Service Plays Wednesday 6/17/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    Service Plays Wednesday 6/17/20

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    #2
    Inkbets

    BLAST Premier: G2 ML v ENCE @ 1.77/-130 (3 Units)
    -Successfully faded G2 a couple days ago but this line seems to be far too tight for the real gap between the two. Now that G2 is ranked #1 by HLTV I find it hard to see them consistently blowing games over and over. After being reverse swept by BIG in a BO5 and then losing 0-2 to Vitality this should be a redemption match for them.Their map pool is deeper, they have the more talented roster, and their upside is as good as any team in the world. Now that they've had a day off to regain composure and prepare for this game I find them winning this more often than not. -130 implies 56.5% but I'd put this closer to the 62% range and price them at -163.Given that ENCE autoban Vertigo that leaves G2 open to whatever they please and that's a hard thing for ENCE to prepare for. You're left in a state of uncertainty as G2 could go to a variety of maps. Like G2 in this spot a lot.

    LOOTBET: Wisla Krakow +1.5 v HAVU @ 2.12/+112 (1.5 Units)
    -Not a ton behind this as I don't know a ton of Wisla in their current state, but I'd never lay HAVU -1.5 at their line with their current form. They've fallen off a ton and Wisla can easily snag a map in one of these shitcups online.

    ESL Pro League Qual: CORRECT SCORE Virtus Pro 2-1 v Spirit @ 4.84/+384 (1 Unit)
    -Virtus Pro are catching a stride since adding YEKINDAR and Spirit have had very shaky results recently. Mainly a play on the price more than anything else as Overpass will be a problem for VP. Spirit should win that one and rather than laying VP @ +160 I'd prefer to play the series score prop at this line for smaller. IF VP win, it would be 2-1 more often than 2-0. if the o2.5 was a hair higher I'd have opted for that, but will throw a modest 1u on this prop.

    WePlay: HellRaisers +1.5 v Nemiga @ 1.80/-125 (2 Units)
    WePlay: HellRaisers ML v Nemiga @ 3.80/+280 (0.5 Unit)
    -Watching this HellRaisers team a few weeks back I was disgusted. They did nothing well and lost almost every meaningful duel. With that said, they've been marginally better in recent games. Still nothing special by any means but the same is to be said for Nemiga.Nemiga had a good run in the Road to Rio matches but there's always those CIS region teams that manage to do that. Every single major. This price feels like a drastic overcompensation still from those games and will try a stab at HR here since Nemiga permaban Train and HR ban out Overpass leaving a bunch of high variance maps.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359701

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's Day Makers - 6/17/20


      June 17, 2020
      Jeff Siegel’s Day Makers for Wednesday, June 17, 2020

      Jeff Siegel’s Day Makers – his prime plays from around the country - are offered on a daily basis to members of xpressbet.com and 1stbet.com. The day’s the cream of the crop, Day Makers emphasize price and wagering value and should be given strong consideration both as straight wagers and as keys in vertical and horizontal exotics.

      *
      *
      Gulfstream Park – 2nd Race. Post time: 12:30 ET.

      8 – Heavenly Blessing (4-1)


      Ran much better than the line will show in his debut three weeks ago when finishing a willing third (beaten just over three lengths) before galloping out in front past the clubhouse turn. In that race, the son of Young Brien was forced to steady inside in close quarters when vying for the early lead, lost his action, took plenty of dirt behind a wall of horses when angling off the rail, and then finished with interest, all of this happening in a four and one-half furlong dash. The R. Rodriguez-trained juvenile gets an extra half furlong to work with today, so with a clean break and clear sailing we’re expecting the Florida-bred colt to earn his diploma in a similar maiden claiming $25,000 affair for 2-year-olds.

      *
      *
      Delaware Park – 3rd race. Post time: 2:15 ET.

