Service Plays Sunday 6/14/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Service Plays Sunday 6/14/20

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis


    June 14, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
    Hawthorne Racecourse has 13-races scheduled for Sunday night. The headliner from a betting standpoint is the 0.50 Late Pick 4 which starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

    On Saturday the driver with the hottest hands was Ridge Warren with three trips to the winner's circle. The top conditioners were Terry Leonard and Mike Brink, each took two pictures.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 10

    2-Lookintomyeyes (7/2)-Has had trouble sealing the deal but was competitive in all three Haw starts. Gets another inside post draw, could get sucked around and go under the wire first.
    3-Passionanpromise (2-1)-Rallied off a tough trip with a 56.2 back half to take a picture. Looking to string along versus the same bunch except for #5 and #7.

    Race 11

    3-It's Time For Fun (3-1)-Qualified a while ago on 5/20 and the Wilfong barn hasn't done much so far, but this is a soft spot. Beat Open company here last summer and should be a player if ready, in a competitive affair.
    4-My Kind Of Dance (7/2)-Has hit the board in 21 of 51 Haw starts but has only 3 wins in the last 43 races. Needs a trip and this is the spot to stay inside and get sucked around. Could rally late in a race without a standout.
    7-Mocking Robin (7-1)-This mare has 11 lifetime wins and 10 of those came right here. Needed the last start and broke slowly from post 8. Did roll the back half in 55.3 and taking a swing Krueger will be more aggressive tonight.
    8-Shedaisy Ten (5-1)-Similar situation to #7, needed last and likes the track. Has won 3 of 6 starts at Haw, was Leonard's choice over #5 & #10 and should be a square price.

    Race 12

    2-Fox Valley Halsey (5/2)-Beaten chalk deserves another chance in 2nd try off the restart. Leonard barn has started to heat up so will respect connections.
    7-Valar Morghulis (7/2)-Used hard in the opening quarter and faded. Did qualify on 6/2 and raced right back on 6/6 so this might be a better set-up. Not much gate speed inside and Oosting could get the top without draining the tank.

    Race 13

    3-Whiskersonkittens (5-1)-Didn't show much last week but that was versus Open company. This is a better spot but can't be sure if 7-year-old will be dialed on high. The Roth barn has come out cold.
    4-Luckey Jewel (9/2)-Using and banking the Herrera barn will send this mare out ready to roll. Like others in here this is the 1st start at Haw since March.
    5-I Dance U Prance (3-1)-Has 7 wins in 32 starts at Haw but this will be first start off the bench. This mare has the speed to beat this crew if tight enough.
    6-Finleys Filly (6-1)-Team Leonard trainee makes 2nd start off the restart and that could be the difference here. Comes off a rough trip versus a tougher group. This is a spot to shine and could offer a fair price.

    0.50 Late Pick 4

    2,3/3,4,7,8/2,7/3,4,5,6
    Total Bet=$32
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Park Wagering Strategies - 6/14/20


      June 14, 2020
      Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
      Santa Anita
      Sunday, June 14, 2020
      *

      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
      *
      It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
      *
      Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

      *
      Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
      Grade B=Solid Play.
      Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
      Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
      *
      The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

      *
      Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File
      *
      *

      RACE 1: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: B
      Use: 2-Dupioni; 5-Zee Drop

      Forecast: This turf miler for second-level allowance fillies and mares projects to have a faster than par pace – even for a small field – and we expect the race flow to favor the two proven closers in the field. Zee Drop has been away since winning an entry-level allowance turf miler at Del Mar last summer but the work tab at Los Alamitos should have her fit and ready for the strong jockey/trainer combo of A. Cedillo and P. D’Amato. Having won her debut, she’s proven she can win fresh, and we’re expecting the daughter of Lemon Drop Kid – a fit on figures and bred to improve with maturity – to settle off the pace and then produce a winning late kick. Dupioni has two strong efforts over the local lawn, though both were race-shape aided (and this one might be, as well). The Irish-bred filly is up a notch in class but seems to be a better type now than she was overseas. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics while preferring Zee Drop on top.
      *
      *
      RACE 2: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: B
      Use: 2-Miss Baylee; 5-My Girl Red

