Service Plays Sunday 6/21/20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 08:16 AM

Mike McClure

NASCAR

The model began its season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven top-10 drivers at The Real Heroes 400 and the Toyota 500 at Darlington. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in a bet for Hamlin at 10-1 for his win at Miami.

Bets I've placed as of 11:00 AM EST 6/16

Joey Logano +1000
Brad Keselowski +1000
Chase Elliott +1200
Kevin Harvick +1400
Kurt Busch +1800
Aric Almirola +2500

H2H Matchups

Chase Elliott +105 vs. Denny Hamlin

The projected top 10, according to the model:

1. Joey Logano (10-1)
2. Chase Elliott (12-1)
3. Kevin Harvick (14-1)
4. Brad Keselowski (10-1)
5. Denny Hamlin (10-1)
6. Kyle Busch (12-1)
7. Ryan Blaney (14-1)
8. Clint Bowyer (20-1)
9. Aric Almirola (25-1)
10. Kurt Busch (18-1)

The rest of the field, according to the model:

11. Martin Truex Jr.
12. Tyler Reddick
13. Jimmie Johnson
14. Alex Bowman
15. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
16. Ryan Newman
17. William Byron
18. Erik Jones
19. Matt Kenseth
20. Christopher Bell
21. Matt DiBenedetto
22. Austin Dillon
23. Cole Custer
24. Bubba Wallace
25. Ryan Preece
26. Ty Dillon
27. Michael McDowell
28. Daniel Suarez
29. John H. Nemechek
30. Chris Buescher
31. Corey Lajoie
32. Reed Sorenson
33. Timmy Hill
34. Brennan Poole
35. Garrett Smithley
36. Joey Gase
37. Quin Houff
38. JJ Yeley

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 08:16 AM

My Pick 6 Ticket Sunday on Closing Day at Santa Anita

June 20, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

It’s Mandatory Pick Six Payoff Day as Santa Anita closes out its season on Sunday.
Races 7-12 have stakes offerings in the Melair and G3 American, along with a trio of maiden races and an optional claimer.
Here’s a capsule look at each race, along with a $86.40 suggested ticket.

7th Race (Melair Stakes, 6:30 p.m. ET)
BIG SWEEP is unbeaten in two sprints and seeks to take her act around two turns. Trainer Mark Glatt is cruising along at 33-percent. Her latest was in the Echo Eddie Stakes and she has finished well in both race. No reason to think she can’t stretch out. SMILING SMIRLEE sprinted to a win in the Evening Jewel Stakes last out and won going a mile two races back. WARREN’S SHOWTIME has the best chance at a closing move as this pace should be lively.

8th Race (Maiden Claiming, 7 p.m. ET)
The big players come from the outside and each is taking a drop in class for this maiden-claimer at a mile on the turf. DANCEFORMUNNY has taken on much better and likely will be much closer to the early action than she has been. SAPORI GIRL has had 10 chances and is coming closer to getting the maiden win. The 3rd-place finish in her latest could translate into a win here.

9th Race (Maiden Claiming, 7:30 p.m. ET)
COSMIC COWGIRL showed speed in maiden special races and that usually translates into more endurance with a class drop. Will not want to give up the rail and should be a strong player throughout. WITH THIS VOW was in good position for a half-mile of her debut and then faded. She is another that can improve with the step down the ladder as well as moving up with the benefit of having had a start. SAVING SOPHIE has been running two turns, gets back to a sprint and will likely be rolling late.

10th Race (Gr. 3 American Stakes, 8 p.m. ET)
The American Stakes looks the most difficult race in the sequence, and a foursome are represented on the sequence.
JASIKAN makes his 1st of the year and has done little wrong in the U.S. starts after beginning his career in Ireland. He won the Oceanside at Del Mar last year and ended the second with a 3rd in the G3 LaJolla. Always seems to be moving well late. CLEOPATRA’S STRIKE was 2nd in the G2 San Marcos and G2 San Gabriel in his last two and deserves support. SHARP SAMURAI just missed in the G2 Del Mar Mile in August and has trained exceptionally well for his return. BOWIE’S HERO has no shortage of class, having won the G1 Shadwell Turf Mile and the G1 Shoemaker Mile during the past two years.

11th Race (Maiden Special Weight, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Which Baffert do you like?
Trainer Bob is always difficult to beat in maiden races, and that problem is compounded as he has two in this one. PROVOCATION makes her career debut, and the Into Mischief gal has trained well. And getting Mike Smith aboard (30 percent) hurts nothing, either. HIMIKO started once, and it was an unsuccessful voyage over the turf. The American Pharoah filly has drilled well since then, and the $1 million weanling purchase is likely to make a huge improvement from her 1st start to this.

