Service Plays Wednesday 6/10/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-09-2020, 11:31 PM

FujitaPunter

BASEBALL SOUTH KOREA: KBO
KT Wiz Suwon - KIA Tigers
Under 10.5

BASEBALL TAIWAN: CPBL
Chinatrust Brothers - Fubon Guardians
Under 12.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 05:48 AM

Micah Roberts

NASCAR

Wednesday night's Blu-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway will be the 11th NASCAR Cup Series race of the season, but it's only the third using the race package with engines producing 750 horsepower. A few drivers showed off their strength using the package and, coupled with their history on the flat, half-mile layout, I've got a few drivers I believe should fair well.

Here's what I'm thinking for Wednesday night:

1 #11 Denny Hamlin (9-1) -- The Virginian has ruled racing at Martinsville throughout his career. He has recorded five wins in 28 career Cup Series starts there, leading 1,566 laps and accumulating 15 top-fives. The home cooking always gets him ready. In the last race using this package, he led a race-high 131 laps at Bristol before settling for 17th place. He's free-wheeling it with no playoff pressure since he already has posted two wins in 2020. He wants it bad, too.

2 #2 Brad Keselowski (6-1) -- He's got a 10.8 average finish in 20 Cup Series starts at Martinsville, including two wins. He led 446 laps In the spring race there last season, won both stages, and then finished third in the fall. He has recorded top-10s in his last eight starts there, with seven being top-fives. He won at Bristol using this week's race package and finished 11th at Phoenix after leading 82 laps.

3 #48 Jimmie Johnson (20-1) -- This guy has nine grandfather clocks in his house as trophies for winning at Martinsville. Midnight and noon must be interesting in the Johnson household. He's led 2,863 laps there and has 19 top-fives in 36 starts for an average finish of 9.3. His third-place at Bristol makes it easier to back him with this race package.

4 #18 Kyle Busch (9-2) -- He didn't get his first Cup Series win at Martinsville until 2016, and then he won there again the following year. He has registered a top-five finish on this track almost every time since the fall of 2012 (10 of the last 14 starts).

5 #14 Clint Bowyer (20-1) -- This is the sneaky bet of the week. He's been knocking at the door of a win, and this flat track is right up his alley. He won the spring race at Martinsville in 2018, but more importantly, he's made the most of his time with this week's race package, finishing fifth at Phoenix and runner-up at Bristol. Throw a few bucks on him.

6 #12 Ryan Blaney (11-1) -- His car has been junk in the two races using this week's race package. But he's been an amazing driver at Martinsville, with top-five finishes in three of his last four starts there.

7 #4 Kevin Harvick (10-1) -- He's made 37 Cup Series starts at Martinsville and has recorded just one win (2011) and a 14th-place average finish. This track should be ideal for him since he grew up racing and dominating at Mesa Marin Raceway's half-mile layout. Surprisingly, he hasn't led at Martinsville in his last seven starts. However, he was runner-up at Phoenix with this race package and 11th at Bristol - the only time he hasn't finished in the top 10 this season.

8 #9 Chase Elliott (15-2) -- This week's race package might be his best. He led a race-high 93 laps before finishing seventh at Phoenix and won the first two stages at Bristol, leading 88 laps, before settling for 22nd place. He was runner-up in the spring race last season and has been ninth or better in four of his last six starts at Martinsville. He also won a 2017 Truck Series race there.

9 #1 Kurt Busch (20-1) -- He hasn't led a lap in his last eight starts at Martinsville, and his last top-five was a win in 2014, but he will be in the mix. A two-time winner on this track, he was a contender in both races using this week's race package, with a sixth-place finish at Phoenix and a seventh-place at Bristol.

10 #19 Martin Truex Jr. (11-2) -- He's the biggest wild card after leading 464 laps en route to his first win on the flat, half-mile paperclip last fall. His last five starts have seen the following finishes: first, eighth, third, fourth and second. While he recorded his first top-five of 2020 on Sunday at Atlanta, it's a different race package this week, and he was awful while using it at Phoenix (32nd) and Bristol (20th).

