Service Plays Saturday 5/30/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369837

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 2 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 97

    CONFUCIUS SAY S. - FOR REGISTERED ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. $50 NOMINATIONS CLOSE WEDNESDAY, MAY 20, 2020. $50 TO ENTER WITH A PURSE OF $50,000 ADDED. ENTRIES CLOSE WEDNESDAY, MAY 27, 2020 BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. THE ADDED MONIES AND ALL FEES TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT:

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 1 RUNNIN'TOLUVYA 7/5
    # 5 PENGUIN POWER 8/5
    # 4 NORTH ATLANTIC 6/1
    RUNNIN'TOLUVYA has a very good shot to take this race. Ought to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a strong shot. Must be considered - I like the figures from the last contest. PENGUIN POWER - At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this bunch. This one has been consistently running well as of late. NORTH ATLANTIC - Has been travelling soundly in races of this distance, going 10 out of 31 under similar conditions. Vaunts strong Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369837

      #17
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



      05/30/20, TAM, Race 7, 3.43 ET
      05/30/20,TAM,7,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $21,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since April 30 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since March 30 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $32,000 (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility).
      . . . .
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.00 7 Distinctive Flower 9/2 Santos A Bennett Dale TWL 31.91 1.30/$1
      098.72 8 Olendon (FR) 8/5 Gallardo A A Brown Chad C. JSE 32.76 1.27/$1
      097.47 5 Flor de La Mar 4-1 Centeno D Harty Eoin G. F 28.85 1.32/$1
      095.91 1 Rosebud's Hope 6-1 Suarez A Stidham Michael 28.85 1.32/$1
      095.83 2 Belle Laura 7/2 Batista J A Avila Juan Carlos 32.76 1.27/$1
      092.56 3 Classy Woman 20-1 Ferrer J C Yanez Moises R. 28.85 1.32/$1
      091.63 4 Bramble Queen 15-1 Allen. Jr. R D Dini Michael 25.00 1.41/$1
      090.75 6 Karsavina 30-1 Spieth S Hemingway Ian C 36.17 1.52/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 40.00, ROI 1.36/$1
      If Race Is Off Turf

      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.00 7 Distinctive Flower 9/2 Santos A Bennett Dale TSWL 41.60 1.03/$1
      097.51 8 Olendon (FR) 8/5 Gallardo A A Brown Chad C. JE 36.90 1.17/$1
      096.87 1 Rosebud's Hope 6-1 Suarez A Stidham Michael 36.90 1.17/$1
      095.82 5 Flor de La Mar 4-1 Centeno D Harty Eoin G. F 27.92 1.00/$1
      095.76 2 Belle Laura 7/2 Batista J A Avila Juan Carlos 36.90 1.17/$1
      093.18 4 Bramble Queen 15-1 Allen. Jr. R D Dini Michael 36.90 1.17/$1
      093.05 3 Classy Woman 20-1 Ferrer J C Yanez Moises R. 36.90 1.17/$1
      089.85 6 Karsavina 30-1 Spieth S Hemingway Ian C 33.81 1.07/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.30, ROI 0.70/$1
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369837

        #18
        Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
        1. NSA(The Legend) HORSES – Australia A Race 2: #9 to WIN
        2. Gameday Network HORSES – Australia A Race 7: #11 to WIN
        3. VegasSI.com HORSES – Australia A Race 1: #1 to WIN
        4. Vegas Line Crushers HORSES – Charles Town Race 6: #5 to WIN
        5. Sports Action 365 HORSES – Charles Town Race 8: #5 to WIN
        6. Point Spread Report HORSES – Charles Town Race 3: #3 to WIN
        7. Lou Panelli HORSES – Australia B Race 1: #1 to WIN
        8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino HORSES – Australia B Race 5: #8 to WIN
        9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club HORSES – Australia B Race 7: #5 to WIN
        10. William E. Stockton HORSES – Australia C Race 7: #9 to WIN
        11. Vincent Pioli HORSES – Australia C Race 3: #9 to WIN
        12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall HORSES – Australia C Race 6: #4 to WIN
        13. SCORE HORSES – Churchill Downs Race 9: #16 to WIN
        14. East Coast Line Movers HORSES – Churchill Downs Race 1: #3 to WIN
        15. Tony Campone HORSES – Charles Town Race 2: #3 to WIN
        16. Chicago Sports Group HORSES – Charles Town Race 8: #5 to WIN
        17. Hollywood Sportsline HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 3: #4 to WIN
        18. VIP Action HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 6: #7 to WIN
        19. South Beach Sports HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 5: #2 to WIN
        20. Las Vegas Sports Commission HORSES – Gulfstream Park Race 2: #2 to WIN
        21. NY Players Club HORSES – Remington Park Race 5: #7 to WIN
        22. Fred Callahan HORSES – Remington Park Race 7: #8 to WIN
        23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club HORSES – Remington Park Race 4: #4 to WIN
        24. Michigan Sports HORSES – Remington Park Race 6: #9 to WIN
        25. National Consensus Report HORSES – Remington Park Race 11: #1 to WIN
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369837

          #19
          Paul Leiner

          UFC and Horse Picks 5/30

          Sat May 30, 2020 8:16 am
          Leinster and Heavy Roller both came in second yesterday and we did cash with a $25.80 exacta. Today I have a UFC pick and two horse picks.

          100* UFC Chris Gutierrez -125 over Vince Morales

          Churchill Downs Race 7
          #2 Break Even $10 w/p/s
          $2 exacta box 2-4-8

          Santa Anita Race 7
          #5 Laura's Light $10 w/p/s
          $2 exacta box 5-8-7
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369837

            #20
            Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Park Wagering Strategies - 5/30/20


            May 30, 2020
            Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
            Santa Anita
            Saturday, May 30, 2020
            *

            Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
            *
            It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
            *
            Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

            *
            Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
            Grade B=Solid Play.
            Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
            Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
            *
            The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

            *
            DAY MAKERS FOR SATURDAY, MAY 30, 2020

            Gulfstream Park 8th race – Post Time 4:21 ET
            12 – Givemetwenty (20-1)

            Let’s try to blow out up the tote board with this long shot play. The nicely-bred son of Declaration of War stretches out for the first time in this starter’s allowance middle distance turf affair after closing strongly and galloping out full of run in a recent grass sprint. With the switch to the barn’s “go-to” rider E. Jaramillo, this lightly-raced 3-year-old looks extremely well meant for a trainer who has superior stats with the sprint-to-route angle.

            Churchill Downs 8th race – Post Time 4:40 ET
            9 – Ashiham (8/5)

            Has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern and looks ready to win while adding blinkers and switching to Johnny V. in this middle distance maiden affair. The T. Pletcher-trained colt was impressive in a recent bullet drill at the Palm Beach Downs training center (much the best over a workmate) and with continued improvement could develop into a nice colt. He looks pretty solid in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

            Churchill Downs 11th race – Post Time 6:16 ET
            1 – Julie Foxtrot (5/2)

            Produced an outstanding series of races in 2019 after being imported from England and appears set to pick up where she left off in this Grade-3 middle distance turf affair for fillies and mares. Lands the favorable rail and should be forward placed in a race that projects to be slowly run early. A versatile type that can win on the lead or from mid-pack, the B. Cox-trained mare is plenty fast on speed figures and has trained like she’s fit and ready.
            *
            *

            Today’s Santa Anita Workout Analysis: View PDF File
            *
            *

            RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: B-
            Use: 1-Warrior’s Moon; 2-Oh Pretty Woman; 8-California Kook

            Forecast: Oh Pretty Woman has gradually rising numbers, and with another slight forward move today should be capable of winning this first-level allowance state-bred filly and mare turf miler. She’s reunited with “win rider” A Cedillo, and in a race that projects to have slow-to-moderate early fractions the daughter of Scat Daddy seems likely to draft into a comfortable second-flight, stalking spot and have every chance from the quarter pole home. California Kook was a respectable fourth at 43-1 in the Evening Jewel Stakes in January and could be set for significant forward move with the switch to F. Prat following a series of solid drills at San Luis Rey Downs. She’ll be doing her best work late. Warrior’s Moon lands the good rail and seems certain to enjoy an ideal ground-saving, pace-stalking trip. She needs some improvement in the speed figure department but has won over this course and distance in the past and makes a positive jockey switch to U. Rispoli. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics and then press with extra tickets keying Oh Pretty Woman on top.
            *
            *
            RACE 2: Post 1:02 PT. Grade: C+
            Use: 2-Shanghai Curly; 6-Seizetheday Rexy

            Forecast: It won’t take a whole lot to win this maiden $25,000 claiming abbreviated sprint. Seizetheday Rexy drops to his lowest level ever in his return from Oaklawn Park and has local races that make him the one to beat with this turn back to a sprint. The D. O’Neill-trained gelding, runner-up in each of his three previous races, doesn’t have a much early speed but should find plenty of room to produce his late kick in a small field that probably will be strung out. Shanghai Curly has the blinkers off angle that we like and also is dropping in class and returning to the main track. His numbers are going in the right direction and the work tab is healthy, so we’re expecting another forward move from this lightly-raced sophomore colt. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotic but neither will offer much in the way of wagering value in a race that lacks depth. Tread lightly.
            *
            *
            RACE 3: Post 1:33 PT. Grade: C+
            Use: 1-Paige Runner; 2-Destiny’s Journey; 3-Mongolian Sunrise

            Forecast: Here’s another race – a main track miler for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming fillies and mares - that looks challenging and requires a spread. Paige Runner shows up in a seller for the first time and should greatly appreciate this softer assignment. From the rail she’s guaranteed a good ground-saving trip and has numbers that are competitive for this league, so we’ll put her on top. Destiny’s Journey returns to dirt, takes a realistic class drop, and equaled her career top speed figure when third last time out. Not a whole lot more will be needed to win at this level. She does her best running on or near the lead throughout and the projected pace flow should put her when she wants to be. Mongolian Sunrise stretches out again and graduated over this track and distance three races back by almost nine lengths with a speed figures that puts her right there. Her last two outings were disappointing but under these conditions it’s conceivable that she can bounce back to her best.
            *
            *
            RACE 4: Post 2:04 PT. Grade: C+
            Use: 1-Beaumont Beaux; 4-Prince Ricky; 5-Antithetical

            Forecast: Here’s a split of the second race, another bottom-rung maiden $25,000 claimer. Antithetical broke slowly and was given a race at Los Alamitos in a maiden special weight mixed breed dash in his debut earlier this month and seems likely to produce a forward move for a barn that has superior stats with second-time starters. At 5-1 on the morning line he may be as good as any. Prince Ricky has some early speed and against this group could carry it for a ways. The number he earned two runs back when fifth in a slightly tougher race makes him a fit and this shortening up a furlong could help immensely. Beaumont Beaux is wheeled back in six days after earning a reasonable speed figure when finishing eight of nine in a better-than-par maiden $50,000 dash. He’s a major play by default against this group.
            *
            *
            RACE 5: Post 2:35 PT. Grade: B-
            Use: 6-Count Alexei; 8-Brix; 11-Irreproachable

            Forecast: Count Alexei is bred for grass and speed (Vronsky) and has been burning up the track at Los Alamitos while preparing for his racing debut. A $110,00 purchase at last summer’s Santa Anita 2-year-old in training sale, he finally makes it to the post and the B. Koriner-trained colt should be more than fit for a major effort in a moderate state-bred maiden special weight turf sprint. Irreproachable basically has the same resume – a first-timer by Vronsky sprinting on turf for a good outfit with a nice series of workouts at Los Alamitos. We’re not crazy about the extreme outside draw but at 8-1 on the morning he’s worth including. Brix may be the best of the known element, even though he’s already had nine outings. His runner-up effort over this course and distance two runs back was decent enough and not much more may be needed to earn his diploma today. The switch to F. Prat is another positive factor.
            *
            *
            RACE 6: Post 3:06 PT. Grade: B
            Use: 4-She’s a Dime; 5-Eternal Endeavor