12th Race (Optional Claiming, 9 p.m. ET)
Veteran optional claimers on the turf end the day and sequence, and three of these appear to have an edge over the rest. OF GOOD REPORT lost by a nose at this level last out and has taken 4 of 11 on grass. Galloping mischief return off a 14-month layoff with a closing 4th in a fast sprint. She won’t have to improve much to be a strong player in the closing yards. SUCCEEDANDSURPASS was a closing 3rd at this level in his 1st of the year and was 2nd in the G2 Twilight Derby at Santa Anita last year.

Rainbow Pick Six Sunday at Santa Anita:
7) #1 Big Sweet, #2 Smiling Shirlee, #6 Warren’s Showtime.
8) #10 Danceformunny, #11 Sapori Girl.
9) #1 Cosmic Cowgirl, #3 With This Vow, #6 Saving Sophie.
10) #2 Jasikan, #3 Cleopatra’s Strike, #5 Sharp Samurai, #8 Bowies Hero.
11) #2 Provocation, #5 Himiko.
12) #3 Of Good Report, #11 Galloping Mischief, #12 Succeedandsurpass.
20-cent suggested ticket: 1-2-6 with 10-11 with 1-3-6 with 2-3-5-8 with 2-5 with 3-11-12 ($86.40)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 08:16 AM

TERRY TURRELL LOS ALAMITOS QUARTERS HANDICAP, SUNDAY, JUNE 21, 2020
FIRST POST 6:30 P.M.

FIRST RACE

#2 WILD STYLED has been working locally prepping for his career debut for trainer Steve Miyadi who has a winning ROI with first time starters, chance mild surprise with his top effort. #1 EURODOLLAR improved to be second at this distance facing similar, holds experience edge over the top pick, draws the rail for the Valenzuela/Payeras team. #6 RUNAWAY INDY wide trip throughout losing best chance facing similar has speed to be factor from flag to wire drawing the outside post in field of six. Longshot - #5 KENZLEE’S GOV

SECOND RACE

#5 FLATTERING POSE filly by Flatter was a $50,000 purchase in Kentucky and works indicate trainer Jaime Gomez has primed and ready to fire first asking at this 870-yard distance. #1 FED HIKE has been second in three of his four career starts at this 870-yard distance and draws the rail tonight, strictly the one to beat for the Gonzalez/Lopez team. #3 DELIGHTFUL FUN on the bench since March of this year turned in easy :36.2 blowout Jun 2 indicating fitness for return, blinkers off tonight. Longshot - #4 ALL MY HOPE

THIRD RACE

#6 MO DINERO overmatched in his two starts off the claim for trainer Salvador Naranjo returns to his purchase price drawing the outside post in field of six, jockey Francisco Orduna-Rojas aboard tonight. #1 YODELERS WAY six-year old seldom misses a check and drops to half his last claiming level drawing the rail, speed to gain command early and danger if allowed to relax early. #4 HACK third exiting same heat as the top choice won two back finishing third, win would not surprise. Longshot - #3 SEATTLE ENCOUNTER

FOURTH RACE

#3 NIETZSCHE rough trip lacking room losing all chance facing winners for the first time, broke his maiden at this 1000-yard distance two back for trainer Vann Belvoir and jockey Ramon Guce. #6 SCOUTED improved in each of his last three starts all at this 1000-yard distance finishing second in his most recent race, outside post in field of six a plus. #2 SEVERIN overcame a troubled trip to prove best testing this 1000-yard distance for the first time cannot be ignored and strong factor in the exotics. Longshot - #5 SHARONA SUNSET

FIFTH RACE

#1 REAL KEEPER claimed Golden Gate for $4,000 and overmatched testing Los Alamitos and the lights for the first time, returns to competitive level drawing the rail for trainer Sergio Morfin and jockey Ramon Guce. #5 MISS NAPPER TANDY battled on the engine from flag to wire prevailing for the blue ribbon making first start since February and for trainer Agnela Aquino and jockey Barrington Harvey, can stand the jump in class. #2 NAOMI FRALEY better than looked effort making first start off the claim for trainer Jesus Nunez, drops notch with dangerous early speed. Longshot - #6 MADAME JEANETTE

SIXTH RACE

#5 PAPPASLILEAGLE has been competitive in all his starts this year at this level for veteran conditioner John Cooper, reunited and last won for jockey Irving Leon. #1 GET UR MOTOR RUNNIN alert break from the rail and this filly could prove a mild surprise. #4 REMEMBERING FROSTY 3 to his last winning level and will be adding the Flipping Halter tonight. Longshot - #3 FOOSILERO

SEVENTH RACE

#3 MORE THAN LOOKS steady works in May for trainer Scott Willoughby indicate she is primed and ready for her racing debut, Vinnie Bednar aboard. #4 EL CUERVO FAVORITO trouble in both his career starts for high percent team of trainer Jose Flores and jockey Cruz Mendez has racing experience edge over the top pick. #1 CATALINA ROCKET can overcome the rail draw with alert break making her career debut for trainer Jesus Nunez and jockey Oscar Andrade. Longshot - #6 RULENTLESS

