Service Plays Thursday 6/18/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-17-2020, 10:36 PM

Mike McClure

GOLF

The model called Justin Thomas (15-2) winning the CJ Cup, Rory McIlroy (11-2) taking down the WGC-HSBC Champions and Viktor Hovland (11-1) earning his first career PGA Tour victory at the Puerto Rico Open. Using the model for his best bets, McClure returned a whopping +788 during the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge last week, including nailing top-five bets on Xander Schauffele at 13-2 and Collin Morikawa at 9-1.

Bets I've made as of 11:00 AM EST 6/16

Outright Winner

Justin Thomas +1600
Jon Rahm +1800
Webb Simpson +3000
Tyrrell Hatton +5000

Top 5

Webb Simpson +600
Tyrrell Hatton +1000

Top 20

Webb Simpson +150
Hideki Matsuyama +163
Tyrell Hatton +225
Jim Furyk +500
Russell Knox +650

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Jon Rahm (18-1)
2. Rory McIlroy (11-1)
3. Justin Thomas (16-1)
4. Webb Simpson (30-1)
5. Xander Schauffele (22-1)
6. Hideki Matsuyama (30-1)
7. Bryson DeChambeau (16-1)
8. Collin Morikawa (25-1)
9. Patrick Reed (30-1)
10. Sungjae Im (28-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11. Scottie Scheffler
12. Tyrrell Hatton
13. Justin Rose
14. Gary Woodland
15. Brooks Koepka
16. Viktor Hovland
17. Matthew Fitzpatrick
18. Dustin Johnson
19. Matt Kuchar
20. Abraham Ancer
21. Rickie Fowler
22. Brandt Snedeker
23. Billy Horschel
24. Daniel Berger
25. Louis Oosthuizen
26 Byeong Hun An
27 Tony Finau
28 Harris English
29 Shane Lowry
30 Joel Dahmen
31 Kevin Na
32 Adam Hadwin
33 Bud Cauley
34 Sergio Garcia
35 Jim Furyk
36 Brendon Todd
37 Jason Kokrak
38 Brian Harman
39 Jason Day
40 Ian Poulter
41 Kevin Kisner
42 Rory Sabbatini
43 Jordan Spieth
44 Ryan Moore
45 Christiaan Bezuidenhout
46 Harold Varner III
47 Vaughn Taylor
48 Joaquin Niemann
49 Erik Van Rooyen
50 J.T. Poston
51 Corey Conners
52 Chez Reavie
53 Russell Knox
54 Branden Grace
55 Kevin Streelman
56 Bubba Watson
57 Rafa Cabrera Bello
58 Matt Jones
59 Cameron Smith
60 Sebastian Munoz
61 Max Homa
62 Ryan Palmer
63 Victor Perez
64 Danny Lee
65 Zach Johnson
66 Aaron Wise
67 Lucas Glover
68 Maverick McNealy
69 Carlos Ortiz
70 Tom Hoge
71 Emiliano Grillo
72 Mark Hubbard
73 Adam Long
74 Harry Higgs
75 Bronson Burgoon
76 Denny McCarthy
77 Lanto Griffin
78 Cameron Tringale
79 Andrew Landry
80 Talor Gooch
81 Russell Henley
82 Brice Garnett
83 Alexander Noren
84 Danny Willett
85 Adam Schenk
86 Matt Wallace
87 Scott Stallings
88 Patrick Rodgers
89 Matthew Wolff
90 Aaron Baddeley
91 Jazz Janewattananond
92 Spencer Ralston
93 Andy Ogletree
94 Dylan Frittelli
95 Andrew Putnam
96 Charles Howell III
97 Doc Redman
98 Nate Lashley
99 Matthew NeSmith
100 Jhonattan Vegas
101 Kevin Chappell
102 Jimmy Walker
103 Luke Donald
104 Nick Watney
105 Pat Perez
106 Kyle Stanley
107 Brian Stuard
108 Wyndham Clark
109 Chesson Hadley
110 Tyler Duncan
111 Jason Dufner
112 Sam Burns
113 David Hearn
114 Peter Malnati
115 Graeme McDowell
116 Stewart Cink
117 Troy Merritt
118 Roger Sloan
119 Charl Schwartzel
120 Sung Kang
121 Charley Hoffman
122 Ryan Armour
123 Brian Gay
124 Keith Mitchell
125 Kyoung-Hoon Lee
126 Sam Ryder
127 Bernhard Langer
128 Luke List
129 Scott Piercy
130 Ernie Els
131 Austin Cook
132 Mackenzie Hughes
133 Sepp Straka
134 Glen Day
135 Michael Thompson
136 Scott Brown
137 Kevin Tway
138 Patton Kizzire
139 K.J. Choi
140 Bill Haas
141 Matt Every
142 Cheng Tsung Pan
143 Wesley Bryan
144 Si Woo Kim
145 Ted Potter Jr.
146 J.J. Spaun
147 Chris Stroud
148 Michael Gligic
149 Davis Love III
150 Jim Herman
151 Vijay Singh
152 Bo Van Pelt
153 Martin Trainer

