Service Plays Sunday 6/7/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-06-2020, 08:39 PM

Micah Roberts

NASCAR

his top pick won the first two races of the 2020 season. In the season-opening Daytona 500, he nailed Denny Hamlin's win at 10-1 odds, and he hit eventual winner Joey Logano at 13-2 odds in the Pennzoil 400 a week later. He also nailed Hamlin's victory in the Toyota 500 last month, even though he wasn't one of the top three favorites.

Roberts also crushed the 2019 NASCAR season. Those who wagered $100 on Roberts' predicted winner in each of the 40 NASCAR races last year (an investment of $4,000) finished with a strong profit of $2,100. In addition, those who put down $50 on each of Roberts' top four choices in each of those races (an investment of $8,000) were up a head-turning $3,400.

1 #9 Chase Elliott (6-1) -- It doesn't matter what race package he's using because, chances are, he's going to have a car capable of winning. He's been on a roll all season but only has one win to show for it - the last race at Charlotte using this week's package. In four Cup Series starts at Atlanta, he's averaged a 10th-place finish, which is tops among active drivers. Atlanta is his home track. This is a great spot for him to win.

2 #88 Alex Bowman (15-2) -- He's never had a finish better than 15th in four Cup Series races at Atlanta, but he's quickly becoming one of the best. Whenever he's on a cookie-cutter track like the ones at Atlanta, Charlotte or Fontana, he should be part of the betting mix to win.

3 #2 Brad Keselowski (13-2) -- He comes in with the momentum of winning two of the last three races on the schedule, and also taking the checkered flag in two of the last three at Atlanta. He didn't win in 2018 but was runner-up. That's about as good as it gets and the reason he should be in your odds-to-win wagering equation.

4 #12 Ryan Blaney (15-1) -- His best Atlanta finish was 12th place in 2018, and he led 41 laps before finishing 22nd last season. He's been up and down all season thus far, but he's had a car capable of winning in four of the six races using this package and finished third in both at Charlotte. Luck has to swing his way soon. I'm certain he'll have another fast car and the track isn't as tricky as Darlington's. Blaney could become the new cookie-cutter king.

5 #11 Denny Hamlin (12-1) -- His lone Atlanta win came in 2012, and he's had a couple of early exits here since then, but I like how his team is set with this week's race package, as he posted a win with it at Darlington and a fast-charging runner-up finish at Charlotte. He may be the best at saving his tires for long runs on sandpaper surfaces, and Atlanta's got a rough one.

6 #4 Kevin Harvick (7-2) -- He's a two-time winner, including his first Cup Series victory in 2001 just two weeks after taking over the No. 3 team. He leads all active drivers with 1,197 laps led, and probably should have at least four wins. He's led at least 101 laps in six of his last eight Atlanta starts and had the best car in four of those, but he only came away with one win (2018). He's got top-10s in all six races using this week's package, leading laps in four of them.

7 #18 Kyle Busch (13-2) -- He's a two-time winner at Atlanta, the last victory coming in 2013, and he finished sixth last season. The story with him in 2020 is no wins in the first nine races, although he does have five top-five finishes. A win is coming soon, but he won't be in my betting equation this week. I also won't be betting against him in driver matchups.

8 #1 Kurt Busch (20-1) -- Atlanta always has been one of his better tracks as he's recorded three wins and 802 laps led. His worst finish in his last 10 starts here was 13th, where he came in twice. He finished third in this race last season. He's also been third in races at Fontana and Darlington using this week's package.

9 #20 Erik Jones (30-1) -- He had a career-best seventh-place at Atlanta last season and has a 10.6 average finish in three Cup Series starts here. For a young driver, he's proved to be one of the best at saving tires on abrasive surfaces.

10 #19 Martin Truex Jr. (8-1) -- He's the king of the ovals now that Jimmie Johnson has taken a break from winning on them. Truex is averaging a 16th-place finish and never has won in 21 starts at Atlanta. Not having Cole Pearn as crew chief in 2020 has made a huge impact as Truex doesn't have a single top-five finish in nine starts after leading the Cup Series last year with seven wins.