EIGHTH RACE

#1 CHANCE TO EXCEL talented youngster in the Monty Arrossa barn was dominant in the Trials for The Ed Burke Million Futurity deserving top billing tonight going for his third straight win and the hat trick, Jose Nicasio aboard. #10 LA JACONDE inside post to outside post for the top two picks, this filly in the Jaime Gomez barn also impressive in her Trial win, working on her fourth straight victory tonight, Oscar Peinado aboard. Longshot - #2 THATS R BEST CARD

Best Chance Bet – PAPPASLILEAGLE (6)

Best Bet – CHANCE TO EXCEL (8)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 08:35 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Park Wagering Strategies - 6/21/20

June 21, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita
Sunday, June 21, 2020
*

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
*
Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

*
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
*
The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File

*
*

RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Ultimate Bango; 4-Sparky Ville; 5-Yes I am Free

Forecast: The Sunday opener is a highly-competitive overnight sprint stakes on grass that has at least three legitimate possibilities. Sparky Ville appears to have found his niche as a turf sprinter, and if runs back to his nose defeat in the Daytona S.-G3 over this course and distance last month he’ll beat this field. The son of Candy Ride earned by far his career top speed figure in that race and projects to be the controlling speed based on his most recent outing. Ultimate Bango, away since November, is a thoroughly genuine and consistent turf sprinter and will be dangerous if cranked up. The work tab looks modest but he’s run well fresh in the past and is a three-time winner over the local lawn, so we’ll include him. Yes I Am Free is a lightly-raced colt with three wins from six starts and is training very well for his first start since February. The son of Uncaptured has had issues in the past – he was a voided claim for $80,000 last summer – but the S. Miyadi-trained colt is a stakes winner with F. Prat in the saddle, so we’re compelled to use him on a least a few tickets.
*
*
RACE 2: Post 1:00 PT. Grade: A-
Single: 6-Bud Knight
Forecast: Bud Knight recently dismantled a maiden field with a career top speed figure and should continue his upward mobility in this starter optional claimer over a mile on grass. The son of Tizbud retains red-hot F. Prat and has the tactical speed to cope with any type of race flow. In this case, we’re expected the Cal-bred gelding to draft into an ideal stalking position and then go on with it when called upon. The L. Powell-trained 4-year-old is listed at 5/2 on the morning and at that price he’ll offer excellent value both in the win pool and as a rolling exotic single.
*
*
RACE 3: Post 1:30 PT. Grade: A-
Use: 2-Dr. Schivel; 3-Ambivalent
Forecast: Dr. Schivel looks and acts like a win-early type and appears cranked up and ready to roll following a string of sharp workouts for a barn that specializes in early-developing juveniles. The son of Violence blew out in :46 3/5 from the gate (fastest of 59) and had impressed in earlier, slower workouts as well. He’s 5/2 on the morning line but we’re expecting him to go lower. As a back-up, you should consider using Ambivalent on a ticket or two. He’s also a very good prospect, but this four and one-half furlong trip might be a tad short. That said, the son of Constitution has a chance to be somebody down the road and is worth protecting with in rolling exotic play.
*
*
RACE 4: Post 2:00 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 4-Ole Silver; 5-Alice Marble; 8-South Beach Gal; 12-Bella Chica

Forecast: Alice Marble has been burning up the track at Los Alamitos in preparation for her debut, and this homebred 3-year-old filly hails from a barn whose maidens often run better than they work. Out of a mare by More Than Ready, the daughter of Grazen debuts on a surface she’s bred to love, and with the barn’s “go-to” rider T. Pereira taking the call she looks like a very live item in a wide-open state-bred turf sprint for fillies and mares. At 8-1 on the morning line she’s worth a bit of gamble. South Beach Gal is another in the “stranger danger” category; she’s been prepared at San Luis Rey Downs by P. Miller and is another Grazen filly bred to win early and handle grass. A recent five furlong drill in 1:00 flat tells us she’s fit. Ole Silver got her feet wet in a main track sprint last month in which she finished sixth while finding her best stride too late. As a daughter of Acclamation, she’s bred to improve considerably on grass and with a nice recent work since raced the P. D’Amato-trained filly gives every indication that she’ll produce a significant forward move. She’s too big of a number at 12-1 on the morning line. The morning line favorite Bella Chica (3-1) has solid form under these conditions, having hit the board in all four of her career outings. She’s stuck way out in the 12-hole and lacks tactical speed, so she’s certainly vulnerable but still worth including on a few tickets as a back-up.
*
*
RACE 5: Post 2:32 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Your Royal Coil; 7-Mucho Macho Woman