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 07:04 AM

Jeff Siegel's Day Makers - 6/18/20

June 18, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Day Makers for Thursday, June 18, 2020

Jeff Siegel’s Day Makers – his prime plays from around the country - are offered on a daily basis to members of xpressbet.com and 1stbet.com. The day’s the cream of the crop, Day Makers emphasize price and wagering value and should be given strong consideration both as straight wagers and as keys in vertical and horizontal exotics.
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Churchill Downs – 6th race. Post time: 3:42 ET
7-Acre (6-1)

This sophomore son of Blame may be worth a bit of gamble in his first try around two turn and his first on grass. Out of mare by Galileo, the W. Mott-trained colt certainly is bred to run long on the sod, and after chasing home the extremely talented Art Collector in a fast main track dash last month he’ll certainly enjoy this softer assignment. Competitive on speed figures with the possibility of producing a significant forward move under these conditions, the lightly-raced colt is facing a make-or-break situation today so let’s see what he can do at or around his morning line of 6-1.
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Belmont Park – 8th race. Post time: 5:04 ET
1 – Morning Colors (9/2)

Displayed plenty of talent and potential in her maiden win at Tampa Bay Downs in early March while giving the impression that she has the ability to develop into a very useful grass filly for trainer C. Clement, who excels with this type of runner. In that race she was very keen early and unsettled during the early stages, relaxed midway, hit the front with authority entering the lane and then when challenged in the final sixteenth found something extra to win with something left. From her rail post today, the daughter of Midshipman should draft into an excellent ground-saving position under J. Rosario and perhaps even establish the pace if it’s handed to her. This New York-bred first-level allowance event seems well within her capabilities, so let’s put her on top and hope to close to her morning line of 9/2.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 07:05 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1

#3 Love on the Run	Mott firster goes for a typically patient debut barn (10%), but also one that can pop at any time, and this miss cost 425k, has a big pedigree, a slew of works, and possibly as important as anything, meets a crew that is certainly there for the taking; look out.
#6 So Darn Hot	The gal to beat was a decent enough 3rd on debut on the dirt and a better 3rd on the turf last time, so clearly she has talent, yet neither of those runs was breaking any stop watches, and her lack of speed is a real worry too, at underlaid odds as well; second-best.
#1 Sneer	Tricky read didn't run an inch in the slop at 9-5 last time, so if you want to say it was the track, then she's a likely winner off the close 2nd two-back, but yikes, she was beaten a furlong, so simply drawing a line through the race seems a bit dicey; mixed signals.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 3, as you want to see her live and taking money, especially against group like this, as it would be a good sign, and you can play her in all the slots if that's the case, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since she won't have to be a monster to have a big say against these gals.