            Forecast: Only five runners showed up for this seven furlong first-level allowance extended sprint for fillies and mares, with Eternal Endeavor the logical top pick from her cozy outside draw in a race that projects to have very soft early fractions. First or second in seven of 10 career starts, the genuine and consistent English-bred mare should draft into an ideal pace-stalking/pressing position and then be able to exert her superiority when the pressure is turned on. She’s a Dime arrives from Oaklawn Park with a series of solid efforts and speed figures that put her right there. She shows a couple of good recent drills at San Luis Rey Downs and the presence of F. Prat in the saddle make her the one to fear most.
            *
            *
            RACE 7: Post 3:37 PT. Grade: B
            Use: 10-Guitty; 8-Parkour; 9-Stela Star

            Forecast: Stela Star tipped her hand with an impressive effort in her U.S. debut when an excellent runner-up in the one-mile China Doll Stakes over this course earlier this month, rallying from far back while giving every indication that she’ll enjoy today’s nine furlong trip. The lightly-raced Irish-bred filly shows a bullet workout since that outing and therefore can be expected to produce a forward move with that effort behind her. F. Pratt takes over, and in a race that should have normal-to-fast early space he should have this J. Sadler-trained 3-year-old along in time. Guitty, sixth in the same race Stela Star exits but beaten only 2 � lengths, is another that seems certain to benefit from the stretch out to a mile and one-eighth. She needs to be held up and allowed to produce one late run and with good racing luck will be heard from in the final stages. Parkour is very fast and the likely controlling speed. A wire-to-wire winner vs. lesser over a mile on grass last time out, she’s questionable at this distance but if the daughter of Carpe Diem can establish the running and then switch off just a little bit she may take this field a very long way.
            *
            *
            RACE 8: Post 4:08 PT. Grade: C+
            Use: 5-Traffic Stopper; 6-Tiz a Unicorn; 7-Rain Diva

            Forecast: Here’s another maiden claimer, this one for $50,000 state-bred fillies and mares. Anything goes. Rain Diva makes the all-important drop from straight maiden company for a barn that has superior stats with this angle and switches to the main track after a pair of mid-pack finishes that produced speed figures compatible with this level. A sharp half mile workout earlier this month (:47 flat, second fastest of 69) gives hope that she’ll handle the main track, so at 5-1 on the morning line the daughter of Temple City deserves strong consideration both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play. Tiz a Unicorn debuts in a proper spot for the always-potent R. Baltas/F. Prat combo and while she doesn’t show any fancy workout times the pattern is healthy and should have her plenty fit. Traffic Stopper, a distant second at this level when last seen in February, has a few numbers back in her chart that fit well with these, so she at least can get a piece of it.
            *
            *
            RACE 9: Post 4:38 PT. Grade: B
            Use: 3-Whirl Candy; 8-Rio Ocho

            Forecast: The finale is a fairly competitive nine furlong maiden special weight turf affair. Whirl Candy flashed speed sprinting in his recent comeback before gradually weakening to finish a close fourth and should be fitter and stronger with that tightener behind him. The son of Twirling Candy has trained quite well since and appears set to stretch out and do some damage as the likely controlling speed. The R. Baltas barn has solid stats with the sprint-to-route angle and with the switch to A. Cedilla this lightly-raced colt may never look back. Rio Ocho lands F. Prat for his U.S. debut after finishing a good second of 14 in his debut in a representative race at Dundalk over an all-weather surface in February. The Irish-bred gelding arrives fit, ready, and dangerous. We’ll try to get by using just these two in our rolling exotics with the primary gamble going to Whirl Candy.
            *
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            Comment

            • GetTheseDimes
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2018
              • 312

              #21
              Anyone have the Docs UFC plays?

              kyle Anthony 5* Hill
              Gianni the Greek 5* Woodley

              Comment

              • Benten
                Member
                • Oct 2019
                • 42

                #22
                Originally posted by GetTheseDimes
                Anyone have the Docs UFC plays?

                kyle Anthony 5* Hill
                Gianni the Greek 5* Woodley
                are these docs plays?

                Comment

                • GetTheseDimes
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2018
                  • 312

                  #23
                  No 2 UFC guys on Wagertalk that I bought

                  Comment

                  • Jordie20
                    Junior Member
                    • Aug 2019
                    • 13

                    #24
                    I have Doc Sport's Rugby - 2AM

                    7u Penrith Panthers -3 over Newcastle Knights (2a.m., Sunday, May 31)

                    Comment

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