Forecast: Your Royal Coil is progressing with racing, and although she missed as the favorite last time out (third, beaten a half-length), the P. Aguirre-trained filly didn’t get away cleanly and still battled gamely to the wire. She’s returned to breeze very nicely since that race, removes the blinkers that she wore last time out, and projects to be within striking range throughout. Mucho Macho Woman is worth including on a few tickets as well. She was disappointing when a well-beaten fourth on grass in a tougher spot just eight days ago but returns to her preferred surface, drops to a realistic spot, and is comfortably placed outside. Her nine length maiden score over this track three runs back puts her right in the hunt in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claimer.
*
*
RACE 6: Post 3:03 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 5-Kershaw; 8-Ward ‘n Jerry

Forecast: Ward ‘n Jerry wants to run all day and is ideally suited for the San Juan Capistrano’s mile and three-quarter race (yes, we get to see a Hillside race!). Winner of the San Luis Rey S.-G3 in March and fifth in a tune-up for this race in an overnight affair at a mile two weeks ago, the M. Puype-trained gelding retains F. Prat and should be along in time at 6/5 on the morning line. If you’re looking for a price to use in the vertical exotics (or as a back-up on a small ticket in Pick-3s) consider Kershaw, totally unproven at the trip and with just one prior run on grass. However, the P. D’Amato-trained gelding continues to look very sharp in the morning and projects as the controlling speed. Give that trip he could take this field a very long way.
*
*
RACE 7: Post 3:33 PT. Grade: X
Use: 1-Big Sweep; 2-Smiling Shirlee

Forecast: Unbeaten (in two starts)Big Sweep just beat the boys in the Echo Eddie Stakes with a strong, improved speed figure, and in doing so verified the highly favorable impression she made when graduating at first asking two months previous. Today, she stretches out around two turns, and as a daughter of Mr. Big should get nothing but better as the distances increase. She’s fast but hardly speed crazy, so F. Prat can assess the race flow and settle into any position he wants. At 6/5 on the morning line, small ticket players can consider her as a possible single. Those who can afford to may want to consider Smiling Shirlee as a saver. A winner of her last pair including the Evening Jewel Stakes sprinting on this main track in mid-May, the daughter of Smiling Tiger is dangerous at any distance, On pure numbers, she’s reasonably competitive with the favorite.
*
*
RACE 8: Post 4:03 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Arya’s Dagger; 10-Danceformunny; 11-Sapori Girl

Forecast: Arya’s Dagger didn’t show much of anything in her main track workouts prior to her debut two weeks ago sprinting on grass, which is why she left at 43-1. But the daughter of Will Take Charge outran those odds when overcoming a rough trip to rally strongly but much too late when sixth, beaten just over four lengths, in a $62,500 affair that produced a decent speed figure. She stretches out to this more suitable mile trip, drops into the maiden $40,000 ranks, retains T. Pereira, and lands a comfortable inside draw. At 10-1 on the morning line she offers intriguing value. Sapori Girl, logically the one to beat, is marooned in the 11-hole and is a 10-race maiden, so she’s not really one to trust. However, her numbers are fairly solid for this level, so if she can negotiate a decent trip under good grass rider U. Rispoli the T. Yakteen-trained daughter of Mizzen Mast could finally earn her diploma.Danceformunny is lightly raced and dropping into a seller for the first time. She also picks up F. Prat and shows a recent bullet workout at San Luis Rey Downs (4f, :47.4h, fastest of 34) so we have to find on a spot on our ticket for her somewhere.
*
*
RACE 9: Post 4:33 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Cosmic Girl; 3-With This Vow; 4-M Fast

Forecast: With This Vow finished far back in her debut vs. straight maiden foes last month but we suspect the R. Ellis-trained filly will step forward significantly with that effort behind her combined with this drop into the much softer maiden $50,000 ranks. The daughter of Broken Vow weakened chasing a very hot pace in that debut run and will be much more comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout today. M Fast has a similar pattern – far back in her debut vs. maiden special weight company and dropping into a claimer today – and the N. Drysdale-trained filly also will be adding blinkers following a nice recent training track drill in which she flashed improved early speed. If she can run, this would be a nice place to show it. Cosmic Cowgirl is a “must use” for several reason. The R. Baltas-trained filly must overcome the rail but she has the route to sprint angle that we like coupled with a class drop, a surface change, and a switch to F. Prat. She’s also worked pretty well of late, so against this group she has to be considered a contender.
*
*
RACE 10: Post 5:03 PT. Grade: B
Use: 3-Cleopatra’s Strike; 4-Blitzkrieg; 5-Sharp Samurai