Belmont Park - Race #4

#8 Mills	Cagey veteran has found his form again at 10 and now goes off the Barker claim, which is a strong 27% angle from a 15-horse sample, and he also catches a field with very little speed, which means he's going to trip out from a beautiful attack post; love his chances here.
#1 Chief Know It All	The chalk has won five straight and absolutely crushed in his last two, but note those were with some potent barns and now he goes off the claim for Miranda, who is 0-for-19 on the year, not to mention this is his first start since being nabbed in January; tread very lightly here.
#3 Scarf It Down	Logical contender has run well without winning in three starts off the Noda claim and fits nicely with this group on paper, though his deep-closing style in a race without a ton of pace won't help his chances in the lane, at underlaid prices as well; likely to run out of room late.
Race Summary	There's a lot to like from the 8, especially in a race without a lot of speed and a barn switch to a very sharp trainer, as well as a potentially vulnerable favorite, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk5/Pk4, since he looks like he's getting all the best of it here, and what could be a square price too.

Belmont Park - Race #8

#1 Morning Colors	Clement runner was all-out to win on debut at Tampa with a moderate figure, and rising to take on winners is never easy, but there's no one here to fear, and this miss looks like the type that has a lot more in the tank than she's yet to show; look out.
#9 Astoria Kitten	The chalk will be bet hard for Gargan off the decent 6th in a open GP stakes last time, and on paper she's the one to beat, and has some speed too, but she's also been stuck in neutral in her last three, while the pick has tons of upside; scary, but no lock.
#12 Summer At the Spa	Intriguing miss was a private purchase after the Aqu debut win for Toner and is now with Thomas, who adds Lasix, takes the blinkers off, and reaches for Jose Ortiz, so while this draw is no bargain, there seems to be some intent here; tabbing today.
Race Summary	That 9-2 ML seems well worth the risk-reward on the 1, as she's drawn well and should only improve off her unveiling, so play her in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this is the type of field that is vulnerable to a breakthrough runner, and she certainly checks a lot of boxes suggesting she's the one who's going to do it.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 07:06 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #3

#7 Mata Harry	Has run mostly evenly in a couple of starts so far, but this is a softer group than he has seen to date. Should be right there at a fair price.
#5 Jack Beanstalk	Drops for this synthetic debut, and there are some recent Gulfstream races that would be very tough here if he's able to transfer that form to the new footing.
#4 Gideon's Sword	Has had 13 chances, so he's not a serious player on top for me, but he has some pace to stay involved throughout and might land an underneath piece.
Race Summary	Mata Harry can be tough here at something hopefully around 3/1, as he's getting in easier today and isn't far off what it'd take to win here.

Woodbine - Race #5

#2 Hope Garden	Taking a swing with a type I don't normally like -- an 11-start maiden -- but there isn't a ton of pace signed on here and this filly will be a big number. She ran okay without blinkers in the past and should get a forward trip.
#9 Munnings Beach	Looks like one of the ones to beat in this soft spot, but she has a very even running style that might help her once again find a horse or two too good today.
#7 Merino Wool	Blinkers go on today while dropping in class in a fairly significant way, and she should be in the mix from the start with a good spying trip.
Race Summary	Hope Garden is a swing in a spot without much to worry about. She will be a price and should get a forward trip on a modest pace. Thinking she can stick around at a number.

Woodbine - Race #7

#1 Westlodge Intrigue	The form didn't hold up at all at Oaklawn, so the move back to Woodbine might allow her to wake up in a hurry. 5/1 ML offering seems fair for a top barn.
#6 Mizzona	Should be a handful with these, as she's got tactical pace and a reliable finishing effort. She'll likely be a short price, though, and she does tend to settle for some close calls underneath.
#3 Hassah	Beat Mizzona back in October, and though she doesn't always show up, her top stuff is enough to put a scare into these at a fair price.
Race Summary	Westlodge Intrigue needs a complete form reversal, but that might come on the move back to the Tapeta after a string of lackluster tries at Oaklawn.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 07:06 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Scioto Downs - Race #1

