Service Plays Friday 6/12/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-10-2020, 05:48 PM

June 10, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Weekly Bankroll Builder: June 12 Stronach 5 Suggested Play

We’re back to battle this week in the Stronach 5, with a tough sequence that includes a trio of maiden races filled with largely unproven horses. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a wildly successful and well received Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), in the space of about 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update

Leg 1 Laurel Park R8 (4:25 ET): 3upfm AOC (35k/N2X) at 1 1/16 miles (turf)

The opening leg is a bit tricky, in that there is plenty of speed signed on, many of the favorites have some of it, and a few of them are drawn out wide, which only further adds to the puzzle. I’ll split the difference a bit and use both #13 EBULLIENT (9-2), who will like getting back to the turf and is the one to beat off her two GP races this winter, and #9 TASS (4-1), who did some good things in NY last year and lures McCarthy for her first start since December. However, since both want to be up front early they run the risk of canceling each other out, no matter if they are the best two here (and they are), so I’m also using #14 I’M LISTENING (10-1), who can stalk and returns for her first start since October for an Eppler barn that is 4-for-14 off this elongated layoff.

Stronach 5 A horses: 13,9,14 (listed in order of preference)

The closing style and solid form of #3 KAILEE (8-1) makes her a player here, even though Keefe is just 1-for-30 on the year, and the August layoff isn’t as crucial to a stretch runner as it is to a speed horse, so there’s a chance she runs by them all at a nice price.

Stronach 5 B horses: 3

Potential B add ins: #12 Jabuticaba (9-2), #8 No Mo Lady (15-1), #1 Wildcat Cartridge (12-1)

Leg 2 Gulfstream Park R10: 3upfm MSW at 5 furlongs (turf)

Budget players will be singling #12 FUDDLED (2-1), who wins this by 4 if she runs back to that neck 2nd on debut, but this wide draw isn’t ideal, and if #9 HUOR ME DIXIE (9-2) gets loose, then she could have a bit too much to do in the lane. The latter dueled through hot fractions on debut in July at Ellis in July and held well to be a close 3rd, the didn’t fire on the dirt in her return here in April, but she’s back on her preferred surface here, and off that tightener she could get brave.

Stronach 5 A horses: 12,9 (listed in order of preference)

I contemplated using #7 She’s Just Quality (6-1), since she was a good 2nd in a fast MCL on debut, but that was for Ward, and she now goes off the claim for Morici, who is 0-for-7 on the year, so on the rise, and now away from a potent debut barn, I just can’t see this miss improving enough to win this.

Stronach 5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add ins: #7 She’s Just Quality (6-1), #11 Thrill (4-1)

Leg 3 Santa Anita R3: 3f 50k claimer 1-mile (turf)

Another race that seems to have quite a bit of speed, especially with some stretchout sprinters, so I’m hoping an aggressive pace helps the late chances of #3 A THOUSAND DREAMS (5-1), who really improved on her lone turf start in her return off the long break last time, now stretches out, and should be primed from a bit off the pace. Obviously #8 GOING TO VEGAS (9-5) is the gal to beat, though she was uncharacteristically bad last time and now drops, so while her best wins this, from a wide draw off that dud, at an underlaid price too, you’re allowed to wonder where her form is right now. A trouble-free trip in a speedy race would help #2 MADAME BOURBON (6-1), who had to steady last time and then didn’t have a lot of late interest, but she too drops, drew well, and is another who has some solid back races that can win this.

Stronach 5 A horses: 3,8,2 (listed in order of preference)

I’m going to leave it on the A-line and call it a day, as more than a few others (see below) could be players here, but they also are the speeds I’ve mentioned, and have some negative trainer stats too, so going a two-turn mile, I’m hoping they all take enough out of each other early to hurt them late, and set it up for my trio above.

Stronach 5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add ins: #1 Too Much Heaven (8-1), #6 Lovely Lilia (3-1), #4 Savvy Gal (5-1)

Leg 4 Laurel Park R10: 3up 25k MCL at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

In a weak race on paper, it won’t take a freakish firster to win, so you have to think #6 EAGLE KEEPER (7-2) will be a real handful for Trombetta (15% with firsters), especially since he’s got a slew of solid works showing, has McCarthy up, and is kin to a 168k earner. The best of the proven runners is #11 RARELY (5-1), who probably would be favored if he wasn’t off a July layoff, as he drops from a pair of solid turf MSW runs, but note Morgan is 2-for-5 off this extended break, and they aren’t giving him away for 40k, so he looks the main danger. My price is the firster #4 MIGHTY SOLDIER (10-1), as he’s kin to a 200k earner, has Marquez, and starts for Elizabeth Merryman, who is 5-for-20 in turf sprints.