Forecast: This bunch takes turns so we’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics and hope to get a price home. If you find the need to include a few more, go right ahead. Blitzkrieg didn’t get the best of trips in the wickedly fast Shoemaker Mile-G1 last month but wasn’t beaten all that badly under the circumstances and shows up today in a decidedly easier spot. The D. O’Neill-trained gelding, a three-time winner over the local lawn, recently worked six furlongs on dirt in a bullet 1:12 flat (fastest of 11) so we know he’s fit, sharp, and ready, and at 12-1 on the morning line he’s more than reasonably priced. Let’s hope that V. Espinoza puts him on the lead in a race without much pace. Sharp Samurai is more than good enough if ready. Away since last August, the veteran gelding has trained well for his comeback and is a course specialist, having won five of eight at Santa Anita. In his younger days, the M. Glatt-trained gelding could win off the bench, so you have to respect him. Cleopatra’s Strike needs more than a mile to be at his best but he’s worked well for his first outing since February, switches to M. Smith, and will be rolling in the final furlong. Yes, this could be a prep for Del Mar, but the son of Smart Strike is worth tossing in at least as a back-up or a saver.
*
*
RACE 11: Post 5:33 PT. Grade: B+
Use: 2-Provocation; 5-Himiko; 8-La V.

Forecast: This is an especially strong race for older maiden fillies and mares for this time of the year. The debuting Provocation has done everything in the a.m. like an excellent prospect and appears plenty fit and ready to show her abilities in this extended sprint that should complement what we believe is here stalking/closing style. That’s what she’s been taught to do in a series of very impressive workouts, and as a daughter of Into Mischief she certainly could be any kind. M. Smith, back in B. Baffert’s favor and riding all of the barn’s best prospects, takes the call. Baffert’s other runner, the second-timer Himiko, is no slouch and has to be considered strongly. She failed to land a blow in her debut with a bit of rough trip in a grass sprint, but she’ll be a lot more serious in this event, and with the switch to A. Cedillo the $1 million daughter of American Pharaoh can be expected to display a whole lot more early speed than she did last month. La V. is another that has worked like she has more than her share of ability. The daughter of Midnight Lute is plenty fit, drawn nicely outside, and can be expected to be running on late.
*
*
RACE 12: Post 6:03 PT. Grade: B
Use: 9-Colosi; 11-Galloping Mischief; 12-Succeedandsurpass

Forecast: The nightcap is a mile grass grab bag for first-level allowance horses. Succeedandsurpass should win but had the misfortune of drawing the extreme outside post position. Recently transferred to the M. Puype barn, the Irish-bred colt has worked splendidly of late for his new trainer and is Grade-2 placed over this course, having finished an excellent second in the Twilight Derby-G2 last fall. He really should out class this field but needs to drop over and find some cover and not get fanned out early. Colosi is a 15-1 price chance that is worth including on your ticket. He’s a second-off-the-claim for D. O’Neill and making his first start since December following a series of surprisingly good recent workouts on the main track. The time off may have done him some good, and he’s a two-time winner over the local lawn, so there are reasons to be optimistic. The lightly-raced Galloping Mischief, second off a layoff, stretching out for the first time, working well for R. Mandella and retaining F. Prat, has several angles that make us want to include him, at least as a backup.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 08:35 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 21, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the 0.50 Late Pick 4 at Hawthorne Racecourse starts in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

On Saturday, the top pilots on the card were Kyle Husted and Kyle Wilfong, both with three pictures. The leading trainers were Kyle Husted and Mike Brink who recorded two wins each.

Comments and selection below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

2-Crooked Creek (7-1)-Comes off a break in last but Brink barn had been rolling and will overlook last fumble. Looking for Oosting to keep this 3-year-old pacing and does offer a fair price.
8-Fox Valley Quest (9/5)-Made it look easy last week drawing off by 5 lengths. Will not offer any value but has won 8 of 10 in Stickney. Is a must use but will also look to others because of the outside draw.
11-On Higher Ground (5-1)-Another Brink trainee who will be looking for 1st Haw win in 9 tries. Came second 5 times here and might be able to save ground and sneak by late, was Wilfong's choice over #4.

Race 11

4-Mirasol (5-1)-Won like a good horse who found an easy spot for a picture last week at 23-1. Won't be close to that price, actually probably won't even be 5-1 even though bumping up and does look like a major player.
7-Skeeter Machine (6-1)-Not agreeing with the program handicapper and will leave #8, the 3-1 chalk off my ticket. This mare likes the track (8-20), tuned-up nicely in Spr and trainer should have her ready for a big try off the bench.

Race 12

1-Coming Up (7/2)-The Searle barn has won at a good clip since the restart but this guy has faltered down the lane. This will be the 3rd start off the bench and Oosting should be able to get on the engine and control the race.
2-He's Masterful (5/2)-Lightly raced 4-year-old had a nice effort in 1st start this year. Thinking Leonard will make the most of starting inside instead of the 8-hole and be in the mix throughout.
4-Ricky The Flash (25-1)-Comes off dual qualifiers at Spr for the Patton barn which has had them ready to go. Ricky is only 1-21 at Haw but could get sucked around and use one big brush to light up the board.