#2 CAMBASSADOR	Can make maximum use of his speed as he nears 50-win club.
#1 REACH FOR INFINITY	Back with own kind, second as odds-on choice two starts back.
#4 HEADFORTHEBEACH	Claimed by 22-percent barn, knows how to win.
Race Summary	Cambassador broke through with his first win as a 13-year-old and 48th overall with a front-end victory that he could duplicate. He moves outside in and could be in control throughout. Play a 2 with 1,4 with ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #8

#7 YEN	Qualifier signal readiness after solid 2-year-old campaign.
#3 COMBS HANOVER	Out-kicked by 2-1 winner in fast heat after two of remaining faves broke stride.
#1 RIDE TO JUSTICE	Hit board twice in fall sire stakes, qualifying run disrupted by equipment break.
Race Summary	Yen had two wins and a near miss to cap a 3-for-7 freshman season and won easily in his return qualifier. He has speed and is a good price play, so box a 1-3-7 exacta.

Vernon Downs - Race #11

#3 WINNING PRINCESS	Mare was slowed by pace, took overland route as beaten fave.
#5 BARN HOLDEN	Sustained second-over rally to win going away in return.
#1 KOLIN	Disappointed on clear lead in latest but can’t be discounted.
Race Summary	Winning Princess rallied into a slow pace while widest and just missed in weaker field. She can handle the boys and the class jump at a better price, so play 3-1 and 3-5 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 07:06 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#2 One for Richie	Was up in time vs N3L foes at Oaklawn and anything close to that gets it done for him here; can adjust to any pace and has been in a lot of races that look better than this one.
#5 Better Charge It	Took on strong company in three at Oaklawn and drops down to his lowest level since a maiden-claiming win last summer at Ellis; will throw a :21 and change at them and just might keep going.
#3 Westwood Proud	Faltered in his 1st of the year last out and likely will show much more run in his return; was an easy winner in fast time in his only Indiana Grand start last year.
Race Summary	One for Richie has the advantage of being in good form, has an adjustable running style and has the connections to be successful here.