      Forecast: Miss Baylee and My Girl Red both have done some good work in the a.m. and we’re expecting the winner of this baby race to be one or the other. Miss Baylee, another one of those precocious juveniles from the L. Mendez barn, is listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite and showed enough early speed in a recent three furlong gate drill to expect she’ll be part of the pace throughout. My Girl Red also displayed some quality in a :47 1/5 gate drill last month and seems extremely live with F. Prat taking the all. She’s from the first crop of B.C. Juvenile winner Texas Red and looks cranked up and ready to go. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
      *
      *
      RACE 3: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: B+
      Single: 4-Summer Fire

      Forecast: Summer Fire surfaces in a $50,000 claimer restricted to 3-year-olds – his first start for a tag - and should greatly appreciate the class relief. The R. B. Hess, Jr.-trained colt is a strong fit on speed figures and projects to enjoy a good second-flight trip and then have his chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. At 5/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.
      *
      *
      RACE 4: Post 2:30 PT. Grade: B
      Use: 4-Crystal Ball; 5-Via Angelica

      Forecast: This middle distance maiden affair for fillies and mares should boil down to the two second-time starting B. Baffert-trained entrants. Crystal Ball, a respectable third in her debut while clearly needing the race, switches to A. Cedillo, and with three recent solid workouts the daughter of Malibu Moon should be much fitter and tougher today. We’re expecting her to be on or near the lead throughout. Via Angelica, a closing third in an abbreviated sprint first time out last month, is another that seems certain to step forward with M.. Smith staying aboard. She’s the 9/5 favorite and probably deserves to be, though we’re a tad more intrigued by Crystal Ball and will put her slightly on top. Both should be included in your rolling exotics.
      *
      *
      RACE 5: Post 3:03 PT. Grade: B-
      Use: 3-Sole Amino; 5-Veteran; 7-Hollywoodhellraisr; 9-Absolute Unit

      Forecast: We’ll spread this maiden turf sprint, going four-deep in our rolling exotics in a race that appears deep in possibilities. Solo Animo ran a winning race in defeat, finishing third after a horrendous start and traffic trouble at the head of the lane. That he was beaten just over a length for it all was rather amazing; however, it may not have been much of a race. We’ll find out what the son of Carpe Diem is made of today. Veteran had speed before fading in his only start last summer in a race that was won by eventual juvenile champion Storm the Court. He returns for the always-dangerous R. Mandella/M. Smith team and has trained very well for his comeback. It’ll be interesting to see if he’s let roll from the gate or taken back and allowed to make one run, as he’s been taught to do in recent drills. Hollywoodhellraisr has displayed some power in his training track drills for P. D’Amato and appears to be a gelding with some talent. We’re expecting the son of Race Day to be doing his best work from off the pace. We’ll also toss in Absolute Unit, a route-to-sprint play with good form over this course and distance and back with F. Prat, who knows him well. He’s another that may make some noise late.
      *
      *
      RACE 6: Post 3:34 PT. Grade: B
      Use: 4-Justinian; 6-McKale

      Forecast: Once again it appears the B. Baffert barn has two major bullets to fire. We’ll try to get by in rolling exotic play with just those two. McKale returns to the conditioned allowance ranks after a solid third place effort in the San Carlos S.-G2 and with solid, consistent speed figures and a healthy work tab since raced the son of Congrats should fire his best shot. He’s most effective on or near the lead and should be comfortably placed in a race that projects to have a moderate opening quarter. Justinian switches to F. Prat, and maybe the jockey change will help bring out his best. Trouble-prone most of his career – he has a devil of a time leaving the gate – the talented son of Justin Phillip broke his maiden sprinting over this main track so the turn back in trip is warranted. He’s worked very impressively of late, but then again, he always does.
      *
      *
      RACE 7: Post 4:12 PT. Grade: C
      Use: 1-Invincibella; 3-Smilling Rose; 5-Sabinos Pride