      8 – Royal Collection (12-1)


      Intriguing first-time starter has trained like she’s ready to win right off the bat for trainer A. Delacour, who employs “go-to” rider D. E. Centeno (29%) in this mile turf maiden affair for fillies and mares. The daughter of Munnings was produced by the multi graded stakes winning grass mare My Princess Jess, so it’s understandable that she begins her career in this type of race. Her work tab is good – she’s been breezing in company with her older multiple-stakes winning barn mate Eons – so at 12-1 on the morning line (she’ll go lower) this talented 3-year-old filly offers considerable value in the straight pool and in rolling exotic play.

      *
      *
      Delaware Park – 6th race. Post time: 3:45 ET.

      2 - Skol Factor (5-1)


      Missed by a neck in his debut to Belmont Stakes-bound Pneumatic and then as expected crushed a maiden field at 4/5 in his next outing in a fast, highly-rated race while being geared down in the final 70 yards. By The Factor (and therefore bred to handle turf) out of a mare by Tiznow (and therefore bred to handle two-turns), the 3-year-old gelding from the M. Robertson barn (28% with stretch-out plays) lands a good inside post and could easily inherit the role as the controlling speed. He’s a major play at anywhere near his morning line at 5-1 (he’ll go lower) in addition to being a logical rolling exotic single.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359701

        #4
        Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


        Canterbury Park - Race #4
        #1 Elusive Force Price player has been doing the turf/synthetic thing of late, and long on dirt before that, but he's actually 1-for-1 at this trip, will be a price, and gets a ton of speed to rally into; upset special.
        #5 Royal Privacy Speedster did well to draw outside some of the other gas and has some solid recent form, though there's still some outside pace, so he's going to have to run hard every step; second-best.
        #3 Saved By Zero Diordoro charge is the class and will be bet accordingly, but his last few have been beyond terrible, he's now being given away for 4k, and seems a fraction of what he once was; no thanks.
        Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's plenty of it here, and that could really help the chances of the 1, while potentially hurting those of the 5 and 3, so play him in all the spots, and especially to kick off the 10% takeout Pk5 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would knock out plenty of tickets right off the bat.
        Canterbury Park - Race #6
        #2 Honey's Sox Appeal OP invader got run off her feet off the long layoff last time and didn't fire when further back than usual, but that should set her up here, in a race loaded with speed, as she doesn't figure to be that far out of it early, and will be that much tighter second-off the break, over a track she loves (18-9-5-1); look out.
        #5 Ready to Runaway The pick's 'mate is another with a gaudy local mark (7-5-2-0), and she drew outside most of the speed, which will help, and she has stalked and won in the past, but she's still going to be on the hard chase the entire way, which could leave her vulnerable in the lane; clearly the one to beat, but there are hurdles.
        #4 Ari Gia Defending champ returned with a tiring 3rd at WRD last month, and considering that was off a September break, she held pretty well in the lane, but the waters get a lot deeper here, and this is a tougher group than last year, and the race flow won't flatter her running style; thinking she comes unglued in the lane.
        Race Summary The price and race flow should both be right on the 2, who won't be on the lead but won't be as far back as she was last time either, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the 10% takeout Pk5, as she's not going to be ones of the favorites, who could dominate the pool, which means a win would knock a lot of the budget players out who can't get deep enough to cover here.
        Canterbury Park - Race #8
        #7 United Patriot Intriguing sort blew up second-off the break last time and won for fun in fast time at WRD, and while a bounce is definitely in play, take note his return was in the mud, and his prior two to end 2019 at RP were solid (on figures), so you might want to take that win at face value; call right back.
        #9 Chris and Dave ML favorite was facing better all winter at OP then jran a distant 2nd to a buzzsaw and repeat winner at WRD, so there's little doubt he's the one to beat, but the price will be on the short side, especially since this post is as bad as it gets, so sure he could win, but he'll have to earn it; scary, but no lock.
        #6 Malibu Pro Versatile sort was a pace-setting 4th off the Diordoro claim at OP last time but has also stalked and run well, so regardless, he should be on or just off what looks like a relatively modest pace here, but he really didn't improve off the claim, which is always a worry for this potent barn; underneath only.
        Race Summary You're going to get plenty of value on the 7, who might get overlooked since the win last time was seemingly out of nowhere, but there's reason to believe he can run back to it, and the risk-reward will certainly be there as well, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to end the 10% takeout Pk5 as well, since a win would likely blow things up to end what looks like an already very tough and deep sequence.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359701