Indiana Grand - Race #5

#11 Imperial Mission	Ran a decent 4th at Houston in his only start of this season and has run some good races at Indiana Grand; has the speed to get in good position from his outside post.
#10 Charlie'sarchangel	When he wins, he wins for fun and has taken 4 of his last 10; doesn't disappoint often and has the speed to be a factor from the outset.
#5 Peekacho	Was effective at similar levels last year and bit more more than he could chew at Turfway; can get a good stalking position.
Race Summary	Imperial Mission has the tactical speed to track just off the leaders and a repeat of his best efforts can make him a strong player at a good price.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#1 Devil's Cross	Was a winner and also had a 2nd over this strip last year and can get a good stalking trip in his return; has trained well and has the talent to continue his success vs. state-breds.
#3 Chipofftheoldblock	Was an easy maiden winner here last year and took on some solid allowance company at Churchill; capable of a good effort in his 1st of the year.
#6 Seminole Justice	Has the speed to get to the lead here and once that happens he's usually tough to the end; capable of staying for a major piece of it.
Race Summary	Devil's Cross has the tactical speed to get away in good order and likely will benefit from following a quick pace; a steady rally can get it done for him.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:36 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 5 (Races 5-6-7-8-9)
Starter Allowance $10,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 4:12P
(PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS SINCE JUNE 18, 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MAY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE AND 70 YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BOURBON N LIME is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ARTIE'S RUMOR: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. QUALI TY STEP: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. IMPERIAL MISSION: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PEEKACHO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at l east 50. BOURBON N LIME: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.
1	ARTIE'S RUMOR	4/1	5/1
8	QUALITY STEP	12/1	6/1
11	IMPERIAL MISSION	6/1	8/1
5	PEEKACHO	5/2	9/1
12	BOURBON N LIME	20/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
12	BOURBON N LIME	12	20/1	Front-runner	98	95	85.0	70.4	53.4
14	TALE OF THE NILE	14	8/1	Stalker	89	85	96.1	81.8	66.3
1	ARTIE'S RUMOR	1	4/1	Stalker	102	92	89.8	90.0	86.5
8	QUALITY STEP	8	12/1	Stalker	95	88	86.4	89.8	80.8
11	IMPERIAL MISSION	11	6/1	Stalker	98	90	82.2	90.6	72.6
13	MR. CHOW	13	15/1	Stalker	93	90	79.6	78.2	68.2
4	MARV'S MAGIC	4	12/1	Stalker	86	79	68.8	72.6	48.1
3	GLIDING ALONE	3	30/1	Trailer	93	82	79.6	87.8	70.8
5	PEEKACHO	5	5/2	Trailer	101	90	70.6	81.7	73.7
6	NO CENTS LEFT	6	12/1	Trailer	92	85	70.4	85.6	70.6
10	CHARLIE'SARCHANGEL	10	7/2	Trailer	96	93	64.6	75.3	68.3
2	DURRETT LANE	2	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	90	70	72.2	72.2	52.2
9	FIRST MASAMUNE	9	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	95	91	68.2	65.4	49.4
7	THE STORY BEGINS	7	50/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	59	56.5	58.6	31.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:37 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
SO $10,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 8:53P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS SINCE JUNE 18, 2018 OR CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PHONEMYPOSSEAGAIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STRONG LIKE BULL: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. GOLD SHARK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing. JOOPSTER: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
7	PHONEMYPOSSEAGAIN	3/1	6/1
3	STRONG LIKE BULL	5/1	7/1
2	ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO	7/2	7/1
8	GOLD SHARK	6/1	7/1
9	JOOPSTER	9/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	PHONEMYPOSSEAGAIN	7	3/1	Front-runner	98	90	101.5	85.6	81.6
3	STRONG LIKE BULL	3	5/1	Front-runner	97	87	99.7	77.8	68.8
9	JOOPSTER	9	9/2	Front-runner	88	87	98.0	79.0	70.0
2	ALLTHEWAY TO CAIRO	2	7/2	Front-runner	90	89	93.2	88.6	80.1
4	FREEDOM IS RINGING	4	8/1	Front-runner	90	76	84.2	81.8	69.8
1	CALL ME COWBOY	1	15/1	Front-runner	79	77	77.0	72.0	54.0
8	GOLD SHARK	8	6/1	Stalker	92	85	96.2	85.0	77.5
10	WIZARD OF ODDS	10	20/1	Trailer	82	85	66.8	77.6	62.6
5	DIONYSUS' CHALICE	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	92	84	89.0	78.6	70.1
6	UNION GRACE	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	76	54.6	67.2	51.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Turf. Purse: $42000 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000 (IF THE STEWARDS CONSIDER IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, THIS

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 FRANK'SGUNISLOADED 7/5
# 8 IRISH ROAR (IRE) 20/1
# 4 SEPTIMIUS SEVERUS 6/1

My selection here is FRANK'SGUNISLOADED. Earned a formidable Equibase Speed Figure last time out. Could provide positive profits based on very good recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 93. IRISH ROAR (IRE) - Will most likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the halfway point of the contest. Should be given consideration based on the very good speed rating earned in the last contest. SEPTIMIUS SEVERUS - Must be in condition if the trainer is bringing him back so soon.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 93

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 RDD EASYS FAST DASH 6/1
# 9 ALOTA BAD HABITS 10/1
# 3 HEZA JESS CUERVO 7/2

RDD EASYS FAST DASH should be supported as the bet in here. Should best this field here, showing respectable figs of late. Ought to be given a shot here if only for the respectable Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest. ALOTA BAD HABITS - Should be considered based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. HEZA JESS CUERVO - Looks quite good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in short races lately. Has to be given a chance in this contest if only for the solid Equibase speed fig posted in the last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:38 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Belterra Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:08pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#1 TUF INTENSITY (ML=8/1)
#4 ARCH YOU READY (ML=5/1)