11 #48 Jimmie Johnson (18-1) -- He's the active leader with five wins and 14 top-five finishes at Atlanta. In 29 starts, he's averaged a 12th-place finish. With the abrasive surface, this is a track on which he can use his thinking skills to wait for all the others to slow as he saves his tires on a long run. He's been fast in almost every race using this package.

12 #10 Aric Almirola (75-1) -- He had a career-best eighth-place finish at Atlanta last season after starting from the pole and leading 36 laps. He's had a couple of fast cars this season using this week's race package. He's not quite in the Harvick category yet at Stewart-Haas Racing, but he's close.

13 #14 Clint Bowyer (40-1) -- He's had his best Atlanta finishes in his last two races there - third in 2018 and fifth last season, his only top-fives in 19 starts. Another top-five? I'll certainly be playing him in a few driver matchups.

14 #47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (125-1) -- His best finish in seven Atlanta races has been 10th in 2016, and he's averaged 18th place. However, I liked what I saw when he finished third in the second Darlington race. I also like how hard he races, with no remorse. He'll get all he can out of the car or wreck trying.

15 #24 William Byron (30-1) -- In two Cup Series starts at Atlanta, he's finished 17th and 18th. Of the four Hendrick cars, Byron has gotten the least speed out of his, although sometimes he shows glimpses of being ready to win. I have a feeling the abrasive surface is going to eat up his tires more than the smarter veterans.

16 #22 Joey Logano (15-2) -- He's been good in his last seven starts at Atlanta with two top-five finishes. But in the six races using this week's package, he's been just above average, with his only top-five being a win at Las Vegas that was aided by a late pitting strategy.

17 #95 Christopher Bell (200-1) -- The rookie makes his Atlanta debut in the Cup Series, but he's far from a novice on this track. He won the Xfinity Series race last season and a Truck Series race here in 2017. He finished ninth in the Coca-Cola 600 using this week's race package.

18 #42 Matt Kenseth (60-1) -- He's made 29 starts at Atlanta and compiled 11 top-fives, which has helped him average an 11th-place finish, the best among drivers with more than five starts. His comeback race at Darlington saw him finish 10th, but he looked as though he should have remained in retirement in the last three with this package. Still, he's got a good car.

19 #8 Tyler Reddick (60-1) -- He makes his debut at Atlanta in the Cup Series, but a pair of top-10 finishes in the last four races using this week's package suggest his team has figured out a way to get some speed.

20 #21 Matt DiBenedetto (60-1) -- He's got a 28th-place average finish in four Cup Series starts at Atlanta. But he's been very competitive with this week's race package, as he was runner-up at Las Vegas and ninth in the second Darlington race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-06-2020, 08:40 PM

Mike McClure

NASCAR

The revamped NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues with the 2020 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Our proven projection model has simulated this race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model began its season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven top-10 drivers at The Real Heroes 400 and the Toyota 500 at Darlington. It also identified six top-10 drivers at the Alsco Uniforms 500 at Charlotte. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol.

1 Kevin Harvick 7-2
2 Chase Elliott 6-1
3 Brad Keselowski 13-2
4 Kyle Busch 13-2
5 Joey Logano 15-2
6 Martin Truex Jr 8-1
7 Denny Hamlin 12-1
8 Kurt Busch 20-1
9 Jimmie Johnson 18-1
10 Clint Bowyer 40-1

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11 Erik Jones
12 Ryan Blaney
13 Alex Bowman
14 William Byron
15 Tyler Reddick
16 Matt Kenseth
17 Ricky Stenhouse Jr
18 Aric Almirola
19 Ryan Newman
20 Matt DiBenedetto
21 Christopher Bell
22 Austin Dillon
23 Bubba Wallace
24 Cole Custer
25 Daniel Suarez
26 Ryan Preece
27 Ty Dillon
28 John H. Nemechek
29 Chris Buescher
30 Michael McDowell
31 Corey Lajoie
32 Brennan Poole
33 JJ Yeley
34 Timmy Hill
35 Gray Gaulding
36 BJ McLeod
37 Quin Houff
38 Joey Gase
39 Garrett Smithley
40 Bayley Currey