11 #22 Joey Logano (9-1) -- His lone win at Martinsville came in dominating fashion in 2018, when he led 309 laps. He's led laps in 10 of his last 12 starts at this track and has been part of the opening story regarding who will win. But he didn't lead a lap last fall, settling for eighth, and the race he won at Phoenix using this week's package featured three cars better than his. I'll be betting any of my top five against him in driver matchups.

12 #6 Ryan Newman (80-1) -- The 2012 Martinsville winner is the one driver each crew chief warns young drivers about. He's a bulldog on this track and doesn't give any room to pass. It's as if he's daring someone to punt him, and he garners so much respect from everyone, they just let him be and try to figure out another way around him.

13 #3 Austin Dillon (66-1) -- He's got two top-five finishes in 12 career Cup Series starts at Martinsville, the last coming in 2017. But his sixth-place at Bristol two weeks ago showed that he has something fast with the 750-horsepower package.

14 #41 Cole Custer (150-1) -- He's had a rough go of it in the Cup Series thus far, but one of the positives was his ninth-place finish at Phoenix using Wednesday's race package. He also started from the pole in a Truck Series race at Martinsville and finished fourth.

15 #95 Christopher Bell (100-1) -- The rookie hasn't had a lot of track time at Martinsville because the Xfinity Series doesn't race there, but he did have two top-five finishes there while driving in the Truck Series. What stands out is his ninth-place at Bristol using this week's race package.

16 #47 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (80-1) -- This track is a little bit outside his comfort zone as he has a 27th-place average finish in 14 starts. He posted his best finish of 10th twice, but I liked what I saw from his car at Bristol, where it showed it could run with the leaders using this race package.

17 #88 Alex Bowman (20-1) -- If it's not an oval over 1.5 miles in distance, he won't be part of my betting equation, ever. He finished seventh at Martinsville in 2018, but I saw nothing in his starts with this week's race package at Phoenix and Bristol. He was 30th on this track last fall.

18 #43 Bubba Wallace (250-1) -- If you're ever going to take a shot with him, it would be at Martinsville, a place where he's won twice (2013 and 2014). I also like that he competed well with this week's race package at Bristol two weeks ago, when he finished 10th.

19 #24 William Byron (33-1) -- He just can't seem to catch a break in 2020, but this may be his spot considering he finished second at Martinsville the last time the Cup Series was there in October. Still, patience is running thin as we wait for him to break through.

20 #38 John Hunter Nemechek (250-1) -- He's making his Cup Series debut at Martinsville, but he knows the track well and won a Truck Series race there in 2018. In the last race with this package, he finished 13th at Bristol. Will he win? No, but he should be a decent bet in driver matchups and a low fantasy buy.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 05:48 AM

Mike McClure

NASCAR

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Kyle Busch (9-2)
2. Martin Truex Jr (11-2)
3. Denny Hamlin (9-1)
4. Brad Keselowski (6-1)
5. Kevin Harvick (10-1)
6. Joey Logano (9-1)
7. Ryan Blaney (11-1)
8. Chase Elliott (15-2)
9. Clint Bowyer (20-1)
10. Jimmie Johnson (20-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11. Kurt Busch
12. Erik Jones
13. Alex Bowman
14. William Byron
15. Tyler Reddick
16. Ryan Newman
17. Matt Kenseth
18. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
19. Christopher Bell
20. Aric Almirola
21. Matt DiBenedetto
22. Austin Dillon
23. Cole Custer
24. Bubba Wallace
25. Daniel Suarez
26. Ryan Preece
27. Ty Dillon
28. Michael McDowell
29. John H. Nemechek
30. Chris Buescher
31. Corey Lajoie
32. Brennan Poole
33. JJ Yeley
34. Timmy Hill
35. Reed Sorenson
36. BJ McLeod
37. Quin Houff
38. Joey Gase
39. Garrett Smithley
40. Josh Bilicki

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 05:48 AM

Mike McClure

NASCAR

The model began its season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven top-10 drivers at The Real Heroes 400 and the Toyota 500 at Darlington. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race.