TUF INTENSITY - Finished fourth at Indiana Downs last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 8/1 in today's race, he looks like a possible contender. Nice return on investment for this jockey and handler tandem. You have to like that most recent race fig, 75, which is the top latest race speed rating of this group. ARCH YOU READY - Last time around the track was at Belterra Park in a race with a class figure of 91. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure this time puts him in a solid position in this field. Last race at Belterra Park, he broke from the far outside. I don't need an advanced degree like The Brain to tell me his inside post position today should help.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 EMPEROR'S GOLD (ML=8/5), #6 RIKER (ML=3/1), #3 GET EM UP SCOUT (ML=4/1),

EMPEROR'S GOLD - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Long layoff and no drop in level of competition. GET EM UP SCOUT - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. When scrutinizing today's Equibase class figure, he will have to record a much better rating than in the last race to battle in this dirt route.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 TUF INTENSITY on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:39 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Royal Ascot - Race #6 - Post: 11:10am - Handicap - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $80,000 Class Rating: 104

Rating:

#13 DUBAI MIRAGE (IRE) (ML=12/1)
#22 FINEST SOUND (IRE) (ML=7/1)
#7 KONDRATIEV WAVE (IRE) (ML=20/1)
#1 SUN POWER (FR) (ML=15/1)
#17 GROVE FERRY (IRE) (ML=20/1)

DUBAI MIRAGE (IRE) - Bin Suroor brings him back again. I advocate you stay with this hot colt. Just coming off the plane, this one should do well for bin Suroor. I like the hard fact that this colt's last figure, 110, is tops in this bunch. FINEST SOUND (IRE) - Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a sharp contest on Jun 8th. This animal gets shipped over here after running well at a major foreign race track. A good sign in my opinion. Lower weight carried of -10. In my opinion, a movement of five is important, so this gelding falls into this category. KONDRATIEV WAVE (IRE) - This colt is in fine form, having run a nice race on Jun 5th, finishing second. I do like foreign invaders that have showed signs of class at a big time foreign racing venue. SUN POWER (FR) - Look for this gelding to run a lot better in this event. Last clash at LIN finishing fourth on an off track is no indication of his true talent. This animal gets shipped over here after showing good form at a major foreign venue. A good sign in my opinion. GROVE FERRY (IRE) - I like that last race on Jun 5th at LIN where he ran third. This gelding has run well at major foreign tracks, and ships in for today's race. Could be tough to beat.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 STARCAT (GB) (ML=7/1), #19 ENEMY (GB) (ML=8/1),

STARCAT (GB) - No value in throwing a few bucks at this questionable contender. Probably won't improve off that June 6th event. ENEMY (GB) - Will be hard for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - DUBAI MIRAGE (IRE) - Accomplishments at a top track abroad, bring this foreign thoroughbred to challenge these horses in today's affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #13 DUBAI MIRAGE (IRE) on the win end if we get at least 6/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [7,13,22]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:39 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

06/18/20, CD, Race 1, 1.00 ET
06/18/20,CD,1,5F [Dirt] 00:56:02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 120 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (For Two Year Olds Under International Medication Protocol. Horses Nominated Or Entered To Compete Shall Not Be Eligible To Receive Furosemide Less Than Twenty-four (24) Hours Prior To Post Time For The Race.).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	7	Overdressed	4-1	Beschizza A	Scott Joan	SFEC	35.34	1.31/$1
097.02	6	A Lot of Spunk	7/2	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Drury. Jr. Thomas		35.34	1.31/$1
096.71	5	Admiral's Garnet	6-1	Garcia M	Tomlinson Michael A.	J	35.34	1.31/$1
096.69	10	Abhaile	5-1	Rocco. Jr. J	O'Dwyer Jeremiah		35.34	1.31/$1
096.30	3	My Guatemalan Girl	8-1	Ramos J D	Hernandez Rey		35.34	1.31/$1
096.03	4	Decaf	9/2	Lanerie C J	Kobiskie Dane		35.34	1.31/$1
095.89	11	Jamin's Jet(b+)	12-1	Mena M	Finucane Richard	TL	35.34	1.31/$1
095.42	1	Mini Dress	20-1	Conning C	McCutchen Robert B.	W	35.34	1.31/$1
095.21	9	Gran Confusione	15-1	Wiseman I	Caramori Eduardo		35.34	1.31/$1
093.10	8	Empire Trolley	15-1	Cannon D	Sanner Daniel E.		35.34	1.31/$1
091.55	2	Love's Tavito	20-1	Gomez A	Gonzalez Alejandro		35.34	1.31/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 24.75, ROI 0.75/$1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-18-2020, 11:39 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