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-06-2020, 08:40 PM

My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Santa Anita

June 6, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

Everyone likes the outstanding sprinter Whitmore, but fans of Flagstaff feel slighted and have waited since mid-April for his return.
Whitmore won Oaklawn’s Grade 3 Count Fleet Sprint by three-quarters of a length over Flagstaff, who broke 11th and last, motored through traffic and came within three-quarters of a length of Whitmore at the end. He was flying, and with any kind of luck at all probably would’ve had his picture taken.

Flagstaff is back home at Santa Anita on Sunday for the Grade 2 Triple Bend Stakes (Race 8, 7 p.m. ET) to face highly regarded McKinzie and three others in the seven-furlong race, which is the third leg of the Pick 4.

Flagstaff became on of the top sprinters on the West Coast when he was third behind Omaha Beach in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Sprint Championship. He won the Damascus Stakes and took the Grade 2 San Carlos. He has been very close to the pace in nearly all of his races, with the Count Fleet as a glaring exception.

McKinzie, as we all know, is a Grade 1 regular and usually runs longer distances, but in December of 2018 he rallied from 12th and won the Grade 1 Malibu Stakes at seven furlongs in widening fashion. He can get tuned up early and he certainly has the overall class edge. He’s been off since he was 11th in the $20 million Saudi Cup. His usual string of good works has followed and he’ll undoubtedly be outrun in this one.
Both are on the suggested Pick 4 ticket, which amounts to $60.
Here’s a look at the other late Pick 4 races:

Race 6 (6 p.m. ET, optional claiming)
It’s all about finding the right level, and the connections of SASH have done just that. Sure, they tried him in the Grade 1 Frank Kilroe, and the result was a 10th-place finish, but he’s back to his optional claiming $40,000 price, and he has a win and a good 2nd (last out) at the level. He gets the edge, but it’s not enough of an advantage in which he stands alone on the ticket. SWAMP SOUFFLE made a strong run for third last out and is capable of getting there today, and JULIUS was very good in two-turn races last year and gets to stretch out after competing in sprints.

Race 7 (6:30 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)
Maiden claimers are the easiest to figure, especially when it’s an evenly matched bunch.
RED DIAMOND makes her debut and Hall of Famer Ron McAnally won with a first-timer last week, so this gal will try to continue that barn’s success. PREDICTABLE TULLY has had four U.S. starts after three in Great Britain and has been fairly close in all tries here. Moved early and hung late last time and a well-timed move will make her tough. MOREAVINO is a Justin Phillip filly making her initial start midway in her 4-year-old year. She has a steady string of works and looks ready to give it a go. MISS ALEGRIA was an even fourth in a decent spot in her debut and can be expected to improve off that effort.

Race 9 (7:30 p.m. ET, maiden)
This is a head scratcher, much like the 7th race. APPROVED FOR FLYBY was closed up early and faded to third, 10 lengths off at the end. She’s likely to improve. LOVELY FINISH ran on late and was getting to the winner. She’s been second in four of six and has been able to get over the hump. Maybe today is the day. LIBERALISM was on the board in all three starts, will be a front-end factor and could stay. A MELIS has trained very well for her first start and likely will get a fair share of support. ANNA FANTASTIC has several good works and is ready to make her debut. Could surprise.

Here’s the suggested late Pick 4 at Santa Anita Sunday:
6) #2 Sash, #5 Swamp Souffle, #6 Julius.
7) #1 Red Diamond, #3 Predictable Tully, #5 Moreavino, #9 Miss Alegria.
8) #1 Flagstaff, #5 McKinzie.
9) #1 Approved for Flyby, #6 Lovely Finish, #8 Liberalism, #9 A Melis, #10 Anna Fantastic.
50-cent Pick 4: 2-5-6 with 1-3-5-9 with 1-5 with 1-6-8-9-10 ($60).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:29 AM

Paul Leiner

Belmont Park Picks 6/7

Sun Jun 07, 2020 6:19 am
Here is three races from Belmont. Enjoy the day.