      Forecast: Here’s a restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claimer for fillies and mares over nine furlongs that looks inscrutable, even with just six runners. Five of the six entered exit the same race and none of them hit the board. Sabinos Pride is listed as the 2-1 morning line and can win, but at that price she certainly doesn’t have to. The D. Hofmans-trained was fourth at 42-1 in that common race at a mile; she may run better at this trip but who really knows? Smiling Rose was a close fifth in that same race in her first outing since September, has trained well since, and should produce enough of a forward move to be a threat. Invincibella lands the good rail, seems likely to enjoy a ground-saving trip, and given the patient ride we suspect she requires could be the most dangerous of the closers. We’ll sink or swim with just these three; if you feel the need to buy the race, do it.
      *
      *
      RACE 8: Post 4:42 PT. Grade: C
      Use: 8-Street Image; 9-Show Business

      Forecast: Bottom-rung maiden claimers sprint six and one-half furlongs, with the class dropping Show Business assured of getting plenty of play due to the connections (R. Mandella/F. Prat). At this level the son of Distorted Humor simply should win; the class drop is warranted and Godolphin doesn’t need or want these kinds of horses, anyway. He’s 7/2 on the morning line but seems certain to go lower. Street Image, a reasonable runner-up in his comeback last month at this level, is the quickest in the field and will take them as far as he can, which in the past hasn’t been much farther than the furlong pole. We’ll see if he can stick better today. In a race that should otherwise be left alone, we’ll include both in our rolling exotics.
      *
      *
      RACE 9: Post 5:12 PT. Grade: A-
      Single: 4-Dogtag

      Forecast: Dogtag was highly impressive beating second-level allowance foes at a mile last month over the local lawn and we strongly suspect she’ll be more than capable of handling today’s class hike and added distance. The daughter of War Front appeared especially sharp in a recent workout to indicate she’s continuing to improve, and in a race that shouldn’t have much pace F. Prat can put her just about anywhere he wants. At 5/2 on the morning line she’s a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.
      *
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Neptune's Storm the Pick in Solid San Francisco Mile


        June 14, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
        The Grade 3 San Francisco Mile (8th race, 6:45 p.m. ET, Sunday) is the feature of Golden Gate Fields’ final day of the season, and the turf headliner should catch the eye of anyone looking for the best races around the country on this particular day.

        Restrainedvengence, winner of Golden Gate’s All American Stakes last out, is a slight 5-2 favorite over Neptune’s Storm (3-1), but several others have run well enough to be considered.

        Here’s a capsule look at the players, and a $100 bankroll play for the race:

        Camino Del Paraiso: Last won when he scored over the Golden Gate Tapeta, but had two good efforts as he ran second in the G3 Thunder Ride and G3 San Luis Rey. Usually runs well on the turf, but wins only five percent of the time on the green (20-1-8-1). Had chances to turn some of those seconds into wins, but did not. Still, he has talent and can loom as a threat to get into the minor awards.

        Arch Prince: Won three of his last four, but that and most other damage he’s done as occurred on dirt and All-Weather. His form is good but a lack of noticeable turf success (1 of 16) will make it tough on him. Seems the best would be a piece of the super, possibly the tri if he brings his best. A tough ask on turf.

        Majestic Eagle: Doesn’t duck anyone, as he’s been in the Grade 2 and Grade 3 grass stakes, and the best on his form this year was a third in the Grade 2 San Gabriel. Seems to do his best fairly close to the early lead. Strong company has prepared him for this, and an appearance in the exotics would not be a surprise.

        Murad Kahn: Textbook stalker when he’s sprinting and closer when he’s going two turns, like in this one. Has a good 7 of 21 record on turf and was a closing second last time he was this distance. While graded stakes placed in the G3 San Simeon two races back, much of his best races have been against upper claiming company.

        Simply Breathless: Was in some of the best turf races for fillies and mares in southern California. Gave way in the G1 Gamely last out, but this spot isn’t as strong as that, even with restricted company. Won the Golden Poppy Stakes over this course last year and that marked her first attempt in this country. Classy and should be taken seriously.

        Kiwi’s Dream: His best chance would be if this came off the turf. His last grass win came two years ago at Santa Rosa. He’s in good form with wins in three of his last five and has loved the Tapeta. He changes courses and his speed should not be overlooked. Lost the All American Stakes by a head over Tapeta. He’ll be in the good hands of Juan Hernandez, who has rolled up a 30 of 99 (30 percent) season and was aboard this one’s last two tries.

        Neptune’s Storm: There’s a huge reason to throw out Neptune’s Storm last one. Everything else on his form is top shelf. Forgive him for his seventh-place finish in the G1 Shoemaker, when he shared a pace of :22, :44 3-5 and 1:08 2-5 in a mile race.
        His career took off when he won 4 of 11 races and nearly $600,000 and his last win was in Belmont’s G2 Hill Prince. He has an abundance of talent, can stalk or be on the front end, and looms as the one to beat.

        Restrainedvengence: Goes for his third straight, but neither of those wins came on turf. He gutted out a nice win in the Curribot Handicap at Sunland and followed with a hard-fought win over Kiwi’s Dream and Camino Del Paraiso in the All American. He won the Rolling Green over this course land followed with a solid second in the G2 City of Hope at Santa Anita. He can be right there throughout and his best will make him a tough customer.

        Suggested plays: $40 win on Neptune’s Storm ($40); $20 exacta box Neptune’s Storm and Restrainedvengence ($40); $10 exactas Neptune’s Storm over Majestic Eagle and Simply Breathless ($20). (Total: $100).
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          Red Dog Sports

          Jun 14 '20, 4:00 PM in 7h
          Soccer | Osasuna vs Real Sociedad
          Play on: Real Sociedad -132 at 5Dimes

          Real Sociedad -132
          The free soccer play takes place in Spain on June 14.
          Real Sociedad 2
          Osasuna 1
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

            Woodbine - Race 1
            Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
            Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 7 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 72 • Purse: $29,600 • Post: 1:00P
            FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. METADATA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * METADATA: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. Today is a spri nt and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. TORAH'S BLESSING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibas e Class Rating at the distance/surface.
            8
            METADATA
            20/1
            2/1
            1
            TORAH'S BLESSING
            5/1
            7/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            10
            DYNA'S GAMBLE
            10
            6/1
            Front-runner
            70
            60
            74.5
            53.8
            45.8
            1
            TORAH'S BLESSING
            1
            5/1
            Front-runner
            0
            0
            62.7
            61.2
            54.7
            2
            AMERICAN DRIVEN
            2
            2/1
            Front-runner
            69
            69
            0.0
            0.0
            0.0
            8
            METADATA
            8
            20/1
            Alternator/Front-runner
            84
            75
            79.6
            72.0
            62.5
            3
            CAPTAIN VINNIE
            3
            4/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            81
            67
            48.9
            55.6
            49.6
            5
            GHOST ISLAND
            5
            8/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            0
            0
            48.5
            51.9
            44.4
            7
            NORTHERN SOLUTION
            7
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            67.2
            27.0
            11.0
            6
            CONQUER THE BREEZE
            6
            12/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            50.8
            36.0
            24.0
            4
            SEASON HALL
            4
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            46.5
            34.1
            22.1
            9
            JORDANS WAY
            9
            12/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            25.6
            44.6
            32.1
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park



              Arapahoe Park - Race 7
              Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 91 • Purse: $2,700 • Post: 2:30P
              QUARTER HORSE 350Y, THREE YEAR OLDS ELIGIBLE TO THE TRIALS. WEIGHT 124 LBS.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KISS MY WHAAAT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. INTERESTING BAR: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. CASSADEE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
              6
              KISS MY WHAAAT
              5/2
              7/2
              3
              INTERESTING BAR
              9/2
              9/2
              1
              CASSADEE
              4/1
              8/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              1
              CASSADEE
              1
              4/1
              Average
              90
              81
              3.6
              0.0
              0.0
              2
              DADDYS HABITS
              2
              6/1
              Average
              82
              86
              3.7
              0.0
              0.0
              3
              INTERESTING BAR
              3
              9/2
              Average
              89
              93
              5.0
              0.0
              0.0
              4
              LA BLUE PERRY
              4
              10/1
              Average
              78
              75
              4.7
              0.0
              0.0
              5
              CANDY SIGN
              5
              12/1
              Fast
              72
              76
              3.5
              0.0
              0.0
              6
              KISS MY WHAAAT
              6
              5/2
              Average
              94
              94
              4.5
              0.0
              0.0
              7
              EC STEELE
              7
              8/1
              Average
              80
              76
              4.5
              0.0
              0.0
              8
              SPITTIN CANDY
              8
              7/2
              Average
              80
              78
              4.8
              0.0
              0.0
              9
              LEGENDARY FIND
              9
              4/1
              Average/Trouble-prone
              0
              0
              4.7
              0.0
              0.0
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Golden Gate Fields - Race #5 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 67

                Rating:

                #3 YOU LIGHT ME UP (ML=5/2)


                YOU LIGHT ME UP - Lopez comes to race after getting to know the gelding in the last race. The most recent fig of 63 is the highest last race speed figure in the group. Wong drops this one in today for only his 2nd race. Should do better than last out.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #2 JAZZ STREET (ML=2/1), #4 NEAH BAY (ML=4/1), #5 COMIC STYLE (ML=5/1),

                JAZZ STREET - Doubtful that this horse will finish better than he did last time out when placing fifth. Improbable that the speed figure he recorded on May 25th will be enough in this race. NEAH BAY - Hard to put your cash on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as frequently as this one does. This less than sharp equine hasn't won at this oval. Don't feel this mount will make an impact today. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. COMIC STYLE - Will be tough for this racer to beat this field off of that last fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued contestants list.

                GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - YOU LIGHT ME UP - When a thoroughbred takes such a big drop in the class rating department, I always take a look. I like what I see with this one and am betting on him.




                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #3 YOU LIGHT ME UP to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
                EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                None
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
                Skip

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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 6 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $11525 Class Rating: 89

                  QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 3 FIRE BY NIGHT 4/5
                  # 5 FEARLESS N FAVORITE 4/1
                  # 4 TACO TWOSDAY 6/1
                  FIRE BY NIGHT is the top wager in this race. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. Is worth taking a close look at and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figs (82 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 86 speed figure which is one of the best in this group. FEARLESS N FAVORITE - Odell has one of the top winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. TACO TWOSDAY - Displays reliable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this field. There is a solid chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Turf. Purse: $9100 Class Rating: 71

                    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 2 SHE'S THIRSTY 8/1
                    # 3 HIDE AND STREET 10/1
                    # 5 BABY ISABELLA 12/1
                    I favor SHE'S THIRSTY here and is a competitive value bet given the line at 8/1. Has raced strongly in turf sprint races. Will most likely compete solidly in the pace battle which bodes well with this field. Strong average Equibase Speed Figures in turf sprint races make this animal a solid choice. HIDE AND STREET - She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the strongest in this group. BABY ISABELLA - The Equibase class rating of today's race is much lower than her last race. Bettors have been noting speed boosts from entries changing equipment (blinkers on today).
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                      06/14/20, GP, Race 8, 3.46 ET
                      06/14/20,GP,8,7F [Dirt] 1:20:01 CLAIMING. Purse $31,000 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. Weight, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 14 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000, if for $18,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
                      . . . .
                      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                      100.00 1 More Than Usual 3-1 Camacho S D'Angelo Jose Francisc JSL 33.04 1.68/$1
                      097.02 2 Jettin Out 6-1 Lebron V Rivelli Larry FE 29.41 1.20/$1
                      096.22 3 Frank First 4-1 Vasquez M A Spatz Ronald B. 33.04 1.68/$1
                      094.70 6 Northbrook 15-1 Jaramillo E Pinchin Jose 29.41 1.20/$1
                      094.49 8 I'm More Ready(b+) 15-1 Reyes L Delgado Alexis W 29.41 1.20/$1
                      094.35 9 Makabim 7/2 Zayas E J Hurtak Daniel C. C 29.41 1.20/$1
                      092.90 5 Deckology 20-1 Burgos A D'Angelo Jose Francisc 29.41 1.20/$1
                      092.61 7 Kid Drama 8-1 Panici L Rodriguez Darien 33.04 1.68/$1
                      092.21 4 Beyond Gone 9/2 Prado E S McPeek Kenneth G. 33.04 1.68/$1
                      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.38, ROI 1.11/$1