06/18/20, BEL, Race 6, 3.59 ET
06/18/20,BEL,6,6F [Inner Turf] 1:06:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. INNER TURF (UP TO $6,786 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 118 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due At Time Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void). (Rail at 18 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	5	Masterio	6-1	Luzzi M J	Ryan Derek S.	F	37.44	1.26/$1
099.53	3	Quid	9/2	Carmouche K	Ryan Derek S.	C	37.44	1.26/$1
096.70	2	Spitball	7/2	Ortiz J L	Rice Linda		37.44	1.26/$1
096.51	8	Hostile Witness	10-1	Saez L	Rodriguez Rudy R.		37.44	1.26/$1
096.51	10	Shandian	15-1	Cancel E	Chichakly Amira	EL	37.44	1.26/$1
095.42	11	Mucho Sunshine	15-1	Silvera R	Shivmangal Lolita		37.44	1.26/$1
094.90	4	G C Cam	8-1	Harkie H K	Ryerson James T.	SW	37.44	1.26/$1
094.10	1A	Hidden Style	8-1	Maragh R R	Stephens John D.		37.44	1.26/$1
094.08	1	Summer Tune	8-1	Gutierrez R	Stephens John D.		37.44	1.26/$1
093.96	6	Not So Easy	6-1	Cardenas L	Donk David G.		37.44	1.26/$1
093.19	12	Drink to the Clown	30-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Grossman Bruce R.	T	37.44	1.26/$1
092.33	9	Onthewingsoflou	12-1	Franco M	Handal Raymond	J	37.44	1.26/$1
091.67	7	Camouflaged Kisser	20-1	Maragh R R	O'Brien Keith		37.44	1.26/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 33.33, ROI 0.99/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	5	Masterio	6-1	Luzzi M J	Ryan Derek S.	F	40.25	1.07/$1
099.83	3	Quid	9/2	Carmouche K	Ryan Derek S.	C	43.62	1.17/$1
097.35	10	Shandian	15-1	Cancel E	Chichakly Amira	EL	43.62	1.17/$1
096.73	4	G C Cam	8-1	Harkie H K	Ryerson James T.	SW	46.38	1.26/$1
096.57	11	Mucho Sunshine	15-1	Silvera R	Shivmangal Lolita		43.62	1.17/$1
095.52	1A	Hidden Style	8-1	Maragh R R	Stephens John D.		46.38	1.26/$1
095.41	8	Hostile Witness	10-1	Saez L	Rodriguez Rudy R.	J	43.62	1.17/$1
095.39	2	Spitball	7/2	Ortiz J L	Rice Linda		43.62	1.17/$1
095.37	1	Summer Tune	8-1	Gutierrez R	Stephens John D.		32.41	0.79/$1
093.45	6	Not So Easy	6-1	Cardenas L	Donk David G.		43.62	1.17/$1
092.69	9	Onthewingsoflou	12-1	Franco M	Handal Raymond		43.62	1.17/$1
091.60	7	Camouflaged Kisser	20-1	Maragh R R	O'Brien Keith		43.62	1.17/$1
090.78	12	Drink to the Clown	30-1	Diaz. Jr. H R	Grossman Bruce R.	T	43.62	1.17/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.91, ROI 0.83/$1

Service Plays Thursday 6/18/20

Service Plays Thursday 6/18/20

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