NASCAR Bets I've locked in as of 10:15 PM EST 6/8

Outright Winner

Kyle Busch +450
Denny Hamlin +900
Kevin Harvick +1200
Clint Bowyer +2200

H2H Matchups

Denny Hamlin +100 vs. Brad Keselowski
Joey Logano +100 vs. Chase Elliott
Clint Bowyer +115 vs. Jimmie Johnson
Kevin Harvick +100 vs. Ryan Blaney
Matt Kenseth +115 vs. Aric Almirola

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Kyle Busch (7-2)
2. Martin Truex Jr (11-2)
3. Denny Hamlin (6-1)
4. Brad Keselowski (11-2)
5. Kevin Harvick (12-1)
6. Joey Logano (8-1)
7. Ryan Blaney (10-1)
8. Chase Elliott (15-2)
9. Clint Bowyer (22-1)
10. Jimmie Johnson (20-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11. Kurt Busch
12. Erik Jones
13. Alex Bowman
14. William Byron
15. Tyler Reddick
16. Ryan Newman
17. Matt Kenseth
18. Ricky Stenhouse Jr
19. Christopher Bell
20. Aric Almirola
21. Matt DiBenedetto
22. Austin Dillon
23. Cole Custer
24. Bubba Wallace
25. Daniel Suarez
26. Ryan Preece
27. Ty Dillon
28. Michael McDowell
29. John H. Nemechek
30. Chris Buescher
31. AJ Allmendinger
32. Corey Lajoie
33. Reed Sorenson
34. Timmy Hill
35. Brennan Poole
36. Garrett Smithley
37. Joey Gase
38. Quin Houff
39. JJ Yeley
40. David Starr

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:55 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belterra Park - Race #2

#6 Appealing Julia	Pace player looked good winning last time at TP, has run well over the main track before, and drew perfectly for her attacking style; call right back.
#1 She's No Drama	Projected inside speed was in against eons better at CD last time, so this drop will help, though wiring from the inside won't be easy; second-best.
#3 Sweet Brynlie	ML favorite has run just once since Dec., and that was a modest 6th at TP, plus she's never tried dirt, so what you get is a guess; making her prove it.
Race Summary	That 9-2 ML seems like a fair price on a gal who is in form and should be able to make her own trip here, so play her to win and place, and especially in the early Pk4 as well, since she could get ignore a bit, and a win in the $10 range, in what is just a six-horse field, would add plenty of value to the sequence.

Belterra Park - Race #5

#1 Mystic Miss	CD invader was in against tons better in an MSW last time, in what was her dirt debut, yet she ran a solid 8th at 99-1, with a huge figure (for these), so off that tightener, on a seismic class drop, she figures primed; imposing.
#3 West Coast Temple	Stretch runner rises in class off an improved 4th in her return to the dirt at Sam Houston, and that was a better meet than normal this year, and, aside from the pick, there's no one here to be scare of; could spice up your exotics.
#4 Lady Fatma	Incorrect ML favorite was a meek 6th in the slop on debut at Will Rogers, and note she was 5-2 that day and didn't have an ideal trip, so she'll likely do better here, though she needs to wake way up to beat the pick; underneath only.
Race Summary	You'll need to be creative with the 1, as that 7-2 ML is more likely 6-5, but you can still make a win bet if she drifts closer to 8-5 or so, plus you can use a price underneath in the EX like the 3, but her real value comes in kicking off the late Pk4, as you can single her, which is a move the betting public doesn't like to endorse to kick off a horizontal sequence, and therefore that will give you a bit of value on a gal who can probably name the score against a group like this.

Belterra Park - Race #8

#9 Midnite Thunder	Drury firster goes for a barn that clicks at a strong 5-for-25 with firsters, with a big $2.66 ROI as well, so from the right outside attack post, with main man Franklin up (35% for this barn here), this one looks very live; thinking he's primed.
#4 Ronni's Day	ML favorite has run well in both starts since a rough debut, and she has plenty of speed too, but she's now facing males, so the waters are deeper, and if the pick can in fact run, he's probably going to be a bit too much; looms the main danger.
#7 Forever Diamond	Newcomer has a slew of works showing for his debut, including a sharp 4/10 bullet on the Polytrack at TP, and McKee, one of the top local jocks, is named to ride, so you're allowed to think there's some serious intent here; hardly impossible.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 9, as he's supposed to be live and taking money if he's ready to roll, and if that's the case you can play him in all the slots, though you'll get some built-in value by using him to end the late Pk4 as well, since this isn't the toughest group you'll ever see, and he starts for a barn that has a lot of success prepping first-time starters to run big.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:56 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Lone Star - Race #5

#4 Carpe Eros	Hasn't shown a ton of interest in a couple of main-track starts, but he's got at least a little upside on the surface switch and will offer a fair price in a race where a couple of the logical horses might have to work a little bit early.
#2 Carlea's Dream	Forward player probably doesn't absolutely need the lead, but he's probably best when he finds the front. He might take a bit of pressure today which is the only thing keeping him from being on top in this one.
#1 Battleship Bevo	Has been an improved horse since the connections stretched him around two turns, but he's still a bit flat late in the lane and figures best used underneath with this group.
Race Summary	Carpe Eros has some room to move forward on the switch to the turf, and she might appreciate a bit more leisurely route tempo while trying two turns for the first time.

Lone Star - Race #7

#4 Welder	He has never run over the local footing, but he has run well over several courses, so that's not a real issue. He's got a tactical edge on his main danger here.
#2 Lasting Legacy	Looks like a chalky two-horse kind of race, as this guy drops out of a couple of decent efforts with Grade III company. He moves into the Calhoun barn, but Welder looks quicker early and has a recency edge, too.
#5 Awesome Saturday	Just missed in a heartbreaker last out, but he and the winner both got an excellent race shape to kick into from off the splits. Not sure he's getting that day.
Race Summary	Welder should get a great run right up top in a spot without a ton of front-end speed. He's consistent and turned in a sharp effort in his comeback.

Lone Star - Race #9

#1 Call Me Richard	The rail draw makes this one tricky, but his best stuff stacks up well with the horses who are going to be much shorter prices than he is. He can try to wire a speedy group or take his chances rating in the pocket.
#8 Thatsafactjack	Forward player will be mixing it up early on, but he draws well while outside of all the other serious pace. His rider can get him out of the gate and find a good spot right up on the splits while outside of the other pace.
#4 About Our Time	Would be one of the ones to benefit if all the pace goes at it in the early stages today. His typical effort isn't too far off what it'd take to beat the main players.
Race Summary	Call Me Richard looks interesting, even from a tough rail draw. The price needs to hold up, but if he's offering double digits somehow, he's worth the risk off a really good run last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:56 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Buffalo - Race #7

#3 AWAKE MY SOUL	No match for sharp winner, gets ideal set-up, today’s Best Bet.
#2 TURBO DIVA	Faded in open company, fits with these despite 1-20 record since 2019.
#5 HEAVEN’S DIVA	Solid numbers, due for victory, been away three months.
Race Summary	Awake My Soul was trapped 3-deep until the stretch and settled for second best behind the runaway winner. She projects a dream trip in a speed-laden field and should bounce back as the favorite. Play 3-2 and 3-5 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #8

#8 MANOFMANYLUVS	Comeback win better than it appears, take right back.
#3 KEVIN’S NOT HERE	Stayed flat in qualifier for new barn, takes hopples off, Lems sticks.
#4 LUCKEY STORMIN	Wired field in same spot in 3yo debut to improve to 5-for-12.
Race Summary	Manofmanyluvs showed marked improvement in his seasonal debut and won despite being parked the mile. He starts from post 8 but lures Merriman in repeat bid. Play an 8 with 1, 3, 4 with ALL trifecta.