Race 13

1-Lilly Von Shtupp (5/2)-The issue with Lilly is she just doesn't like to seal the deal and, often falls short in a close race. But did have a big effort from the 10-hole and should be forwardly placed without draining her tank.
2-Whiskersonkittens (9/2)-Was driven like an 8/5 chalk in last but faded badly off a tough 1st half. She is a game mare and this is a soft spot but barn has been ice cold.
7-San Antonio Rose (9-1)-6-year-old has tuned up in Springfield and knows her way to the Haw winner's circle having banked >$113K here. Should be a nice price and #1 will be bet and can't be trusted.
8-Tell Marcia (9/2)-Qualified and rolled the back half in a snappy 56.4. Also, has won 3 of 6 starts at Haw. Offers a square price but Sheehan needs to provide a strong drive.

0.50 Pick 4

2,8,11/4,7/1,2,4/1,2,7,8
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:15 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1

#2 Quasar	Class dropper had a tough task on dirt facing N1X foes off an MSW win, and was predictably well-beaten, but she gets back to turf today, and her lone US grass run was solid enough, she's also back with friends, and will like the pace; upset special.
#1 Shannon's Girl	Intriguing sort goes off the Gullo claim, which is a strong 23% move, so right away you need to take notice, and she's back on turf too, and it's clear she's a grass filly and not a dirt one, and she's another who will like the expcted hot pace; do not ignore.
#5 Doll	Unappealing ML favorite burned a lot of money on dirt for Jason Servis and now goes for Cox, and while this is a potent barn too, we know what the other one brought to the table, so this miss may regress, and faces a ton of other speed too; no thanks.
Race Summary	That 6-1 ML sure seems fair on the 2, when you factor in the class drop, race flow, and return to turf, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since she's probably going to get ignored, which means a win in the 6-1 range would knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat.

Belmont Park - Race #4

#3 Vitsse	MCL winner got to the dirt and added blinkers and absolutely laughed at the field when last seen in Feburary, and while taking on winners is never easy, there's only one to fear here, and this one has a ton of upside, and a nice price too; look out.
#7 Bebe Banker	Deserving odds-on favorite wins this for fun with his usual effort, as his figures lay over this field, but hes also 1-for-20 lifetime, has no upside, and has lost 13 straight, so sure, he's the most likely winner, but we've said that before; backwheel time.
#6 Oneshotatforever	Fellow MCL winner looked good doing so with ease when last seen and is another who will be a price on the rise, and he actually ran a bit faster on the speed figure charts than the pick, so you could do worse that giving him a look; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 3, and other than the 7 this isn't a group that he's supposed to be worried about, assuming he progresses again, so give him a look to win and place, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since anyone on a budget is singling the 7, which means a win by the pick would likely blow this up.

Belmont Park - Race #7

#7 Mosienko	Turf-to-dirt runner has actually never run on a fast main track, as both dirt runs were in the slop to start his career, so she's an unknown here, but both were solid, and, most important of all, she's a stalker in a race loaded with speed; mows them down late.
#8 Wedontbelieveher	ML favorite did well to draw outside the rest of the gas and will be tough if she runs back to that good 2nd against better last time, but still, pressing/dueling, kicking clear, and then bracing for the pick-at short odds-doesn't sound very enticing; second-best.
#5 Hot Little Honey	Logical sort didn't see out the mile last time, so the cutback should help her, and she stalked and won two-back, which helps the cause, though she'll be overbet with Irad up, and could be a bit keen off the break as well; limiting her use to underneath only.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here to set up the 7, while potentially hurting the 8, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the mandatory payout Empire 6, as well as the late Pk5/Pk4, since she'll offer plenty of value, and just might slip through the wagering cracks off her recent weak turf comeback.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:16 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #6

#7 Avalanche	Aggressive move off the $40k claim, but this guy is a reliable finisher with a pedigree to handle a bit more ground than he has been trying for his former connections. Price player intrigues.
#8 Ward 'n Jerry	Loves these longer distances and probably got something useful out of the comeback race at a trip that was far too short for him to flash his best.
#2 Red King	Third in this race last year, he has proven he can handle this kind of trip, and he finished up really well after getting shuffled a bit in that win last time out.
Race Summary	Avalanche is interesting on the stretchout as he goes off the claim. His relentless finishing style might translate to this longer trip with a distance pedigree.

Santa Anita - Race #7

#6 Warren's Showtime	Caught a tough older winner last time out, and she handles the dirt well enough to think she might be able to best a pair of runners near the rail.
#1 Big Sweep	Has been very well meant through two starts in her career, and though she hasn't looked like a filly who would struggle going two turns, that's still a question to answer at a short price.
#2 Smiling Shirlee	Opened up super live on the board last out and ran to it when easily best in the Evening Jewel, and she has been effective racing around two turns in the past.
Race Summary	Warren's Showtime has a class edge on these and should appreciate the move back in with 3yo company. Big Sweep and Smiling Shirlee are both capable, but neither figures to offer a really fair price.

