098.88 15 Seven Nation Army 4-1 Rosario J Moquett Ron 29.17 1.18/$1
                          098.69 3 Real News 8-1 Hernandez C J Stall. Jr. Albert M. 29.17 1.18/$1
                          096.99 10 Extravagant Kid 7/2 Rosario J Walsh Brendan P. S 29.17 1.18/$1
                          096.50 9 Leinster 4-1 Gaffalione T Arnold. II George R. 29.17 1.18/$1
                          096.42 1 Ghoul (BRZ) 8-1 Cohen D Miller Peter 29.17 1.18/$1
                          095.78 5 Wilbo 15-1 Lanerie C J Hartman Chris A. FC 29.17 1.18/$1
                          095.54 13 Fast Boat 10-1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe 29.17 1.18/$1
                          095.09 4 Totally Boss 3-1 Geroux F Arnold. II George R. E 29.17 1.18/$1
                          094.73 14 Just Might 10-1 Saez G Lovell Michelle 29.17 1.18/$1
                          093.74 2 Dubini 15-1 Castellano J Demasi Kathleen A. 29.17 1.18/$1
                          093.34 6 Bulletin 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. L 29.17 1.18/$1
                          093.26 8 Heartwood 30-1 McKee J Chapman James K. W 29.17 1.18/$1
                          092.62 12 Elusive Mischief 20-1 Leparoux J R Wilkes Ian R. 29.17 1.18/$1
                          * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 28.13, ROI 1.24/$1
                          If Race Is Off Turf

                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                          100.00 7 Wellabled 8-1 Jimenez A Rivelli Larry JTFW 14.29 1.54/$1
                          098.38 11 Carotari 8-1 Ortiz J L Lynch Brian A. 14.29 1.54/$1
                          098.37 15 Seven Nation Army 4-1 Rosario J Moquett Ron 14.29 1.54/$1
                          097.92 3 Real News 8-1 Hernandez C J Stall. Jr. Albert M. 14.29 1.54/$1
                          097.47 10 Extravagant Kid 7/2 Rosario J Walsh Brendan P. 14.29 1.54/$1
                          097.26 9 Leinster 4-1 Gaffalione T Arnold. II George R. S 14.29 1.54/$1
                          096.88 4 Totally Boss 3-1 Geroux F Arnold. II George R. 41.98 1.11/$1
                          096.24 6 Bulletin 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. EL 14.29 1.54/$1
                          095.85 13 Fast Boat 10-1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe 14.29 1.54/$1
                          095.31 14 Just Might 10-1 Saez G Lovell Michelle 14.29 1.54/$1
                          094.73 5 Wilbo 15-1 Lanerie C J Hartman Chris A. C 34.94 1.19/$1
                          094.24 1 Ghoul (BRZ) 8-1 Cohen D Miller Peter 16.36 1.10/$1
                          093.11 2 Dubini 15-1 Castellano J Demasi Kathleen A. 14.29 1.54/$1
                          092.92 8 Heartwood 30-1 McKee J Chapman James K. 14.29 1.54/$1
                          092.24 12 Elusive Mischief 20-1 Leparoux J R Wilkes Ian R. 14.29 1.54/$1
                          * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 23.64, ROI 0.73/$1
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #14
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 76

                            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2019-2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 6 TIZFIT 3/1
                            # 1 OFFICE CHICKS 5/2
                            # 4 CATTERING 2/1
                            TIZFIT is the best bet in this race. Ran a very solid last race. This mare must be considered just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. OFFICE CHICKS - Has decent speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this event. Earned a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. CATTERING - Looks solid for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been very good - 72 avg - of late.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts




                              Santa Anita - Race #6 - Post: 3:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 65

                              Rating:

                              #7 POLAR ROUTE (ML=6/1)
                              #6 THICK SMOKE (ML=6/1)


                              POLAR ROUTE - Valdivia and Chew partnered together are a railbird's friend. Lets try to beat the low-odds horses with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. THICK SMOKE - That recent bullet 35.6 work shows that this filly is ready for a top effort today. The May 17th clash at Santa Anita was at a class level of (89). Dropping to a lower class rank significantly, so she should be in a good position to win. It is my opinion that fillys run better the second time they get Lasix. Miyadi puts this filly on it for the second time today, so give this one a look.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CAUGHT IN A TRAPPE (ML=3/1), #5 GOLDEN MELODIE (ML=7/2), #2 CURVACEOUS (ML=4/1),

                              CAUGHT IN A TRAPPE - Didn't close ground at all on May 15th. Hard to bet on in today's event at the expected odds. This filly hasn't had any in the money efforts in short distance contests in the last 60 days. GOLDEN MELODIE - Hard to put any money on this filly on the win end. Likes to land in the top three though. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to record a better speed figure than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint. CURVACEOUS - Can't bet on this racer in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race lately.



                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #7 POLAR ROUTE on top if we're getting at least 6/5 odds
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,7]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              Pass
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

                              SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                              None
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