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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Lone Star Park - Race #3 - Post: 4:05pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 92 Yellow Rose S.

                        Rating:

                        #2 IMA DISCREET LADY (ML=5/2)
                        #5 SILVER CITY TRICK (ML=5/1)


                        IMA DISCREET LADY - Comes out of a last contest against 'open' company on May 6th and faces what I believe are easier 'state breds' today. The May 6th clash at Will Rogers Downs was at a class level of (98). Dropping down in class ranks drastically, so she should be in a good position. This horse has shown the power to win at multiple tracks. Making the move from Will Rogers Downs for today's event, I have to believe she's ready to run. SILVER CITY TRICK - Ran against 'open' company in the last race, in with state breds today. This filly is a gem of consistency, almost always in the money. A horse coming back this rapidly after a nice effort is a good omen. Lower weight of -5. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this filly falls into this category.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SHES OUR FASTEST (ML=6/5), #3 BRAVE DAISEY (ML=9/2),

                        SHES OUR FASTEST - No picnic to bet on any horse in a sprint race at 6/5 when she hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last two months. BRAVE DAISEY - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance affair in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of indicators.


                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #2 IMA DISCREET LADY on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,5]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Pass
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs


                          06/14/20, CD, Race 3, 2.06 ET
                          06/14/20,CD,3,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since May 14 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
                          . . . .
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                          100.00 2 Tidal Effect 3-1 Corrales G Morey William E. JTFW 33.62 1.12/$1
                          095.59 1 River Finn 5/2 Lanerie C J Cox Brad H. EL 33.62 1.12/$1
                          094.88 8 See the Pyramids 7/2 Gaffalione T McPeek Kenneth G. SC 31.03 1.28/$1
                          093.94 4 Soul Beam 7/2 Bridgmohan S Shirer Matt A. 33.62 1.12/$1
                          093.56 5 Yamano Maker (JPN)(b+) 5-1 Garcia M Mott William I. 33.62 1.12/$1
                          093.43 6 Dealin' Stelen 15-1 Conning C Zito Nicholas P. 31.03 1.28/$1
                          092.58 7 Hitthegroundrunnin 20-1 Hernandez C J Barnett Bobby C. 33.62 1.12/$1
                          091.61 3 Jimmy At Last 12-1 Esquivel E DiVito James P. 33.62 1.12/$1
                          * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.93, ROI 0.87/$1
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                          Comment

                          • TAWJR
                            Senior Member
                            • Mar 2019
                            • 181

                            #14
                            Anyone see Jody Demling. Belmont. Tia

                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #15
                              Paul Leiner

                              Sunday Horse Picks 6/14

                              Sun Jun 14, 2020 7:52 am
                              Bad call with Hannah Cifers in UFC but solid day with the horses as we nailed a $108 exacta. I did nail my top UFC play as 2000* Tyson Nam knocks out Adashev in 30 seconds. Today I have two from Belmont and one race from Churchill Downs. Stay safe.

                              Belmont Race 1
                              #6 Road Home $10 w/p/s
                              $2 exacta box 6-9-8

                              Chruchill Downs Race 6
                              #5 Flight Times $10 w/p/s
                              $2 exacta box 5-7-4

                              Belmont Race 9
                              #4 Dream Bigger $10 w/p/s
                              $2 exacta box 4-3-2
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