Northfield Park - Race #13

#2 MIDNIGHT MATT	Burned late money with first-time Lasix, can atone at inflated price.
#4 CRUSOE HANOVER	Drops, gets driver upgrade, tries to recapture form from last year.
#1 RYCROFT N	Failed to sustain middle move, starts from rail, use in gimmicks.
Race Summary	Midnight Matt took late money, broke stride early, rushed up, then faded. He won a qualifier since then and should offer better value in his second start with Lasix. Play 2-1 and 2-4 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:56 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Thistledown - Race #1

#3 Star Mabee	Has won seven races over the Thistledown strip and has done well at this level; tough vs. state-breds.
#5 Panamaniac	Was up in time in here in last of 2019; has won six over the strip and will be a factor.
#6 G's Ship Load	Crushed rivals in three of her last four here last year and won off her last three layoffs.
Race Summary	Star Mabee is no stranger to the Thistledown winner's circle and rates an edge in a competitive spot for Ohio-breds.

Thistledown - Race #3

#1 Josie the E F Five	Failed in her last two at Oaklawn after posting an easy win there; was claimed by Puhl three back and at this track can get back to winning ways.
#3 Run Mickey Run	Is rarely outrun for a half mile of her races and can be very tough if she's clear turning for home; has won seven here.
#5 Hidatsa Park	Has a steady closing move and gets a fast pace to chase here; would not be a surprise if she blasted past them late.
Race Summary	Josie the E F Five has some class to her and can be effective in this starter allowance; turns back in distance and came from from behind to get this one.

Thistledown - Race #7

#2 Grizabella	Has spent a lot of time chasing Ohio-bred standout Lonas Reward and has the talent to cross over to open company.
#1 Edge of Night	Was a multiple stakes winner last year as a 2-year-old, steps up to experienced company but comes off a good 3rd. Late threat.
#8 Shore of Eden	Enjoys life on the front end and has a good chance to battle from the start; seeks 4th straight win.
Race Summary	Grizabella is the class of this outfit and will have to get tuned up early; likes longer distances but should be flying late in this sprint.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:57 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs

Assiniboia Downs - Race 3	$1 PICK 4 (25K Guarantee) Races 3-4-5-6) / .20 PICK 3 (Races 3-4-5) .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA
Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $7,900 • Post: 8:35P
FOR MB/SASK/ND/SD BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. J F MONEYGIRL is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * J F MONEYGIRL: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COCO PADR INO: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. BARBIE'S QUEST: Horse has run a Good Race w ithin the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	J F MONEYGIRL	3/1	3/1
1	COCO PADRINO	2/1	4/1
3	BARBIE'S QUEST	4/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	J F MONEYGIRL	2	3/1	Front-runner	56	46	61.4	31.4	26.9
7	BORN MAD	7	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	91.0	27.5	21.0
1	COCO PADRINO	1	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	66	48	35.0	37.8	33.3
3	BARBIE'S QUEST	3	4/1	Trailer	56	42	29.4	35.6	30.6
5	STORM KITTEN	5	25/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	52.4	12.0	0.0
6	INVENTESS	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	45.5	8.5	0.0
4	COMMANDO BEACH	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	44.2	25.4	15.9
8	SASK LADY	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:57 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park

Arapahoe Park - Race 6	W/P/S / Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $7,600 • Post: 6:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. J SERINO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * J SERINO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HE'S MUNNIE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. XTREME LYRA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RAOFTHESUN: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
11	J SERINO	10/1	3/1
1	HE'S MUNNIE	8/1	6/1
9	XTREME LYRA	8/1	7/1
6	RAOFTHESUN	6/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
11	J SERINO	11	10/1	Front-runner	96	88	95.0	88.8	82.3
9	XTREME LYRA	9	8/1	Front-runner	93	89	68.5	78.2	73.7
1	HE'S MUNNIE	1	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	94	82	76.8	81.8	75.8
6	RAOFTHESUN	6	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	93	93	74.6	80.2	75.2
8	MR. MATLOCK	8	6/1	Trailer	81	66	75.0	70.2	54.7
7	DEWEY	7	9/2	Trailer	91	80	59.7	69.2	57.7
4	PARLAY PONTI	4	15/1	Trailer	87	80	17.0	77.8	69.3
5	DREAM BABY DREAM	5	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	92	71	63.5	64.5	48.5
2	WAY OUT WEST	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	88	79	61.5	54.8	39.3
3	ET TU BRUTAE	3	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	76	47.7	74.5	58.0
10	HOW ABOUT HIM	10	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	72	44.8	53.8	33.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:58 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,100 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#7 BLANCONIA (ML=4/1)
#6 G'S SHIP LOAD (ML=3/1)
#3 STAR MABEE (ML=6/1)

BLANCONIA - Every now and then I take some time off, when I come back to the track I feel refreshed. I think it's the same with this mare as she always seems to run well after a vacation. Ran in the last race against a better field at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. The move to a lower level should suit her well. This mare has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Radosevich. Better watch out for this angle. This horse absolutely loves this surface. All her victories have been here at Thistledown. G'S SHIP LOAD - When Bracho and Radosevich combine forces on animals the win pct has been outstanding at 32. TrackMaster keeps good stats on this type of information. This mare always seems to run well after a layoff. Last out, this one was in a race at Thistledown in a race with a class figure of 80. Dropping considerably in class rating today puts her in a solid position in today's race. STAR MABEE - Berrios comes to ride after getting to know the mare in the last race. Based on the TrackMaster data I've reviewed, this mare should run well off the layoff. A big drop in Equibase class figure points from her Dec 11th race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 PANAMANIAC (ML=5/2), #2 ROSETTA GRAY (ML=6/1), #1 RIO BO (ML=8/1),

PANAMANIAC - Tough to wager on any animal in a short distance event at 5/2 when she hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last couple of months. ROSETTA GRAY - The Brain tells me to keep away from thoroughbreds in short distance contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance races recently. RIO BO - Doubtful for this one to make a winning move with no success lately in a sprint race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BLANCONIA - A pace examination shows this animal should have the pace to wire this bunch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 BLANCONIA is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	7 with [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:58 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

06/10/20, TAM, Race 3, 1.27 ET
06/10/20,TAM,3,1M 40Y [Dirt] 1:38:04 CLAIMING. Purse $11,500. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since May 10 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since April 10 Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $6,250 (Races where entered for $5,000 or less not considered) (Registered Florida Breds Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	1	High Rolling Dude	9/2	Morales P	Caruso Nick Joseph	JFW	36.36	1.66/$1
098.67	7	Perfetto	5-1	Centeno D	Bennett Gerald S.	S	33.33	1.03/$1
097.20	4	Zitman	9/5	Garcia W A	Sweezey J. Kent	EC	33.33	1.03/$1
096.88	5	Brandt	12-1	Ferrer J C	Bennett Gerald S.		36.36	1.66/$1
096.10	2	Big Money Machine	7/2	Mejia T B	Hinsley David H.		33.33	1.03/$1
096.03	6	Das Da One	15-1	Villa-Gomez H	Caruso Nick Joseph	L	36.36	1.66/$1
095.45	8	English Laughter	8-1	Allen. Jr. R D	Ferraro M. Anthony		28.33	1.10/$1
095.03	3	Guerreron	8-1	Hernandez H	O'Connell Kathleen		36.36	1.66/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.27, ROI 0.72/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 68

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 STORMY MERLOT 20/1
# 8 SPELLBINDING 9/5
# 6 MISS UNDERRATED 6/1

STORMY MERLOT has a solid shot to take this race especially at a long price. The odds might be right on this entrant. SPELLBINDING - Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 58 - of her last affair. MISS UNDERRATED - Ought to be given consideration in this competition if only for the solid speed figure put up in the last contest. Has recorded formidable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 07:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 67

FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 CADDO FOX 8/5
# 6 CLEAR ADVANTAGE 20/1
# 2 TEXAS CROSSBOW 9/2

CADDO FOX has a very good shot to take this race. He has been running well as of late while recording sharp speed figures. With Sorenson on top him, this gelding ought to be able to break out quickly for this event. The speed figure of 65 from his last affair looks quite good in here. CLEAR ADVANTAGE - Should expect a formidable outing with the class drop. He has competitive class ratings, averaging 72, and has to be carefully examined in here. TEXAS CROSSBOW - With Diego on top him, this gelding will most likely be able to break out quickly here. With a competitive 56 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this outing.

Service Plays Wednesday 6/10/20

Service Plays Wednesday 6/10/20

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