Santa Anita - Race #10

#10 Bolo	Worth trying to find a fair price in this competitive bunch, and this guy might land near 6/1 on the board. He has fired fresh in the past and has done really good local work in the past.
#3 Cleopatra's Strike	Probably needs a bit longer to show his very best, but his recent form is plenty classy, and he can win this even at this distance.
#7 Border Town	He's the 'now' horse stepping up from allowance company, but he has had a very solid 2020 campaign and might be up to the test in what doesn't feel like the deepest race.
Race Summary	Bolo is more than capable of landing this one against Grade III company, and though he went to the bench in bad form last year, he can bounce back with this softer group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:16 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #1

#1 Torosay	Battled for the lead for every stride of his latest and can improve off that one; fast enough to save his spot and will take the shortest way home.
#2 Big Runnuer	Comes off an outstanding win over optional claimers at this distance and will be difficult to beat if he runs back to that one.
#4 Sparky Ville	Lost the G3 Daytona by a nose and is very tough at this distance; can be a factor under Franco.
Race Summary	Torosay battled through fast fractions and tired last; is a solid gate-to-wire threat here.

Santa Anita - Race #6

#4 Siberian Iris	Has been effective at very long distances and is taking a chance with male rivals here; she has several route races that would make her tough if she brings her best today. Comes off a dull try in the G1 Gamely and can improve.
#8 Ward 'n Jerry	Won the G3 San Luis Rey two back and gets better the farther he runs; can be close to the pace of this one.
#3 Tintoretto	Never threatened in four U.S. starts and then found better form when shipped back to his native Germany; can run all day.
Race Summary	Siberian Iris moves away from fillies and mares and switches to 1 3-4 miles. She does well going long and can mix it up with these rivals.

Santa Anita - Race #7

#6 Warren's Showtime	Gets an ideal pace set-up here and is a very effective closer; has a great chance to run them down at this distance.
#1 Big Sweet	Is unbeaten in two starts and comes off a narrow score in the Echo Eddie Stakes; should be able to stretch out.
#2 Smiling Shirlee	Won going a mile two races back, sprinted to an Evening Jewel Stakes last time and is a legit threat to take her 3rd straight. Keeps Hall of Famer Smith for this one.
Race Summary	Warren's Showtime is in good form and has the best closing move here; can take aim at the leaders and will be the one to hold off.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita Park

Santa Anita Park - Race 12	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super High 5
Optional Claiming $40,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 104 • Purse: $51,000 • Post: 6:03P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. SUCCEEDANDSURPASS (IRE) is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUCCEEDANDSURPASS (IRE): Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a lo ng layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THREE AY EM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WINNING ELEMEN T: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MOVE OVER (GB): Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
12	SUCCEEDANDSURPASS (IRE)	3/1	3/1
13	THREE AY EM	6/1	8/1
6	WINNING ELEMENT	8/1	9/1
14	MOVE OVER (GB)	15/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	FIVESTAR LYNCH (IRE)	7	10/1	Front-runner	102	95	103.2	96.6	86.6
13	THREE AY EM	13	6/1	Stalker	104	104	102.9	100.7	90.7
10	TURN THE SWITCH	10	12/1	Stalker	102	98	93.6	93.6	74.6
1	STORM THE BASTILLE (FR)	1	20/1	Stalker	102	97	90.0	91.2	68.2
6	WINNING ELEMENT	6	8/1	Stalker	102	106	86.7	96.4	90.9
8	LINCOLN CITY	8	20/1	Stalker	104	96	72.6	92.3	76.3
3	OF GOOD REPORT	3	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	98	97	78.8	93.2	73.7
12	SUCCEEDANDSURPASS (IRE)	12	3/1	Trailer	107	108	104.8	107.4	101.9
11	GALLOPING MISCHIEF	11	4/1	Trailer	97	93	92.2	92.2	74.2
14	MOVE OVER (GB)	14	15/1	Trailer	102	102	78.3	100.7	86.2
2	SILKEN PRINCE	2	15/1	Trailer	101	104	74.9	93.9	79.4
5	SOUTHERN KING	5	6/1	Trailer	103	101	74.8	93.6	73.6
9	COLOSI	9	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	102	103	85.4	100.2	84.7
4	GO DADDY GO	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	106	101	83.8	94.8	81.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:42 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 3	$2 Daily Double (Races 3-4) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box
Claiming $7,500 • 7 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $10,400 • Post: 7:50P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500, IF FOR $6,500, ALLOWED 1 LB. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED). (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SIX FURLONGS MAIN TRACK.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. MISTIE ROYALE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PEACH COVE (NZ): Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MISTIE ROYALE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its firs t and/or second starts after a long layoff. NO INTEREST: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. FRECKLES KAN: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
8	PEACH COVE (NZ)	3/1	9/2
1	MISTIE ROYALE	10/1	5/1
9	NO INTEREST	12/1	7/1
3	FRECKLES KAN	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	DAVE'S TEXAS LADY	2	7/2	Front-runner	77	58	83.8	63.2	48.2
3	FRECKLES KAN	3	12/1	Front-runner	89	77	68.0	71.0	63.0
4	CHANNEL SURFING	4	12/1	Front-runner	78	64	47.7	51.3	36.8
5	SIMPLYIRRESISTIBLE	5	6/1	Stalker	75	70	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	SICCAR	7	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	68	76.9	65.0	53.5
10	MORGAN'S DAVID	10	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	84	73	59.7	61.6	53.1
9	NO INTEREST	9	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	77	54.1	75.5	68.5
8	PEACH COVE (NZ)	8	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	90	36.0	70.2	66.7
1	MISTIE ROYALE	1	10/1	Trailer	81	75	35.1	72.1	62.6
6	GOLDEN TREASURY	6	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	65	68.7	62.0	51.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:42 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8950 Class Rating: 74