Stronach 5 A horses: 6,11,4 (listed in order of preference)

I’m a bit intrigued by #3 MORE TWIRL (12-1), since he has a 344 turf Tomlinson, a few strong works showing, and lures Ruiz, so there’s reason to think he’s live, and if that’s the case he can play with a group like this.

Stronach 5 B horses: 3

Potential B add ins: #7 Power Back (8-1), #2 Kukulkan (3-1)

Leg 5 Golden Gate Fields R5: 2yo MSW at 5 furlongs

I’ll be the first to admit the finale is a guess, as only two of these 2yos have started, and since you can’t see the tote before playing a ticket, I’d suggest as much coverage as your bankroll could provide. I’ll also admit I’m being very brave and going with a trio of firsters, since the two to race (see below) have some questions to answer. We start with #2 COLAVITO (2-1), who has several encouraging works showing for Wright, who is 17% on debut, and it looks like stable jock Hernandez chose here (Wright also runs #7 Sale’ Y Vale), which will help be my guide. The other two—#8 AHIMAAZ (10-1) and #9 CALL SIGN LUCKY (12-1)—are more unknown, but both have worked well, and the former has Frey for 2-for-8 debut trainer Lenzini, while the latter starts for 2-for-9 debut trainer Jauregei, so you have to think they are here to fire their shot.

Stronach 5 A horses: 2,8,9 (listed in order of preference)

I mentioned the experienced runners—#1 MANDO 3-1) and #10 BRONY BOY (6-1)—and neither would surprise, as they ran 2-3 on debut, but the former was 16-1 in a short field and now draws worst of all, and the latter was 3 lengths behind in 3rd at 3-2, so you have to ask just how good of a race was that?

Stronach 5 B horses: 1,10

Potential B add ins: #7 Sale’ Y Vale

The suggested tickets:

Main Ticket: 13,9,14 with 12,9 with 3,8,2 with 6,11,4 with 2,8,9 = $162
Leg 1 Backup: 3 with 12,9 with 3,8,2 with 6,11,4 with 2,8,9 = $54
Leg 4 Backup: 13,9,14 with 12,9 with 3,8,2 with 3 with 2,8,9 = $54
Leg 5 Backup: 13,9,14 with 12,9 with 3,8,2 with 6,11,4 with 1,10 = $108

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-12-2020, 06:00 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Park Wagering Strategies - 6/12/20

June 12, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Friday, June 12, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers:

Gulfstream Park – 10th race. Post Time: 4:45 ET
8 – Lady Boss (10-1)

First-timer has shown excellent speed in morning drills, including a bullet gate work last week in :47 1/5, the fastest of 52 for the distance. The daughter of Street Boss goes for a strong jockey-trainer combo in a field that doesn’t have an abundance of early zip, so if she breaks with her field the E. Dobles-trained juvenile should be extremely dangerous at this abbreviated sprint trip of five furlongs on grass. At 10-1 on the morning we’ll make her a good price play in the win pool as well as all of the exotic wagers.
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Belmont Park – 9th race. Post Time: 5:36 ET
4-Build to Suit (9/2)

Been away since October but has won off a 15-month layoff in the past, so we doubt he’ll be rusty in this year’s edition of the Commentator Stakes for New York-bred older horses. Lightly-raced at age six with just 10 career starts (six wins), the veteran in Chad Brown’s barn likes to settle in mid-pack and produce a strong late kick, and in a race that projects to have quick early fractions the son of Dominus should be capable of producing the last run. He’ll offer wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play at or near his morning line of 9/2.
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Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File
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RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: X
Use: 3-Shines Her Light; 5-Affianced

Forecast: Shines Her Light has two good races over this course and distance, a maiden win in her U.S. debut and a strong third place effort despite a less-than-ideal trip in a similar first-level allowance turf dash last month. An easy five-furlong solo training track drill last week should keep her on edge, so the Irish-bred daughter of No Nay Never looks pretty solid for the always-potent J. Sadler/V. Espinoza combo. Affianced isn’t as fast on numbers as Shines Her Light but has improving form and is worth including in rolling exotic play. In a race that projects to have a below average early pace, the R. Mandella-trained filly may inherit the role as the controlling speed and be tough to catch, just as she was when breaking her maiden last month.
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RACE 2: Post 1:37 PT. Grade: X
Use: 1-Uncle Chuck; 2-Big Mel; 5-Uncle Addouma

Forecast: This maiden main track miler drew just five entrants, three of which must be considered legitimate contenders. We’ll triple the race in our rolling exotics but otherwise pass. Uncle Chuck is a very well-regarded first-timer from the B. Baffert barn with enough of a foundation to win at first asking. The son of Uncle Mo has done everything asked in the morning and has trained very much like a route-type, so it’s not surprising that he starts his career in a two-two affair. Stable mate Big Mel was given a run in his debut when finishing mostly on his own before galloping out strongly in a good maiden sprint last month and seems sure to be tighter, sharper, and more serious today. In fact, we wouldn’t be surprised if the Quality Road colt makes the running and is the one we suspect Uncle Chuck has to worry about the most. Uncle Addourma stayed on nicely when a willing fourth in his debut sprinting at Oaklawn Park last month and should benefit greatly from that bit of experience. The M. McCarthy barn has excellent stats with second-timers, and with F. Prat staying aboard this promising colt has every right to produce a significant forward mover over a distance he’s quite likely to enjoy.
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RACE 3: Post 2:09 PT. Grade: B
Use: 6-Lovely Lilia; 8-Going to Vegas

Forecast: In a grass miler for $50,000 claiming 3-year-old fillies that projects to have a faster than par early pace, Going to Vegas seems capable of settling in mid-pack and then producing a winning late kick. The daughter of Goldencents is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat, is realistically dropped to what should be her proper level, and sports a steady, healthy series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs for her first outing since March to have her fit and ready for the hot P. Miller barn. Lovely Lilia, a first-off-a-claim play for the V. Cerin barn (good stats with this angle), certainly is bred for grass and distance (Animal Kingdom) and makes her first start around two turns with sprint numbers that make her competitive. A solid runner-up while more than six lengths clear of the rest in a main track sprint for $40,000 three weeks ago, she projects to be within striking range throughout and have every chance when the pressure is turned on. We’ll prefer Going to Vegas on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 4: Post 2:41 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Camino de Estrella; 2-Conquest Cobra

Forecast: Camino de Estrella, doubled jumped in class after being haltered for $12,500 by S. Knapp (excellent stats with the first-off-the-claim angle), was a strong runner-up in a highly-rated main track miler upon his return from Phoenix last month and this nine furlong distance has proven to be well within his wheelhouse. In a race that should be slowly run early, the veteran Mineshaft gelding should settle into an ideal second-flight, ground-saving position and then have dead aim when it counts. Conquest Cobra can handle the trip as well and under the projected pace scenario seems likely to be the controlling speed. Give that type of trip, the eight-year-old gelding could be very hard to catch. We’ll give Camino de Estrella a slight edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 5: Post 3:13 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Rawhide Rawlins; 5-Foothill

Forecast: Foothill was a bit too keen for his own good in his racing debut vs. similar last month and under the circumstances held on better than he had a right to after pressing the pace most of the way, eventually winding up fourth. With that effort behind him and two easy breezes since, the son of Vronsky should be fitter and tougher today, especially if he can establish the pace without pressure. A. Gryder returns and will try to get the S. McCarthy-trained gelding to settle better today. Rawhide Rawlins closed fastest of all and galloped out strongly in a promising debut sprinting on grass last month and is probably the most dangerous of the closers. His pedigree suggests he’ll handle two-turns and the S. Miyadi barn has spectacular stats with second-time starters. We’ll try to get by using just these two, with Foothill a slight preference on top.
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RACE 6: Post 3:44 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Abusive Gary; 6-All I Can Say

Forecast: Abusive Gary was overmatched in a first-level allowance main track miler last month but is realistically spotted today in this restricted (nw-2) $12,500 claimer and based strictly on speed figures should be able to handle this task with his best effort. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding may find himself as the controlling speed, though we suspect he can stalk and win against this group if the situation requires. All I Can Say, in his second start off a long layoff, closed well to be a willing third vs. similar last month in what has proven to be a productive race. His form suggests he’s better around one turn but on numbers he’s a fit, so if taken back and allowed to produce one run the son of Old Topper could make some serious noise in the final furlong. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with Abusive Gary the main push on top.
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RACE 7: Post 4:15 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Querelle; 4-Great Return

Forecast: Querelle is a genuine and consistent late-running turf sprinter and in a small five runner field should be able to negotiate a trouble-free trip and produce the last run for the red-hot F. Prat/P. Miller team. She’s fresh from a career-top earning win over this course and distance vs. first-level allowance foes last month and a similar effort makes her tough right back despite the one-level class hike. Great Return, away since October, hasn’t been particularly impressive in morning drills leading up to this race, but as a grass specialist working exclusively on dirt nothing flashy should have been expected. If ready, she’ll be dangerous with anything close to her best race, and since she won her debut we know she can fire fresh. We’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics with preference on top to Querelle.
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RACE 8: Post 4:45 PT. Grade: C
Use: 2-Kirsch Truffle; 13-Daddys Real Diva

Forecast: Daddys Real Diva has been away for more than a year but her form in 2019 is good enough to beat this field and her recent workouts at San Luis Rey Downs and before that at Turf Paradise are reasonably encouraging. Kirsch Truffle is slow on figures (as are most of these) but did manage to finish second in a similar affair last month and not much more will be needed in a race that simply doesn’t have much in it. These are the two we’ll prefer in our rolling exotic play but best advice is to go as deep as your budget allows in a race in which nothing would surprise us.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-12-2020, 06:01 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 12, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Hawthorne Racecourse has 12-races on tap for this evening. The first two dashes have nine horses scheduled to go and the rest of the card has full fields of ten. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 9 and will be my focus. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

1-Winonefordoug (25-1)-This veteran was having a good start to 2020 and CalX invader fits with this kind. The Bertrand barn has won 3 of 11 starts. Warren should get a close-up seat and be in the mix late.
3-Impressive Art (6-1)-Comes off a decent qualifier and should like the company. Can be a square price and does well in Stickney.
5-Major Legacy (7/5)-Here is the 7/5 program chalk that is worth using but will shoot against. Barn was ice cold before the break and is 0-2 since racing has resumed. Usually is over classified but this is the right level, so might wake-up.
7-Impressive Cowboy (5-1)-Bates took the long way around in needed start and did race the 2nd half in 56.1 with a 27.1 last panel. Does fit better with this crew and has won 3 of 11 starts at Haw.

Race 10

2-Lucky Crusader (2-1)-11-year-old is a threat and can roll late but needs the right trip. Will look to others at 2-1 in the morning line and should be bet. Usually breaks slowly and if pace is dull may not close fast enough to win.
3-Gabe Henry (20-1)-Willis barn did win 3 of 7 races last weekend and Gabe has taken 9 pictures in 54 Haw starts.
Hasn't won much the past two seasons but will respect connections.
5-Fox Valley Hoss (12-1)-Even effort in last but went the 2nd half in 56.4 for a barn that has been doing well and should like the company.
8-Almost Cut My Hair (12-1)-In from CalX for west coast connections and usually faces better. Six-year-old has a win in two Haw starts. Lackey could put in play, so best to respect because there isn't much gate speed inside.

Race 11

2-Pacific Stride (7/2)-Fits with this bunch but can't fully commit. Only 3 for last 42 and has just 2 wins in 30 Haw starts. This is not a strong group so could trip out but doesn't like to pass horses down the lane.
4-B R Flying Dali (6-1)-In from PPk for the Petrelli barn and Leonard steers. Haw record is a reason to use, has won 4 of 5 here and finished 2nd in the other start.
6-Sheriff Coffey (9/2)-Raced from the back in needed start but did roll the 2nd half in 56.1. Faces an easier group so Warren will likely get going sooner. Has the speed to win if dialed on high and chances go up if pace is quick.
7-Ole Swamp Master (12-1)-6/2 Spr qualifier was fine but was scratched the following week. Trigg barn usually has them ready and will use at a price. Looks like a player if minds manners.

Race 12

5-Rock Steady Ron (2-1)-Patton barn has sent them out ready and Ron qualified here in 154.3. That start was from the 9-hole, got on the engine and did all the work on his own. Plus finished the mile with a 27.3 kicker.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,3,5,7/2,3,5,8/2,4,6,7/5
Total Bet=$32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-12-2020, 06:02 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #6

#9 Eliade	Brown Euro import won a small stakes going 1 1/2 miles at a minor track in France when last seen in October, adds Lasix, seems to have some quality to her, and meets a field, and maybe even a stablemate, there for the taking; look out.
#10 Noor Sahara	Aforementioned stablemate is the more fancied (at least on the ML) of the two Brown Euros and is owned by Dubb, who rarely misses with these types, though her last three in France weren't good, and this 9Fs may be a tad too far; tabbing today.
#7 Miss Munnings	The best of the home team was a close 5th in her stakes debut last time in a GP GIII, so in theory this is a drop in class, but considering the top-2 could be tigers, she hasn't found all that soft of a spot to drop into; likely running for a smaller award.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 9, as you want to see her live and taking money, and if that's the case she can be played in all the slots, and especially to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since, on paper and without knowing too much, she looks to be every bit as good as her classier 'mate the 10, and the price figures to be better, and this trip might be as well.

Belmont Park - Race #8

#4 Explorationist	Versatile sort flew on the lead at GP three-back then showed he can settle and still run well when a close 4th two-back, and those two turf runs fit nicely with this group, yet he still may be a very square price; upset special.
#5 Fortune's Fool	Price player is another who may get lost in the shuffle even though the Aqu turf 3rd two-back was very solid and puts him in the mix with these, and that's his only grass start too, there's no reason he can't build on it; do not ignore.
#1 Sayaaf	Heavy money-burner for Brown won going two turns at GP two-back then didn't fire at that trip on the rise last time, so the cutback today may wake him up, though this post, and underlaid price don't entice; scary, trying to beat.
Race Summary	Both the top-2 have price appeal in a race where most of these look the same on paper, and, as always, trip and luck will be imperative in a big turf field, so you want value, and both offer it, so play whoever you like best in all the slots, box them in the EX, and use them both in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since they both check off a lot of boxes, including the fact they won't be underlays and have a ton of upside in a race where the favorites have already shown their hands.

Belmont Park - Race #10

#11 Amano	Brown's perceived second-best was running on late on debut going shorter, and while Irad (seemingly) opted for his other runner, Rosario is the best finisher in the sport, and that debut says this was the plan all along; mows them down in the lane.
#8 Astronaut	Dangerous sort left Asmussen, went to Albertrani, tried turf, and completely blew up when a fast 2nd after a no-show opener on dirt, so if he runs back to that he'll be right there, but the 24-1 is long gone, and regression is in play; still, seems a must-use.
#7 Star Decisis	Brown-Klaravich runner keeps Irad, which could be noteworthy, but that last was a real step back off a solid debut here, so while a turnaround is hardly out of the question, there's reason to be concerned as well, at a false price too; mixed signals here.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like about the pick, most notably the added ground, experience, and 6-1 ML, which seems like a ton of value, so play him in all the slots, while getting some additional value by using him to end the late Pk5/Pk4, since he really tipped his hand on debut, and with predicted improvement, and an ace finisher, he might be poised to lay down a race the rest of these won't be able to handle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-12-2020, 06:02 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #7

#7 Earlscastle	Don't think he's even going to offer his 9/5 ML price in a spot where his baseline effort just towers over the rest of this group. Barring a big jump up from someone else or a no show here, he's an obvious and reasonable multi-race single.
#3 Take Time	Steps up to face winners for the first time off the maiden win last time out, and he'll need another pretty decent move forward in this one if he's going to handle the top choice.
#6 Swing Batter	Drops out of a modest try in stakes company here a few weeks ago and offers some upside with that race under his belt, but he needs every bit of his A-game in order to threaten the top choice.
Race Summary	Earlscastle should be a handful in this spot where his baseline effort simply looks better than what the others can offer. I wouldn't argue too much with anyone wanting to add Take Time to the ticket, but I wouldn't double the cost of multi-race plays for him.

Charles Town - Race #8

#3 Lucky Ned Pepper	Worth a little swing in this spot on the hike, as his recent form really isn't far off what the rest of these are producing and he tends to dig in a bit late when challenged.
#2 Zep	Good effort with similar last time out, but I wouldn't want too short a number here in a spot where he certainly doesn't tower over the rest.
#8 Eastbound N Dawn	The main concern is that he tends to give away ground late in his races, but he still may be able to stick around for a piece. Might be a bit of a stretch on top?
Race Summary	Lucky Ned Pepper is sort of all or nothing in this spot, but he owns a handful of back races that are competitive with this kind, and he'll get a chance here to try to produce one of those runs against this better group.

Charles Town - Race #9

#3 Any Way Now	Got beat almost five lengths when sent to post at 4/5 against seven others in the debut, and the price should get better today. He can improve with that race under his belt, and the blinkers may do the trick.
#4 Bop Marley	Finished up well in that debut run, and it may be worth checking in on the results of tonight's 7th race to try and get a better handle on this guy and the strength of that race by seeing how Take Time ran earlier tonight.
#7 Atrani	Probably not good enough to win this, but he owns some early speed in a race without much other pace, so he may be able to hang around for a piece tonight.
Race Summary	Any Way Now has a right to move forward tonight at a better offering on the tote than he was when 4/5 in the debut run. I'd be willing to take something a bit shorter than the 4/1 ML price tonight while expecting a better effort.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-12-2020, 06:03 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #1

#8 THE NEXT ONE	Filly kept quality company in sire stakes, post the concern in return.
#3 BLUFFINNER	Good tune-up for seasonal debut, barn good with trotters.
#4 GERARD	Can carry his speed a long way at a decent price.
Race Summary	The Next One takes on the boys and starts outside in a field loaded with returnees, but she finished in the money in fall sire stakes against 1-to-9, 2-to-5 and 4-to-5 winners out of town. Play 8-3 and 8-4 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#3 PREMIER CABERNET	Burned money in same spot, expect improvement tonight.
#2 PARISIAN BLUE CHIP	Finished fourth in split race that timed 2-2/5 seconds faster.
#1 CIRCLE THE PAGE	Made up 13-1/2 lengths on wire-to-wire winner in first start locally.
Race Summary	Premier Cabernet took a lot of late money in her comeback but never threatened and appeared to need the race. She gets a playback call at a better price. Box a 1-2-3 exacta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5

#10 ODDS ON VERO BEACH	Controlled pace, responded when asked in first-out win.
#5 BEACH SPORTS	Consistent late kick and a recent race under her belt.
#1 MARTINIS PLACE	Took money in return but didn’t fire off qualifying score, moves outside in.
Race Summary	Odds On Vero Beach was well-rated on the front end in a popular debut victory, but she hit another gear when asked coming out of the final turn. Believe she’s good enough to conquer post 10 off that effort.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-12-2020, 06:03 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#2 Duellist	Was up in time for a maiden win two back and then was ambitiously placed in his latest; drops in class and can be effective in this N2L spot.
#5 Smell of Roses	Set very fast fractions in many of his recent races and will be a strong front-player player today; has faced better and will be the one to catch.
#6 Bahamian Park	Likely to be closest to the pace and can take over if that one falters; was in off-the-turf races and can be tough in his
Race Summary	Duellist does have much speed and that works in his favor today; can make a strong late bid against a pace that should be quick.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#4 Probably Grace	Steps up in class but is in exceptional form; won by 3.5 and 5.75 lengths in his last two and has come to love this strip.
#3 Ms Big Spring	Has been tiring against much higher levels than this lately and could get some courage on this drop.
#7 Fast Venezuela	Has enough speed that she should always be considered; has had a problem finishing lately, having held 3rd after possessing a clear lead in her last two.
Race Summary	Probably Grace has really picked up her game lately and will stalk a fast pace; should be able to carve out a perfect trip just off the leaders.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#2 Golden Decision	Has been effective against upper claimers and has closed steadily in his last two; in good form and the one to beat.
#5 High Noon Rider	Won six of his last nine and goes for his 3rd straight; has closed strongly and can catch a good trip here.
#8 Almashriq	Royally bred $1.2 million yearling was moved from Great Britain to Gulfstream this year and has a win and a 2nd in three starts; gets his 1st U.S. grass start today.
Race Summary	Golden Decision is a consistent closer and will be the one driving late, especially if front runners falter. Won going away two back.