Race 1
#5 Appletini $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-1-7

Race 5
#7 Pacific Jazz $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 7-2-4

Race 9
#14 Therapist $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 14-2-1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:30 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 7, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The horsemen at Hawthorne Racecourse have been anxiously awaiting a Sunday night of racing since the middle of March. Tonight's 13-race card has a 0.50 Late Pick 4 slated to begin in Race 10 and it will be my focus. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool.

The driver with the hottest hands on Saturday was Bobby Smolin with three trips to the winner's circle. The leading trainer was Ronnie Roberts with two wins.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

3-Swans Mission (12-1)-Even qualifier at HoP but did race the back half in 57.4 and should be forwardly placed with this post draw.
5-I Thank You (5-1)Had a breaking problem in the past but qualified without any issue. Leonard can keep her in the hunt early, could get sucked around and roll by late.
8-Stella Kemp (5-1)-Had a pair of qualifiers at HoP and might be ready for a big try off the bench. Trixton filly is 0-9 but has faced some tough competition. Fits much better with this group and should offer a square price.

Race 11

2-Lookintomyeyes (3-1)-Qualified at ScD and also had a nice start on 5/27. Has been in the hunt in 5 of 6 races in 2020. Does have a win and a third-place finish at Haw in two starts. Will look for a big try off the recent effort.
3-Slow Your Roll (4-1)-Qualified in 56.4 at Nfld after winning back on 3/8 at Haw. Steps-up but still fits with this crew and has done well in 2 Haw starts.
6-Spicy Lil Hope (6-1)-Comes off an even qualifier and is 0-7. But Husted seems to put this 3-year-old filly in play and will take a swing for a square price.

Race 12

1-Dandy Dude (10-1)-Finished off the qualifier in fine fashion and has hit the board in 13 of 19 Haw starts. Drawing the rail helps and has the gate speed to be on or near the lead throughout at nice odds.
6-Western Vinny (3-1)-Comes off a solid qualifier and will likely be sent out to gain an up-close seat. Should be in the mix throughout and will be trying to take its third picture in 22 starts.
7-Lakeside Buddy (4-1)-Qualified at Haw with Leonard on 6/1 and has 2-second place finishes in 4 Haw starts. Leonard is a different set of hands, maybe he will squeeze a little more juice out of this 4-year-old and snag 3rd career win.

Race 13

2-Beachmaster Two (2-1)-3-year-old maiden is 0-11 but had 2 qualifiers at HoP and did face stakes level competition last year. Oosting has steered before and he has options from this post.
10-Rollinwithdesire (8-1)-Team Seekman trainee tuned up at HoP with a good qualifier. Has some speed and went the 2nd half in .57 on 5/30. There are a few who could blast out and if pace is hot chances for success go up at a price.

0.50 Pick 4

3,5,8/2,3,6/1,6,7/2,10
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:31 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1

#4 Party in the Sane	Price player didn't like the 1m last time but has some solid sprint form to fall back on, meets an extremely weak crew, and lures top finishing rider Rosario; mows them down late.
#1 Lookbothways	Class dropper makes sense on that angle alone, and her figures are as good as the rest, though taking 7-2 or so from this draw, with no margin for error, seems dicey; second-best.
#2 Overtime Olivia	Logical sort has lost her speed a bit of late, so maybe the blinkers will pick her back up, and if she clears and runs her best, the rest would be in real trouble; could forget to stop.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 4, and with such a modest group opposing her 5-1 or so seems very fair, especially with the monumental jock upgrade, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, as this is a deep field, and getting home a $12 third or fourth-choice winner would think the live tickets out quite a bit.

Belmont Park - Race #2

#8 Ever Dangerous	Stalker impressed romping by 4 on debut at GP then found stakes waters a bit too tough last time, but he's back with friends here, drew perfectly, and would be a huge overlay if he's anywhere near this 6-1 ML; look out.
#6 Get Smokin	Expected favorite has the speed to lead these and exits a quartet of stakes runs, and was n the money in the last three of them, so if he does get loose and slow it down, they won't ever see him again; figures to be a real handful.
#4 Talako	Rousing MSW winner did so in fast time from far back into a slow pace on debut, though it came at Tampa, at 22-1 too, so it seems a bit fluky, not to mention he's impossible to take if he's near this 2-1 ML; making him prove it.
Race Summary	That 6-1 ML on the pick can't possibly happen, as he's as fast on paper as anyone here and drops out of a stakes, but even 4-1 would be fair and worth an aggressive win and place bet, and you'll get some added value by using him in the early Pk5, and to kick off the early Pk4 as well, since that debut win was a beauty, and there's no reason he can't better it on the drop off a better-than-it-looked stakes run last time.

Belmont Park - Race #7

#9 Point Him Out	Debut winner did so at Tampa against open foes, so this rise in class to face winners isn't quite as drastic, as these are NYBs, and Stidham is as good as they get, and patient too, so the gut says there's a lot more than meets the eye here; upset special.
#8 Graded On a Curve	The obvious horse to beat will be bet hard for Brown and Irad, who is white-hot to start the meet, and he's clearly best on paper too, but at 6-1-2-2 there's no upside here, and a penchant for settling for a secondary award as well; trying to beat at false odds.
#2 Jack the Cat	Stretch runner is another who comes in from Tampa, with some solid form against winners on display too, but his lack of positional speed is a big worry, especially in a full field where working out a trip won't be that easy; limiting his use to underneath only.
Race Summary	The risk-reward will be there on the 9, as 5-1 or so is the right price to find out if he can handle the class rise, so play him in all the slots, and especially to late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since he'll offer value into the teeth of the 8, who will likely be singled on the budget tickets, even though he's having trouble finding the path to the winner's circle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:31 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #4

#9 More Chances	Cuts back off the fading effort going long at GP, but the past sprint efforts are solid enough to suggest that this trip might be enough to get him home.
#4 Have a Souper Day	Looks like a player on paper, but he always takes cash and somehow finds a way to come up short. Not for me unless he is offering a significantly better number than he has in the past.
#7 Casanova Kitten	Solid debut last year stamps him as one with a bit of talent, but this is a sharper trip than he saw in that main-track route, so tread lightly if the price gets short.
Race Summary	More Chances has some cutback appeal in this spot with some back sprint runs locally that suggest the trip is within his scope on the lawn.

Woodbine - Race #6

#9 Four Aces High	Has been in with better in a trio of turf starts so far, and perhaps the blinkers coming off gives him enough to get over the top here.
#4 Born to Be King	He was knocking on the door late last year, and though he's heading the right way, the question is whether to take a short price off the bench.
#11 Better Boogie	Another who was just missing with similar company last year, and his tactical speed should serve him well from this wide draw.
Race Summary	Four Aces High can be tough here if the form transfers to the main track, and if he can bounce back off a dull run to close his 2019 campaign, he's right there again.