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 21, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 BELLELARO 6/1
# 1 MAGNIFICENT CHANCE 7/2
# 5 SILENT ZENON 5/1

My choice in this event is BELLELARO. The average class rating alone makes this horse a key contender. Has run well when moving a dirt sprint race. Juarez has a win percent of 24 over the last 30 days. MAGNIFICENT CHANCE - Must be given a chance based on the very strong Equibase Speed Figure recorded in the last contest. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Cappellucci running at this distance are the best in this group. SILENT ZENON - Might best this group here, showing very good numbers of late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:43 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Century Mile - Race #1 - Post: 5:15pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#3 DOUBLE BEAR (ML=8/1)
#6 TAP MASTER (ML=9/2)

DOUBLE BEAR - True, this thoroughbred is coming off a layoff, but this gelding runs well fresh. TAP MASTER - This animal picks up a lot of dough per start. Uppermost in this race. I like the piece of information that this horse's last speed rating, 89, is tops in this bunch. Amthor gets a break on this horse carrying 8 pounds less than last out. Certainly could make the difference in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CHASKA (ML=9/5), #4 LITTLE GROOT (ML=3/1), #2 FROBISHER BAY (ML=6/1),

CHASKA - Not easy to wager on any thoroughbred in a short distance race at 9/5 when he hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last couple months. I checked out this horse's past performances and he doesn't do well as the public's choice and is likely to be favored today. This gelding garnered a fig in his last contest which likely isn't good enough in today's race. LITTLE GROOT - This gelding didn't do much for me last time out. Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint events in order to bet on him. Hard to put your cash on this early speedball. Too much early zip in the race. FROBISHER BAY - Tough to bet on at 6/1 odds after the two most recent efforts. 93/83/65, are the lessening Equibase speed figures for this mount. Don't feel this entrant will make an impact in today's race. That last rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 DOUBLE BEAR on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:43 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 71

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 REAL KEEPER 4/1
# 2 NAOMI FRALEY 2/1
# 3 MILLIE JOEL 6/1

I lean toward REAL KEEPER here. Should be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. She looks decent in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. With a nice class figure average of 76, has one of the best class advantages in this group of animals. NAOMI FRALEY - Shows evidence of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 71 speed figure which is one of the most favorable in this group. Will most likely go to the front end and may never look back. MILLIE JOEL - Earned a competitive speed figure last time out. Looks competitive for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-21-2020, 09:43 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #3 - Post: 1:59pm - Optional Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $108,700 Class Rating: 100

Rating:

#3 RIDEFORTHECAUSE (ML=8/1)
#5 BOLD SCRIPT (ML=2/1)

RIDEFORTHECAUSE - This animal ran outside the top 3 at Gulfstream Park in the last race on a sloppy track. She should improve in this race under better track conditions. BOLD SCRIPT - This filly is a gem of consistency, almost always on the board. This filly is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 74, 95, 97 last three out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ART OF ALMOST (ML=9/5), #6 GET EXPLICIT (ML=9/2), #2 AVIE'S MINESHAFT (ML=5/1),

ART OF ALMOST - Hasn't been on the Woodbine oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. GET EXPLICIT - Tough to like the downward spiraling flow (99/93/79) of speed ratings. This animal hasn't been in the money in either of her last two races. Quite unimpressive speed rating in the last race at Woodbine at 7 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this entrant will improve too much in today's event. AVIE'S MINESHAFT - Hard to put any dough on this mare on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #3 RIDEFORTHECAUSE on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass