Service Plays Tuesday 6/2/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 06:42 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 2, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has another competitive 15-race card set to roll at 6 PM EST. The Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11 and will be my focus. That sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout. The Late Pick 4 pool on Monday night was a shade over $64,000.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Trump's Wall (8/5)-Faded in 1st start off the bench as an even money chalk. Did beat four from this field in that start. Will look for better from the rail tonight.
2-One Rock (3-1)-3-year-old won last week and should be forwardly placed again. May take another picture.
5-Doin The Most (7-1)-Qualified nicely on Lasix and went the 2nd half in 56.1. Three-year-old could surprise at a square price.

Race 12

1-Warrior Way (9/5)-Didn't show much in qualifier but trainer gives the lines to Wrenn and drops to a comfortable level.
2-Queens Lonely Early (9/2)-Qualified from the 8-hole on a sloppy track and didn't show much. Will respect the Merriman-Rhodes connection and should offer a nice price. 12-year-old could get sucked around from this spot.
8-Here's Jolene (10-1)-Worked hard from the 9-hole in 1st start off a layoff and stays at the same level. Should like the company and at 10-1 in the morning line is worth a swing in the Pick 4 and in gimmicks.

Race 13

4-Adversary Seelster (7/2)-Had a tough trip from the 7-hole in last and will look for better tonight. Loses Merriman to #6 but Wrenn won 8 races last night and he can put this veteran in striking range.
6-Tico Time (3-1)-Hung in last week in 1st start of the meet and now is 2nd time Lasix. Went off as an odds-on chalk and should be bet hard again.
7-Red Dog Ryan (5-1)-Got on the engine and almost hung on last week. Fits with this crew and the Looney barn has been doing well. Could offer some value if Kash can provide a good steer.

Race 14

1-Chocolate Crackers (8/5)-Merriman takes a spin and there won't be much strategy involved. Drops to a soft spot and will look to wire this field.

$1 Pick 4

1,2,5/1,2,8/4,6,7/1
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 06:42 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Fort Erie - Race #2

#3 Silent Contempt	MVR invader was running well earlier this winter when last seen, goes for a potent Buttigieg barn that had big success here last year, and should trip out just off the speed; look out.
#2 Sent From Heaven	Tampa veteran heads north after running against better, and he owns a recency edge too, though at 3-for-41 winning isn't his forte, plus that run last was a real dud; trying to beat.
#1 Conqueror Galactus	Stretch runner hasn't been out since November and has never run on dirt, so he's a real question make here, though his stretch running style could get him a share; can run on late.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 3 but that 5-2 ML would be an overlay, as he looks best, and doesn't have a recent bad race to worry about like the 2, plus his trainer is just aces in these parts, so play him aggressively to win and place at 8-5 or better, while getting some built-in value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, as that's not a move the public likes to make to start a horizontal bet, which means he may longer than you think in the sequence.

Fort Erie - Race #5

#5 Secret Trip	MVR stretch runner catches a field loaded with speed, has been humming right along earlier this year, and starts for a very sharp Sullivan barn; mows them all down late.
#6 Dixie Brew	Local stalker hasn't been out since September, so that's a worry, but she has four wins here, while the pick has never tried the oval, and she too will like the pace; using.
#3 Pachamama	ML favorite runs off the Mileni claim, which is a small but big 2-for-3 angle, but that was in Feb. and he's been inactive since, which is not a very good sign; tabbing today.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's plenty of it here to aid the 5, who might be best as it is, so play him aggressive to win and place if you sniff anything close to this 5-2 ML, while getting some built-in value by keying him in the Pk5 and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since he looks to be getting all the best of it here for a barn that knows how to get to the winner's circle in Canada.

Fort Erie - Race #7

#4 Capoeira	Tampa runner is all turf/synthetic, so how she fares here is a a guess, but her form is very good, and recent too, which gives her a big edge, plus she's bred for the dirt; expecting a biggie.
#1 Light of Congrats	ML favorite had some solid Tapeta form at PID last year but hasn't been out since September, so she likely needs this, especially with that meet opening in the coming weeks; next time.
#5 Anniversary Rose	Speedster was setting/chasing hot paces at MVR, so in a race with comebackers and turf/synthetic types she's likely loose, though lasting is another story; know her early, not sure about late.
Race Summary	That 4-1 ML on the pick seems impossible, lack of a dirt race or not, as her form is eons better than what the rest of these have done, especially since she's done it all winter/spring long, so even if you get 5-2 she's worth a win and place bet, though her real value comes in the late Pk5/Pk4, since you can be aggressive and key her, and just maybe she plays a bit longer than the toteboard says.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 06:42 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Lone Star - Race #4

#5 Air Walker	Can't really see a Joe Sharp debuter offering 20/1 here, and she's bred to be able to handle the trip. She doesn't meet a whole lot at first asking, so she'd be playable at something significantly shorter than her ML offering.
#12 Flamigo Bay	Has been in with better groups in California, but I had expected something a bit better from her last time out and came away disappointed. Blinkers off with a tough draw. Demand a fair price.
#7 Visual Magic	Disappointed at 4/5 in the local debut, but she's an obvious player right back with this bunch. Would want a much better price than she offered last out.
Race Summary	Air Walker meets a couple of likely overbet horses listed above, and even if she gets bet down into the 6/1 range, there is not much else lined up in here, so she won't have to be a star.

Lone Star - Race #6

#2 Marcy's Gray Girl	Not usually one to chase 14-start maidens, but this one might fall into a really good trip here. The likely chalk will probably have some company near the top today, and this one can come running late at a trip we know she handles.
#7 Sweet Linda	Most likely winner in here showed good pace behind an easy winner last out. The 29/1 price is long gone today as the blinkers go on, and I wouldn't be too excited about taking a short number here.
#1 Heavenly Rhythm	Blinks go on for this second start while stretching around two turns, and her best shot would be to make a break for it from the fence and dare the rest to come and get her.
Race Summary	Marcy's Gray Girl will need Sweet Linda to take some pressure in the early going, but she should offer a fair price in a relatively soft spot.

Lone Star - Race #8

#1 Take That For Data	Really wanted to get around this guy in here, but his baseline effort simply looks too good. There are a couple of other tough players drawn much further outside, so his post advantage gets him the edge.
#2 Bell Ringer	Has run well on the engine going long on the turf in the past and may be able to work out the right trip from near the inside.
#10 Praetorian	He's quick enough to overcome the tough post, but his dirt form is pretty clearly better than his turf form, and the price probably won't reflect that off the Broberg claim.
Race Summary	Take That for Data owns several recent races that would be good enough to handle these, and the class drop with an advantageous post position may be all it takes to get him home today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 06:43 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Scioto Downs - Race #1

#6 HUNTING AS	Useful return as 3yo, gets ideal set-up at a decent price.
#5 ROSE RUN VINDICATE	Pulled pocket near ¾-mile mark, struggled to get past longshot for second.
#3 NOT THE NORM	Carried his speed to 6-for-12 record as a 2-year-old, starts anew.
Race Summary	Hunting As made up 9 lengths in his seasonal debut after the favorite went off stride, gets plenty of pace to run at and should offer the most value among the main contenders. Play 6-3, 6-5 and 6-8 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #3

#2 BETTOR IN BLUE	Even-paced while chasing fleet-footed 6-to-5 winner in comeback.
#6 ZERO THE HERO	No match for 7-5 winner but clearly second best.
#3 SPORTS SPOOK A	Has 34 wins but is 0-11 this year, drop to bottom and driver upgrade help.
Race Summary	Bettor In Blue paced evenly though a 1:24.4 third-quarter split before fading. He can win at a boxcar price with a move forward off that comeback effort. Play a 2-3-6 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #14

#1 CHOCOLATE CRACKERS	Came back running, can’t go beyond in this spot.
#6 UBETTERUBETTERUBET	No threat from post 7 but can’t be ignored.
#4 BAIT A HOOK	Mild middle move into solid splits, can sustain better tonight.
Race Summary	Chocolate Crackers held the lead through a :27.3 third quarter split but settled for second best. He takes another class drop and is today’s Best Bet from the rail.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 06:43 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#1 Echo Alpha Six	Was a solid 3rd on the turf at Fair Grounds last year and was competitive at Turfway; should fit nicely at this track.
#4 Mutashabeh	Won over the Colonial turf last year and is usually a strong player on the front end.
#10 Macho Mania	Broke his maiden at Gulfstream West last year and can make a late run at these.
Race Summary	Echo Alpha Six ran against some outstanding runners last year and has what it takes to get the candy here.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#8 Pulpit's Purrfect	Was a clear winner at Mahoning in March and having that start gives him an edge.
#6 Little Christy	Has been over for two turf and when she last was competitive in stakes and allowance races at Woodbine; classy and capable.
#1 Devilish Magic	Moves over to the turf and has the speed to be in the mix early on.
Race Summary	Pulpit's Purrfect put away rivals and drew clear last time out; moves over from Mahoning and can be a big player form the start.

Mountaineer - Race #8

#8 Dubull	Ideally placed as he seems to be the only one capable of passing horses has been in some good races and gets a good pace setup.
#5 Sterling Rebel	Was a played in some races over this strip last year and didn't run well at Charles Town; could excel in his return.
#7 Gran City	Was on the board in his last three over this strip and can battle for the lead from the start.
Race Summary	Dubull has a decent late move and should be in a great spot once a few of his opponents fade out after battling early.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 12:54 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 4	WPS, Exactor, Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6), 20 Cent Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)
Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $14,400 • Post: 2:44P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. (*PLUS UP TO $4,725 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MY FINAL TRICK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the high est TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PERFECT MINE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
3	MY FINAL TRICK	7/2	9/5
1	PERFECT MINE	4/5	7/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	NOT A HOUSE FRAU	5	15/1	Front-runner	0	0	88.2	34.1	26.1
6	STORMY SUZIE	6	6/1	Front-runner	0	0	76.9	46.6	41.1
2	AWESOME FLIGHT	2	20/1	Front-runner	0	0	76.4	40.8	33.8
4	PENNIESFROMABOVE	4	4/1	Front-runner	51	45	38.4	41.8	33.8
3	MY FINAL TRICK	3	7/2	Trailer	0	0	39.8	59.7	57.7
1	PERFECT MINE	1	4/5	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	32.2	52.1	48.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 12:54 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 8	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
Claiming $25,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 5:15P
(PLUS UP TO $3,200 OPEN ATB) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILE AND ONE SIXTEENTH.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TAKE THAT FOR DATA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highe st average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MO GEE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equiba se Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1	TAKE THAT FOR DATA	3/1	7/2
6	MO GEE	10/1	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
10	PRAETORIAN	10	9/2	Front-runner	88	87	87.5	73.0	65.0
12	DAUNTLESS PRINCE	12	4/1	Front-runner	90	82	86.4	78.6	65.6
2	BELL RINGER	2	8/1	Front-runner	79	68	85.4	78.9	59.4
13	WRATH	13	5/1	Front-runner	80	84	57.8	71.1	63.6
6	MO GEE	6	10/1	Stalker	91	90	100.4	85.2	77.7
1	TAKE THAT FOR DATA	1	3/1	Stalker	98	92	86.6	89.2	81.7
5	DECLARE WAR	5	20/1	Stalker	81	73	66.4	71.2	50.7
7	GILES	7	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	76	88.4	66.8	52.3
8	TIMES SQUARE	8	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	88	83	85.6	74.0	66.0
4	GOT NO KASH	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	80	77.0	70.6	56.6
3	POST CLOSE	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	84	71.1	62.0	41.0
9	CRESCENT FLYER	9	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	67	67.3	59.6	35.6
11	DANCE KINGDOM	11	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	85	38.9	54.0	38.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 12:55 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:45pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,500 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#6 FASHION ISLAND (ML=15/1)
#7 LIGHTNING BUG (ML=3/1)
#11 WEEKEND MADNESS (ML=5/1)

FASHION ISLAND - The return on investment when Contreras and Glover hook up is fantastic. LIGHTNING BUG - When Asmussen gives Elliott a leg up on any mount, you know full well that with their winning percentage you have decidedly more than a fighting chance. Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be advantageous. This horse collects a lot of money per race around the track. I believe she can augment that total in today's race. WEEKEND MADNESS - This jockey and trainer's horses have been generating a lucrative return on investment.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BRAVE CINDERELLA (ML=7/2), #5 MY AUNT MIMS (ML=4/1), #9 SHAKE IT UP TRACY (ML=8/1),

BRAVE CINDERELLA - Three-year old versus the older ones for the first time is a tough one. Have to see this effort first. MY AUNT MIMS - Three year old versus the older ones for the first time is a tough one. Have to see this effort first. Garnered a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last time around the track in a $50,000 Optional Claiming race on March 13th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure. SHAKE IT UP TRACY - Run-of-the-mill speed figure last time out at Oaklawn Park at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this pony will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #6 FASHION ISLAND on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7,11] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[6,7,11] with [6,7,11] with [6,7,8,9,11] with [6,7,8,9,11] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 12:56 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8200 Class Rating: 72

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 HURRICANE EMILY 2/1
# 7 WITTS'S GATO 5/1
# 2 GEMAGINE 7/2

HURRICANE EMILY is the top bet in this race. Has earned reliable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. The Lasix change (on Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this mare. Recorded a strong speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. WITTS'S GATO - Should come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently. In fine fettle, and coming back almost immediately again this time out. GEMAGINE - She has earned very good figures under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group of animals. Has ran well in dirt sprint races.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 12:57 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 73

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 SHARED SILENCE 5/2
# 8 PULPIT'S PURRFECT 3/1
# 2 MY AUNT TILLIE 6/1

SHARED SILENCE is the best wager in this race. She has been running admirably recently while recording strong Speed Figures. Could beat this group given the 93 speed rating posted in her last outing. With a nice Equibase class figure average of 89, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group of horses. PULPIT'S PURRFECT - Ought to be considered here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. Ran a sharp last race. MY AUNT TILLIE - This racer has a very good winning percentage in turf sprints. One of the strongest win percentages between this jockey and handler make this mare dangerous.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-02-2020, 12:57 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,200 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#1 ECHO ALPHA SIX (ML=7/2)

ECHO ALPHA SIX - When this jockey and trainer team up you have to take a look. Quinones and Godsey have been fantastic together. Looking at the information on all of these ponies, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long look at this animal.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MUTASHABEH (ML=5/2), #3 HOWARD OF LUCK (ML=5/1), #10 MACHO MANIA (ML=6/1),

MUTASHABEH - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance affairs lately. Not likely to see him doing it this time out either. This vulnerable equine ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's race running that fig. HOWARD OF LUCK - Tough to back a three-year old meeting the older ones for the first time. Probably needs more racing experience. Tough for anyone who saw this less than sharp equine in his last race to bet on him this time out. MACHO MANIA - The seventh place finish position in the last race was not the best. Tough to play any entrant in a sprint race at 6/1 when he hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last couple of months.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - ECHO ALPHA SIX - I'm investing on this one today. An easier level of competition is going to make a big difference. Will be tough today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 ECHO ALPHA SIX on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,8] with [2,8,9,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,8,9,10] with [2,8,9,10] with [2,8,9,10] Total Cost: $24