Woodbine - Race #8

#10 Grom	Worth a swing at a big number, as he owns some back races that at least keep him in the hunt here. He'll need everything to go his way, but at something like maybe 30-1, that's a chance I'm willing to take.
#6 Trappeze Artist	Tactical player looks legit, but he also tends to come up wanting a bit late in the lane, so he could be vulnerable again at an underlaid price
#8 Stormfuhr	Hit or miss form is a bit of an issue, but he should be in line for a really good trip with these and might offer the right kind of mid-range price.
Race Summary	Grom will be a big number here and is worth a flyer. He can fall into a really nice tracking trip and has fired big shots off the bench in the past.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:31 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#1 Dancingwithjimmieb	Trejos picked up the mount last time and this filly responded with an easy maiden win; is back to turf, where she was 2nd two back and can be a strong factor.
#2 Madame Barrister	Has been in with stronger company and was 4th two back; can be effective at this level.
#8 Cookie Cove	Was an easy turf winner last out and is fast enough to gain good position; fits well.
Race Summary	Dancingwithjimmieb won a race that came off the turf last time, but her grass races are good enough to make her a player form the start.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#3 Ain't Wasting Time	Was away poorly last in his 1st off the claim for the Medina barn and he'll like get a better trip; has been in much tougher races and that should help him here.
#1 Valid Quest	Was sharp in his last three and has enough speed to keep good inside position; Maker barn continues to do well.
#2 First Rate	Was in the mix from the beginning and was a daylight winner last out; should be tough in his 1st vs. winners.
Race Summary	Ain't Wasting Time can get a better break today, has a good chance to carve out a good trip just behind the speed and can rally past the leaders in the drive.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#3 Olympic Games	Was competitive in France and Italy and is in a good spot for her 1st U.S. attempt; Clement-trained filly has two months worth of works and looks ready to roll.
#6 Always Shopping	Won the G2 Gazelle last sprint and weakened to 3rd in in her 1st in 11 months; likely to improve in her return.
#12 Traipsing	Has won two straight and came off a 1.5-year layoff for an allowance win; uncoupled stablemate of top choice can make a late run.
Race Summary	Olympic Games is a classy filly with a European background and this is not the toughest spot for her welcome into American racing.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:33 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 10	$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
Maiden Claiming $32,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 4:50P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000, IF FOR $30,000, ALLOWED 1 LB.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CHEZ PAREE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. VIVAMENTE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2	CHEZ PAREE	4/1	5/2
8	VIVAMENTE	6/1	9/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	SMART SET	3	8/1	Front-runner	76	44	79.8	43.2	37.7
8	VIVAMENTE	8	6/1	Front-runner	65	64	69.7	61.5	55.5
2	CHEZ PAREE	2	4/1	Alternator/Front-runner	74	73	65.4	63.5	59.0
7	SMOOTH AS GLASS	7	15/1	Alternator/Front-runner	0	0	57.2	42.3	35.8
1	GRAN ETIQUETA	1	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	54.0	54.0	47.0

Unknown Running Style: CRAFTY LASS (7/2) [Jockey: Lopez Paco - Trainer: Cibelli Jane], TYPE A (3/1) [Jockey: Lebron Victor - Trainer: Joseph Jr Saffie A], VALID EMPRESS (30/1) [Jockey: Trejos Joseph - Trainer: Duco Luis], PRINCESS BETTY (9/2) [Jockey

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:33 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont Park

Belmont Park - Race 4	Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Double Wagers
Maiden Special • 1 1/16 Miles • Inner Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $53,000 • Post: 2:55P
(RAIL AT 9 FEET). INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HERWAZE is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * UNICORN SALLY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Po wer Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KISS AND RUN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BEYOND BROWN: Horse has a 4F wor kout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. Maiden finished second in its last race and finished three lengths or more ahead of the third place horse. SAINTE MERE EGLISE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
13	UNICORN SALLY	9/2	7/2
12	KISS AND RUN	7/2	6/1
8	BEYOND BROWN	3/1	8/1
11	SAINTE MERE EGLISE	8/5	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
14	HERWAZE	14	8/1	Front-runner	0	0	65.4	65.4	52.4
8	BEYOND BROWN	8	3/1	Stalker	76	72	82.2	69.2	56.2
13	UNICORN SALLY	13	9/2	Trailer	88	80	75.4	75.0	70.0
11	SAINTE MERE EGLISE	11	8/5	Trailer	76	74	67.3	70.2	60.7
2	PANDAMOM	2	5/1	Trailer	76	65	61.6	61.6	50.1
10	GIACOSA	10	6/1	Trailer	0	0	55.0	60.7	47.2
9	CHOOSE HAPPINESS	9	6/1	Trailer	0	0	46.5	46.5	29.5
12	KISS AND RUN	12	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	69.2	75.0	70.5
4	DANCING SLIPPERS	4	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	76	47	66.2	69.4	60.4
7	TORNADO CROSSING	7	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	89.1	59.7	43.7
1	KILKEA	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	51	75.4	49.0	32.5
5	SPIN YOUR PARTNER	5	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	48.3	43.6	26.6

Unknown Running Style: AFLEETING GLANCE (8/1) [Jockey: Ortiz Jr Irad - Trainer: Morley Thomas], FUNNY BONES FLAG (12/1) [Jockey: Rosario Joel - Trainer: Baker Charlton], GO FISH (6/1) [Jockey: Velazquez John R - Trainer: Mott William I].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:33 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14100 Class Rating: 71

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 PLUG AND PLAY 6/1
# 1 ARBA 8/1
# 9 KITTEN'S MAN 6/1

PLUG AND PLAY is my choice. Has garnered reliable speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 75 - of his last effort. Shows strong Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. ARBA - Has to be given consideration against this group displaying very strong figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 66 under similar conditions. Looks very good against this field and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. KITTEN'S MAN - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Lucas have shown sharp results lately. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 1:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#3 NORTH FORK (ML=9/2)

NORTH FORK - Don't often see a lucrative return on investment like +39. This jock/trainer tandem has done well together over the last 12 months. Coming off a fourth place finish at Golden Gate Fields, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good odds today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 I WILL YEAH (IRE) (ML=1/1), #6 SYNTHETIC JOE (ML=4/1), #5 QUAZE VIPER (ML=6/1),

I WILL YEAH (IRE) - A bit of a less than stellar outing when this colt finished eighth. Finished eighth in his most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. SYNTHETIC JOE - Will be tough for this animal to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list. QUAZE VIPER - Finished sixth in his most recent effort with a disappointing speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 NORTH FORK to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #9 - Post: 5:25pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $49,700 Class Rating: 81

Rating:

#6 PRECIOUS BADGE (ML=7/2)
#7 HURRICANE DANCER (ML=3/1)

PRECIOUS BADGE - Ran last time out against a better field at Woodbine. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit him well. You have to like that recent race fig, 76, which is the highest last race speed fig of this group. HURRICANE DANCER - I think the shorter trip will help this gelding stay the distance. The March 28th race at Tampa Bay Downs was at a class level of (98). Dropping down the class scale significantly, so he should be in a good position.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SILENCIUM (ML=2/1), #4 KID FORESTER (ML=5/1), #5 PINK LEMONADE (ML=6/1),

SILENCIUM - Can't wager on this runner in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race recently. KID FORESTER - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint contests. Tough to bet on him in this event. PINK LEMONADE - Hard to take this entrant at the odds after the finish position (sixth) in the last race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #6 PRECIOUS BADGE to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-07-2020, 07:35 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

06/07/20, CD, Race 5, 3.10 ET
06/07/20,CD,5,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $34,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of Two Races At A Mile Or Over Since April 7 Allowed 3 lbs. Such A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	2	Chop Chop Charlie	6-1	Talamo J	Scherer Marianne	TWL	31.68	1.14/$1
093.78	9	Ruler of the Nile	5/2	Santana. Jr. R	Lauer Michael E.	SE	32.62	1.07/$1
093.45	6	Take Charge d'Oro	4-1	Lanerie C J	Hartman Chris A.		33.33	1.07/$1
093.07	5	River Echo (GB)	5-1	Esquivel E	Contreras Cipriano	FC	33.33	1.07/$1
092.68	8	Strut the Ring	8-1	Bridgmohan S	Shirer Matt A.	J	35.37	1.10/$1
092.14	7	I Will Stand	10-1	Hernandez C J	Ortiz John Alexander		35.37	1.10/$1
090.06	10	Solomonic	15-1	Gaffalione T	Shorter Aaron		31.68	1.14/$1
089.29	4	Exemplar	6-1	Leparoux J R	Vance David R.		33.33	1.07/$1
088.84	1	Celerity	30-1	Borel C H	Cundiff Waylon		33.33	1.07/$1
088.31	3	Ernie Banks	12-1	McKee J	Brothers Donald W.		28.26	1.33/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.45, ROI 0.80/$1