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Evangeline Downs - Race #1
          #6 Last Appeal Seems to be very realistically placed for the debut run, and sire Half Ours gets some decent turfy types in Louisiana.
          #3 One Tough Charlie Showed a bit of forward ability in some of those Fair Grounds tries, and perhaps the move to the turf will allow him to stick around a bit better.
          #7 Annualized No doubt the one to beat off the tries at Gulfstream, but now he's moving out of the Saffie Joseph Jr. barn and will have to hold that form for the new team here at a short price.
          Race Summary Last Appeal debuts in a spot that doesn't have a ton of depth to it outside of Annualized, so it might be the right spot for a debut runner to make an impact.
          Evangeline Downs - Race #4
          #6 Jolie Gee Longshot meets plenty of need-the-lead types, and she finished with a little bit of energy over the local footing last year. Along late at a big number?
          #3 Sunshine Deelite Meets some other pace to deal with, but this is a big drop for a quick filly who should be in the mix from the bell and owns good turf form with better.
          #2 Itsnotmyjob Pedigree hints that she should handle the turf, but she draws near the inside in a spot with other pace stacked up outside of her, so this may not be an easy trip.
          Race Summary Jolie Gee gets a good race shape to work with in a spot with plenty of early burn to set things up for a late rally. Her local turf tries aren't bad, and the price will be right.
          Evangeline Downs - Race #8
          #7 Hermano T K Has done pretty good work locally and woke up with a good effort at Fair Grounds when last seen behind a tough winner. Big chance from close range.
          #6 That's D 'cat Dull run when fourth at Delta in February as the even-money favorite, but he's capable of something a bit better than that and owns a solid record over the local footing.
          #1 Two Steppin' Star Finisher might be able to save ground inside and rally late for a piece of this, and he owns a couple of races from Fair Grounds this winter that would be good enough to get in the mix at a price.
          Race Summary Hermano T K caught an easy winner in that last run, but he draws well to track the pace in this spot and owns a high enough ceiling to beat the chalk drawn inside of him.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359701

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            The Meadows - Race #1
            #3 BANKN-ON-EMILY Loomed boldly until back-pedaling in the stretch, all-or-nothing type.
            #2 TAKE SHAPE Second-time Lasix as good of an angle as any in this field.
            #1 BROADWAY K Didn’t carry over winning form from the fairs as a 2-year-old.
            Race Summary Bankn-On-Emily was shuffled to fourth early, made a first-over run at the 7-to-2 winner into the final turn, but back-pedaled in the slop when last seen in February. She gets an equipment change and could run away from this field as today’s Best Bet.
            Northfield Park - Race #3
            #8 FLAWLESS STONE Third behind odds-on runaway, has chance against suspect favorites.
            #1 LADY’S IMAGE Has four wins at fairs, looks best on paper, starts from rail.
            #3 ROSE RUN ULALA Led long way in well-bet return, broke stride in follow-up try.
            Race Summary Flawless Stone has a dismal record, but he rallied to finish in the money in more than half of his starts this year, the latest from post 8 against a 1-to-5 winner. He could win if the two favorites revert to their habit of breaking stride.
            Hoosier Park - Race #4
            #2 ALWAYS A FIGHTER Longshot stab needs some pace flow, moves outside in.
            #4 ROYAL REX Rallied for two near misses at Pompano when last seen in February but doesn’t win a lot.
            #7 DEL RIO SEELSTER Finished first or second in 7 of 19 starts as an 11-year-old, starts anew.
            Race Summary Hoping the two morning-line favorites and perhaps others leave fast off the gate, setting up Always A Fighter for a contending rally at double-digit odds. Royal Rex would benefit, too, but he is 2-59 since 2019 and looms a shorter price. Play a 2-4-7 exacta box.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359701

              #7
              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


              Indiana Grand - Race #3
              #1 Nothingbutflowers Clobbered state-breds in his debut and his two losses were against higher levels; well spotted and can rise to the occasion in his 1st since October.
              #4 Release the Heat Was eased in his lasst start of 2019 after an easy maiden win at Arlington; has trained very well at Keeneland and will be a factor at once.
              #12 Lady Ally Had a maiden win and a pair of 2nd-place finishes in stakes races last year; got a tough draw but clearly has the talent to figure strongly in this one.
              Race Summary Nothingbutflowers has the speed to save position, can benefit from taking the shortest way home and can dig in when challenged.
              Indiana Grand - Race #7
              #2 Wicked Smart Gave way after pressing the pace in a strong allowance at Churchill and came into that one off an easy maiden win at Fair Grounds; can be in the mix from the start and should be able to show courage at 5F on turf.
              #8 Two Sixtyone Won 2 of 3 over this turf course last year and fits well at this level; can either get the lead or sit just off of it.
              #9 Hey Negrita Lost a photo at Turfway last time out and has shown a good late move; was 4th in his latest turf attempt and can benefit from the rapid pace.
              Race Summary Wicked Smart has been in with some outstanding runners and can make amends for his last one; should be able to adapt to the grass.
              Indiana Grand - Race #8
              #4 Rampage Won his 1st two over this strip and battled early in three stakes races; can do well in this restricted spot.
              #8 Cash Logistics Was an easy winner and was 2nd in a stakes race last year; classy, has worked well and can be a big player.
              #1 Maters N Taters Was a stakes winner here last year and ended the season tiring in a route race; can use his speed to save the rail and can be tough to the end.
              Race Summary Rampage performed well early last season and can make serious run under Talamo; can seize this state-bred stakes opportunity and should be a factor from the start.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359701

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

                Grants Pass - Race 1
                $2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $1 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
                Claiming $2,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 78 • Purse: $5,800 • Post: 4:00P
                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 17, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. CASH DRIVEN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CASH DRIVEN: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OAKIE FLYER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                8
                CASH DRIVEN
                4/1
                3/2
                4
                OAKIE FLYER
                6/1
                7/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                8
                CASH DRIVEN
                8
                4/1
                Front-runner
                93
                89
                103.3
                81.0
                76.5
                4
                OAKIE FLYER
                4
                6/1
                Front-runner
                82
                74
                0.0
                75.2
                68.2
                1
                PAMPERS N' BOOTS
                1
                5/2
                Alternator/Stalker
                91
                78
                67.8
                77.6
                75.1
                7
                NORTHERN SMOKE
                7
                8/1
                Alternator/Stalker
                75
                71
                0.0
                67.2
                56.2
                3
                SOLAR HEAT
                3
                7/2
                Trailer
                80
                66
                36.2
                64.4
                56.9
                6
                NERVOUS NELLIE
                6
                12/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                81
                81
                58.5
                66.0
                56.5
                2
                REAL CHANGES
                2
                5/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                78
                68
                49.0
                61.6
                48.6
                5
                CREDIT MEMO
                5
                8/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                70
                47
                0.0
                60.4
                49.4
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359701

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

                  Camarero - Race 4
                  Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5
                  Claiming $8,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 94 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 4:00P
                  FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 13 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 28 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NEPHEW HOWARD D is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NEPHEW HOWARD D: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dis tance/surface. REMEMBER WILLY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. G ZAP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STAND GUARD: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face.
                  3
                  NEPHEW HOWARD D
                  5/1
                  3/1
                  5
                  REMEMBER WILLY
                  5/2
                  5/1
                  4
                  G ZAP
                  4/1
                  10/1
                  1
                  STAND GUARD
                  2/1
                  10/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  3
                  NEPHEW HOWARD D
                  3
                  5/1
                  Front-runner
                  97
                  84
                  62.2
                  85.2
                  78.2
                  7
                  ZOO YORKER
                  7
                  7/2
                  Trailer
                  81
                  76
                  56.2
                  72.6
                  62.1
                  1
                  STAND GUARD
                  1
                  2/1
                  Trailer
                  96
                  87
                  49.8
                  79.6
                  72.1
                  5
                  REMEMBER WILLY
                  5
                  5/2
                  Trailer
                  91
                  91
                  49.6
                  87.0
                  83.0
                  4
                  G ZAP
                  4
                  4/1
                  Trailer
                  88
                  80
                  43.0
                  84.8
                  80.8
                  6
                  BARBIE'S KEN
                  6
                  9/2
                  Trailer
                  68
                  58
                  33.6
                  61.0
                  50.5
                  2
                  CHANGING LEADS
                  2
                  10/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  76
                  65
                  48.4
                  55.2
                  43.2
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359701

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:05pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 87

                    Rating:

                    #6 JACK B WINKLE (ML=8/1)
                    #1 FLAMING HOT (ML=2/1)
                    #2 HANDSOME PRINCE (ML=5/1)


                    JACK B WINKLE - Spatz drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping information to think this horse has a good chance at this level. FLAMING HOT - Gelding's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. HANDSOME PRINCE - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back soon. The improved speed figs over the last three races is great. Cioffi drops him in this affair fit and ready to go. The recent figure of 83 is the best last race fig in the group.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SEPTEMBERTEN (ML=3/1), #3 QUICK STEP ED (ML=4/1),

                    SEPTEMBERTEN - This pony hasn't been close to the winner at the finish line lately. No good results for this questionable contender in a short distance affair over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a formidable spot If you keep selecting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed frequently. QUICK STEP ED - This gelding hasn't had any positive results in sprint affairs in the last sixty days. This gelding notched a fig in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event.


                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #6 JACK B WINKLE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,6]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip

                    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                    None
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359701

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22500 Class Rating: 100

                      FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 4 BENDING SAINT 9/5
                      # 3 RECKLESS RANSOM 4/1
                      # 7 QUEETEN 12/1
                      BENDING SAINT is my choice. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 91 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this group. With Mora in the saddle guiding him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this event. With a nice class figure average of 100, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this group of animals. RECKLESS RANSOM - Is difficult not to consider based on speed figures which have been solid - 84 avg - of late. Posted a reliable speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. QUEETEN - Looks strong versus this group and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. Posted a very good Equibase Speed Fig last time out.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359701

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 63

                        QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 6 KENNONS PATRIOT 8/1
                        # 10 LA PATHER 12/1
                        # 4 DASHIN UNDERCOVER 7/2
                        My selection in this competition is KENNONS PATRIOT especially at a long price. Last time out, this gelding was up against a tougher crew. With a nice Equibase class figure average of 81, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this group. Has very strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager here. LA PATHER - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look formidable in this race. Will probably compete admirably in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. DASHIN UNDERCOVER - With a strong 51 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Strong jockey with trainer figures make this horse a strong pick.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359701

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                          Evangeline Downs - Race #5 - Post: 7:38pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 76

                          Rating:

                          #4 JALEN HURTS (ML=6/1)
                          #6 VICTORY BIND (ML=6/1)


                          JALEN HURTS - This one could be an overlay in this race at odds of 6/1. Finished fourth in last race at Fair Grounds but was close at the wire. Just see his most recent speed rating, 71. That one looks good in this field. PP data show this racer with 3 improving speed figures. Thornton should be on a horse ready to go today. VICTORY BIND - Based on the TrackMaster data I've reviewed, this gelding should run well off the layoff. This jock and trainer have a positive return on investment when they are put together.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #9 LIAM SKYE (ML=5/2), #1 WHISKEY'S GONE (ML=3/1), #2 CACHITO (ML=4/1),

                          LIAM SKYE - I usually try to beat these types of morning-line choices off the extended vacation. Difficult to put any money on this gelding on the top end. Likes to finish in the money though. Won't be easy for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list. WHISKEY'S GONE - This horse didn't show any early speed in the last event. Now he is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance. Not normally the kind of animal one plays off of any sort of long turnout. CACHITO - Difficult to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as frequently as this participant does.



                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #4 JALEN HURTS on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          Skip
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359701

                            #14
                            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs



                            06/17/20, TAM, Race 6, 2.58 ET
                            06/17/20,TAM,6,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $20,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Weight, 122 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since May 17 Allowed 2 lbs. Such A Race Since April 17 Allowed 4lbs. (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility).
                            . . . .
                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.00 9 (F)So High (GB)(b+) 7/2 Morales P Thomas Jonathan JT 50.00 2.45/$1
                            099.70 3 Felix the Fox 3-1 Allen. Jr. R D Potts Ron G. SE 34.04 1.05/$1
                            097.15 4 Hey Big Guy 20-1 Mendez K Ferraro M. Anthony W 38.24 1.18/$1
                            096.62 1 Mighty Ghost 4-1 Garcia W A Bennett Gerald S. 26.56 1.06/$1
                            096.19 5 Exchequer 9/2 Villa-Gomez H Bennett Gerald S. 22.91 0.82/$1
                            095.45 7 Black Prong 8-1 Hernandez H Nagle Sarah 26.56 1.06/$1
                            095.02 2 Eric the Salesman 15-1 Lopez C C Williams Abdul L 22.91 0.82/$1
                            094.86 8 Gate Crew 10-1 Spieth S Boyce Michele FC 26.56 1.06/$1
                            092.46 6 Chili Mac N Cheese 30-1 Almeida M Heinen Miles H. 22.91 0.82/$1
                            092.42 10 Simmardstrike 30-1 Urdaneta J J Negrete Javier 21.43 1.45/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 26.67, ROI 0.93/$1
                            If Race Is Off Turf

                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.00 9 (F)So High (GB)(b+) 7/2 Morales P Thomas Jonathan JT 44.57 1.05/$1
                            098.45 3 Felix the Fox 3-1 Allen. Jr. R D Potts Ron G. SFEW 41.82 1.08/$1
                            098.13 1 Mighty Ghost 4-1 Garcia W A Bennett Gerald S. 39.62 1.05/$1
                            098.07 5 Exchequer 9/2 Villa-Gomez H Bennett Gerald S. 30.97 0.92/$1
                            095.11 7 Black Prong 8-1 Hernandez H Nagle Sarah 30.97 0.92/$1
                            094.83 8 Gate Crew 10-1 Spieth S Boyce Michele C 30.97 0.92/$1
                            094.64 4 Hey Big Guy 20-1 Mendez K Ferraro M. Anthony 36.96 1.03/$1
                            093.97 2 Eric the Salesman 15-1 Lopez C C Williams Abdul L 30.97 0.92/$1
                            091.80 10 Simmardstrike 30-1 Urdaneta J J Negrete Javier 34.48 1.20/$1
                            091.14 6 Chili Mac N Cheese 30-1 Almeida M Heinen Miles H. 44.57 1.05/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 33.33, ROI 0.94/$1

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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359701

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                              06/17/20, GP, Race 1, 12.00 ET
                              06/17/20,GP,1,1M [Turf] 1:31:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000 (includes up to $2,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,500, allowed 1 lb. (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track atOne Mile) (Rail at 36 feet).
                              . . . .
                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                              100.00 2 Myfirstexwife 4-1 Juarez N Matier Sandra SE 41.18 1.41/$1
                              097.99 14 Veer 6-1 Jaramillo E Lynch Brian A. 21.62 0.68/$1
                              097.68 9 Silver Palms 12-1 Lebron V Swick Don F 25.00 1.41/$1
                              097.11 5 Couple of Nikkis 3-1 Lopez P Orseno Joseph F. 36.00 1.14/$1
                              097.09 3 Matcha 5/2 Camacho S Sweezey J. Kent J 36.00 1.14/$1
                              096.62 6 Delia's Pride 20-1 Trejos J Sano Antonio C 25.00 1.41/$1
                              095.64 10 Princesa Crystal (GB) 15-1 Berrios H I Sanchez Amador Merei 25.00 1.41/$1
                              094.44 1 Malaga(b+) 30-1 Reyes L R Gutierrez Fausto W 30.95 1.15/$1
                              094.11 15 Pasatime 15-1 Reyes L Avila Juan Carlos 25.00 1.41/$1
                              093.91 12 Spence 10-1 Meneses M Nagle Sarah 25.00 1.41/$1
                              093.36 7 Millefiori(b+) 6-1 Zayas E J Pletcher Todd A. T 21.62 0.68/$1
                              093.24 13 Special Beach 30-1 Reyes L R Amaya Gustavo L 25.00 1.41/$1
                              093.15 11 Lookn Fine as Wine 20-1 Torres C A Acker Scott D. 25.00 1.41/$1
                              092.77 8 Capeline 30-1 Burgos A McGoey Monica 25.00 1.41/$1
                              092.38 16 Dama de Noche 30-1 Fuentes M Rodriguez Juan Andres 25.00 1.41/$1
                              090.29 4 Da Doop(b+) 30-1 Rodriguez A A Abreu Fernando 25.00 1.41/$1
                              * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 13.85, ROI 0.36/$1
                              If Race Is Off Turf

                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                              100.00 2 Myfirstexwife 4-1 Juarez N Matier Sandra SE 36.23 1.29/$1
                              098.66 3 Matcha 5/2 Camacho S Sweezey J. Kent J 34.22 1.27/$1
                              098.33 14 Veer 6-1 Jaramillo E Lynch Brian A. 36.23 1.29/$1
                              097.60 6 Delia's Pride 20-1 Trejos J Sano Antonio C 36.23 1.29/$1
                              097.00 9 Silver Palms 12-1 Lebron V Swick Don 36.23 1.29/$1
                              096.88 5 Couple of Nikkis 3-1 Lopez P Orseno Joseph F. 36.23 1.29/$1
                              096.27 10 Princesa Crystal (GB) 15-1 Berrios H I Sanchez Amador Merei 29.41 1.20/$1
                              095.58 1 Malaga(b+) 30-1 Reyes L R Gutierrez Fausto W 36.23 1.29/$1
                              094.85 7 Millefiori(b+) 6-1 Zayas E J Pletcher Todd A. T 36.23 1.29/$1
                              094.84 15 Pasatime 15-1 Reyes L Avila Juan Carlos 36.23 1.29/$1
                              094.75 11 Lookn Fine as Wine 20-1 Torres C A Acker Scott D. F 36.23 1.29/$1
                              094.39 12 Spence 10-1 Meneses M Nagle Sarah 32.59 1.11/$1
                              094.00 8 Capeline 30-1 Burgos A McGoey Monica 34.22 1.27/$1
                              093.24 13 Special Beach 30-1 Reyes L R Amaya Gustavo L 36.23 1.29/$1
                              092.73 16 Dama de Noche 30-1 Fuentes M Rodriguez Juan Andres 36.23 1.29/$1
                              091.46 4 Da Doop(b+) 30-1 Rodriguez A A Abreu Fernando 36.23 1.29/$1
                              * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.38, ROI 1.11/$1
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